You've probably heard that presidential elections are all about "the economy, stupid."
But did you know that the stock market is actually a more powerful presidential re-election indicator than the GDP, inflation and unemployment rate combined?
That was one key finding of a 2012 paper by our team at the Socionomics Institute.
In fact, it's the most-downloaded research paper on presidential elections in the history of the Social Science Research Network.
Read it now, free – and learn what history suggests about the odds in the 2020 election.
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The Fate of An Incumbent President vs. Stock Prices
"Politics drive stock market trends" is a common yet fatally flawed assumption. To see why, all you need to do is look at elections with an incumbent U.S. president: See this for yourself, right now.
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NYT and WSJ Bestseller, Conquer the Crash
"It is best to read the full explanations in Conquer the Crash. Prechter adroitly identifies the negative unintended consequences associated with Federal Reserve open market interventions and federal government fiscal stimulus – both of which are now the rage for solving the current economic crisis. Specifically, in Part II (The Case for Deflation), he explains why deflation is the likely immediate outcome (Chapter 7) and why the Federal Reserve will not be able to stop the deflation (Chapter 10). Then, in Part III, Prechter recommends several assets with the greatest potential for protecting your wealth during the coming brutal deflationary depression. This thought-provoking book is a must-read, if you have not already done so."
— Steve Puetz, Universal Cycle Theory
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