You've probably heard that presidential elections are all about "the economy, stupid."
But did you know that the stock market is actually a more powerful presidential re-election indicator than the GDP, inflation and unemployment rate combined?
That was one key finding of a 2012 paper by our team at the Socionomics Institute.
In fact, it's the most-downloaded research paper on presidential elections in the history of the Social Science Research Network.
Read it now, free – and learn what history suggests about the odds in the 2020 election.
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"Politics drive stock market trends" is a common yet fatally flawed assumption. To see why, all you need to do is look at elections with an incumbent U.S. president: See this for yourself, right now.
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