Free Commentary

Below, browse our latest free commentary with videos and articles.


Chinese Stocks: What Will the Summer Bring?

The Shanghai Composite fell sharply this year. What's next? Skip the "fundamentals" talk -- watch our Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor give you a confident answer using Elliott waves and a couple of simple other technical indicators.

See the Chart That Predicted the College Enrollment Meltdown Years Before Covid

You may have heard that university enrollment plummeted during the Covid pandemic. What you may not have heard is that enrollment had been declining on a per capita basis for nearly a decade before the pandemic began. See a classic chart from 2011 that used the Wave Principle to foresee the enrollment bust in real time.

Why the Timing of the Next Economic Slump May Surprise – Big Time

Most professional observers of the economy were caught off guard at the onset of the two biggest economic setbacks of the past 100 years. Will professionals (and the public) be surprised again? Look at this diagram of the single most important "economic indicator."


Bitcoin: "A bottom is not an event. It's a process."

Market top or market bottom, most traders don't recognize it until after the fact. But watch one of our Crypto Trader's Classroom instructors show you how to use Elliott wave analysis and Fibonacci ratios to anticipate the likely bottom in Bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies).

Stocks: Is the Really Scary Part Just Ahead?

Many investors remain unshaken even after big daily market selloffs. They are still looking for bargains. This is the likely juncture at which real panic will set in. Prepare now.

Prepare for the Bear: Conspiracies, Magical Thinking and Wild Ideas

Sure, bear markets establish a "new normal" in the direction of stock prices. But the psychology behind the bear also establishes a new normal in the ideas that society embraces. Careful, rational thinking often goes out the window, in favor of impulsive, emotional appeals. The rejection of rationality can even come from within the scientific community itself -- with disastrous consequences. Learn more about these risks -- so that you can be ready for them -- when you watch this excerpt from the "Prepare for the Bear" conversation series.

The Lumber Bubble Pops… Again! See What We Showed Subscribers Beforehand

At the start of 2022, everyone agreed that lumber's fundamentals were bullish. See the forecast that defied conventional explanations and said "Look for a selloff…"

Hochberg: Stocks Are Repricing a Fantasy

A recent CNBC headline said: "Traders search for answers as relentless selling seems reality-detached." But from an Elliott wave perspective, markets are never rooted in reality to begin with. Investor psychology is an irrational driver of trends; that's why we have bubbles and "flash crashes." In this new interview, Chief Market Analyst Steven Hochberg touches on that and more, to give you an idea of whether or not we are out of the woods yet.

Market Trek: "The Great Purge Begins"

Just about everything cycles (or “goes up and down”) and the amount of credit in the system is no exception. Here, in 2 ½ minutes, your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walks you through the "binge and purge" cycle in credit going back some 60 years and explains what it suggests is coming next. (Brian’s global destination: Brazil Stock Exchange (B3 Building) in São Paulo, Brazil.)

Why the Stock Market Fools Investors

A recent headline says that the stock market "looks to be detached from reality." In other words, the selloff doesn't make sense. Newsflash: "Markets fail to make sense... all the time." Here are some insights.

Who (or What) Is Really in Charge of Bitcoin's Price Swings?

Last November, Bitcoin rocketed to record highs amidst a slew of positive news boosts. And then, the crypto king took a flying leap... DOWN in a 50%-plus crash. How did the "fundamentals" lose control over BTC's trend? Answer: They didn't. They never had it to begin with...

Positive Ratings, Scores, and Outlook Yet this Stock Turned... Down?

If a stock's price trend should reflect its fundamentals, PNC shares should have gone higher -- now see the forecast that got it right.

Can You Navigate the Altcoin Universe of "Cons and fraudsters and scams"? Yes!

Our analysis of the altcoin Polkadot shows that you can avoid click-bait driven commentary on cryptos, and instead focus on the Elliott wave patterns that unfold on market price charts.


Bitten by FANG? Clocked by Cryptos? -- 'Air Pockets' Everywhere

Down more than 25%, the NASDAQ is "officially" in bear-market territory. "Big whoop" as they used to say -- some of the hi-tech darlings have already been cut in half and then some. Bet the folks down 50% or more in their so-called investments are glad to hear they're "official." And now Bitcoin, the King of Cryptos, has hit an "air pocket" of its own and fallen below $30,000. Wonder if that's officially a bear market, too? This excerpt from our new, May Financial Forecast explains how it all fits together.


Bitcoin: How to Spot Signs of Fast Reversals

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are no strangers to volatile, sharp reversals. If you get caught up in one unprepared, it's not a good feeling. But watch our Crypto Trader's Classroom instructor show you how Elliott waves can help take the "surprise" out of crypto "surprises."


EUR/USD: How to 'Trade with the Trend'

The euro vs. U.S. dollar is most-traded forex pair -- and lately, the euro has been losing, pushing EUR/USD lower and lower. At moments like that, many FX traders will try to catch the bottom. Watch our Currency Pro Service editor show you what Elliott wave evidence you need to do that with less risk.

This is “Anything but Positive for Housing”

A big shift appears to be taking place in the U.S. housing market. There are signs that the recent trend of skyrocketing prices is set to slow down -- even reverse. Learn why.

Video Mood Riffs: Just Say No to Drug Charges & Improvised Market Explanations

In this new video version of the Mood Riffs column from The Socionomist, you'll learn how social mood shifts the public's view on drugs and why the Fed is not as in control of the markets as you may think.