Market Trek

How to Know What’s Next for Interest Rates (Without Looking at the Fed)

November 27, 2023

The price of the U.S. "long bond," the 30-year Treasuries, is down 50% since 2020. The corresponding rise in interest rates has been reshaping the financial landscape. When might interest rates come down? Watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer give a one-of-a-kind, Elliott wave-based explanation that has nothing to do with the Fed or economy.

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Same Day Options -- What to Make of the New Craze

November 9, 2023

Market speculators are good at finding the "next big thing." Right now, same day options make up 50% of all options trading on S&P 500. Watch as Market Trek host Brian Whitmer dissects the phenomenon in his new video.

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Rising Interest Rates vs. Tech Stocks: 1 - 0

October 6, 2023

Uber. Roku. Zillow. Yes, they are tech giants… but what else do they have in common? Think "profitability" -- or lack thereof, to be more precise. Now watch how closely the trend in rising interest rates has followed to common trajectory of these and other tech stocks, as our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer explains the implications.

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“No crowd buys stocks of other countries intelligently”

September 20, 2023

When you track historical patterns of foreign investments in U.S. equities, an important picture emerges. Watch as our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walks you through a chart of the collective foreign buying interest going back to the 1990s and through today. (Brian's global destination is South Korea.)

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“Era of Big Government is here”

August 16, 2023

While there is a persistent myth that in the U.S., it’s the liberals who “spend, spend, spend” while conservatives “save, save, save,” the reality is that both sides have contributed to “big government” in spades. And it all started in… Well, watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer reveal the exact date and explain how it is relevant today.

Is Bull Market Just Getting Started?

July 24, 2023

Wall Street says the “Fed pause” means bear market is over. But which way is the trend in market psychology, the stock market’s true driver, pointing right now? Follow along as Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walks you through a chart of the recent bullish bets placed by options traders and compares the call-trading volume to key moments in the past. (Brian’s global destination today is Japan.)

What the 2 Biggest U.S. Economic Disasters Share

July 6, 2023

1816 and 1914 are the two dates in U.S. history when a special new bank was created. Watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer reveal the names of each bank and explain how this is relevant today. (Brian's global destination today is Japan.)

1792, 1965 -- Two Important Dates in DJIA's History

June 20, 2023

One of benefits Elliott wave analysis offers you is a rare market perspective. Once you "zoom out" at the larger picture, paradoxically the shorter-term trends start to make more sense. Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer take you back to 1792 to explain why that year, plus 1965, are key for the stock market. (Brian’s global destination today is Kyoto, Japan.)

Excited About Technology? You’re Not Alone (Or the First)

June 12, 2023

Today, most AI-focused firms are automatically assumed to be winners. So, what happens when investors get really excited about the technology sector? Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer take you back about 100 years to show what the markets did at previous moments when technology was king.

What Are Pension Funds Doing with "Our Money"?

May 19, 2023

Pension funds hold our money -- yours, mine and that guy's, too. And although they are run by market pros, pension funds often move managed funds into cash -- or out of cash -- at precisely the wrong moments... much like an amateur investor would. Watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walk you through a long-term cash allocation chart to explain what this implies today.

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Commercial Real Estate is a Global Problem

May 11, 2023

When talking about commercial estate, what’s a better venue than one of the world’s tallest buildings? Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer report from Taipei 101 skyscraper as he walks you through several charts of the global commercial real estate market and explain the implications.

"FTSE Going Back to 1940 Shows '5 Up'"

May 1, 2023

With Elliott waves, you're often able to see both a historical market perspective AND near-term trend developments -- in the same chart! Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walk you through a chart of the British FTSE All-Share Index stretching back to WWII -- and then point out a key short-term price pattern with BIG implications.

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"Four Decades of 'Down, Down, Down'"

April 18, 2023

Between 1981 and 2020, U.S. interest rates went one way: down. It's a stunning picture our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer shows you in his new video where he also explains why the banking crisis caught so many people off-guard.

Own stocks? Cryptos? Bonds? See what’s likely next for the world’s 50+ biggest markets inside our new Global Market Perspective >>

"Why We’re Watching 'Junk'"

April 10, 2023

High-yield bonds, a.k.a. junk bonds, have a history of making important correlations with the S&P 500. In his new video, our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walks you through 2 charts of the Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield bonds to show why we're watching junk very closely right now. (Brian's destination today is Phuket, Thailand.)

Own stocks? Cryptos? Bonds? See what’s likely next for the world’s 50+ biggest markets inside our new Global Market Perspective >>

"Silicon Valley Bank and 'The Great Purge'"

March 13, 2023

The "binge and purge" credit cycle dates back decades. It goes like this: When interest rates are low, people binge on credit. When the rates rise… yep, you got it. Watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer show you an eye-opener of a chart going back to the 1960s -- and explain how the Silicon Valley Bank collapse fits in the cycle.

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"Hedge Fund Masquerading as a Central Bank"

February 24, 2023

Something weird has been happening at the Swiss Central Bank. It has just reported its biggest loss in history -- and missed its annual dividend payment (for the 2nd time!). What’s going on with the "world's most conservative central bank"? Watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer show you a couple of charts and dig into the concept of perceived risk vs. actual risk.

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"Should You Pay Attention to a 'Golden Cross'?"

February 15, 2023

The DJIA in December. The Russell 2000 in January. Now, the S&P 500 flashed a "golden cross" chart formation. When the 50-day Moving Average crosses the 200-day MA, ears perk up. Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer show you half-a-dozen examples when this "can't-fail" indicator did just that -- fail.

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"From $18,000,000,000,000 to $0"

February 1, 2023

"From $18 trillion to $0," that's what happened to one asset class over the past two years. Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer explain (from his global destination in Thailand) what this asset class is -- and the broader implications of its recent trend. (Hint: It has to do with interest rates, a relevant topic during "Fed week.")

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"24% of Russell 3000 Firms Share This Open Secret"

January 23, 2023

When your operating revenue can’t even cover the interest payments on the money you owe, you might have trouble sleeping at night. That’s where almost a quarter of the Russell 3000 companies find themselves today. Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walk you through a 30-year chart to show the extent of the problem. (Brian’s global destination today is Thailand.)

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"German DAX vs. Sentiment"

December 21, 2022

In Germany, consumer confidence has often diverged from the stock market trend, giving you a "preview" of things to come. Watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walk you through the German DAX stock index to show how today's confidence figures are lined up and explain why 2023 may be a "wild ride." (Brian's global destination today is Thailand.)

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"What You Didn't Know About 'Inverted Yield Curve'"

December 15, 2022

You've heard about "inverted yield curve," the condition when shorter-term bond yields are higher than longer-term yields. It's commonly used to forecast a recession. But watch Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walk you through the yields in 2- and 10-year U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds to point out a few important nuances of this indicator. (Brian's global destination today is northern Thailand.)

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"Nope, Fed's 'Pivot' Won't Spark a Stock Rally"

November 17, 2022

You hear a lot of talk these days that as soon as the Fed stops raising interest rates, the bull market will return. As it’s often the case, one look at a simple chart dispels this myth. Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer do just that in his new video report. (Brian's global destination today is Bangkok, Thailand.)

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"Guess What Asset Class Is No Longer 'Trash'?"

October 12, 2022

For over a decade, Wall Street shunned one particular asset class. Today, it's making a comeback, in-line with our forecast from about a year ago. Learn what it is and why it's coming back to prominence in this new video by your Market Track host, Brian Whitmer (Brian's destination today is Vietnam).

Conquer the Crash is the most important book for anyone preparing their portfolio, business and family for what's ahead. It has dedicated chapters that answer the question, should you invest in bonds, real estate, cash, cryptocurrencies, and more. You can read it now -- along with 2 important new books from Bob Prechter, Last Call and Forecast for the Bear -- in our Crash Protection Collection. Get the Crash Protection Collection now for $129 (a $167 value) >>

Or, get all 3 books free with a subscription to our flagship Financial Forecast Service >>

"Real Estate Investors, This One's for You"

September 13, 2022

Real estate is a "can't miss" investment in the eyes of many people. In this video, our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer shows you 3 charts that shake the foundation of this assumption, at least at this market juncture. (Brian's destination today is Baku, Azerbaijan.)

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"4 Lessons from 4 Biggest Bear Markets"

August 23, 2022

Going back to the crash of 1929, every major bear market -- four of them, to be exact -- had one thing in common. Watch your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer show you 4 eye-opening charts to highlight one feature with big implications for today's market juncture. (Brian's destination today is Tbilisi, Georgia.)

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"Why Has EUR Been So Weak? Think in '8s'"

August 12, 2022

There is a curious 8-year cycle in the euro's strength and weakness. And now that it's near parity with the U.S. dollar, it's worth talking about a curious pattern in the dollar's bouts of strength, too. Watch your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer show you a couple of eye-opening charts with big implications for global stability. (Brian's destination today is Madrid, Spain.)

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"What 'Commitment to Stocks' Tells You About Trend"

July 21, 2022

The 1960s, the dot-com bubble and today -- these three periods share a key reading of investor sentiment, namely the "U.S. Household Equity Holdings as a Percentage of Total Assets," a gauge used by the Federal Reserve. Watch your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer explain what the current U.S. household commitment to stocks implies for the future. (Brian's global destination today is Lago Calima, Colombia.)

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"Quick Survival Guide to Politics in Bear Markets"

July 8, 2022

The Colombians just voted for a leftist president. The French just gave Marine Le Pen's right-wing party the strongest vote ever. Whatever your politics, it's crucial to understand that voters elect leaders who best reflect crowd psychology of the moment. Your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer takes you on a quick trip around the globe and explains what the stock market trend has to do with political choices we make. (Brian's global destination today is Colombia.)

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"Are Investors Running Scared? Not Really -- Here's What That Means"

June 21, 2022

"Investors are worried." That's the word on the street. But it's one thing what investors are saying and quite another what they're doing. Watch a new video by your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer where he walks you through the 20-year chart of stock allocation minus cash allocation to explain why this bear market has only just begun. (Brian's global destination today is Cali, Colombia.)

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"The Great Purge Begins"

May 20, 2022

Just about everything cycles (or “goes up and down”) and the amount of credit in the system is no exception. Here, in 2 ½ minutes, your Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walks you through the "binge and purge" cycle in credit going back some 60 years and explains what it suggests is coming next. (Brian’s global destination: Brazil Stock Exchange (B3 Building) in São Paulo, Brazil.)

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"If You Have ANY Money Invested, Watch This"

May 9, 2022

Do you own stocks? Bonds? Real estate? Then you’ll want to see this chart of a 78-year cycle in U.S. Treasuries – and, by extension, interest rates. Watch this new video by your series host Brian Whitmer where he explains how this 78-year cycle is “probably affecting you already.” (Brian’s global destination: Guarapari & Vitoria, Brazil.)

Near market tops, most investors are bullish; near bottoms, they are bearish. How do you avoid getting caught up in the “madness of crowds”? Use Elliott waves – and spot trends as they begin, so you’re ahead of the curve, not behind it. Let us show you what we mean – read our Global Market Perspective right now.

Just How Far Might Interest Rates Rise?

April 20, 2022

After a decade of 0% rates, we’re in a new territory for many investors. In the bond market, yields have spiked, crashing prices. So, where to next? For answers, watch our new series as the host Brian Whitmer travels the world and tackles market topics big and small. (Today’s destination: Florianopolis, Brazil.)

One of the greatest ironies of investing is that by the time the news tells you about a "new trend," it's often on its last leg. There are exceptions, of course. But by and large, the crowd piles into a market not at the start but at the end of the move. How do you avoid joining the crowd? Use Elliott waves. They help you spot trends as they begin, so you're ahead of the curve, not behind it. Want to learn more? Read Elliott Wave Principle FREE