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U.S. “Debt Bomb” Has Gone Off
Updated: March 10, 2023
Adjusted for inflation, consumer debt in the U.S. has been contracting for two years. That may sound like a good thing... but first, take a look at this chart in the new video by our Financial Forecast co-editor, Peter Kendall.When Everyone Is Bullish… Who’s Left to Be Bullish?
Updated: March 10, 2023
In the show "Billions," a large hedge fund has a staff psychologist. Why would they need one? Because market success starts with understanding yourself -- and other market participants. With that in mind, look at this SentimenTrader Risk Appetite Index chart we show subscribers in our new, March Financial Forecast.Housing Recession? This Homebuilding Stock Says, "I Ain't Scared."
Updated: March 10, 2023
In mid-2022, pretty much every measure of U.S. housing market health came tumbling down. But none of that factored into the Elliott wave assessment of where the 4th largest U.S. homebuilding stock (NVR, Inc.) was headed. Namely, through the roof! Here's why...U.S. Money Supply Deflates 2% Annually (What That Means)
Updated: March 9, 2023
This emerging story involves an imploding debt bomb, the threat of recession and even a developing deflation. These two charts help to convey the likelihood of a darker financial scene -- just ahead.Important Insights into the Looming Debt Crisis
Updated: February 16, 2023
Many people don't consider the national debt to be relevant to their daily lives. However, the amount the U.S. has borrowed, along with interest payments, is rapidly approaching the crisis stage. Here are some important insights.How This Pattern from the Prior Housing Bust is Repeating
Updated: February 15, 2023
The housing market is wobbly at the knees so don't be surprised by another fall. Droves of real estate agents are already headed out the door -- just like what occurred at a similar stage during the prior housing bust. Learn why this next collapse could be even worse.More Complacent with Prices BELOW All Prior Highs
Updated: January 19, 2023
Though the main U.S. stock indexes have rallied since their September-October 2022 lows, none have made the leap to new all-time highs. You'd think that investors might feel a bit deterred by that news, but alas, investor complacency still reigns supreme. Check out this chart and commentary from our Short Term Update to see just how complacent investors are.U.S. Real Estate: See This Pattern Stretching Back to the 1960s
Updated: January 17, 2023
Home prices have cooled off recently, as you know, and most mainstream experts see it as a good sign. Now see this chart of U.S. Median Price for Houses Sold going back some 60 years in the new video by our Financial Forecast co-editor, Peter Kendall.Are Stocks in Trouble? Here’s an (Almost) Sure-Fire Sign
Updated: January 4, 2023
When major stock indexes behave differently from each other, this often serves as a warning sign. History offers many examples and here are just two. Learn why these examples are relevant as we enter 2023.Major Fed Myth: Debunked
Updated: December 29, 2022
Many financial-market observers believe that central banks set the trend of interest rates. You may be surprised to learn that this is not so. Let's explore the relationship between rates set by the market and rates set by these two central banks.U.S. 10-Year Notes: "There's No Doubt About the Trend"
Updated: November 21, 2022
U.S. Treasury prices have been on the downside trajectory; yields have been rising. The question is, when might this trend end? And how do we use Elliott waves to spot a reversal? Watch our Interest Rates Pro Service editor Jim Martens answer these questions using a chart of the 10-year Notes.Market Trek: Nope, Fed's "Pivot" Won't Spark a Stock Rally
Updated: November 18, 2022
You hear a lot of talk these days that as soon as the Fed stops raising interest rates, the bull market will return. As it's often the case, one look at a simple chart dispels this myth. Watch our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer do just that in his new video report. (Brian's global destination today is Bangkok, Thailand.)A Helpful Suggestion from EWI's Chief Market Analyst
Updated: October 27, 2022
This investor tip is important in any environment... but is essential to investors navigating today's marketsCommercial Real Estate: Here’s What Elliott Waves Signal
Updated: October 25, 2022
Commercial real estate developers and investors had become accustomed to rising values over the past decade or so, especially considering the swift post-pandemic recovery. Yet, the Elliott wave model is sending an important message. Look at this chart.Here’s Why This Bear Market is a “Global Story”
Updated: October 18, 2022
Financial market liquidity is contracting and this likely portends a financial "crash" that may be global in scope. Are you prepared? Here's how to get insights into how we got here, what's next and how to prepare.S&P 500: “Historic” Reversal Was Not a Surprise
Updated: October 14, 2022
A classic Elliott wave pattern helped Elliott Wave International subscribers to prepare for the big price swing in the S&P 500 index on Oct. 13. See the charts for yourself.See the Chart for Yourself: The "Quick Shift" to "Cash is King"
Updated: October 7, 2022
In October 2021 we knew inflation was unfolding & that interest rates were rising. And, our long-term stock market forecast said a major peak was at hand. That's why the October 2021 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast called for a "quick shift" to "cash is king." What followed that forecast speaks for itself.One Man's Trash is Another Man's Treasure
Updated: October 7, 2022
To most pundits, cash has been a four-letter word for many years. Anyone even hinting at the idea of holding cash was berated and ridiculed. But, like many closely held investor conventions today, the tide seems to be turning and cash is becoming cool again.U.S. Stocks: Wave “Pattern Completed at 4 Degrees of Trend”
Updated: October 5, 2022
"Things will change over the course of the next few years," says our Financial Forecast co-editor Pete Kendall in this new interview. Hear it for yourself.A Public Service Announcement from EWI
Updated: September 27, 2022
In just 1:34, Chief Market Analyst Steven Hochberg explains one of the biggest mistakes you can make in a bear market.S&P 500: 5 Rallies... and 5 Red Arrows
Updated: September 16, 2022
"Buy the dip" had been the name of the game in stocks for over a decade -- until this year. See this eye-opener of a chart to understand the treachery of bear markets.Home Prices: How Much Trouble Are You In?
Updated: September 15, 2022
This 8-page report shows you where global real estate trends are headed. If you own a home or are thinking about buying, you owe it to yourself to see these one-of-a-kind insights. Read it FREE now.Silver: The Near-Term Pattern
Updated: September 12, 2022
From its 2022 high in March, silver prices dropped nearly $10 to hit a low of $17.54 to kick off September trading. Blame for the decline was a robust dollar and the Fed continuing to hike interest rates. Most analysts were forecasting even lower prices to come. Our Chief Market Analyst, Steven Hochberg, gave his subscribers a different outlook.U.S. Real Estate: “So Long, Sellers’ Market”
Updated: September 8, 2022
Boise, ID has been a case study in recent real estate price trends. A red-hot market just a year or so ago, today things are... different. Watch Chart of the Day editor Robert Folsom show you what signs pointed to the downturn in this clip from our September Financial Forecast.S&P 500: Does This Look Bullish to You?
Updated: August 29, 2022
A recent Wall Street Journal chart showed that 90% of S&P 500 stocks were, at the time, trading above their 50-day moving average. That was a bullish sign, right? After all, the mainstream tells us all the time that the trend is your friend. But this excerpt from our recent Short Term Update would have made you think twice.Beware of This Deceptive Bear-Market Trait
Updated: August 25, 2022
Second waves can be shallow, moderate or deep. Some have retraced up to 99% of wave 1. Also, during a bear market, here's another factor to keep in mind about second waves.U.S., Europe, Asia, Dollar: 4 Market Charts You Won't See Anywhere Else
Updated: August 22, 2022
After 30 years, our Global Market Perspective remains one of our most popular monthly publications. Enjoy 4 short excerpts from the new, August issue: our quick take on markets in the U.S., Europe and Asia, plus a look at the U.S. Dollar.PTPC: Last Call -- See Inside Robert Prechter's New Book
Updated: July 29, 2022
If you've found yourself reading the financial headlines and asking, "How did we get here? And where are we going next?" then Robert Prechter's latest book is for you. In a taut 118 pages, Last Call presents Prechter's real-time analysis from The Elliott Wave Theorist during the Dow's 20,000-point blastoff from 2016-2022. See charts from the book and learn more about Prechter's perspective in this episode of Pop Trends Price Culture.Stocks: "You Are Here"
Updated: July 26, 2022
Robert Prechter just released a chart that shows exactly how the stock market will likely unfold from here in his Elliott Wave Theorist Interim Bulletin. It's sticking to one EW pattern perfectly. See the chart now.What a Major Indicator of “Housing Busts” is Showing Now
Updated: July 21, 2022
By some measures, the latest housing boom reached extremes that surpassed the housing bubble that occurred more than 15 years ago. Will the bust be just as dramatic -- or more so? Here are some insights.Ah, Snap! Here’s What Snap Inc.’s Action is Likely Signaling
Updated: July 7, 2022
Watch the price action of social media stocks for a high-confidence clue about what's ahead for the broader market. Let's hone in on one such stock and the phrase "air-pocket."Safety: That's the Name of the Game
Updated: June 17, 2022
"We've never lived through a Grand Supercycle bear market before" says Chief Market Analyst Steven Hochberg. Watch as he explains what to expect from "the biggest bear market in our lifetime" -- and how to financially survive it -- in this in-depth, fast-moving 13-minute interview.It's Fed Week. Let's Dive Into 10-Year Notes' Wave Patterns
Updated: June 15, 2022
"A trend in motion stays in motion." The trend in U.S. Treasuries has been down, but there's more to it -- US10Ys have been following a clear Elliott wave pattern. Watch our Interest Rates Pro Service editor show you how the 10s got here -- and what's likely next.Terra "Stablecoin": The Plunge That Matters
Updated: May 31, 2022
Lots of markets have fallen lately, but none as far as LUNAt/USD, Terra vs. the U.S. dollar, which is down 99.99% off the recent high. This plunge means a lot, says our Financial Forecast co-editor while giving you a sneak peek into the new, June issue.Stocks: Is the Really Scary Part Just Ahead?
Updated: May 24, 2022
Many investors remain unshaken even after big daily market selloffs. They are still looking for bargains. This is the likely juncture at which real panic will set in. Prepare now.This is “Anything but Positive for Housing”
Updated: May 16, 2022
A big shift appears to be taking place in the U.S. housing market. There are signs that the recent trend of skyrocketing prices is set to slow down -- even reverse. Learn why.Stock Markets: “What Happens When the Dip Keeps Dipping?”
Updated: May 10, 2022
Millionaire investors recently revealed what they would do if the stock market continued to decline. Find out what they said -- plus, look at two graphs to help you decide if their planned strategy is sound.How to Forecast U.S. Treasuries BEFORE the Fed Speaks
Updated: May 9, 2022
On May 4, about 30 minutes before the Fed's interest rate news at 2 PM, our Interest Rates Pro Service analyst Jim Martens posted a video for subscribers. Watch a clip now to see how Elliott wave patterns in the 30-year Treasury Bonds helped Jim forecast the big move in bonds before the news.NASDAQ: Is This a “Duck-and-Cover” Moment?
Updated: April 27, 2022
This was not supposed to happen. Not in April. "Stocks don't sell off this hard in April!" And yet, here we are. Now see what Elliott waves show next -- and plan accordingly.“Why Is the Stock Market Falling?” – (Not Because of <em>These</em> Reasons)
Updated: April 26, 2022
The financial press almost always provides a "reason" for a given day's market action. That reason is generally related to what's in the news. But do events determine the market's price trend? Take a look at these two charts.This Usually Spells Trouble for the Stock Market (It’s Happening Now)
Updated: April 13, 2022
You've probably noticed that the various stock market indexes usually trend together. However, there are times when indexes behave differently from one another. Learn what this usually signals and how it applies to the current market environment.Britain's Marks and Spencer: 5 Waves Up Marked the Spot
Updated: April 8, 2022
Markets progress in a basic pattern of 5 Elliott waves in the direction of the main trend and 3 waves against it. So, spotting the end of a wave 5 is key information. But how? Watch our European Short Term Update show you how he applied Elliott waves to a chart of Marks & Spencer plc during the stock's recent rally -- and the subsequent 46% sell-off.Why U.S. Housing Prices May Be Set to Decline
Updated: April 7, 2022
Find out about a time-tested indicator for housing prices. It provided a big clue about the housing market in 2005-2006 and is now sending another warning. This chart is revealing.S&P 500 E-minis: Large Specs vs. Commercials, And Who Tends to Be Right
Updated: March 14, 2022
It's a myth that in bear markets there are more sellers than buyers; sellers are simply more committed. So, looking at the two large groups of investors -- Commercials and Large Speculators -- who appears to be more committed to the downside right now? Our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor explains -- and outlines the implications.Is War Negative for the Stock Market?
Updated: March 1, 2022
Many stock-market observers attribute price action to news or events. But, have you noticed that prices sometimes go up on bad news and plummet on good news? Here's the real driver of the stock market's price movements.Asian-Pacific Stocks: Higher or Lower?
Updated: February 25, 2022
The question in the headline is on the minds of millions of investors right now -- maybe yours, too. Watch our Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor give you a fast, clear answer using basic Elliott wave analysis.The Stunning Truth About the FDIC and Your Bank Deposits
Updated: February 24, 2022
Will the FDIC protect your deposits in case your bank goes under? If another financial crisis hits, millions of depositors may be more vulnerable than they realize. Here are insights you need to know.2026: Why It Might Be an Important Year
Updated: December 16, 2021
Our Head of Global Research explains what the position of an economic gauge called the Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index implies for the next few years.The Dow Tanks the Day After Thanksgiving: Now What?
Updated: November 30, 2021
So, where's the "correlation" between Covid variants and market declines? What caused the stock market's Black Friday Freefall? Those are excellent questions: Chart of the Day has answers.How the Thanksgiving Week Sell-Off Was Predicted
Updated: November 29, 2021
Stock market trading during the holiday season tends to be relatively subdued. However, as the dramatic price action on Nov. 26 showed, investors cannot count on "seasonal tendencies." Learn how Elliott Wave International's subscribers were prepared for the market's big downside move.How to Get a Handle on Mass Psychology in Global Financial Markets
Updated: November 22, 2021
Investor psychology is the same everywhere around the globe. Get insights into the basic path which global investors follow in moving from extreme pessimism to extreme optimism and back again.What to Make of Zillow’s “House Flipping” Misadventure
Updated: November 9, 2021
In a sizzling real estate market, house flipping seems like a way to earn easy profits. Well, it turns out that even real estate professionals can get financially hurt. Here are the details -- and, the lesson.This “Ultimate Work Perk” is an Ominous Sign – Here’s Why
Updated: October 28, 2021
Many U.S. employers are desperately seeking workers. At the same time, many people who are already employed want more time off. This "chill out" attitude is an ominous sign of the times. Here's why.Are Investors "Down to the Last Pennies"? See What the Data Shows
Updated: October 14, 2021
This video delivers a clear, data-driven answer to the question in the headline. You'll also see why it matters to you and to the stock market.The Stock Market's "7-Month Topping Process"
Updated: October 13, 2021
Stock market bottoms are usually sharp and fast -- think the March 2020 bottom. Tops, by contrast, are drawn-out affairs. Watch our Global Market Strategist walk you through a series of charts in U.S. and European markets to see why this is relevant today.Here’s What Really Sets Interest Rates (Not Central Banks)
Updated: September 30, 2021
Many investors believe that central banks control interest rates. However, there's overwhelming evidence the Fed and others follow, not lead. Whom or what do they follow? See for yourself.Will China’s Crackdown Send Bitcoin’s Price Tumbling?
Updated: September 28, 2021
China's stern measures toward cryptocurrencies is all over the news. Should this be a "no brainer" bitcoin sell-signal? Before answering, review this.AAPL and FANG+: "5 Waves" Speaks Volumes
Updated: September 16, 2021
Our 3x-weekly U.S. Short Term Update occasionally covers individual stocks -- especially when editor Steve Hochberg sees implications for the broad market. See what he sees now in AAPL and other FANGs. (Free.)Why a Financial “Panic” May Be Just Around the Corner
Updated: September 14, 2021
The next financial panic may be just ahead, according to an indicator which may be overlooked by many investors. Let's review the history of this indicator -- plus, see what it's showing now.CAC-40: How Wave Guidelines Fine-Tune Your Forecast
Updated: September 10, 2021
Elliott wave analysis has three strict rules and a handful of guidelines -- and it's the guidelines that can often help you add more precision to your forecast. Watch our Head of Global Strategy show you how by looking at the French CAC-40 stock index.Nikkei, KOSPI, Taiwan, Nifty: See What Wave Is Underway
Updated: September 3, 2021
At the time of recent choppiness across the Asian-Pacific markets, Elliott waves helped us see a correction underway -- and forecast a rally. Now that markets are indeed moving higher, let our Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor update you on the wave pattern underway.What We’re Watching in Corporate Bonds Could Have “Dramatic Consequences”
Updated: August 19, 2021
Headed into the pandemic, the S&P 500 and corporate bonds rose in lockstep. But then, right before the March 2020 stock market crash, corporate bonds began to diverge -- and stocks followed lower. See what the current position of stocks vs. corporate debt suggests next for both.Here’s What “Preceded the Last Housing Crisis” – and, It’s Happening Again
Updated: August 10, 2021
After a dramatic rise, the price of lumber has plummeted. If you're a homeowner, or anticipate buying or selling a house, here's an insight that you need to know.Inflation: Let TIPS Give You a Tip on What’s Next
Updated: August 2, 2021
TIPS, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, have an ETF named TIP. It just hit a new 52-week high after rising strongly since the start of the pandemic alongside the rising inflation fears. What can we learn about inflation's trajectory from here by looking at TIP's Elliott wave pattern? Our Interest Rates Pro Service editor explains.See How Elliott Wave Analysis Anticipated Fast Action in the 10 Year Treasury Note
Updated: July 28, 2021
If you're a trader or active investor, check out the June and July forecasts we showed Interest Rate Pro Service subscribers: They were ready for opportunities.Quantum Leap or Quiet Before the Storm
Updated: July 22, 2021
"Many people think the 2020s will repeat the 'roaring' 1920s. There's always that chance, but the probabilities are..." See this chart for the full answer, courtesy our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn.May 10, 2021: Investors, Mark This Date
Updated: July 21, 2021
When you zoom out and look at the stock market's price action over the past 20 years or so, a clear pattern emerges. Watch our monthly Financial Forecast co-editor Pete Kendall show you what's going on and why May 10 of this year is so important.The Green-Eyed Monster Surfaces
Updated: July 15, 2021
If you feel that "everyone's getting rich but me," you're not alone. Far from it! Lots of people feel the same way today, and it's not a surprise. Why? Just watch as we revisit big market pivot points of the past two decades.Why This Stock Market Index May Be Headed for a “Bumpy Ride”
Updated: June 29, 2021
The stock of a company which has been "losing money for seven straight quarters" is now the largest component of this stock index. Hold on to your hat! Learn how "meme" stocks serve as a big warning sign.The Housing Market: "Curb Appeal? We Don't Need No Stinking Curb Appeal!"
Updated: June 25, 2021
Sometimes, a personal anecdote helps bring into focus a problem we all intuitively understand. Watch our "resident skeptic" Dave Allman take a stroll through his neighborhood for an unvarnished look at the current real estate trends.2 Ways the Dow Industrials’ “Worst Week Since October” Was Foretold
Updated: June 22, 2021
Many observers are blaming the recent stock-market selloff on the Fed's "hawkish" statements. Yet, learn why the price decline was "in the cards" before Fed officials spoke last week. These two charts are revealing.Here’s a Simple Way to Know If the Fed Will Raise Rates
Updated: June 17, 2021
There is a simple truth that continues to elude the mainstream economists. Here it is: The Fed follows the bond market. So, there is no need to hang on Jerome Powell's every word. All you need to do is... well, here's our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn, with the full explanation -- and a handy chart.Cryptos: What the “Bizarre” World of Non-Fungible Tokens May Be Signaling
Updated: June 15, 2021
Has investor psychology reached a manic peak? Well, some people are willing to fork over millions for pictures that they can see but not touch. Here's more on the bizarre world of non-fungible tokens.EWAVES Walk-Thru: Wave Count Highlights in Marathon Petroleum (MPC)
Updated: June 14, 2021
EWAVES (EWI's computer-generated wave counting juggernaut) doesn't read the news, doesn't use fundamentals and it never sleeps. What it does is count and rank waves. Listen to an old hand (our own Dave Allman, jaded wave counting savant) walk-thru this recent example in Marathon Petroleum (MPC) with an eye toward the nuts and bolts of the Wave Principle.1929… 1968… 1999… 2021?
Updated: June 10, 2021
Throughout history, Americans have fallen in love with the stock market at moments that, in retrospect, were clearly the wrong time to do so. Watch our Global Markets Strategist highlight those moments on a DJIA chart and explain why this is relevant today.The Bitcoin Crime Wave Hits
Updated: June 9, 2021
The widespread conviction that Bitcoin is a "sure thing" has never been stronger. So, should you buy? Should you buy now, while it's still "cheap," before it goes to $500,000, as some are predicting? First, read this excerpt from our June Financial Forecast. (On us.)Capital Gains Tax Hike News: Was It REALLY to Blame for Sell-off?
Updated: April 27, 2021
A widespread belief among investors and financial journalists is that news drives the stock market's trend. Consider the report that the president plans to hike the capital gains tax and a sample of other possible events. Learn what really governs the price pattern of the stock market.The Easiest Money in History
Updated: April 1, 2021
Junk bond investors are lining up to lend money to companies. After all, who doesn't want to make north of 4% in the era of record-low interest rates? Before you join the party, though, see this eye-opening chart...Why These Stock Market Indicators Should Grab Your Full Attention
Updated: April 1, 2021
The way that many investors keep up with the stock market is to simply glance at the daily closes of the main indexes. Yet, it pays to delve deeper than that. For instance, consider these two indicators.What to Make of This Rush into Global Equity Funds
Updated: March 24, 2021
When stock market fear is nearly absent and investors are frantically pushing the "buy" button, watch out. Here's what's going in 2021 versus the start of 2020 -- right before "the fastest 30% sell-off ever."U.S. Stocks: Here’s Evidence of a “Nearly Unprecedented Acceptance of Risk”
Updated: March 18, 2021
Here in 2021, there's a way that financial history appears to be repeating itself -- and not in a "good" way. Take a look at this chart and commentary from Elliott Wave International's flagship investor package.U.S. Treasuries: 39 Years Down, 39 Years Up
Updated: March 15, 2021
Before the recent uptick, interest rates had declined for 39 long years. But did you know that before then, interest rates rose -- also for 39 years? Watch our Global Market Strategist offer you this uncommon perspective on bonds -- and explain the implications.Will the U.S. Dollar Continue to Defy the Naysayers?
Updated: March 11, 2021
Back in January, U.S. dollar sentiment was highly negative. Big Wall Street players upped their bets against the greenback. Yet, the dollar just made a new 3-1/2-month high. Learn how EWI helped subscribers by "bucking" the negative dollar sentiment.U.S. Treasury Yields: “Acceleration of the Rise in Rates”
Updated: March 2, 2021
The 39- year bull market in the U.S. Treasury long bond, which likely ended in March 2020, was left further behind as yields jumped significantly during the past several trading days. See what helped Elliott Wave International's subscribers stay ahead of these moves in the U.S. Treasury long bond.Hmm … This Group of Shareholders Says, “Get Me Out!”
Updated: February 18, 2021
It's well known that the "crowd" is usually on the wrong side of the market at key turns. However, at least one group of shareholders tends to be on the right side. Find out who they are, and what action this group is taking now.“The Changing World Order in 2021”
Updated: February 3, 2021
On January 12, our Head of Global Research Murray Gunn gave a presentation a MoneyShow virtual workshop highlighting "overlooked opportunities" around the globe. We recorded Murray's entire 40-minute presentation -- and here it is. Watch Murray walk you through a series of stunning charts to explain why 2021 may indeed present us with a "changing world order."This Measure of Small-Trader Optimism Is OFF THE CHART
Updated: January 22, 2021
Here are EWI, our analysts regularly review 100+ market indicators to keep subscribers ahead of big price turns. Right now, one of these indicators -- a measure of the stock market optimism, as reflected by small options traders -- is flashing a warning signal. Our monthly Financial Forecast co-editor explains.Here’s Why Blind Contrarianism Failed in 2020
Updated: January 12, 2021
Does Elliott wave analysis and "contrarian" investing make good bedfellows? Sometimes. Indeed, quite often. Yet, not always. Get the insights you need to know.Global Tipping Point: “Good” Debt Vs. “Bad” Debt (Which is Winning?)
Updated: December 17, 2020
Global debt has skyrocketed in 2020. Credit which is tied to production can add value to an economy. However, much of today's debt is counter-productive. Get the insights that you need to know so you can prepare for what may be a historic debt deflation.Was March 2020 Low the Start of a Long-Term BULL Market?
Updated: December 15, 2020
Authentic bull markets have one thing in common: They arise in the environment of deep pessimism. (Yes, pessimism.) Are we in that in that environment now? Hardly. In fact, if you look at some key charts we're about to show you, you'll see that the opposite is true. Watch our Global Market Strategist explain more.Why Most Investors Miss Major Stock Market Turns
Updated: December 10, 2020
Is Dow 100,000 just down the road? One financial commentator makes the case. At the same time, realize that extraordinarily bold forecasts usually occur at a particular juncture during a market's trend. Get the insights that you need to know.How This Bellwether Global Market Mirrors 2007
Updated: December 3, 2020
In a major global market, the extreme financial optimism of 2007 has been exceeded in 2020. Across the ocean, another "all-time record" has been reached. Get the details.Look at These 2 Big Warning Signs for the U.S. Economy
Updated: November 23, 2020
The big economic news during the past several weeks was that the U.S. economy grew 33.1% on an annualized basis in Q3. However, the evidence shows that this figure does not tell the full story. Take a look at these two charts.Big Moves, Both Directions in November: See What We Said about 10-Year Treasuries
Updated: November 11, 2020
Elliott Wave analysis is at its best in a volatile market: So far in November, our Pro Services intraday forecasts showed subscribers the opportunities along the way.FOMO: It’s Back
Updated: November 9, 2020
Germans are known to be frugal. But this year, new stock investments by German savers have soared. From the conventional standpoint, that's a bullish sign. But what about from an Elliott wave perspective? Our Global Markets Strategist explains using the charts of the DAX and DJIA.Free On-Demand Presentation -- Divided Election: What the Heck Is Going On with 2020?
Updated: November 6, 2020
If you want to make sense of a year in which seemingly nothing has made sense, then check out this special presentation.How Are YOU Enduring the Market's Gyrations? A Bottle of Bourbon? How About an Ounce of Preparation?
Updated: November 5, 2020
With the outcome of the U.S. presidential race in limbo, all-around uncertainty is at an all-time high. Some financial advisors have turned to the bottle as the stock market's fate (supposedly) hangs in the balance. In truth, the future of stock prices doesn't depend on election results -- but on patterns of investor psychology, which have been driving the stock market all along. Drink in this.How to Stay Ahead of Price Turns in the U.S. Long Bond
Updated: October 29, 2020
Back in August, the volatility index for Treasury debt was at an all-time low. Bond market observers were discussing “fresh reasons to stay record bullish.” Yet, Elliott wave analysis was sending a different message. Let’s review.How “Blind Speculation” Has Turned “White Hot” on Wall Street
Updated: October 20, 2020
A "white-hot heat of speculation" has taken hold in some quarters of Wall Street. Get insights into "blank-check offerings" and take a look at a new index that went live on July 31, 2020.Junk Bonds: The Numbers Are, "Frankly, Stunning"
Updated: October 13, 2020
High-yield bonds are on a tear. 2020 is shaping up to be a monster year for junk bond sales. But all this investor optimism about low-grade debt is actually a dangerous sign. Our Global Market Strategist explains.Beware of This “Crocodile” of Debt Deflation
Updated: October 8, 2020
The specter of a global debt deflation looms large. This chart shows “a highly unusual situation which is probably unsustainable.” Take a look for yourself.Fear Grips Stock Market Short-Sellers – What to Make of It
Updated: October 1, 2020
Stock market bears have been few and far between. Indeed, a Bloomberg headline recently announced that they are going "extinct." Short-sellers have been going into hiding. Take a look at this chart.TSLA: Closing a Gap Tells You What's Next
Updated: September 28, 2020
On September 16, Tesla had finished up a significant selloff. The stock was moving up. The question was, "Where is it going from here? Up even more? Or is it about to sell off again?" Watch our Trader's Classroom editor show you the likely answer -- from watching gaps in real time.Global Stock Markets: Keep Your Eye on This Remarkable “Divergence”
Updated: September 24, 2020
Divergent behavior in related financial markets often portends trend changes. One such “divergence” has been unfolding for more than 20 years. Get the details.Here’s Evidence That “the Great Property Bust is Underway”
Updated: September 22, 2020
You can apply Elliott wave to more than just stocks or forex. It also helped us warn subscribers of the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007-2009 well before it became frontpage news. Now, here in 2020, real estate investors need to brace themselves – again. Here’s why.The Fed's Problem? It Forgets This Old Adage
Updated: September 15, 2020
"You can bring the horse to water, but you can't make him drink." The Federal Reserve says that it will "allow" some inflation, but the fact is, the Fed doesn't control inflation. Watch our Global Markets Strategist explain why using several eye-opening charts.U.S. Stocks: “Big Guys” Follow “Little Guys”
Updated: September 9, 2020
Lots has been said about the rally since March. But here are some stats you probably won’t see any place else. Our U.S. Short Term Update explains today’s “amazing market dynamics.”S&P 500: Revealing the “Real” Story About the Record High
Updated: August 25, 2020
Sometimes it pays to dig deeper than the financial headlines. Learn what is really going on with the broad stock market. You may be surprised.Trade Options? Two Strategies That Work with Elliott Waves
Updated: August 21, 2020
Robert Kelley, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, has been involved with options and Elliott waves since 1986. Watch as he explains two strategies that can work with clear Elliott wave counts. Markets in focus: S&P 500 and Boeing (BA).What to Expect When Dow "Cuts Out" Before NASDAQ
Updated: August 12, 2020
History shows at least two examples when the 30 stocks that make up the DJIA failed to match the record highs of the tech sector. Are we living through a third such instance -- and if so, what does it say about the stock markets next move? Our Global Market Strategist explains.See Just How "Historic" 2020 Has Been for U.S. Stocks
Updated: August 7, 2020
When you look at the DJIA's past 100 years, a clear Elliott wave pattern emerges. But in 2020, another technical price pattern has entered the picture. It's a rare pattern. In fact, it's so rare, it's only appeared once in the past 100 years. Watch our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor explain the implications.NASDAQ vs. DJIA: Does the Recent Divergence Matter?
Updated: August 7, 2020
Since its March bottom below 7000, the NASDAQ has rallied over 4000 points to a new record high. The DJIA… not so much. It's not the first time we've seen a "languishing Dow and the ebullient NASDAQ." This excerpt from our new, August Elliott Wave Financial Forecast explains.This Global Financial “Horror Story” Is Still Being Written
Updated: August 6, 2020
Why do many investment pros fail to generate superior investment performances – no better than most amateurs? Here are some insights – along with two instructive charts.“Junk” Is Hot Again – Despite Warning Signs
Updated: July 30, 2020
Global investors have been clamoring for junk bonds. As our July Global Market Perspective notes: "Demand for junk is so high that analysts are lamenting a 'shortage of high-yield assets for funds to buy.' All the while, financial dangers lurk. Here are the details.Why Commercial Real Estate is Set to Get Slammed
Updated: July 28, 2020
The real estate market – both commercial and residential – appears to be on shaky ground. Get the insights that you need to know.This Stock Market Indicator Reaches “Lowest Level in Nearly 20 Years”
Updated: July 21, 2020
The rally in stocks has convinced many investors that the bull market is back. However, it’s wise to consult financial history. Here’s why.Why You Should Expect “Price Deflation” Just Ahead
Updated: July 9, 2020
Our July Global Market Perspective notes that there has been a "distinct relationship" between two economic / monetary indicators over the past 20 years. The annual change in one of them has "collapsed." Learn what our global analysts expect for the other indicator "over the next 18 months or so."A "Blow-Off Top"? For Stocks, There Is a Better Topping Indicator
Updated: June 26, 2020
Get a key insight into how stock market tops form. Here's what's highly interesting: Most investors believe just the opposite. Learn the details.Severe Debt Deflation: Why These 5 Nations Are Most at Risk
Updated: June 15, 2020
Deflation requires a precondition. Learn about it, plus get insights into private versus public debt. This chart shows you which nations are at the highest risk of a “severe debt deflation.”NASDAQ: Some Historical Insights into Techno-Mania
Updated: June 11, 2020
The Nasdaq Composite just hit an all-time high, yet the DJIA remains below its peak. Here’s a perspective on financial tops and the technology sector.U.S. Long Bond: Let’s Review the “Upward Point of Exhaustion”
Updated: June 9, 2020
In early March, a prominent sentiment indicator registered 98% bulls toward U.S. 30-year Treasuries. At the same time, historic moves were taking place in the U.S. long bond. Here’s a review of what’s taken place since.The "Little Guy" Is Fully Committed to This Rally
Updated: June 4, 2020
Investor sentiment is one of the bedrocks of market trends. A sub-trend of the broad sentiment is that of "the little guy," the small traders. Watch our Global Market Strategist explain what the current "little guy" sentiment tells you about the market's next move.Stocks Rally as the World Spins Madly On: It's Not as "Crazy" as You Think
Updated: June 4, 2020
Recent headlines show that a "correlation" between the news and the markets is virtually non-existent. Yet, just as the 3-day, 1000-point rally began, our Stocks Pro Service alerted subscribers to expect the near-term move.Russia: How Financial “Complacency” Morphed into “Crisis”
Updated: June 2, 2020
In January, one of EWI’s global analysts showed the strong rise in Russian stocks and issued a cautionary note to subscribers. Learn how that warning came just in the nick of time. These two charts say it all.Dow Down 1000 Points in 2 Days: Wham, Bam... POWell???
Updated: May 18, 2020
The Dow's big, two-day decline started around 3pm on May 12th. Yet media reports pinned the 1000-point drop on comments by Fed Chair Powell on May 13th! Now see the forecast that anticipated the decline before it happened.DJIA: Watch Elliott Waves at Work
Updated: May 15, 2020
Readers sometimes ask us if Elliott waves also work on short-term timeframes -- i.e., intraday. The answer is an enthusiastic "Yes!" -- in fact, watch our U.S. Stocks Intraday Pro Service editor show you a fresh example from intraday price action in the DJIA on May 11. Log in -- or sign up for FREE -- to watch now."This Is More Than a Deflationary <em>Moment</em>"
Updated: May 8, 2020
"Deflation" is not the word you've heard very often -- until now. Falling prices across multiple asset classes suddenly got every everyone's attention. But deflation is much more than just "lower prices." Watch our Global Markets Strategist explain.Why Financial Trouble Brews on the “Home” Front
Updated: May 5, 2020
The world has certainly been aware of all the “stay-at-home” orders in various places. At the same time, the value of many of those homes may be at risk. You see, a significant divergence has developed in the housing market. Get insights as you take a look at this chart.Is "Printing Money" the Only Way Out of This Crisis? No.
Updated: May 3, 2020
Today, a huge government and central bank fiscal stimulus is what almost everyone sees as the way out. But watch our Head of Global Research show an example from the Great Depression era that tells a different story."The Next Event Is Deflation."
Updated: April 30, 2020
On February 2, before the pandemic crashed ashore in Europe and the US, EWI’s Steven Hochberg and Peter Kendall chatted with David Keller of StockCharts.com. It was a lively, friendly, prescient interview.This Major Stock Market Indicator is Flashing a HUGE Signal
Updated: April 23, 2020
The stock market’s price pattern is the single most important factor to evaluate when making a forecast. Let’s now consider the second most important indicator as you take a look at these two charts. One is historical and the other is from 2020.How This Elliott Wave “Accomplished What It Always Does in Bear Markets”
Updated: April 21, 2020
The stock market has a way of fooling most investors at critical junctures. Learn how second-wave retracements do just that. Get insights into current investor behavior.Everyone is Ignoring this Bull Market. Are you?
Updated: April 14, 2020
This market is showing signs of an early bull market. Yet most investors are completely ignoring it.Stocks: When Grass Looks Greener on the Other Side of the … Pond
Updated: March 31, 2020
Would you like to find out about an indicator that proved highly useful in anticipating the historic stock market tops of 2000, 2007 – and 2020? Here are the insights of EWI’s analysts – along with two revealing charts.What Every Trader Needs to Know Right NOW
Updated: March 25, 2020
Brian Whitmer, EWI's Global Markets Strategist, presents EWI's research into several key market indicators. These indicators have stood the test of time and are critically important to investors at a time like this.Stocks: Why “Buying the Dip” is Fraught with Danger
Updated: March 25, 2020
Many investors want to buy bargains after a downturn in the stock market. Yet, financial history teaches harsh lessons. This chart shows a “nightmare” that market participants want to avoid.You Won’t Believe WHEN Pension Funds “Embraced Stocks as a Safe Investment”
Updated: March 18, 2020
Public pension funds were running deficits even when the bull market was going strong. Now, a swift downturn in global stock markets has hit. Look at the percentage that U.S. public pension funds had invested in equities just before the big price plummet.This Will Signal the Bear Market’s Halfway Point
Updated: March 16, 2020
Despite the highly dramatic behavior of the stock market, many market participants have been remarkably calm. It’s as if they presume that the bull market will return any day now. Ironically, such a sentiment indicates the opposite. Here’s what our just-published March Elliott Wave Theorist has to say.Here’s What Signaled the End of Stock Market’s Upward Trend
Updated: March 12, 2020
Financial history shows that many investors commit to a stock market trend just when that trend is near an end. It happened around the times of both the 2000 and 2007 market peaks. Here’s what happened in 2020.Before Sell-Off, This Indicator Posted Its “Largest 1-Day Jump” in 10 Years
Updated: March 5, 2020
The stock market has a way of surprising investors at major trend turns. Learn how the market "expectations" of this group of Wall Street professionals were thoroughly dashed.What Credit Spreads Are Saying about US Stocks
Updated: February 27, 2020
The pressure has been building on US stocks for a long time, from a technical standpoint. In the 2/27 Short Term Update, editor Steven Hochberg reviews what some of those key indicators have been saying. One indicator, credit spreads, is making a clarion statement right now about the potential for the U.S. stock market.DOW Plunges -- Now Learn Why Coronavirus is NOT the Culprit
Updated: February 25, 2020
Coronavirus has been killing people around the world in January and February. Yet, the stock market kept popping to new record highs -- until now.Coronavirus in the U.S.?
Updated: February 24, 2020
In less than a minute and a half, Peter Kendall teases how a long-term bear market in one country can cause damage in another -- even during or just after a bull market run.2 Charts That "Might Just Take Your Breath Away"
Updated: January 23, 2020
When you've done something for years, you start to notice patterns. We've been forecasting the markets since the 1970s, and we've picked up on some patterns, too. Watch our Global Market Perspective contributor, Murray Gunn, show you a couple of "breathtaking" charts.NASDAQ: Watch a “Trend Channel,” See What’s Next
Updated: January 3, 2020
Classic technical patterns in price charts have stood the test of time. Indeed, about 90 years ago, Ralph Nelson Elliott – the “Father of the Wave Principle” – described important details about the so-called parallel trend channel. Learn how that applies to the tech-heavy NASDAQ as we kick off 2020.U.S. Stocks: What to Make of This “Back Up the Truck!” Optimism
Updated: December 17, 2019
Here’s the stock market sentiment of a chief financial economist: “buy, buy, buy.” Why such optimism? In a nutshell, waning geopolitical risks. Learn EWI’s interpretation of such “great” news.Foreign Buyers Piling Into U.S. Stocks: Bullish or Bearish?
Updated: December 17, 2019
As early as 1996, we at EWI noticed that "heavy foreign buying" of U.S. stocks tends to correspond to certain critical junctures in the markets. Right now is one of those moments. Watch our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast co-editor explain what this likely means.The "Calm Before the Craziness"
Updated: December 5, 2019
If you want to get "comfy and cozy," pick another place besides the stock market. After a stretch of calmness, "very bullish" investors have been jolted. Here's how an Elliott wave perspective could have helped you prepare for the recent spike in volatility.U.S. Stocks: An “Optimism” Indicator Hits a 13-Month Extreme
Updated: December 3, 2019
Waves of optimism and pessimism drive the stock market. When extremes in either sentiment are reached, watch for a swing in the other direction. Here are the sentiment readings from a recent survey...2019: Why It May Mark a Stock Market Milestone
Updated: November 29, 2019
Financial history suggests that 2019 may be pivotal for the U.S. stock market. The just-published December Elliott Wave Theorist explains why through 12 illuminating charts. Take a look at these two sample charts ...Stock Market Rally: Here's What a Key Momentum Indicator Reveals
Updated: November 26, 2019
Most stock market investors are aware of whether the prices of the main indexes have been rising or falling, but some are unaware of highly useful technical indicators. At least one of those indicators is sending an important message, just as fund managers make a "huge switch" from cash into stocks ...Fibonacci Numbers and Current Picture in U.S. Treasury Bonds
Updated: November 21, 2019
Long- and short-term market charts are often filled with Fibonacci relationships. Learn how this applies to the current price pattern of U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds. These two charts are instructive...How Stock Market "Growth" Funds Can Falter Big-Time
Updated: November 14, 2019
Stock pickers and actively managed funds face big-time risk even if the broad market is climbing. Investing for "growth" is one of the riskiest strategies. Learn how a highly valued start-up has disappointed badly and then look at the performance of this fund...U.S. Stocks: "A Thin Reed to Lean On"
Updated: October 29, 2019
EWI's analysts use an array of technical indicators to make stock market assessments. The question always is: What do these indicators suggest for the future price path of the main indexes? Here's what our U.S. Short Term Update said about one indicator, which involves "diverging" price behavior between two stock indexes...A "Manufactured" Reason for This Stock Market Sell-Off
Updated: October 3, 2019
EWI continues to shout from the rooftop that news and events do not determine the stock market's trend. Yet, many investors continue to believe so. Here's what the price pattern of the stock market would look like if investors actually reacted to the day's news rationally...DJIA: See Why October 1 Drop Was in the Cards (Plus, What’s Next…)
Updated: October 2, 2019
Almost everyone is blaming the sudden October sell-off on the "weakest manufacturing reading in 10 years." (CNBC) It’s true that stocks fell in earnest after the data release. But you know how sometimes, the market “brushes off bad news”? Here's why it didn't this time….DJIA: "Volatility Breaks a Trend"
Updated: October 1, 2019
EWI's analysts regularly review over 100 stock market indicators to help them "assess the correct interpretation of the wave structure." Get key insights into one of these time-tested indicators as you take a look at this revealing chart...How to Avoid a 90% Crash
Updated: September 26, 2019
"Five waves up" means that a trend change is nigh. Two charts provide an example of how Elliott wave analysis nailed a top in an unconventional financial asset that went on to plunge as much as 90%. Now is the time to see what our analysts see for major U.S. financial markets...U.S. Stocks: See What This Time-Tested Indicator Says About Trend Now
Updated: September 25, 2019
The advance-decline ratio is not the kind of stock market indicator you often hear about on 6 o'clock news. Yet, this may be precisely the reason to keep an eye on it. Watch our U.S. Stocks Intraday Pro Service editor show you how it performed in the past, and what it's showing for stocks next.A Troubling Sign for U.S. Real Estate Market
Updated: September 24, 2019
U.S. housing prices rebounded significantly following the depths of the housing bust. However, worrisome signs are beginning to appear. Take a look at this chart from our current Financial Forecast.Spotting a "Tired" Look in the U.S. Long Bond
Updated: September 17, 2019
Many observers of the U.S. government bond market expected "concerns about the global economy" to continue to "fuel" a persistent rally. Those economic worries are still making headlines, but something has happened with the rally in 30-year Treasuries. Take a look at these two charts...Dow Industrials: "Fear to Complacency in a Blink"
Updated: September 12, 2019
The character of the stock market can change rapidly. That's why it's important to stay on top of the unfolding Elliott wave pattern and other market indicators. For example, one key indicator has just undergone a "swift reversal," as this chart shows...4 Tools to help You Spot Stock Market Tops
Updated: August 27, 2019
Could you have spotted the August reversal in stocks -- before it happened? Only the hindsight is 20/20, of course -- but even so, there are tools you can employ to spot trend reversals with high confidence.How a Fractured Stock Market Tells You What's Next
Updated: August 6, 2019
A fractured market is an unhealthy market. This group of market leaders turned down well before the main indexes' ongoing jump in volatility. Review this chart and commentary...S&P 500: See How We Forecast a Near-Term Low and Rally
Updated: July 23, 2019
Analysts Robert Kelly shows the charts, indicators and Elliott Wave pattern he used to anticipate the recent low and rally in the S&P 500.Stocks: Why Small Caps Bear Close Attention
Updated: July 2, 2019
The S&P 500 index is widely followed but it by no means tells the whole story of the stock market. Get important insights into the performance of another index as you look at this chart ...Flipping Out Over Real Estate… Again
Updated: June 27, 2019
Speculators looking for a "fast buck" turned to day trading in the late 1990s. After the ensuing bear market, house flipping became a fad. But the big housing bust only put the kibosh on this pursuit temporarily. Will a big lesson have to be learned all over again?Stocks: Looking Under the Hood of All Those 52-Week Highs
Updated: June 13, 2019
Fundamental analysts study factors outside of the market. Technical analysts focus on the market itself. Learn what an important technical indicator is currently revealing. Plus, get insights into two others that we are watching closely...FAANG: Update on the "Story of the Year"
Updated: June 6, 2019
A government sling-shot is taking aim at corporate technology giants. Plus, investors in the FAANG stocks are not sleeping too well at night. Take a look at this chart...The Before and After of the Big Move in 10-year Treasury Notes
Updated: May 24, 2019
Who was prepared for the big bullish move in Treasury Notes on May 22-23 ... before it happened? See the answer for yourself onscreen right now, in Chart of the Day.April Lows, May Highs in Treasuries: What's Next?
Updated: May 23, 2019
Dana Weeks talks to EWI Analyst Jordan Kotick about the April low in Treasuries, how to follow the yield curve, and exactly which Treasury instrument he's got his eye on now.U.S. Housing: Look at This 50% Retracement
Updated: May 14, 2019
Buying a house is a major financial decision. We've all been admonished about "location, location, location" -- but, how about timing? Some real estate market indicators can be highly useful. Look at these two charts...U.S. Stocks: "Melt-Up" or Melt-Down?
Updated: April 23, 2019
Many investors believe the stock market stage is set for an explosion -- to the upside. At the same time, this indicator has been "collapsing" while another key indicator has been "tepid at best." Here are the details...Why This Stocks Indicator Should Grab Your Attention
Updated: April 11, 2019
It's wise to put stock market data into context. EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg does just that with a sentiment measure that is flashing a "must-know" message. This chart and commentary reveals what you need to know now.April Global Market Perspective: Full of Must Read Articles
Updated: April 5, 2019
The April issue of Global Market Perspective is chock-full of incredible global market insights. See special sections on marijuana stocks around the globe and India's markets -- along with articles on Europe's QE efforts, junk bonds, and U.S. stocks.How Homebuilding Stocks Signal Big-Time Trouble
Updated: April 4, 2019
Houses have been subject to price fluctuations like the stock market for one reason: They're considered an investment as much as a place to hang your hat. Learn what our analysts are saying about an "unmistakable" trend in the real estate market...What Bank Stocks Are Telling You About Stock Market (Again)
Updated: March 26, 2019
Stock prices in this prominent business sector are experiencing more turbulence than the general market. We discuss what this may mean for the main stock indexes, plus show you a revealing chart.Here's the Consensus About a 2019 Recession
Updated: March 5, 2019
A survey of chief financial officers reveals a near unanimous opinion about the prospects for a recession this year. This consensus has piqued our interest. Here's why...Do Corporate Earnings Matter to the Stock Market?
Updated: February 1, 2019
The notion that "earnings drive stock prices" powers a lot of research on Wall Street. See a chart that torches this assumption.Housing Crisis 2.0: Just Around the Block?
Updated: January 29, 2019
Everyone remembers that housing prices were crushed during and even after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Are we headed toward a repeat? Here's what we've been telling subscribers...Read Friday's Short Term Update
Updated: January 2, 2019
As EWI's Short Term Update explains, the media had a very clear message for investors. See what happened.See How This Index Warned About the Sell-off
Updated: December 26, 2018
The performance of this one group of stocks served as a warning for the broader stock market. See how it happened -- and keep an eye on this index going forward.Seasons Greetings from Elliott Wave International
Updated: December 24, 2018
Has Panic Finally Gripped Wall Street?
Updated: December 20, 2018
You probably know that Baron Rothschild is credited with the saying that "the time to buy is when there's blood in the street." So, has the stock market decline reached that point? Is this the time to buy? These insights will help you to answer those questions...The Fed's "Financial Frailty" Raises This Important Question
Updated: December 18, 2018
Do you have faith in the Fed? If so, a look at the central bank's portfolio might prompt second thoughts. Find out why, plus take a look at two charts which show you who is really in charge of the trend in interest rates.Bitcoin: Unadulterated Bullishness
Updated: December 14, 2018
In January, EWFF alerted readers to the end of bitcoin's manic surge. In a Special Section that month, we forecasted that a break of the "upward curve that has supported [bitcoin's] exponential rise appears to lie directly ahead."The Public Buys the Dip, the Rally – and the High?
Updated: November 8, 2018
You might think that October's wild stock market ride would have left investors quaking in their boots. Not so. Indeed, most investors are unfazed. This chart provides insight into the investing public's sentiment.“People are going to be SHOCKED…”
Updated: October 26, 2018
“…as this thing moves faster than they expect.” Our Financial Forecast co-editors, Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall, sat down to discuss the November issue.S&P 500’s Strength Signature Tells Quite a Story
Updated: October 3, 2018
From one year to the next, October can be quite volatile. See our Financial Forecast co-editors, Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall, outline what they think is important for you to know as we head into the seasonal volatility period.Is the Stock Market Random or Patterned?
Updated: September 18, 2018
Many stock market observers believe that prices are random and unpredictable. You might think so, too. Yet, our experience proves that repetitive, predictable price patterns show up in market charts at all degrees of trend. See for yourself.This Accounts for 48% of the NASDAQ's Push Higher
Updated: September 4, 2018
There's much more to knowing the trend than seeing whether stocks closed in positive or negative territory on any given day. It usually pays to "look under the hood" of the stock market a little deeper. Here's one of the more important factors to examine.Facebook: From "Skyrocket" to "Air Pocket"
Updated: August 16, 2018
Have you ever wondered why market observers sometimes ignore "bad news" -- but, at other times, focus on it entirely? Here's the key insight that you need to know, as we focus on the sentiment surrounding Facebook.Before Blaming DJIA’s Sell-Off on Turkey, Consider This
Updated: August 13, 2018
It would be easy to blame the Dow Jones Industrial Average's triple-digit Friday (Aug. 10) sell-off on an escalating financial crisis in Turkey and a very anti-Turkey same-day tweet by U.S. President Donald Trump. But "easy" isn't always right.Dreaming of a “Comfortable Retirement” on a Public Pension?
Updated: August 7, 2018
Many employees of state and local governments in the U.S. are expecting a financially "comfortable" retirement. But, a big shock likely awaits. Here's a sobering perspective.NASDAQ vs. DJIA: When Crowd Prefers Speculative Stocks
Updated: July 6, 2018
History shows that a divergence between the DJIA and NASDAQ deserves your attention. This chart helps to tell the story.U.S. Stocks: What We're Watching
Updated: July 2, 2018
The S&P 500 is trading similarly to how gold traded in 2011. Watch our long-time U.S. Financial Forecast co-editors Steve Hochberg and Peter Kendal touch on this story, and more.What Does Mega-Merger Mania Say About the Stock Market?
Updated: June 20, 2018
First AT&T-Time Warner. Now Disney and Comcast's battle over Fox. History says these mega-mergers send a signal about the stock market's trend. Discover what it is in this clip from an interview with EWI's Murray Gunn on WSVA radio.Open House Highlight: Day 2, Stocks
Updated: June 19, 2018
Stock market served a lot of traders a big surprise on Tuesday. For some insight, we called Robert Kelley, editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service.How Not to Get Fooled by This Stock Market Cycle
Updated: June 19, 2018
The patterns of investor psychology never change. For example, investors tend to go "all in" near tops. Learn how this applies to recent market history.Stock Market Risk Just Took a Big Jump – Here’s Why
Updated: June 14, 2018
It seems strange, but the stock market is an arena of human activity where the professionals usually fail when it counts the most -- at major turns. With that in mind, learn how the past is related to what's going on now.How Investor Psychology Has Reached a Critical Juncture
Updated: June 7, 2018
It happened just weeks before the historic October 2007 stock market top: Investors had "become utterly unconcerned with risk," as the September 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist remarked. With that in mind, this update on investor psychology should interest every market participant...Our Readers Saw This Cool Correlation Two Decades Before Anyone Else
Updated: June 7, 2018
The Wave Principle not only helps you see around the corner, it can also alert you to connections that most people wouldn't even think to look for. Sometimes it does both.Sneak Peek: Elliott Wave Financial Forecast -- June 2018
Updated: June 6, 2018
"Hard to pack it all in..." That's how editors Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall describe the June 2018 Financial Forecast -- from once-in-a-generation charts and data on investor psychology, to the direct link showing what food has to do with financial markets, to how today's employment picture parallels an earlier specific point in time. Discover what's next in the coming week, month and beyond.Have Bear Markets Been Permanently Banned?
Updated: June 1, 2018
As far as we know at EWI, bear markets have not been banned. And, unless history stops repeating itself, another one is inevitable. Yet, even after a nine-year upturn, some market observers continue to anticipate only temporary dips.Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes
Updated: May 22, 2018
Those who linearly extrapolate social and financial trends into the future are usually surprised when big changes occur. Now is the time to learn what EWI anticipates next for financial markets, the economy and society.How This One Stock Market Indicator Prepares You for What's Next
Updated: May 16, 2018
EWI's analysts know the technical indicators which have proven their value over the years. One of these time-tested indicators is sending a warning that should be of interest to every investor .3 Mega-Bets on 1 Mega-Trend: Uh Oh!
Updated: May 14, 2018
Huge business bets on the future often occur at landmark stock market tops. Here is why that is important to know right now.What to Make of the 3.9% Jobless Rate (You Might Be Shocked)
Updated: May 9, 2018
Most observers interpret the April jobless rate of 3.9% as sign that more smooth sailing is ahead for the economy. But the historical record shows what has actually followed milestone lows in the jobless rate. You may be in for a big surprise as you look at this chart.Sneak Peek: Elliott Wave Financial Forecast -- May 2018
Updated: May 9, 2018
Robert Folsom highlights a chart from the May 2018 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and explains what it means for US markets."Why Would Putin Want to Nuke Florida?"
Updated: May 9, 2018
That's the question the BBC posed after Russia released an animated video featuring missiles headed toward Tampa. Are we in a new Cold War? Why can't the U.S. and Russia just get along? Discover a perspective you won't get from the mainstream in this conversation with Alan Hall on WOCA radio.Here's Why Millennials Are Having Fewer Children
Updated: May 9, 2018
Economists and sociologists can talk until they're blue in the face about why millennials are putting off marriage and having fewer kids. But as Matt Lampert reveals in this conversation from WGN's Opening Bell, we've seen the "fewer children" phenomenon before -- and it sends an important message about the social mood trend and the economy's prospects for long-term health.What to Expect at a Critical Market Point: End of a Wave 2 Rally
Updated: April 24, 2018
Each Elliott wave has its own "personality." Learn about the market's recent characteristics, and what they suggest about the stock market's next big move.April 2018 Financial Forecast Sneak Peek
Updated: April 23, 2018
This excerpt from the April 2018 Financial Forecast focuses on the relationship of news and the U.S. stock indexes -- and what it means for investors, socionomically. Read it now to understand why "the real drama lies ahead."Government Crackdown on Big Tech Companies – Why Now, and What Does It Mean for Investors?
Updated: April 20, 2018
The president threatens antitrust action against Amazon. Congress recently grilled Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg. We've seen this story before, as Murray Gunn reveals in this clip from a conversation with Kara Ro on CKLW radio.Can the Trade Genie Go Back in the Bottle?
Updated: April 20, 2018
Trade tensions have subsided ... for now. Should we breathe a sigh of relief, or are more tough times ahead for trade? Hear EWI's Murray Gunn size up the risks to come, in this clip from a conversation on KFKA radio.U.S. Dollar: Why It Pays to Use the Elliott Wave Model
Updated: April 3, 2018
Learn how the "basics" of Elliott wave analysis helped to nail the recent low in the U.S. Dollar Index. Take a look at these two charts.Stocks Have Slumped. Will Baseball Be Next?
Updated: April 3, 2018
Soaring stocks and record home run seasons go hand-in-glove. What's the secret behind this curious correlation, and what would a bear market in stocks mean for the more-home-runs trend in baseball? Discover the answers in this interview with Alan Hall on WINA radio.When You See THIS Wave Pattern, Pay Attention
Updated: April 3, 2018
You learn a lot by you observing and forecasting the markets 20+ years. Jeffrey Kennedy, our Trader's Classroom editor, tells you which part of the basic Elliott wave pattern offers you a high-probability of staying on the right side of the market. (And no, it's not the 3rd wave!)Why This Investment Strategy Can Cost You Big
Updated: March 26, 2018
Most money managers measure success by whether they "beat a benchmark" like the S&P. Yet, data show that over 90% of them come up short. We'd like to share some thoughts on why it's a wrong goal to begin with.Why the "Certainty" That Investors "Crave" Will Never Happen
Updated: March 20, 2018
Uncertainty always reigns in financial markets. This prompts most investors to look to others for clues about what to do. Even the smartest speculators "join the crowd" -- often, at most inopportune moments. Learn why the Elliott wave model helps you navigate the seas of uncertainty.Watch This Group Signal Stock Market Trend Changes
Updated: March 13, 2018
When this group finally acts on a market trend, you can almost be sure that the trend is about to change. A historic chart tells you what you need to know."The Last Great Myth of Every Financial Euphoria"
Updated: March 6, 2018
Many market observers believe that financial bubbles can "deflate" in an orderly way. But the stock market is not governed by cold reason. See these examples and learn about "the last great myth of every financial euphoria."When the Anti-Authoritarians Overcame
Updated: March 6, 2018
Negative mood can prompt action and reaction – Jordan Kotick's interview with Robert Folsom explores the epic confrontation that unfolded once U.S. government power went too far for too long.When One Pattern Ends, Another Begins
Updated: March 5, 2018
The Elliott wave model employs strict rules and guidelines. And at this market juncture, the implications of what it's revealing are huge.Invest by Watching News? Accept These Pitfalls
Updated: February 6, 2018
Financial commentators regularly try to connect the day's news with the stock market's action. It seems such a logical thing to do. But here's why investors who buy or sell based on the news might want to re-consider this approach.Volatility Is Picking Up. What Does It Mean for Stocks?
Updated: January 31, 2018
Even as U.S. stocks kept breaking records lately, the stock market "fear index," the VIX, has been rising. Is that a sign of more trouble to come for the stock market? Robert Kelley, our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, gives ElliottWaveTV a few illuminating answers.How Stocks Can Seduce You at the Time of Maximum Risk
Updated: January 30, 2018
Investors who've been on the sidelines are fed up with "missing out!" In recent weeks, money flows into equities have sharply risen. This chart shows you why market risk is sharply rising, too.Find Out Who Leads the Way on Interest Rates (…It's NOT the Fed)
Updated: January 29, 2018
The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.Market Myth #5: GDP Drives Stock Prices
Updated: January 25, 2018
Think a booming economy is bullish for the stock market? Discover how you can bust this market myth in 60 seconds, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.U.S. Stocks: Waiting on a "Healthy Pullback"?
Updated: January 22, 2018
Today, many mainstream market strategists anticipate a healthy pullback in this high-flying bull market. We've seen such sentiment before...Why Sometimes, "Beating the S&P 500" Isn't Good Enough
Updated: January 18, 2018
Should an investor's goal be to "beat the market"? Here's how this investment strategy can severely hurt your portfolio.U.S. Stocks: Incredible Start... Will It Last?
Updated: January 16, 2018
Record-breaking start to the new year has some investors cheering, some worried. On Tuesday, Jan. 16, our ElliottWaveTV anchor sat down with Robert Kelley, our U.S. stocks intraday opportunities analyst, to get his take on the tone of this year's trading, so far.Is China Really Driving the Slide in U.S. Bond Prices?
Updated: January 16, 2018
The recent slide in U.S. bond prices is being blamed on the news that China may stop buying U.S. Treasuries. A famous guru says a bond bear market is upon us. But 30-year U.S. T-bond prices topped in 2016, when China was still happy to buy U.S. debt. How come?Survey: Highest Percentage of Bulls in 40 Years
Updated: January 11, 2018
Stock market bulls are having a "happy new year" indeed, and at least one Wall Street bank expects equity prices to be even higher at the end of 2018. The bulls may end up being right, but from observing market behavior for almost 40 years, here at EWI we know this...Polarization with Stocks at All-Time Highs? We've Been Here Before
Updated: January 10, 2018
Today's polarized politics may seem out of sync with the mood behind the soaring stock market. But as this socionomics preview video reveals, history offers a precedent to help us understand the present and a guide for what's likely to come."Trade Deficit's Widely Presumed Effect is 100% Wrong"
Updated: January 9, 2018
It would seem logical that an expanding trade deficit would be a negative for the economy and stock market. But EWI's decades of research reveals a startling truth. See a chart that exposes one of the biggest market myths of all time.Learn Why Diversification is Dangerous During This Economic Condition
Updated: December 29, 2017
A mainstream financial publication just said "Now more than ever, it's time to diversify." Diversification is supposed to cushion your portfolio during periods of volatility. If one or more assets decline in value, one or more others will rise -- or so the reasoning goes. Learn why this can be a dangerous financial notion during this particular economic trend.Gold and Silver: “Perfect Hedges” Against a Recession? Hardly.
Updated: December 18, 2017
Myths about financial markets are perpetuated because almost no one bothers to check the actual data. For example, consider the widely held belief that precious metals perform well during recessions. Learn what the historical record reveals.Look Who's Pressing Bullish Bets on U.S. Treasury Bonds
Updated: December 13, 2017
Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.Why This Behavior of Hedge Fund Managers is Worth Noting
Updated: December 6, 2017
Hedge fund managers are reputed to be among the smartest of the smart on Wall Street. So, you might be surprised that they make the same critical mistake that most novice investors make. This chart helps to explain.Your Home "Investment": A New Study Might Surprise You
Updated: December 4, 2017
Many people regard a house as an investment -- not just as a place to live. But, when a "consumption" item is treated like an "investment," a financially dangerous psychology develops. Learn what a recent study says about some of real estate's "investment advantages."U.S. Stocks: What to Expect for the Holiday Season
Updated: November 24, 2017
In Part 1 of this new interview, Robert Kelley, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you what Elliott waves and other technical indicators suggest for U.S. stocks as we go into the holiday season.Market Myth #4: Interest Rates Drive Stock Prices
Updated: November 21, 2017
Think the Fed's interest rates control the stock market? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust this market myth in 2 minutes, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.Fast-Rising Margin Debt Screams an Even Faster Reversal Ahead
Updated: November 17, 2017
Investors are borrowing like never before to invest in stocks. This is not surprising to our Elliott wave experts. "Aggressive speculation is a hallmark of fifth waves...."Look Who's Been Feverishly Buying Stocks for 14 Years -- and What That Means
Updated: November 9, 2017
A group of investors with very deep pockets has been engaging in a long stretch of extraordinary stock buying. Here in November, even more buying has been announced. See a chart and learn what The Elliott Wave Theorist has to say about it.Why "Buy the Dip" Psychology is Fraught with Danger
Updated: November 6, 2017
Many investors are tempted to buy any "dip" during a stock market uptrend. But this psychology has its perils. Here's what usually happens after a full market cycle has played out.A New Survey of Investors with $1-Million-Plus Portfolios is Revealing
Updated: November 3, 2017
A new survey reveals what millionaire investors are doing with their capital -- find out the details. Also learn about the unprecedented market action of mutual fund managers.How Financial Exchanges Sparkle Near Financial Tops
Updated: November 2, 2017
A famous advertisement says, "diamonds are forever." However, financial up-trends are not. Learn about these signs of a dangerous financial optimism.How Financial Exchanges Sparkle Near Financial Tops
Updated: November 2, 2017
A famous advertisement says, "diamonds are forever." However, financial up-trends are not. Learn about these signs of a dangerous financial optimism.How This Stock Market Indicator Just Got "Super-Sized"
Updated: October 27, 2017
Social mood fluctuates between extremes of optimism and pessimism. At least two developments suggest that a major trend change is afoot. Get the details.U.S. Stocks: A Sentiment Extreme You MUST Pay Attention to
Updated: October 25, 2017
Robert Kelley, the editor of our US Stocks Intraday Pro Service, tells you about a sentiment extreme that he's seen recently. Watch this new interview to find out what has caught his attention and what they mean for U.S. stocks going forward.Stock Market Optimism Approaches Days of Roman Empire
Updated: October 23, 2017
If there's ever been a time to resist the impulse to follow the investing crowd, now is that time. Large speculators are making a bet that's four times larger than what they made in January 2008. Take a look at this chart.How to Tell the "Size of the Forming Top" in U.S. Stocks
Updated: October 16, 2017
Many investors see almost no risk in the stock market. Indeed, they are betting to a record degree that the stock market will continue to rise. In EWI's view, here's what this extreme financial optimism strongly suggests.Stocks: See This "Stunning" Development with Money Managers
Updated: October 13, 2017
A group of stock market bears has just done an about-face. One of EWI's analysts describes the switch as "stunning." A chart helps to explain.FANG Stocks: "The Attack on the High Tech Giants"
Updated: October 9, 2017
FANG stocks -- Facebook, Apple, Amazon, and Google (now Alphabet) -- hit their most recent share price highs about two months ago. Is this the time to "buy the dip," or a sign that the NASDAQ 100 is "cruising for a bruising"?Are U.S. Dollar Speculators Woefully Wrong -- Again?
Updated: October 4, 2017
Why do investors keep making the same mistakes -- i.e., buying at highs and selling at lows? The answer is that their psychology never changes. If you're an independent thinker, you can potentially benefit from this knowledge. Let's take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index.IBM: Warren Buffett Vs. Elliott Wave Analysis
Updated: October 2, 2017
Many investors seek to mirror the trades of Warren Buffett. See how EWI analysts took the opposite side of a Buffet trade and how "Warren Buffett Versus the Wave Principle" has worked out so far.Look What's Fueling the ETF Boom -- and Why It's So Dangerous
Updated: September 27, 2017
The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned about this financially dangerous sign of " wild-eyed optimism" in June 2007, and the stock market went on to top some four months later. Now, in 2017, the same warning sign is appearing. Get the details you need to know.U.S Dollar: Plenty of Optimists + Elliott Waves = Financial Opportunity
Updated: September 20, 2017
The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a steady slide since its January high, and one foreign exchange strategist expects the downward trend to continue. But financial markets often move in the opposite direction from the prevailing sentiment. See how this knowledge can help you seize opportunities that most others miss.Stock Market's "Proper Value" Is Nonsense -- Here's Why
Updated: September 18, 2017
Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.2017 Ends With "7": What That Might Mean for Stocks
Updated: September 11, 2017
In 1939, Edgar Lawrence Smith discussed the stock market's Decennial Pattern. It "has been remarkably useful." One of the aspects of the Decennial Pattern relates directly to 2017. Get the details.Why Speculators Should Keep a Close Eye on the Bond Market
Updated: September 8, 2017
Bonds are generally considered far less risky than the stock market. That's a big reason why flows into bond mutual funds and ETFs have been substantial in the past two years. But there's a major reason to be wary of the bond market. See for yourself.Trouble Knocks on the U.S. Housing Market's Door
Updated: September 7, 2017
Troublesome developments are occurring in the U.S. housing market. Media outlets are saying that "an acute shortage of properties" is hurting sales. But, the real story is revealed in these chart patterns.Just in Time? "Tulip Mania" Blossoms Again
Updated: September 6, 2017
Historically, financially themed Hollywood productions have often coincided with trend changes in the DJIA. Now, a motion picture that is based on one of the biggest financial bubbles of all time has just opened at theaters. The movie tells a "financial story that's fascinating ... ."Harvey's Here. So Why Are Oil Prices Lower?
Updated: August 29, 2017
If supply disruptions cause oil prices to go up, can you tell when on this chart the most destructive hurricane in U.S. history arrived?Trump Supporters Should Tell Congress to Impeach Him Right Now
Updated: August 28, 2017
President Trump. Love him or hate him, if you watch the news you have to deal with him. But for how long? Discover the president's chances to survive impeachment in this Chart of the Day video.2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why
Updated: August 23, 2017
See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.What to Make of This Rare "Fear Gauge" Jump
Updated: August 22, 2017
Periods of low stock market volatility are inevitably followed by high volatility. The DJIA just registered its worst day in three months. See the chart that helped us to anticipate the "turbulence."Why the Bond Market Should Be Watching Tesla
Updated: August 22, 2017
Tesla's share price at an all-time high, its junk bond yield at a record low. Today's investor appetite for risk is strong indeed...After the Fact "Analysis" vs. A REAL Stock Market Forecast: See the Difference
Updated: August 18, 2017
See the on-target stock market forecasts subscribers read before the big decline on August 17.How You Can Get Ahead of a Fast-Moving News Cycle
Updated: August 18, 2017
Watch Matt Lampert, President of the Socionomics Institute, show how you can use Elliott waves to act more confidently in other areas of your life, not just in the markets.This Is Why U.S. Stocks Are at a Critical Juncture
Updated: August 11, 2017
Right now is one of those special moments in the markets that will determine where stocks go for the next few weeks -- and the next few months. Watch this clip from a new interview with our Chief Market Analyst to learn why stocks today find themselves at such a critical moment in their Elliott wave pattern.This is Why Gold Was Set to Rally BEFORE North Korea Scare
Updated: August 10, 2017
The big flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and North Korea has dominated the news. And some financial observers are saying this is why gold's price has been rising. Yet, see how "seller exhaustion and a trend reversal" was indicated a month ago, suggesting a gold rally ahead.U.S. Stock Market: Sunrise ... Sunset
Updated: August 7, 2017
The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.Individual Investors Say, "Cash is Trash"... Again
Updated: August 4, 2017
Many investors are just as committed to the stock market as they were at the January 2000 top. The same patterns of investor psychology appear to repeat themselves. Take a look at these two charts.This High Flier Soars with the Stock Market
Updated: August 2, 2017
A burst of technological innovations and rip-roaring bull markets tend to go hand-in-hand. Find out about one particular concept that "has a long history that lines up well with key junctures in stock prices."A New Twist on "Peak Oil"
Updated: July 31, 2017
In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Now, the phrase "peak oil" has been re-introduced, but in a different way.Why Stocks Don't Take Orders from the President
Updated: July 26, 2017
The stock market began to rally long before Donald Trump was elected president. What's more, the evidence shows that the rally would have likely occurred even if another candidate had won. It boils down to the market's price pattern -- see for yourself.Crude Oil Prices: Jumping on the Wrong "Freight Train"
Updated: July 20, 2017
Some trends pull prices like a freight train, and jumping on the wrong one can cost you dearly. That's why, in the Elliott wave approach, identifying the trend is paramount. Let's look at crude oil prices as an example.U.S. Housing: A Tell-Tale Warning Sign We've Seen Before
Updated: July 19, 2017
A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.The Fed and Gold Prices: Don't Miss the "Invisible Gorilla"
Updated: July 17, 2017
Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.Will FANG Take the First Big Bite Out of the Bull?
Updated: July 14, 2017
Stock market action in recent weeks suggests that the enthusiasm for the technology sector is simmering down. More than that, outright animosity is being directed toward some of technology's biggest names. Here's what we see down the road.This is Why the Mortgage Market Suddenly Looks Riskier
Updated: July 10, 2017
Some U.S. real estate markets have bounced back strongly since the Great Recession while others have languished. All told, "the recovery is spotty at best." Now, two new developments are adding risk to the mortgage market.Real Threats, Real Markets: GMP Preview Looks at "What to Fear"
Updated: July 7, 2017
Global market charts you won't see elsewhere show "What" -- and What Not -- to Fear.What the New Passive Investing Push Tells You
Updated: June 30, 2017
Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market's Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize.A "Mortgage Meltdown" Culprit Makes a Return
Updated: June 23, 2017
The housing market is heating up -- again. Signs are appearing that are reminders of the previous housing boom. "Buyers are convinced values will only continue to climb ... ." Is the housing trend near a reversal?How Applying "Cause and Effect" Ideas to the Stock Market Can Cost You
Updated: June 19, 2017
Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.New Evidence that Oil Prices Follow the Elliott Wave Model
Updated: June 15, 2017
On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.Municipal Bonds: Still "on Track for a Train Wreck"
Updated: June 12, 2017
The head of credit research for a municipal-bond management firm just commented: "We haven't seen this in a modern state before." He was talking about Illinois' deep fiscal trouble. Look at the eye-brow-raising credit spread.Why Renewed Danger Lurks in the U.S. Leveraged Loan Market
Updated: June 7, 2017
In investing, one rule of thumb tells you that the higher the return, the higher the risk. Today, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone. We're sounding the alarm -- again.GMP Preview: Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?
Updated: June 6, 2017
See 3 global market charts that answer the question, Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?U.S. Housing: "Not Since the Mania Days"
Updated: June 5, 2017
The U.S. housing market has staged a significant rebound since prices bottomed in February 2012. Now, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?Taking the Temperature of Global Warming Fever
Updated: June 2, 2017
Critics say President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement dealt a setback to the global-warming cause. But, the evidence suggests that "global-warming fever" had already been cooling off. "Crowds often think their personal cause of the moment is a permanent issue. It almost never is."Public Pensions: "The writing appears on the wall"
Updated: May 26, 2017
"The writing appears to be on the wall" for public pension plans -- and $3.6 trillion is on the line. Managers have been "embracing riskier assets and sweeping underfunded liabilities under the rug." Now, here's an update.U.S. Dollar: From "Trump Bump" to Trump... Slump?
Updated: May 18, 2017
At the start of 2017, a widely expected "Trump Bump" was supposed to keep the U.S. dollar on solid, bullish ground. But instead, the currency reversed from a 14-year high to the 6-month low we see today. Find out why!Bonds: What Hedge Funds' "Record Reversal" Tells You
Updated: May 17, 2017
Maxwell Edison may have majored in medicine, as the Beatles sang, but many of the "brainiacs" on Wall Street are hedge fund managers. Even so, their performance record at key market turns often leaves a lot to be desired. See this eye-opening bond market chart.How 'Startling Unexpected Headlines' Can Cost You BIG
Updated: May 15, 2017
A chief investment officer just told USA Today, "Listening to the 6 o'clock news gets investors off track." Find out why he made that statement. Plus, see what a "news-driven" and rational-reaction graph of stock prices would look like. (Hint: It's nothing you'd ever see in real life.)The Treacherous Psychology of Ramped-Up Investor Expectations
Updated: May 5, 2017
There's a sizeable gap between investor expectations and historical market returns. Chalk it up to ramped-up optimism and what psychologists call "information avoidance." Two surveys and one chart are revealing.A New, Scary Chapter in the Age-Old Story of Stock Market Leverage (A.K.A. "Debt")
Updated: May 1, 2017
NYSE margin debt levels reached records in the milestone market years of 2000 and 2007. But wait until you see what that level is now. Plus, find out how hedge funds are making matters even more precarious.A Sobering Look at "Market-Shattering Shocks"
Updated: April 26, 2017
If investors would only review the historical data, they would discover the sobering truth about news and the stock market. Do you believe a presidential assassination or a major terrorist attack would affect the market's trend? Find out what really happened.Recall This Bond Trader Chart? Here's What Happened
Updated: April 25, 2017
Our three recent Treasury Bond charts combine to show you trader sentiment, price action and important near-term turns and trends.Why 90%+ of Active Stock Fund Managers Underperform the S&P 500
Updated: April 17, 2017
Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."Stock Market Traders Trim Back Hedges
Updated: April 13, 2017
If you're a gambler or trader, you know what it means to "hedge your bet." It's how you offset your losses if you bet on the wrong horse, or on the wrong market position. Yet today, falling demand for equity hedges suggests an absence of fear among stock traders and investors. This chart shows you why.What to Make of the "Supreme Confidence in Financials"
Updated: April 11, 2017
In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.Crude Oil: A Better Way to Explain the Sharp Dip
Updated: April 6, 2017
Crude oil prices fell sharply on April 5. Analysts blamed the dip on a surprise jump in U.S. crude inventories. But take a look at this chart before you accept that explanation.Why You Should Check the Safety of Your Insurance Company
Updated: March 24, 2017
You buy insurance for protection, but some insurance companies themselves might be at risk. You need to know which ones are safe. "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news.Bond Traders And Sentiment Reversal: Here's What It Looks Like
Updated: March 23, 2017
Two trader groups habitually on opposite sides of the market are at it again: See what past extremes say to the present trend.Why the Fed's Rate Hike Means Nothing to the Stock Market
Updated: March 17, 2017
The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.Why Do Stocks Rise and Fall? (Hint: It’s NOT the News!)
Updated: March 7, 2017
The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.The "Trump Bump" Was in the Cards LONG Before Trump
Updated: February 21, 2017
Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.Learn Why It’s Important to Trade with The Trend
Updated: February 13, 2017
Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.Deflation: A Sky-High View
Updated: January 20, 2017
Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.How to Quickly Spot Common Fibonacci Ratios on a Chart
Updated: August 12, 2016
Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.The REALLY Big Myth About Earnings
Updated: July 26, 2016
Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.EURUSD: The Fed is NOT Your Friend
Updated: May 20, 2016
On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.Emotional Markets Serve Elliott Wave Investors
Updated: January 15, 2016
Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.How to Set Protective Stops Using the Wave Principle
Updated: October 22, 2015
Our Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy values the Wave Principle not only as an analytical tool, but also as a real-time trading tool. In this excerpt from the Best of Trader's Classroom eBook, he shows you how the Wave Principle's built-in rules can help you set your protective stops when trading.The Fibonacci Sequence: New Research Surprises Scientists
Updated: February 10, 2014
Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.Global Market Perspective Publication Preview - October 2018
Updated:
Watch the preview video that leads this month's Global Market Perspective publication. Learn what's covered in this month's issue.New Insights on Precious Metals & U.S. Housing
Updated:
Learn why the recent price action in gold suggests to him that gold prices may be entering a risky period soon. Plus, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone and we're sounding the alarm. Lastly, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?
Sentiment Extremes, Muni Bonds & Trump Impeachment
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Sentiment gets one-sided only at certain points in the markets' Elliott wave pattern. Learn what sentiment gauges are telling you about the market trend. Yield spreads widen for Illinois, Connecticut and New Jersey. Muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future. President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation. Learn how social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.
Immigration, "Trump Bounce" & More
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Learn how looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies, plus why Elliott Wave International believes the "Trump Bump" was in the cards LONG before Trump, and lastly, the BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now.
Gold's Ups and Downs & US Tech Startups
Updated:
Our first feature today explores how to get a firm handle on gold's ups and downs. Then we answer an important question: When does a forecast become a trade? Lastly, we look at the storm brewing for U.S. tech startups.
Spotlight: Steve Hochberg
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Enjoy this in-depth interview that I recorded with Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst.Take a listen to learn why Steve thinks Elliott wave analysis is so useful and practical.
Emotions in Trading & Extremes in Stocks
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Today's episode starts off with an interview with Pete Kendall, the co-editor of the monthly Financial Forecast. Next you'll learn why ex-marines do well as investors and traders. The last feature is a conversation with Robert Kelley about stocks and several factors that are pointing to multi-year extremes.
2020: "May You Live in Interesting Times"
Updated: January 1, 0001
Lots has been said about how unprecedented 2020 has been. From the financial markets' perspective, the fast bear market in February-March -- followed by a fast recovery -- certainly fit the bill. Watch our Financial Forecast co-editor touch on a few more points.326 Results
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