Updated: August 5, 2022In March, mainstream analysts supposedly built a solid base for an ever-expanding lumber price bubble. But then, the base fell out and lumber prices were axed 65% to an annual low on August 3. Turns out, the market's "fundamental" foundation had a few screws loose.
Updated: July 26, 2022During this time of inflation, relatively few people are worried about deflation. However, the price trend of commodities suggests that deflationary pressures are building. Take a look at this chart of aluminum, copper and zinc.
Updated: July 25, 2022The pandemic-led food crisis may feel like the new normal now, but in early 2020, it was just beginning. And, according to mainstream experts, this "incomparable black swan event" was set to slaughter non-essential/luxury markets such as beef. Instead, feeder cattle made mincemeat out of its bearish "fundamental" script!
Updated: July 19, 2022Elliott waves alone can get you pretty far in terms of spotting trend changes. But often, when you combine waves with a popular technical analysis indicator like MACD, things really start to pop. Watch our Commodities Intraday Pro Service editor Nady Laymoud walk you through a DB Commodity Index Fund chart to show you how MACD helps you spot market turns.
Updated: July 6, 2022The British FTSE-100 has shown relative outperformance this year, largely because the stocks inside the index are tied to commodities. Watch our Head of Global Strategy show you how to use Elliott waves to spot and forecast the trend in both markets going forward.
Updated: June 15, 2022Last October, soybean prices had taken a downturn to multi-month lows. The "fundamental" picture painted a mixed view of the grain's future. But the Elliott wave picture showed a clear, bullish set-up for the months ahead. Today, beans are trading where they never have before, and the path is clear for one kind of move.
Updated: June 14, 2022As the pandemic spread into the global economy in early 2020, commodity markets were hit hardest. Mainstream experts foresaw a bearish "reckoning" for raw materials. What happened next leaves many questions unanswered... until now.
Updated: June 2, 2022When will the prices of food and fuel finally stop rising? That's the question that's being asked around the globe. Keep an eye on the Elliott wave structure of this key commodity exchange-traded fund for insights.
Updated: May 23, 2022At the start of 2022, everyone agreed that lumber's fundamentals were bullish. See the forecast that defied conventional explanations and said "Look for a selloff…"
Updated: May 12, 2022At the outset of the pandemic in early 2020, cotton prices had wilted to a 10-year low. Fundamental analysts "painted a pretty tough picture" for cotton's future. And that's when things took a very unexpected turn. How come? Here are some uncommon answers.
Updated: May 2, 2022The next moves in corn and soybeans do not depend on Vladimir Putin or on drought, any more than their recent in-synch rallies have. See why in Chart of the Day.
Updated: April 27, 2022When you catch the exact top or bottom of a market move, it makes you feel like Einstein. Spotting a wave pattern called "diagonal" helps you with this challenging (and rewarding) task. Watch our Commodities Intraday Pro Service editor Nady Laymoud walk you through a soybeans chart to show you how to do just that.
Updated: April 12, 2022Our lean hogs forecast in October 2021 anticipated the huge rally that began soon into 2022. See the forecast and rally for yourself in Chart of the Day.
Updated: March 29, 2022In October 2020, we showed subscribers why the long decline in coffee was nearly over. See this excellent forecast for yourself, right now.
Updated: March 24, 2022Catching the exact top or bottom makes you feel like Einstein. The problem is, markets don't make it easy -- if you've tried, you know. But watch our Commodities Intraday Pro Service editor Nady Laymoud walk you through a cocoa chart and see how simple Elliott wave analysis helps you with this challenging (and rewarding) task.
Updated: March 21, 2022On March 9, soybean oil prices touched their highest level ever. Fundamental experts cite the Ukraine war and its grip on sunflower oil exports as the cause of the rally. The truth: bean oil's bullish fire began last December. But what, then, actually lit the match? Time to find out!
Updated: March 18, 2022The Aussie dollar and the Canadian dollar are known as "commodity dollars" because their trends tend to correlate with trends in precious metals and oil. Lately, rising commodity prices have "helped" those currencies. But could you have foreseen the rise in Australian dollar before the inflation headlines? Yes -- watch our Currency Pro Service editor watch you through Elliott wave patterns in AUDJPY and explain how.
Updated: March 16, 2022Three-plus weeks before the flood of after-the-fact, "explanatory" headlines about invasion. war and commodities, our Flash Service anticipated a huge move in wheat.
Updated: March 11, 2022Since 2020, coffee prices have flipped on their axis, going from 12-year lows to 10-year highs and then down again. For some traders, the wild ride may feel like a drug trip. But test coffee's trend for influences, and you'll find it's 100% positive for Elliott waves.
Updated: March 8, 2022Mainstream reports say Russia's war on Ukraine "explains" the big rally in wheat. Now see the better explanation.
Updated: March 7, 2022The principle of Occam's razor states that the simplest solution tends to be the right one. Watch our Trader's Classroom and Commodity Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy show why keeping things simple also works when you're applying the Elliott Wave Principle to the markets. (Cocoa in focus.)
Updated: February 25, 2022Our Commodities Junctures service forecast a rally in corn, LONG before Russia put troops on Ukraine's border. See the chart and forecast for yourself, right now.
Updated: February 15, 2022A year-and-a-half ago, the news was bad for the agricultural sector. Ironically, that's when bull markets often begin. With the help of the Elliott wave model, an investor can ascertain a trend change. Here are some insights.
Updated: February 8, 2022The futures market for lumber is normally as exciting as tree bark. Yet after a 600% rise in 2020-21, Elliott wave analysis of lumber kept subscribers a step ahead of the wild fluctuations. See it for yourself.
Updated: February 4, 2022Every trader wants a confident forecast. Watch our chief instructor, Jeffrey Kennedy, show you the tools that help you do just that. (Soybeans in focus.)
Updated: January 31, 2022The price action of financial markets creates its own trend channels. A market technician merely draws the lines by connecting key price points. Learn about the "beauty of trend channels" as it applies to this Latin America ETF.
Updated: January 28, 2022On January 22, lean hog prices soared to multi-month highs. And, according to mainstream experts, the hog bulls are "showing solid power." But if you accept their timeline, you already missed one big opportunity in hogs. And, you'll likely continue to miss the ones across the future commodity board.
Updated: January 18, 2022Soymeal's trend began to "look a lot different" before January 7th -- in fact the trend began in October, as forecast in Daily Commodity Junctures. See it for yourself.
Updated: January 5, 2022Between April 2020 and October 2021, cotton prices did a 180-degree turn from 10-year low to 10-year high. According to mainstream analysis, the only explanation for cotton's surge is the "Everything Rally." But we see everything about cotton's comeback quite differently.
Updated: December 31, 2021Between April 2020 and October 2021, cotton prices nearly doubled to decade highs! But, according to mainstream analysis, the reason for cotton's surge is "not entirely clear." From an Elliott wave perspective, however, the soft's comeback couldn't be clearer.
Updated: December 21, 2021In April 2020, the mainstream outlook for sugar was incredibly... sour. The pandemic-fueled slide in food and oil was set to take down sugar as well. What happened instead may question everything you thought you knew about fundamental analysis.
Updated: December 10, 2021Let's talk about coffee! After trending sideways for months, coffee prices broke out to the upside in November to 10-year highs, becoming the best-performing commodity of 2021. We'll share the "secret" as to how coffee pulled this off, if you promise to tell everyone you know!
Updated: December 2, 2021Lumber prices soared 600% in 2020-21 to record highs this May. Mainstream experts said the lumber boom was here to stay. YET -- prices plummeted 74%. At the August low, experts said lumber had gone bust. Did they get it right this time? See for yourself.
Updated: November 17, 2021Do commodity markets "react" to two-week old news? That's a silly question, yet it's what media reports suggest about the recent rally in corn. Now see the forecast that anticipated the rally before it happened, in Chart of the Day.
Updated: November 11, 2021Once upon a time, (i.e., the year 2020), coffee futures were stuck going sideways. A global pandemic was also expected to keep a lid on any gains. But instead, coffee soared to 7-year highs. Turns out, "fundamentals" and financial markets do NOT live happily ever after.
Updated: October 28, 20212021 has been a year of most things energy, agricultural, food and metal soaring. According to mainstream experts, the broad commodities rally has been "crazy!" and unpredictable! Our long-term bullish forecast for soybeans begs to differ.
Updated: October 22, 2021After a four-month sideways trend, the Invesco Commodity Index ETF shot up in September on the way to its highest level since late 2014. See the chart and forecast that anticipated the big move.
Updated: October 19, 2021The discoverer of the Wave Principle, R.N. Elliott, considered Fibonacci numbers its mathematical basis. Taking it one step further, this practical lesson shows you what Fibonacci clusters are and how to use them to identify high-confidence Elliott wave price targets. (In focus: wheat prices.)
Updated: October 4, 2021Before the talk of rampant commodity "inflation" we've heard in 2021, our Commodity Junctures forecast a huge rally ahead for oats: See the chart and forecast right now in Chat of the Day.
Updated: September 30, 2021September saw the bellwether Thomson/Reuters Core Commodity Index soar to its highest level since 2014. The question isn't "Are you ready for the commodities Supercycle"? It is -- were you ready when the rally began? We were, and here's what we see next.
Updated: September 24, 2021In 2008 commodity prices began a decade-plus decline. Yet, in Feb. 2020, our forecast anticipated the coming turn in commodity prices. See it for yourself in Chart of the Day.
Updated: September 14, 2021On September 10, cocoa prices touched multi-year highs, prompting mainstream experts to confirm "signs of bullish life." In fact, thanks to Elliott wave analysis, the signs of cocoa's bullish life were clear as far back as June!
Updated: September 8, 2021In June 2016, EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy showed subscribers a clear, long-term bullish set-up for wheat -- an Elliott wave diagonal triangle underway. See what happened when the trend did exactly what it was supposed to.
Updated: September 7, 2021July saw OJ's biggest monthly gain in 5 years, with prices soaring to fresh 3-year highs. Mainstream experts cite a record-cold winter in top-growing region Brazil as the main cause for the rally. Meanwhile, Elliott wave analysis saw orange juice soaring long before the temperatures started dropping.
Updated: August 23, 2021You buy -- and prices fall. You sell -- and prices rally. "It's like someone's trying to take my money!" Every trader knows the feeling. The truth is, chances are, you just got caught up in a market correction, and its name is "expanded flat." Watch our Intraday Commodity Pro Service explain how to capitalize on it. (DB Commodity Index Fund and cocoa in focus.)
Updated: August 18, 2021Last spring, cotton prices circled the drain of a decade low. With the pandemic set to roil textile demand, the bearish stage seemed set. And yet, Elliott wave analysis called for the commodity to soar. Only one outlook turned out to be right.
Updated: August 13, 2021Commodities Intraday Pro Service alerted subscribers of a possible big move in sugar, before the rally happened. See the chart and forecast for yourself.
Updated: July 26, 2021In the past week coffee saw its fastest surge since 2014. As for "why," commentary world-wide pointed to a freak frost in the heart of Brazil's coffee belt. Now see the chart and forecast that was way ahead of the trend.
Updated: July 22, 2021In late May, we said the time to yell "Timber!" on lumber's bull run had arrived. Meanwhile, the experts said the building material's boom was here to stay. Only one perspective was right. Hint: As of July, lumber has erased all its 2021 gains.
Updated: July 16, 2021In March 2020, rubber prices had as much bounce as a dropped water balloon. And a broad slump in raw materials caused by the pandemic was set to see rubber's downtrend continue. Instead, prices rallied to 4-year highs right alongside the pandemic. Can you say, huh?
Updated: July 8, 2021Check out the chart and near-term forecasts we sent to subscribers ahead of big moves in corn prices. You'll see Elliott Wave analysis at its best -- how timely and ahead-of-the-news the method truly is.
Updated: July 7, 2021It's official: A full-scale commodities boom is underway, and the lean hog market is no exception. Between April 2020 and June 2021, hog prices more than doubled to their highest level since 2014. There's one way out of this boom without going bust... but -- it isn't the way most traveled.
Updated: June 25, 2021In March 2020, soybean prices were staring down 11-year lows amidst the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic. Fear of the future was supposed to be a "price killer" for the grain. But instead, beans turned up and rallied to 8-year highs come May 2021. For some, this is unpredictable price action at its worst. For us, its patterned behavior at its best.
Updated: June 18, 2021Commodity prices have taken a tumble during the past several days. A financial website says the decline is due to the "China crackdown" and "rising dollar." Yet, Elliott wave analysis foretold of the price drop when commodities were still rallying. Take a look at this chart.
Updated: June 8, 2021On May 28, coffee prices shot to their highest level in 4.5 years, prompting one source to confirm a "firm upward trend" in the market. But for investors looking to "buy low and sell high," the more opportune time to recognize coffee's uptrend was when prices bottomed -- a year ago.
Updated: June 7, 2021On July 10 2020, Daily Commodity Junctures said the crude oil pattern pointed to "a clean, clear and straightforward interpretation moving forward," which was clearly bullish. See the chart and forecast for yourself.
Updated: May 20, 2021In April of 2020, our Monthly Commodity Junctures showed a price chart of feeder cattle and said, "we have seen a very significant low in the feeder cattle market …" Now see the huge rally that followed.
Updated: May 14, 2021It was barely a year ago that the main mainstream narrative was, "commodities have further to fall." Now see the forecast that say commodities were about to launch a third wave higher.
Updated: May 14, 2021"As some major economies emerge from the economic lockdowns, there are increasing reports of shortages: computer chips, food commodities, even chlorine. The biggest shortage, though, may be in common sense," explains our Head of Global Research in a new essay. (Commodities in focus.)
Updated: April 21, 2021Between March 2020 and February 2021, sugar prices did a 180-degree flip from a 12-year low to a 4-year high. A sugar rush was not the outcome expected by mainstream experts. It was, however, the one Elliott wave price patterns in sugar charts got sweet on as early as last April.
Updated: April 13, 2021It's been the story of the past 20 years at least. With economies like China (and others such as India) fully embracing the global economy, all of a sudden (well, millennially speaking) the planet's global labor capacity surged and that led to a huge downward pressure on labor costs. China became the world's factory and kept its export prices low, leading to the oft-used soundbite that China has been "exporting deflation." Now, though, that might be changing.
Updated: April 6, 2021Last month, corn prices rallied to their highest level in 8 years. The grain's gains "took many in the industry by surprise." But for one group of investors, corn's comeback was right on schedule...
Updated: March 24, 2021In 1981, the Elliott Wave pattern anticipated a very long-term change in commodities. In 2008, the pattern again anticipated a huge turn in the trend. See the charts for yourself, and Robert Prechter's perspective on what's next.
Updated: March 17, 2021Back in May 2020, cotton prices circled the drain of a decade low. And, according to the mainstream experts, one huge obstacle stood in the way of a comeback: The plunge in textile demand due to the coronavirus pandemic. So -- why did the commodity rally to a 3-year high this February? The answer will boll you over!
Updated: March 9, 2021Last fall, coffee prices put the soft in Softs as the worst-performing commodity. Word on Main Street was, a record-high supply glut would keep the lid firmly on any upside. Yet -- on February 27, coffee stood at its highest level in 3-1/2 years! This story is best served hot...
Updated: March 2, 2021Did the price rise in oats reflect its rising popularity with consumers? Or, is there a better explanation for the price trend? Our chart and forecast has a clear answer to this and more.
Updated: March 1, 2021This February, oat futures took the grain stage by storm when prices surged to 7-year highs. Mainstream analysts cite the white-hot craze for "white gold," (i.e. alternative, non-dairy products like oat milk). We have an alternative, non-fundamental side to the story you're gonna want to drink in.
Updated: February 9, 2021Commodity prices moves in cycles -- from bullish to bearish and back again. Knowing how to time each cycle can be valuable information in itself, but when you combine it with Elliott wave analysis, you can make an even more confident forecast. Watch our Commodity Junctures editor walk you through a very "exciting" picture in cocoa.
Updated: February 8, 2021Soybean prices rallied more than 75% in the past 10 months -- as for "why," many media reports now say the opposite of what they said in March 2020. Now see our forecast from the time.
Updated: February 3, 2021Soybean prices have just soared to their highest level since June of 2014. Mainstream experts cite "resistance to the Covid" slowdown as a reason for soybeans' rally. That's easy to say now, after the grain has soared 40%-plus over the course of 10 months. But that's not what they were saying... back then.
Updated: December 23, 2020You look at a chart. You see what counts well as waves 1 and 2. How far will wave 3 go? In this video, our Sr. Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy shows you a simple price-projection technique he calls "Reverse Fibonacci." Market in focus: coffee. (But you can apply it to any market.)
Updated: December 22, 2020What caused rubber's 2020 rebound? Mainstream reports cite demand for latex gloves. Yet, at rubber's March low, they played a VERY different tune. See the chart and read the forecast that called the rally before it unfolded.
Updated: December 2, 2020Cocoa saw a 25% price rise in November -- now see the October forecast and chart that anticipated the rally.
Updated: November 19, 2020The Commodity Futures Trading Commission monitors three groups of participants in commodity markets. Learn why one of these three is usually on the correct side of markets at key price turns and what this means for investors at this particular juncture.
Updated: November 18, 2020News about soybeans was bleak in March, with words like "uncertainty," "fear" and "price killer." Yet soybeans rallied to 4-year highs. This scenario is exactly what our March 2020 Monthly Commodity Junctures anticipated.
Updated: November 3, 2020Commodity markets are cyclical: Long periods of rallies follow long periods of declines -- and often, both follow a certain rhythm. Watch our monthly Commodity Junctures editor walk you through an interesting cycle in sugar. You'll also get an idea of what's likely next for the sweet commodity.
Updated: October 20, 2020External "supply shocks" do not control price trends. Investor psychology -- which unfold as Elliott wave patterns -- does. See a multi-year example in the soybean market.
Updated: October 6, 2020You're hearing a lot of concerns about inflation. If they are valid, commodity prices should be ready to launch to record highs. Are they? In this video, our Commodity Junctures editor zooms you in for a closer look at two important commodities: soybeans and wheat.
Updated: July 29, 2020You can apply Elliott wave analysis to charts on any time frame. Watch our Commodity Junctures editor walk you through coffee's wave pattern going back some 40 years -- and learn what they suggest for this important commodity in the months (and years) ahead.
Updated: July 16, 2020There’s a reason why stocks and commodities – like oil, gold and silver – tend to end bull markets differently. Get the insights you need to know as you take a look at these two charts.
Updated: July 16, 2020Every "preferred" Elliott wave scenario has a so-called alternate, a Plan B. Sometimes, Plan A and Plan B disagree. Other times, they are in agreement -- which only adds confidence to your analysis. Watch our Commodity Junctures editor explain using the current price action in sugar.
Updated: July 6, 2020Despite what financial stories said, the trends in coffee and orange juice changed when "virus spread" was already in news reports. See for yourself what our March 2020 Commodity Junctures Service publications called for.
Updated: May 29, 2020In mid-2018, news stories about cotton led traders to expect a rally. Yet our June 2018 Monthly Commodity Junctures anticipated a very big decline. See what actually happened, via Chart of the Day.
Updated: May 28, 2020Both Elliott waves and candlesticks are popular methods of technical market analysis. Watch as our Commodity Junctures editor shows you how candlesticks can confirm an Elliott wave count. Market in focus: coffee.
Updated: April 9, 2020Only a few weeks ago, the financial news was running hugely bullish stories about the lumber market. Now see what followed after a contrarian forecast...
Updated: April 6, 2020You can distill all Elliott wave trade setups down to just 4 high-confidence chart patterns. Among those 4, our Commodity Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy has an absolute favorite: the 4th wave pullback. Watch Jeffrey explain why he likes this setup so much -- in bull AND in bear markets.
Updated: March 13, 2020NYMEX crude oil has been slashed in half since the start of 2020, with prices circling the drain of a four-year low on March 9. Mainstream fingers point to COVID-19, OPEC+ tensions, Saudi price cuts, and a U.S. travel ban -- as the catalysts for oil's "bloodbath." Our story shows why none of them fit the bill -- and what the real cause is.
Updated: March 12, 2020Despite what you often hear from mainstream sources, it’s the stock market that leads the economy, not the other way around. But there are more ways to forecast what’s next for the economy. Take a look at this index, for example, which has been sending a warning signal since 2018, alongside the “softening” U.S. GDP numbers.
Updated: February 24, 2020Elliott wave analysis offers forecasts that are independent of external market drama. See the chart and analysis that anticipated wheat's powerful rally from late August 2019 thru January 21, when prices hit an 18-month high.
Updated: February 21, 2020The “moving average” is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. Let a veteran market technician tell you what he’s learned from using moving averages over the years. Take a look at the first chart in the free guide: “How You Can Find High-Probability Trading Opportunities Using Moving Averages.”
Updated: December 9, 2019To understand Elliott wave analysis at work in actual world markets, let's review the recent history in an often-volatile commodity markets: sugar.
Updated: October 25, 2019You can shrink all Elliott wave patterns down to just five "core" price patterns. One of them is the ending diagonal. Watch as our Commodity Junctures editor shows you how to spot it on a chart -- and more importantly, prepare for the "spectacular price move" that comes next.
Updated: October 17, 2019You probably know that Elliott wave analysis has three strict rules, plus a handful of guidelines. When you apply them to price charts, you can set realistic price targets -- short- or long-term. Watch as our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor shows you how.
Updated: September 19, 2019Besides Elliott wave patterns, there are other configurations in price charts that you can put to good use. While most of them can be described in terms of Elliott waves, in this video our Trader's Classroom editor shows you two that he calls "throwback" and "pullback." Watch.
Updated: July 17, 2019Many Main Street investors would probably be surprised at how often the professionals on Wall Street are on the wrong side of major market turns. Gold is a prime example. Learn why this insight is especially important now...
Updated: July 5, 2019Like 2005's Katrina, a major Gulf of Mexico hurricane can deal a heavy blow to crude oil production. Most financial and economic pundits would then conclude that such a supply disruption would send oil prices skyrocketing with demand. Yet this chart defies their Econ 101 logic.
Updated: June 25, 2019Gold is trading at highs not seen since 2013. Will the rally continue? First, let’s talk about how we got here...
Updated: February 26, 2019Most speculators had an unfavorable outlook for gold in August. Yet, EWI's Chief Market Analyst said "gold is in the late stage of its decline." The very next day, gold hit a low and its price began a steady march upward. Learn how the precious metals usually end a trend...
Updated: February 26, 2019EWI's Commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy talks with Dana Weeks about his recent soybean oil forecast, complete with an in-depth show and tell with the chart.
Updated: February 20, 2019Commodities may be more volatile than stock and bond markets, yet commodity prices still unfold in clear Elliott wave patterns. Those patterns are the signal amidst the noise -- see a case in point from a recent forecast in Monthly Commodities Junctures.
Updated: February 8, 2019In this interview with Dana Weeks, Trader's Classroom editor Jeffrey Kennedy gives the big-picture details of an even bigger forecast in commodities ... back in 2011.
Updated: February 5, 2019When’s the last time you looked at a chart and forecast that correctly anticipated a seven-year trend? See a case-in-point for yourself, in this Chart of the Day.
Updated: January 23, 2019Cotton rallied in the first half of 2018: So, conventional wisdom called for even higher prices. Yet cotton did the opposite, spiraling lower into 2019. Now see what a contrarian voice said in the face of bullish sentiment.
Updated: January 17, 2019From spring 2018 to late September, soybean prices plunged 20% to end at their lowest level in a decade. Mainstream experts were united: The catalyst was China's 25% import tax on U.S. soybeans. Our story sows a very different seed.
Updated: December 19, 2018How could sugar go from a 4-year high in September 2016, to a disintegration that made it the "worst-performing commodity" of 2018? See the pattern and forecast that foretold the outcome.
Updated: September 26, 2018After cocoa's fast, multi-month rally to begin the year, Daily Commodity Junctures’ editor Jeffrey Kennedy anticipated what was next: the big rally would give way to a trend reversal. See and hear what he said to subscribers.
Updated: September 21, 2018In the first four months of 2018, the cocoa market looked like it was on a mad sugar rush: The "best-performing commodity of 2018." Cocoa was THE bull market. Yet, one analyst knew a peak when he saw it. Read his forecast, and see what followed.
Updated: August 10, 2018This simple moving average "works equally well in commodities, currencies, and stocks"
Updated: June 1, 2018An opportunity in commodity markets is only meaningful if you take advantage of it. For tips on how to do it, ElliottWaveTV sat down with Jeffrey Kennedy, long-time editor of our Commodity Junctures and experienced trading instructor.
Updated: May 4, 2018Jeffrey Kennedy has been at the helm of our ever-popular Commodity Junctures for well over a decade. ElliottWaveTV asks what drew him to commodities in the first place, as well as what long-term cycle commodities are currently in.
Updated: April 23, 2018When all markets within a complex move together, should that add to your confidence -- or is that irrelevant? ElliottWaveTV asked this and other questions to Jeffrey Kennedy, our long-time Commodity Junctures editor.
Updated: April 6, 2018When it comes to commodity prices, sometimes it pays to watch other markets and indicators alongside Elliott waves. Jeffrey Kennedy, our long-time Commodity Junctures editor, tells you what indicators he monitors in this new ElliottWaveTV interview.
Updated: April 3, 2018Fact: On March 23, lean hog prices plunged to a 4-month low. Not a fact: Hogs started falling the moment trade threats started flying between the U.S. and China. Here's how events really unfolded.
Updated: March 27, 2018Many oil traders are often on the wrong side of the trend at major market turns. Why? They base their trading decisions on a faulty premise regarding oil prices and production. Get the insight you need to know.
Updated: March 9, 2018You learn a lot when you observe (and forecast) market behavior for a couple of decades. Jeffrey Kennedy, our Commodity Junctures editor, tells you why the first few days of the month are so important for commodities in this new EllottWaveTV interview.
Updated: February 12, 2018Despite the shake-up in the stock market and cryptocurrencies, commodities like corn and soybeans have been rising lately. There may be more "surprises" ahead -- ElliottWaveTV sat down with our Commodity Junctures editor, Jeffrey Kennedy, to get his latest thoughts.
Updated: January 12, 2018Softs and grains have not been very exciting this year, so far. Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of our Commodity Junctures, tells ElliottWave TV if he thinks the lack of volatility should persist.
Updated: December 18, 2017At the start of November, the fundamental deck was stacked in the cocoa bulls' favor. But instead of rallying, prices turned down. The reason why might surprise you.
Updated: December 18, 2017As 2018 is about to start, what commodity opportunities should you have your eye on? Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of our Commodity Junctures, explains in the new interview.
Updated: December 13, 2017In early November, all the fundamental stars were aligned for live cattle prices to soar. But instead, the market declined. The reason why might surprise you.
Updated: December 1, 2017There is no question that cyclical and seasonal factors impact commodity prices. However, market psychology is also a huge factor -- and nothing helps you track it like Elliott wave analysis. Watch our Chief Commodity Analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, give you his latest thoughts (softs and grains in focus).
Updated: November 30, 2017In early November, Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy showed subscribers a budding third-wave rally on cotton's price chart. From there, cotton soared. This picture is worth one word: opportunity.
Updated: November 20, 2017In this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of Commodity Junctures and Trader's Classroom, he discusses the larger trends across the softs and grains markets.
Updated: November 17, 2017In early March, sugar prices hit a sour note and embarked on a precipitous sell-off. Truth to be told, we didn't expect the decline for much later. But that didn't mean we weren't prepared when it happened.
Updated: November 3, 2017In this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of our Commodity Junctures and Trader's Classroom, he tells you about his approach to market seasonality and explains how Elliott waves helps you ride long-term commodities cycles (focus: softs and grains).
Updated: October 30, 2017In late September, the USDA dropped a bearish bombshell on the lean hog market. So, why then did hog prices proceed to rally to a two-plus month high? Miracle -- or something else?
Updated: October 16, 2017In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to a decade low before pausing. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.
Updated: October 13, 2017Regardless of your method, it's hard to forecast a range-bound market. Yet, even corrections have internal order, despite their "messy" appearance.
Updated: October 6, 2017Jeffrey Kennedy tells you why he expects volatility to increase across commodities this fall, and as we move into 2018.
Updated: October 5, 2017Back in mid-2016, sugar prices were orbiting a 4-year high -- and all fundamental signs pointed in one direction: UP. But instead, the market soured to a 2-year low, which is why it may be time to break up with popular financial wisdom...
Updated: September 26, 2017One day, coffee prices rise -- and the drought is blamed. Next day, despite the drought, coffee prices fall... and post-factum explanations shift elsewhere. Maybe there's something more to coffee's price swings than weather...
Updated: September 13, 2017Many experts said orange juice was the single-most "hurricane-hit" commodity, with prices soaring ahead of Irma. But we believe there's more to this market's price trend than weather.
Updated: September 8, 2017In early 2011, our senior commodities analyst Jeffrey Kennedy saw a very bearish picture on the long-term price chart of the bellwether Continuous Commodity Index -- that of a mature Elliott wave "impulse." We're now in year six of the bear market that followed.
Updated: September 6, 2017In early 2014, lean hog prices stood at an all-time high amidst the most bullish fundamental backdrop in 30 years. And yet, prices got slaughtered in a 2-year long crash to 14-year lows. It's time to look beyond fundamentals to the other forces driving market trends.
Updated: August 29, 2017If supply disruptions cause oil prices to go up, can you tell when on this chart the most destructive hurricane in U.S. history arrived?
Updated: August 25, 2017What do the 2017 bear market sell-off in sugar and the August rally in soybean oil have in common? They're both classic Elliott wave examples of what happens when a third wave develops on a market's price chart -- namely, huge moves!
Updated: August 23, 2017After aluminum prices soared to their highest level since 2014, the mainstream experts cited "deep capacity cuts" by China as the fundamental impetus for the rise. But what about seeing aluminum's bullish surge before it began? That's the story you want to hear!
Updated: August 18, 2017From 2012 to 2016, soybean prices went from all-time high -- to -- 8-year low in a 50%-plus bear-market selloff. As it turns out, this dramatic reversal was a perfect example of one of our favorite Elliott wave patterns in action, the ending diagonal.
Updated: August 7, 2017For traders, one of the best scenarios you can ask for is to catch a market as it's setting sail with the larger trend. Today, we use the recent sell-off in cocoa to show how Elliott wave analysis can help you do just that.
Updated: August 2, 2017Learn how Japanese candlestick analysis can help support your technical trading decisions.
Updated: July 31, 2017In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Now, the phrase "peak oil" has been re-introduced, but in a different way.
Updated: July 25, 2017Over the last two years, sugar prices have crashed… and spiked… and crashed, providing huge opportunities for investors and traders -- IF they stayed out in front of the dramatic turns, that is. Here's what might have helped them.
Updated: July 24, 2017See just how much you can learn from three simple charts.
Updated: July 20, 2017Some trends pull prices like a freight train, and jumping on the wrong one can cost you dearly. That's why, in the Elliott wave approach, identifying the trend is paramount. Let's look at crude oil prices as an example.
Updated: June 15, 2017Dear crude oil traders, the key to the market's next big move isn't in the next inventory report, or OPEC supply cut, or (fill in the blank). It's on the market's price chart, right now!
Updated: June 15, 2017On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.
Updated: June 14, 2017June 14: Fed Day! It's supposedly the one day gold investors can clearly predict the precious metal's next move based on the Fed's hawkish or dovish tone. But history shows gold prices are NOT being led by the Fed at all.
Updated: June 7, 2017In late March, all fundamental signs in the market for lean hogs pointed in one clear direction: down. And yet, hog prices enjoyed a powerful rally to fresh contract highs. Find out the real story here!
Updated: May 26, 2017Before the May 25 OPEC meeting, crude oil price rose to $52 a barrel. And then, as the meeting statements were released, crude sank more than 5%. You could say it's a classic case of "buy the rumor, sell the news." But we believe there was another pattern at play here.
Updated: May 19, 2017See why our Chief Energy Analyst believes that regardless of what OPEC does, it's unlikely to change oil's dominant trend.
Updated: May 5, 2017Tom Denham tells you why looking at the U.S. dollar, interest rates and politics are the wrong tools when trying to forecast the price action in gold. Here's what's a better indicator.
Updated: April 21, 2017Tom Denham outlines the Elliott wave patterns he's looking at in copper, aluminum and gold and discusses what these patterns imply for the future of these markets.
Updated: April 20, 2017The real news for silver prices is all about sentiment: Are Silver Traders "Way Too Bullish"? See and hear the evidence...
Updated: April 12, 2017Steve Craig, the Editor of our Energy Pro Service, explains that when looking across the energy complex, 2017 is playing out according to his Elliott wave script.
Updated: April 11, 2017The search for recoverable crude never stops. But, the search is more active at some times than at others -- drilling for crude is immensely expensive and full of risk. Yet here's what is especially relevant to our forecast: The search for crude is a collective activity. So it's no surprise that the oil rig count reflects a textbook Elliott Wave pattern. See it for yourself on our unique chart.
Updated: April 10, 2017At the start of 2017, China and the U.S. were engaged in a bitter “Aluminum War” – one widely expected to keep the metal’s price under pressure. And yet, since early January, aluminum prices have rallied to a 2-year high. Our take on why might surprise you.
Updated: August 22, 2016In part 2 of our in-depth conversation with Steve Craig, Elliot Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, he reveals why the volatility in crude oil and natural gas keeps him excited about the markets he covers.
Updated: February 22, 2016Learn more about our Chief Commodity Analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, and what he thinks makes Elliott wave principle so compelling: Namely, that it puts price action into context of a larger trend.
Updated: November 24, 2015Trendlines: You may have heard of them. Now, see how effective this simple technical tool can be for identifying high-confidence trade set-ups in real-world financial markets. Examples: gold and O.J.
Updated: November 12, 2015"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?
Updated: July 29, 2015Why do some traders jump in too early and take positions when an Elliott wave pattern demonstrates only one or two of the necessary traits? Find the answer -- and the solution -- with a quick lesson from our Trader's Classroom editor, Jeffrey Kennedy.
Updated: June 24, 2015One of the most common requests we get from traders is: Can you teach me how to look at a chart and find opportunities for myself?
Updated: December 30, 2014Use this free lesson to brush up on methods and indicators that can help you improve your confidence in your own market analysis.
Why investors should consider technical analysis. Plus, EWI's Chief Energy Analyst explains how he factors extreme weather events into his analysis. Lastly, see why there is no reliable standard of value for the stock market.
Updated:Our first feature looks at a gold forecast that many may have missed. Then we speak with Jeffrey Kennedy who outlines the four key principles that'll help improve Elliott wave skills. And lastly, we explore why AAA credit ratings aren't always what they seem.