by Editorial Staff
Updated: August 01, 2016
Some people like to get outside on the weekends, maybe playing tennis or working in the yard. Some people like to visit their friends or cook a big meal or go out to see a movie. And some people who are passionate about their work -- such as Elliott Wave International's analyst Jeffrey Kennedy -- like to stare at hundreds of price charts on their computer screen to find patterns that point to trade setups. We used to worry for his health but not anymore, because he's been doing it for years and he comes up with some neat stuff. A case in point is his discovery of a two-bar pattern that he named the Popgun. Find out more in this excerpt from his lesson in the Club EWI eBook, How to Use Bar Patterns to Spot Trade Setups.
I'm no doubt dating myself, but when I was a kid, I had a popgun -- the old-fashioned kind with a cork and string (no fake Star Wars light saber for me). You pulled the trigger, and the cork popped out of the barrel attached to a string. If you were like me, you immediately attached a longer string to improve the popgun's reach. Why the reminiscing? Because "Popgun" is the name of a bar pattern I would like to share with you this month. And it's the path of the cork (out and back) that made me think of the name for this pattern.
The Popgun is a two-bar pattern composed of an outside bar preceded by an inside bar. (Quick refresher course: An outside bar occurs when the range of a bar encompasses the previous bar and an inside bar is a price bar whose range is encompassed by the previous bar.) In the first chart (Coffee), I have circled two Popguns.
So what's so special about the Popgun? It introduces swift, tradable moves in price. More importantly, once the moves end, they are significantly retraced, just like the popgun cork going out and back.
As you can see in the chart above, prices advance sharply following the Popgun, and then the move is significantly retraced.In this chart, we see the same thing again but to the downside: prices fall dramatically after the Popgun, and then a sizable correction develops.
How can we incorporate this bar pattern into our Elliott wave analysis? The best way is to understand where Popguns show up in the wave patterns. I have noticed that Popguns tend to occur prior to impulse waves -- waves one, three and five. But, remember, waves A and C of corrective wave patterns are also technically impulse waves. So Popguns can occur prior to those moves as well.
There's only one more thing to know about using this Popgun trade setup: Just be careful and don't shoot your eye out, as my mom would say.