“I don’t want to hear about it.”
During a mania, “no prudent professional is perceived to add value”
by Bob Stokes
Updated: October 19, 2021
"I don't want to hear about it."
That's the general response from many new retail investors here in 2021 when a veteran stock market observer expresses any hint of caution about the stock market.
This lack of respect for sober reflections about the market has been exhibited before.
Indeed, as far back as 1997, in a Special Report titled "Bulls, Bears and Manias," The Elliott Wave Theorist said:
"A very human aspect of manias is that no prudent professional is perceived to add value. Indeed, the professional with a knowledge of history and value is eventually judged as an impediment to success."
Today's newbie investors are exhibiting this attitude in spades as expressed by the Wall Street Journal (Aug. 27):
Young investors are turning to a new generation of stock pickers--many without formal training--for advice... Staying popular means never criticizing a meme stock.
Yes, one of the keys to social media success for non-professional dispensers of stock picking advice is to always be bullish.
This ties in perfectly with the widespread sentiment among their social media followers that the market always goes up.
Our October Elliott Wave Financial Forecast mentioned yet another financial mania trait:
Back in January 2000, the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast noted, "professionals and institutions that used to know better now pander to the stock-market dreams of the little guy." This time they're not just pandering with comments about a new era of retail dominance. Now the pros are copying the strategies of the little guy.
Getting back to the idea that the market always goes up, the only thing it will take for this maniacal mindset to be dramatically altered is a bear market.
Keep in mind that the current uptrend has extended for more than 12 years. Even so, as just discussed, investor psychology is even more extreme than 2000, or 2007, for that matter.
Now is the time to learn what the Elliott wave model has to say about the stock market's price pattern so you can prepare for what will take many investors -- both professionals and novices -- by surprise.
Just follow the link below to tap into the insights of our flagship investor package.
Are You Ready for Fast-Moving Stock Market Prices?
What does it matter if an investor rides a bull market for all it's worth, if the market takes back the gains in a very fast downturn?
Worse -- what if the down trend turns into a massive loss?
That's the question too many investors will face at the lows of the next bear market -- which EWI's analysts believe may well be the history-making big one.
Indeed, chart after chart in the October Elliott Wave Theorist provide you with thought-provoking insights.
You can be reviewing these "must see" charts in just moments as you follow the link below.
Financial Forecast Service
All month long, Financial Forecast Service helps you stay ahead of the waves in the U.S. markets on the timeframes that matter the most. FFS covers the stock indexes, bonds, gold, silver, the U.S. dollar, as well as market psychology and cultural trends. It is our most popular service.
Comprises the monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, 3x-per-week Short Term Update and at least 12x-per-year Elliott Wave Theorist.
Read Chapter 1 of Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
An Elliott wave contracting triangle is a price pattern that often forms in a corrective wave 4 position -- meaning, a big move in wave 5 comes next. However, a variation of the triangle called a "running triangle" offers additional possibilities. Watch our European Short Term Update editor walk you through a chart of the pan-European index of 50 stocks and explain the implications.
We're not the first ones to notice a curious correlation between the timing of record highs in the stock market and proposals for building new skyscrapers. Watch our Financial Forecast co-editor discuss the latest proposal for an "upside-down" skyscraper in New York City.