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Social Mood

Should We Stay or Should We Go?

by Socionomics Institute
Updated: August 02, 2022

A recent Yahoo! News/YouGov poll asked, "Do you think your state would be better off or worse off if it left the United States and became an independent country?"

Results showed 43% believe they'd be "worse off," 24% were "not sure," 18% said they'd be "better off" and 15% said things would be about the same. But when Yahoo! News correspondent Andrew Romano broke down the responses, he found that people in red states who voted for Donald Trump were much more open to seceding:

Red-state Donald Trump voters are now more likely to say they'd be personally 'better off' (33%) than 'worse off' (29%) if their state seceded from the U.S. and became an independent country.

Meanwhile, half of the 8,600 participants in a recent study by University of California, Davis, expect a civil war in the U.S. in the next five years. Science magazine, which reported on the study, said many of the participants expect to take part in such a war. Rachel Kleinfeld, a political violence expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said the study's findings are compelling because of the large number of participants. She said the study sample slightly overrepresented older people, who are not known to commit much violence. "So, the fact that you're [still] getting these high numbers ... is really quite concerning," she added.

The February 2010 issue of The Socionomist said secessionism springs from "the negative-mood impulse among people to separate and polarize." Look for more talk of secession if social mood becomes increasingly negative.

The Socionomics Premier Membership is your best bet to anticipate and adapt to changes in social mood. Keep reading below to learn how you can become a member.


Socionomics starts with a simple observation: How people FEEL influences how they will BEHAVE.

At the Socionomics Institute, we look at how society is feeling today – so you can anticipate how society will behave tomorrow. We track social mood in real time across the globe. You’ll see how changes in social mood shift everything from the songs people want to hear to the leaders they elect; from people’s desire for peace to their hunger for scandals.

This is a rare, awe-inspiring insight. It’s what enables the Institute to help our members stay ahead of new trends that surprise almost everyone else.

Your Socionomics Premier Membership gives you this unrivaled perspective and puts you miles ahead of the herd.


Your Membership Resources Fall Into Three Categories:

12 issues per year, plus the entire 150+ issue archive ($1200 total value)

The Socionomist is dedicated to helping readers capitalize on social mood. Each month, our analysts show you how social mood is shaping trends around the world. They identify upcoming turns and forecast bold new changes that no one else sees coming. Politics, popular culture, disease, family, religion, industry – they are all powered by social mood; The Socionomist shows you how so you can prepare for what’s ahead, take advantage of opportunities and dodge risks.

5 Online Books ($227 total value)

With hundreds of charts and illustrations, this series introduces socionomics and demonstrates how social mood motivates social events, not the other way around:

The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior (1999) – This groundbreaking book reveals why society is chronically blindsided by major social changes and shows you how to join the few who can foresee -- and capitalize on -- huge societal shifts. Value: $39.

Pioneering Studies in Socionomics (2003) – See how to apply socionomics in this sweeping volume of revealing case studies. Value: $39.

The Socionomic Theory of Finance (2016) – How macroeconomics and finance really work – it’s very different from what you learned in school! Value: $79.

Socionomic Studies of Society and Culture (2017) – Discover how you can anticipate and capitalize on trends in pop culture and broader society. #1 Amazon social theory bestseller! Value: $35.

Socionomic Causality in Politics (2017) – Grasp political trends in a new way by seeing exactly what propels them. Value: $35.

($299+ annual value)

You get a well-organized, full library of exclusive content. Plus, you get every new piece of content we release while you’re a member, including any book and DVD in digital format, as soon as it’s released; a virtual seat at any online event we host; a copy of any academic paper we release; every episode of our Pop Trends Price Culture videocast; and access to any available recording of speeches we make.

2-Month Introductory Offer

Try the Socionomics Premier Membership for two months.

Price: $77

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