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Metals , Investing , Trading

Why You Should Keep an Eye on Gold

How our forecast for “still-higher prices” has played out so far

by Bob Stokes
Updated: November 11, 2022

Gold had been in a downtrend since early March, yet in recent weeks, the yellow metal appears to be trying to reverse that trend -- at least in the near-term.

It would not be surprising if gold does stage a rally because platinum has already "broken out" and silver has already shown some "get up and go." Plus, copper's rally potential is also worth watching. Of course, there are no guarantees when it comes to financial markets.

But, getting back to gold, let me show you some of our recent analysis and touch on what's happened since.

Here's a Nov. 7 chart from our U.S. Short Term Update, along with a quote:


[Gold]'s strong rise from $1616.47, the "test" of the lows of September 28 and October 21, appears to be an impulse, which may portend still-higher prices.

Well, after that analysis published, gold was up more than 2% on Nov. 8, showed little price movement on Nov. 9, and intraday on Nov. 10, is up again more than 2%.

This action is quite in contrast with the outlook of this Sept. 22 headline (Bloomberg):

Gold Flirts With Bear Market After Rate Hikes Batter Bullion

Now that gold has rallied, there's this Nov. 10 headline (CNBC):

Gold soars over 2% as U.S. inflation data cements Fed slowdown bets

Well, Elliott Wave International posits that the Fed is not "making" gold go up or down, rather, it's gold's Elliott wave pattern that investors need to watch.

Get gold updates three days a week by reading our U.S. Short Term Update, which is part of our popular Financial Forecast Service. Just follow the link below.

Want to Anticipate the Stock Market's Next Big Move?

Then look to the stock market itself.

"Fundamental" market analysts have a major voice in the field of finance.

But all the opinions in the world cannot replace a cold, objective look at the stock market's "technicals."

In-depth technical analysis requires a tremendous amount of work. If you can perform this task yourself, Elliott Wave International wishes you the best.

On the other hand, having our team of analysts on your side may well give you the edge you're seeking.

You be the judge -- click on the link below to learn about our popular Financial Forecast Service.

Chinese Investors Are Rushing into Gold. Should You?

The wild card for the global markets remains China. You've heard about its real estate problems; now the yuan is on the rocks. Here's our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor, Mark Galasiewski, with a handy chart and a few under-the-radar highlights from the October issue to give you a unique perspective on the situation.

European Stocks: “Deeper and Deeper”

October is almost here, and so far, "things are quiet" in the markets, says our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor Brian Whitmer. But watch as he lists a few items on his radar as he gives you highlights from the new, October issue.

Another Way to Measure (and Predict) Volatility

Volatility has reigned on Wall Street this month. One way to measure and predict it is by looking at the difference, or "spread," between the "fear index" VIX and junk bonds. Here's our Head of Global Strategy, Murray Gunn, showing you an interesting chart in a preview of our new, October Global Market Perspective.