Inflation vs. Deflation

Download this 8-page report adapted from Robert Prechter's best-seller Conquer the Crash, and learn whether inflation or deflation is the biggest threat to your money supply.

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Know which villain to prepare for

If inflation is a quiet thief, then deflation is an armed burglar. You wouldn't invite either into your home, yet chances are that one of the two is stealing your money right now.

Here's the good news: You can protect yourself, but only if you know which villain to prepare for.

And, while the usual suspects failed to anticipate the major component of deflation, EWI president Robert Prechter set the stage early for its arrival in his 2002 book Conquer the Crash. There in Chapter 9 Bob outlined the following preconditions for deflation that, when read in the context of today's financial crisis, are nothing short of impeccable:

"When social mood trend changes from optimism to pessimism, creditors, debtors, producers, and consumers change their primary orientation from expansion to conservatism. As creditors become more conservative, they slow their lending. When debtors become more conservative, they borrow less or not at all. As consumers become more conservative, they save more and spend less.... The next chapters present a discussion that will allow you to understand today's money and credit situation and why deflation is due."

Read that chapter, When Does Deflation Occur?, along with Chapter 11, What Makes Deflation Likely Today?, from Prechter's Conquer the Crash in this free resource.

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Meet Your Author

Robert Prechter

Robert R. Prechter Founder and President, Elliott Wave International

Robert R. Prechter’s name is familiar to market observers the world over. Since founding EWI in 1979, Prechter has focused on applying and enhancing the Wave Principle, R.N. Elliott’s fractal model of financial pricing. Prechter shares his market insights in The Elliott Wave Theorist, one of the longest-running financial publications in existence today. Prechter has developed a theory of social causality called socionomics, whose main hypothesis is endogenously regulated waves of social mood prompt social actions. In other words, events don’t shape moods; moods shape events. Prechter has authored and edited several academic papers. He has written 18 books on finance and socionomics, including a New York Times bestseller.