| In The Elliott Wave
Principle — A Critical Appraisal, Hamilton Bolton made this
opening statement:
As we have advanced through some
of the most unpredictable economic climate imaginable, covering
depression, major war, and postwar reconstruction and boom, I
have noted how well Elliott's Wave Principle has fitted into the
facts of life as they have developed, and have accordingly
gained more confidence that this Principle has a good quotient
of basic value.
"The Wave Principle" is
Ralph Nelson Elliott's discovery that social, or crowd, behavior
trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. Using stock market
data as his main research tool, Elliott discovered that the
ever-changing path of stock market prices reveals a structural
design that in turn reflects a basic harmony found in nature.
From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market
analysis. Elliott isolated thirteen patterns of movement, or
"waves," that recur in market price data and are
repetitive in form, but are not necessarily repetitive in time
or amplitude. He named, defined and illustrated the patterns. He
then described how these structures link together to form larger
versions of those same patterns, how they in turn link to form
identical patterns of the next larger size, and so on. In a
nutshell, then, the Wave Principle is a catalog of price
patterns and an explanation of where these forms are likely to
occur in the overall path of market development. Elliott's
descriptions constitute a set of empirically derived rules and
guidelines for interpreting market action. Elliott claimed
predictive value for The Wave Principle, which now bears the
name, "The Elliott Wave Principle." |