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Today is Monday, July 28, 2008

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FTSE 100 (Intraday)



  

FTSE-100


No change.

The lack of solid upside action keeps all possibilities viable near current price levels. Yet, technicals suggest this slow start is only retesting technical trendline levels prior to another leg up. TP


Earlier, "Continue to watch for a third leg (a wave 'c' pattern) of a second wave correction to end sometime soon as the 5268-21 area is approached and for a third wave to begin heading higher thereafter. An alternate more bearish interpretation showing that an upward correction ended at 5465 would only be considered with a continued fall through 5221 and on toward the recent 5071 low." J Hunter














DAX (Intraday)




DAX [September Futures]


With no definitive change to the wave strucutre the bullish call remains preferred at this time. TP


Previous, "The wave pattern is allowing for higher overall numbers. Technical indications are less forthcoming, although they are not clearly standing against the upward potential." TP














 



Stoxx 50 (Intraday)




EURO STOXX 50 [September Futures]


There remains no change to the present overall bullish view of the wave structure.

The preferred view continues to keep the overall focus up. TP


Previous, "The short-term view remains bullish but a possible expanded flat second wave correction may yet test a bit lower before an expected third wave climb can start. A more bearish alternate count showing that an upward three wave correction ended at 3432 would only be consideed if the 3231 level was penetrated." J Hunter













SMI (Intraday)




Swiss Market Index


The marginal new low today off the recent peak suggests a five-wave decline. This is not conducive to the notion that a fourth-wave is unfolding, but rather that only wave-a of a larger degree corrective pattern is playing out. If this is indeed the case, then the immediate strength would likely unfold as a three-wave b-wave prior to another leg down in wave-c to end a larger degree second-wave. There are other ways to count this actions down from the peak, but they too point overall at least modestly lower before the larger uptrend from the low of the 16th resumes. TP










 



FTSE 100 (Intraday)



  

FTSE-100


The lack of solid upside action keeps all possibilities viable near current price levels. Yet, technicals suggest this slow start is only retesting technical trendline levels prior to another leg up. TP


Earlier, "Continue to watch for a third leg (a wave 'c' pattern) of a second wave correction to end sometime soon as the 5268-21 area is approached and for a third wave to begin heading higher thereafter. An alternate more bearish interpretation showing that an upward correction ended at 5465 would only be considered with a continued fall through 5221 and on toward the recent 5071 low." J Hunter














DAX (Intraday)




DAX [September Futures]


No change.

The deeper fade counts as only a three-wave event, keeping the potential of overall higher numbers still on the front burner. TP

Previous, "The wave pattern is allowing for higher overall numbers. Technical indications are less forthcoming, although they are not clearly standing against the upward potential." TP














 



FTSE 100 (Intraday)



  

FTSE-100


Nothing new to report.

Still no change, as the anticipated low for this immediate pullback may already be in place. TP

Previous, "Continue to watch for a third leg (a wave 'c' pattern) of a second wave correction to end sometime soon as the 5268-21 area is approached and for a third wave to begin heading higher thereafter. An alternate more bearish interpretation showing that an upward correction ended at 5465 would only be considered with a continued fall through 5221 and on toward the recent 5071 low." J Hunter















Stoxx 50 (Intraday)




EURO STOXX 50 [September Futures]


No change.

The preferred view continues to keep the overall focus up. TP


Previous, "The short-term view remains bullish but a possible expanded flat second wave correction may yet test a bit lower before an expected third wave climb can start. A more bearish alternate count showing that an upward three wave correction ended at 3432 would only be consideed if the 3231 level was penetrated." J Hunter













DAX (Intraday)




DAX [September Futures]


The deeper fade counts as only a three-wave event, keeping the potential of overall higher numbers still on the front burner. TP

Previous, "The wave pattern is allowing for higher overall numbers. Technical indications are less forthcoming, although they are not clearly standing against the upward potential." TP
















 



SMI (Intraday)




Swiss Market Index


Another new low questions the internal count for a fourth-wave, but not the overall bullish tone. TP


Previous, "The wave picture remains bullish and the decline from 7150 is being regarded as a fourth wave correction that should end soon above 6921 (if it has not already done so) and step aside for a fifth wave rise. An alternate still bullish view with a second wave correction in motion here instead and would be considered if the price action managed to less expectedly penetrate 6821." J Hunter













FTSE 100 (Intraday)



  

FTSE-100


Still no change, as the anticipated low for this immediate pullback may already be in place. TP

Previous, "Continue to watch for a third leg (a wave 'c' pattern) of a second wave correction to end sometime soon as the 5268-21 area is approached and for a third wave to begin heading higher thereafter. An alternate more bearish interpretation showing that an upward correction ended at 5465 would only be considered with a continued fall through 5221 and on toward the recent 5071 low." J Hunter















Stoxx 50 (Intraday)




EURO STOXX 50 [September Futures]


The preferred view continues to keep the focus up. TP


Previous, "The short-term view remains bullish but a possible expanded flat second wave correction may yet test a bit lower before an expected third wave climb can start. A more bearish alternate count showing that an upward three wave correction ended at 3432 would only be consideed if the 3231 level was penetrated." J Hunter













DAX (Intraday)




DAX [September Futures]


The wave pattern is allowing for higher overall numbers. Technical indications are less forthcoming, although they are not clearly standing against the upward potential. TP



















 



FTSE 100 (Intraday)



  





No change. Continue to watch for a third leg (a wave 'c' pattern) of a second wave correction to end sometime soon as the 5268-21 area is approached and for a third wave to begin heading higher thereafter. An alternate more bearish interpretation showing that an upward correction ended at 5465 would only be considered with a continued fall through 5221 and on toward the recent 5071 low. J Hunter





















DAX (Intraday)







Same view. Continue to look for a possible expanded flat second wave correction to perhaps test a little lower before encountering better support and yielding to an upward third wave advance. However, this still bullish short-term interpretation would come under scrutiny and an alternate more bearish corrective count would need to be considered if the price action also managed to drop under 6261. J Hunter






















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