Pioneering Studies in Socionomics
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Table of Contents for Pioneering Studies in Socionomics

Foreword: A Socionomic Manifesto...................................... x
Popular Culture
What’s Going On?............................................................ 1
Popular Culture and the Stock Market................................. 3
Reflections of Social Mood in Religion................................. 47
A Socionomic Study of Restaurants................................... 49
Broadstreet................................................................... 51
Social Causality
Socionomics in a Nutshell.................................................. 55
A Socionomic View of Demographic Trends (or) Stocks & Sex... 66
Rationalizing Optimism with Demographics.............................. 76
A Socionomic View of Central-Bank Causality.......... 77
Sports
An Elliott Wave in Olympic Participation..................... 85
A Historic Extreme in Baseball Emotions................ 87
Sports, Markets and Forecasting.............................. 92
Basketball and the Bull Market.............................. 96
Fibonacci Glory Days for Sports Heroes.................... 118
Another Home-Run Year.......................................... 120
Pro Wrestling and the Bull Market............................. 122
Top Tick for Basketball............................................ 124
Evidence of a Major Downturn in Social Mood: Plummeting
Interest in Ballgames......................................... 126
Elliott Wave Analysis: Baseball Stadiums Now a Risky Investment. 139
Corporations, Legislation and Social Conflict
A Dow-Stock Case Study: Coca-Cola...................... 145
Is the Break in the Big Brand Names a Warning for the Overall
Market?....................................................... 150
A Socionomic Perspective on the Microsoft Case................ 155
New Assault on U.S. Corporations Confirms Microsoft Sell Signal... 168
The Land of Flint and Steel........................................... 173
Elliott Waves and Social Reality.................................... 176
World Peace, World War, Fibonacci and Elliott............. 190
The Socionomic Insight vs. the Assumption of Event Causality. 198
Challenging the Conventional Assumption About the Presumed
Sociological Effect of Terrorist News..................... 215
The Timing and Character of Investment Legislation....... 219
Toward a Revolution in Macroeconomics
Predicting Economic and Monetary Trends............. 231
Toward a New Understanding of Growth and Recession,
Boom and Depression........................................... 256
Science and the Wave Principle
The Fractal Design of Social Progress......................... 269
Science is Validating the Concept of the Wave Principle..... 278
Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle.... 294
Another Indication of Possible Elliott Wave Tendencies in Physical Phenomena............................................................. 309
Another Example of a Link Between Nature’s Trees and Waves... 311
Controversy and Validation
Controversy…and Affirmation.............................. 319
Fractals and Finance........................................ 320
Credit Where It Is Due.................................... 321
Reply and Response........................................ 346
Letters to the Editor of Scientific American......... 354
Following Up in 2002...................................... 368
Socionomics and Quantum Physics
Parallel Revolutions in the Physical and Social Sciences.... 373
Miscellaneous Articles, Letters, Speeches and Observations
Evidence of the Wave Principle in Human Emotional Biorhythms.. 417
A Socionomist Looks at Bankruptcies.......................... 421
Seminar Speaker Summary........................................ 423
Challenging Another Myth of Market Rationality.............. 425
Why Teenagers Lead Fads of Social Expression................ 427
Response to a Question from a Renowned Scientist........... 428
Letter to a Curious Objectivist.............................. 430
Contrasting Three Styles of Financial Analysis............... 433
Miscellaneous Observations........................................... 435
A Craftsman’s View.................................................. 437
Book Review: The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior
and the New Science of Socionomics.............................. 438
A New Paradigm.................................................... 444
Why Socionomics Will Be a Tough Sell to the Entrenched
Majority of Professionals..................................... 445
On the Outlook for Socionomics................................... 448
Appendix: Toward Quantifying Sociometers Other
Than the Stock Market
Quantifying Social Mood in Popular Song Lyrics........... 453
An Investigation of Achievement Motive Level as Expressed
in the Musical Art Forms Appreciated by Today’s Youth,
and Implications................................................ 454
Quantifying Pessimistic Rumination in Popular Song..... 475
Quantifying Social Mood by Polling.......................... 482

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