Special Report: Sizing Up a Superpower | Parts 1 and 2: A Socionomic Study of Russia

A Socionomic View of War, Stocks and Commodities
A Special Report from Socionomist Alan Hall

The conventional assumption is that war results from events. The socionomic assumption is that major war is a result of profoundly negative social mood. Observed through this lens, we have seen that war occurs in particular places within Elliott wave patterns, which are produced by human social interaction and are visible in the price history of markets.

Commodity prices, too, are intimately related to this dynamic. Using the socionomic perspective, this report presents an analysis of three centuries of nominal and inflation-adjusted U.S. stock prices, commodity prices and the nadir of social mood: major war. Viewed together, new observations emerge about how these social activities are related, and what each can tell us about the other. This broader picture will enhance your understanding of the forces that create events and propel history.

In this NEW special report, Hall examines the relationships between:

  • War and the economy
  • War and Elliott waves in stock prices
  • War and inflation
  • War and Elliott waves in commodity prices
  • Periods of intense inflation and social polarization
  • War and the rare periods of intense deflation

The report also explores the utility of the socionomic view, the social dynamic that drives commodity price spikes, and what history suggests are the two most likely paths forward from the current juncture.

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