Inside the October 2009 Elliott Wave Financial
Forecast ...
What to Read When
'Everyone' is Bullish
In late February 2009, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and Bob Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist forecast a multi-month rally that would be "sharp and scary" for anyone positioned for the downside. EWI offered the most bullish analysis around. We recommended subscribers cover their short positions and prepare for an intermediate- to long-term countertrend advance. Months later, the rally has fulfilled our March 25 forecast for a "longer-term push toward 10,000."
Yet the extremes in optimism – as measured by unanimously bullish investor surveys and exuberant sentiment readings – point to a dying rally. Momentum and breadth readings support that case, as do telling Elliott wave patterns.
From a socionomic standpoint, investor mood has returned to levels of enthusiasm we saw at the high – just as Elliott-minded investors would expect from a wave 2 rally.
Once again, EWI analysts are virtually alone in their deflationary forecasts. This issue demonstrates why the mainstream conventional wisdom – just as it did at the top in October 2007 and the bottom in March 2009 – will again miss a major reversal on the horizon.
Inside the October 2009 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, co-editors Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall will show you:
- What Chinese shares foretell for U.S. stocks, and why the Chinese market is a useful metric to forecast speculative markets in the United States.
- What's up with all the recovery hype: "Buy low," "Staircase to Profits," "Now's a Good Time to Broadly Diversify," etc. ad nauseam?
- Why bears are once again almost extinct after some of the big-time bears capitulated.
- A specific target area for the long bond.
- What three new gold ETFs, Chinese buyers, the largest stock sale in Canadian history, the value of the U.S. dollar and more suggest for the trend in precious metals.
- A new call to dethrone the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency – who's against the dollar now, and why their thumbs-down is more significant than other dollar bears.
- A telling chart of the 26-week change in the M2 money supply – what does it show regarding the inflation vs. deflation debate?
- What it means when Herbert Hooveresque "Get Out and Spend" admonitions pop up in 2009, despite a new frugality that's been compared to "a pitcher of ice water in the face of retailers."
- Revenue growth or cost cutting – what's really behind better-than-expected second quarter earnings results?
- And much more, including an in-depth discussion on deflation and inflation and observations of social mood change in New York City.
You'll also get the Financial Forecast's regular updates for …
| > S&P 500 |
> Silver |
> Investor psychology |
| > DJIA |
> Bonds |
| > NASDAQ |
> U.S. dollar |
> The economy and deflation |
| > Gold |
> Cultural trends |
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"Following your institutional analysis, the Short Term Update, the Financial Forecast, and the Theorist, I'm more convinced than I ever have been about anything in my 13-year career in the financial markets that we're going to drop soon and hard. Meanwhile, the sell-side pollyannas keep putting a positive spin on everything. Some will say that I'm just looking for a "preacher" who will tell me what I want to hear. Time will tell. At least I am confident that your research is high caliber and unbiased. Thank you so much for your good work."
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that in Elliott Wave Financial Forecast."
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