Inside the November 2009 Asian-Pacific Financial
Forecast...
China: Price Waves
and Social Progress
The November Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast opens with a fascinating 4-page essay: Editor Mark Galasiewski's personal account of his recent visit to southern China and Shanghai.
China has been the focus of the global investment community. Many hope that the country's economic boom will not only continue but also pull the rest of the world out of the financial crisis. If you share this view, don't miss Mark's essay -- it makes the November Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast a worthwhile read all by itself.
But there is more: The chart-packed 10-page November issue also offers you these unique insights:
- Singapore -- About one-third of the Singapore office staff of RBS Coutts resigned in mid-October after the STI stock index broke out to new rally highs. The 70 quitters were apparently upset that their employer planned to defer their bonus payments. Find out what this high degree of social optimism likely means for Singapore stocks (p. 6).
- Hong Kong -- To try and cool the hot property market, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has just raised the down-payment requirement on luxury homes from 30% to 40%. Will it help support Hong Kong's real estate prices? Read our answer on pp. 6-7.
- India -- The BSE Auto Index led India's stocks out of the 2001 low and appears to be playing the same role now; China’s car market is by no means the only one booming in Asia. Read what we think it means for the SENSEX on p. 7.
- Australia -- At 5,000, the recent rally in the All Ordinaries index would retrace 61.8% of the 2007-2009 decline. That's an important Fibonacci ratio -- learn what it likely means for the index on p. 8
- The Market Wags Its Central Bank Tail -- For most people, the idea that the market guides the decisions of the supposedly omnipotent directors of the economy -- rather than the other way around -- is counterintuitive. Yet the April issue of The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast already showed how central bank rate decisions generally follow the bond market. See more evidence in the recent rate hike by Australia's RBA (pp. 8-9).
- Cultural Trends: Japan’s “Herbivore Men” -- There's been a peculiar shift in gender ideals over the course of Japan’s long bear market. “Herbivore Men” are young Japanese males who show indifference toward love, sex, competition, status, consumption and just about everything their fathers stood for; it's become a mass-media phenomenon. When will Japanese men rediscover their "inner samurai"? Read the answer on pp. 9-10.
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