Search Results for "inflation"

71 Results

Does Inflation Really Make Gold and Silver Go Up?

This idea of gold as inflation hedge is practically gospel. This chart shows a major flaw in this theory.

Why Weaker Euro Has Little to Do with "Negative Inflation"

Blaming the euro weakness on "negative inflation" -- or, deflation, if you call a spade a spade -- is a logical choice. After all, the euro did get weaker after the report. However, if you look at these EURUSD charts, you'll see that this weakness started days ago.

Anticipating a Rise in the Dollar Index

Many U.S. dollar bears have expected inflation to trigger a collapse in the greenback. But inflation has been missing in action. Only one asset is sure to gain value during deflation.

Yellen: "We Expect Inflation to Move Back to 2%." (Don't Hold Your Breath.)

The Fed's 2% inflation target remains elusive even after a prolonged period of near-zero interest rates. We see evidence of a rare economic trend that the Fed will be powerless against. See two charts that help to explain.

When Will Deflation Turn Into Inflation?

Deflation is a rare economic phenomenon. Contrary to popular belief, it's not just "low prices." Learn more in this new interview.

The Jig is Up: The Fed is NOT In Control of Inflation

How certain are you of the Federal Reserve Board's power to mastermind a global economic recovery? If there's even the slightest doubt in your mind, you're not alone.

Deflation Soon to Grab Attention in the European Union

Europe's lack of respect for deflation will soon be transformed into rapt attention. Inflation is already at its lowest level since November 2009.

Deflationary Forces Stymie the Fed's Economic Rescue Efforts

The Federal Reserve's assets have soared since its quantitative easing programs started in 2008. One chart shows why so many investors are positioned for inflation. Learn why they will probably be caught off guard.

Deflation: First Japan, Now Europe: Is the United States Next?

A famous hedge fund manager recently said that deflation "is less likely than an asteroid hitting the earth." Yet, Europe already faces very low inflation and outright deflation, and Japan just suffered a stunning economic setback.

The Sad Truth About Europe's Joyflation

Most everyone likes paying less for gas and food. Economists have coined the term "joyflation" to describe these benefits of low inflation. But there's nothing joyful about a downtrend in wage growth and job loss.

"Third Triple Extreme" -- the Biggest in 150 Years

Even as the market forms the biggest triple extreme in 150 years, market fear is historically low. See a chart that shows just how far above the trend the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 Composite has risen.

Why Hardly Anyone Talks About the Cost of Living Anymore

The next big monetary event is approaching fast. No, it's not inflation. The evidence is mounting that deflation already has a foothold and is gaining ground. These two charts reveal a disturbing trend for anyone who's unprepared.

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Conclusion)

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series.

Elliott Waves Anticipate Higher Bond Yields

The yield on 10-year Treasuries just hit its highest level since November 2014.The financial media cited "jobs optimism" and a higher inflation forecast from the European Central Bank. See how Elliott waves anticipated the jump in yields ahead of the news.

Evidence: "The American Economy Has Slowed to a Crawl"

This measure shows you the growth in Real Per Capita GDP -- it adjusts for population, and it adjusts for inflation. It's all built into one trend line. That's a far more revealing picture of the economy. And, it's especially telling regarding the future -- specifically, the future of incomes...

The Fed Wages a Losing Battle Against Savers

Even with historically low interest rates, the U.S. savings rate as a percentage of disposable income has been rising. This indicates a deflationary psychology is taking hold, while the Fed grapples with weak inflation long after the end of the Great Recession. Prepare now for what's next.

What's Scarier Than DE-flation?

At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.

Quantitative Easing - All for Nothing? (Confessions of a Fed Insider)

The only thing the Fed has to show for its purchase of $1.5 trillion worth of Treasuries (QE) is a high-priced stock market. Now even that may be crumbling. The credibility of the central bank is on the line.

America's Economic Engine Heads for an Overhaul

Nothing short of a complete overhaul will get the U.S. economic engine purring again. The financial mechanics have been trying to get that engine firing on all cylinders for five years now. They've used every tool at their disposal. Yet the engine continues to sputter. There appears to be only one fix.

Janet Yellen's Uphill Battle May Get Steeper

Much fanfare was made over Janet Yellen's appointment as the first female chair of the Fed. But it appears the honeymoon is over. The central bank's inflationary policies have been impotent. Learn why Yellen's legacy may be greatly tarnished.

Is the U.S. Economy Headed for the "Good" Kind of Deflation?

In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments... 

Deflation Returns to Haunt the Eurozone

When ECB president Mario Draghi launched the first-ever Euro-QE in March 2015, it was hailed as the "death of deflation." But now, after six months, deflation is back in the eurozone...

10 Popular Investment Myths Shattered

You may remember that in 2008-2009, as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression was ravaging stocks, real estate, commodities and other "can't-lose" asset classes, many called into question traditional economic models, as well as the Fed's "omnipotence."

The Fed's Gift of Free Money: Return to Sender

On June 2, the Wall Street Journal asked why the American consumer has become so "stingy." Today, we have the answer, and it might surprise you.

The Latest Shot Fired in the War on Cash

Some financial authorities want to take away your cash. Now is the time to find a safe place to store your greenbacks. See a chart that shows how "deflation is winning."

Are You Prepared for a Rare Economic Deflation?

In 2002, Conquer the Crash was virtually alone in warning about deflation. Now, European government officials acknowledge that the Continent faces deflation. More than that, the financial press is now raising concern about the prospects of a U.S. deflation. Are you prepared?

Gold Prices: Why the Fed Matters Less Than You May Think

On September 17, gold traders and investors were sure of one thing: IF the Fed kept interest rates near 0% for a "considerable time," gold prices would rise. The Fed did just that -- YET, gold prices dropped 1% that day. What gives?

Gold Prices: Led by the Fed?

On October 27, one day before the latest Fed meeting wrapped up, gold prices flexed their bullish muscle, soaring to $1180 per ounce. Many experts did not see the Fed's coming decision as a threat for the rally. And then this happened.

Deflation Threat for World's Three Biggest Economies

What is more likely: an asteroid hitting the earth or deflation? A famous hedge fund manager gives his opinion. You can review the evidence for yourself.

USDJPY: A Case of How the Wave Principle Trumps "Fundamentals"

If you've been observing the Japanese yen purely from the perspective of market fundamentals since January 29th, you'd most likely be perplexed. Here's why...

Japan: Negative Rates Redux

On January 29, the Bank of Japan slashed interest rates into negative territory in hopes of fending off further economic weakness. History shows, however, the "free money" policy is futile against the "immutable" forces of finance.

Japan: Negative Rates Redux

On January 29, the Bank of Japan slashed interest rates into negative territory in hopes of fending off further economic weakness. History shows, however, the "free money" policy is futile against the "immutable" forces of finance.

Can the Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%?

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.

Japan: Down the Rabbit Hole of Negative Rates

The results are in: Two- plus months of negative interest rates has had no positive impact on Japan's economy. "It's like being Alice in Wonderland," observes one strategist. But, in our opinion, there's nothing "curiouser" about the futility of free money to revive Japan's credit markets.

No Time to Play Ostrich About Europe's Economy

European deflation has arrived in the U.S. before. So, it's worth asking the question: Is history set to repeat? Consider what has been happening recently in the European Union and the United States.

Rethink EVERYTHING: The Real Reason Gold Is Rallying

On October 8, the Fed's "dovish" meeting minutes were released. One day later, gold prices leapt to a 3-week high. But here's why the one had little to do with the other.

The Fed: "Utterly Irrelevant"?

Many investors believe that the Federal Reserve holds sway over markets and the economy. But a former chairman of the U.S. central bank says monetary policy cannot solve everything. See a chart that shows what central bankers are up against.

How Deflation is Winning in 2016

It's been over 80 years since the world plunged into a devastating deflation. Now, an entire lifetime later, the evidence for this rare event is appearing again. Look at these two charts.

Debt Man's Curve: Where Money Goes When Asset Values Fall

chart of the day | This chart shows sovereign debt along a yield curve, which is to say, the rates of interest governments pay to borrow money for 10 years from investors. It's sort of a snapshot of global Treasury Note yields.

"Made in America": A Relic of the Past?

An important sector of the U.S. economy has contracted for the second month in a row. Deflation is a rare condition that's occurred only twice in U.S. history. Has the third episode already started?

Bond Yields Rising Now; Consider How Far They Rose in 1981

Recent results from the July 24 auction of U.S. Treasuries show a continued trend of weak demand. Interestingly, the ultimate bottom in yields occurred one year ago at an all-time record low of 1.39% on July 24, 2012. We believe that there is a historic precedent for what to expect next in bond yields.

Why the U.S. Economy Is on Shaky Ground

One economic indicator just marked its eighth straight week of declines. Another just turned in its worst five-year run since the early 1980s. Yet, there's even more evidence that the economy is on very shaky ground.

A Rock and a Hard Place: The Fed Gets Wedged

Almost everyone wants to know if and when the Fed will hike the fed funds rate. But the central bank faces an acute dilemma...

What Really Drove VW's Stock Price Over a Cliff?

Volkswagen, the world's largest car maker, has been rocked by the biggest scandal in its 78-year history. But did the scandal also fuel the sell-off in VW's stock price? The answer might surprise you

Default: Is It Possible for Japan?

Japan's economic glory days in the 1980s now looks like ancient history. Indeed, some analysts say the outlook is so grim that a worst-case scenario is inevitable.

Greece: Act One of a Global Debt Drama

Greece's government debt-to-GDP is higher now than it was during the sovereign debt crisis five years ago. The world may soon shift its attention from a Greek debt drama to one that plays out on the global stage.

China: What Deflation Looks Like

The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.

Euro vs. Dollar: How to Know the Trend Before the News

Much like a cardiogram can show a doctor how the patient's heart is doing, Elliott wave patterns on a price chart can show you which way the market's collective psychology is about to take prices -- before the news, or without any news, period.

The "Oil-Price-Tax-Cut" that Never Was

In 2015, the mainstream experts said falling oil prices would help jump-start the economy. It goes without saying, this forecast did not come to pass as planned. The full story might surprise you.

A Great Model to Understand Gold's Price Swings

On October 31, gold prices touched their lowest level since July 2010. You're going to hear a lot about how gold's decline had much ado about the Fed's end of QE. Don't believe it!

"Don't Fight the Fed?" Don't Make Me Laugh!

The Fed runs the market. Right? Well, "see if you can tell on this chart where authorities intervened."

Gold's 2016 Rally Defies Fundamental Logic

In December 2015, the fundamental experts gave gold's future two, enthusiastic thumbs-down. And yet, from a six-year low, gold prices turned up, rallying 20% to a 22-month high this June. Turns out, there's more to this market than meets the fundamental eye.

Why Are Stocks Rising? (A Not-So-Silly Question.)

Stocks are up. In fact, the DJIA added almost 700 points this week. And why not? Unemployment is down. Square and Match/OKCupid/Tinder's IPOs are doing well. Good news all around. That's why stocks are up. Right? Well, only if you read happy news stories...

Dispatch: U.S. On the Precipice of Deflation

Deflation is already a reality in many quarters of the global economy. Mounting evidence suggests that the full fury of this trend is about to be unleashed. Give our just-released dispatch on deflation your immediate attention.

Happy (Financial) Independence Day

How could the debt crisis in Puerto Rico affect you? Where is the next housing bubble set to burst? How do money managers signal major gold turns? Get the answers, today!

The Fed Can't Stop the Commodity Bear Market

As the CRB index of commodities plunges to a 7-year low, many investors are looking to the Fed to stem the falling price tide. See why such faith is sorely misplaced.

Platinum: See the Real Reason for Its Recent Retreat to a 6-Year Low

When platinum prices plunged to a 6.5 year low on July 17, the mainstream experts blamed the Fed's anticipated rate hike. But that kind of logic is nowhere near inside the right orbit.

Where is the Next Greek-like Economic Crisis?

On August 13, Greece's Athens Stock Exchange suffered its biggest single-day crash ever. But the experts say the country's economic woes are fully contained. We have good reason not to believe them.

The Fed's Impotence is No Laughing Matter

The September 20-21 FOMC meeting is over, and the word-parsing has begun. But while many see the Fed as the final word on the future of the U.S. economy and stock market, the real impotence of the world’s largest central bank might surprise you. 

China: Why Currency Devaluation is Doomed to Fail

Rather than revive demand for Chinese exports, the August 11, 2015 devaluation of China's currency has fueled a capital flight by China's own citizens and businesses. The practice is called "smurfing," and here's why...

Legal Marijuana: Why NOW

Twenty-three states (and D.C.) have now legalized marijuana in some form. Have you ever asked yourself why marijuana laws got more lax now? Why not 20 years ago? Why not 10 years from now? Is it "today's loose morals"? There is a better explanation.

Pot Sales Are Smoking!

How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics

Why Can't the Fed "Move" Commodities?

According to mainstream wisdom, commodity prices revolve around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. But historical evidence proves there's a much larger force at the center of the commodity universe.

Abenomics: From Faith to Failure

At its inception in 2013, EWI warned that Abenomics would fail to rescue Japan's economy from deflation. Now, a November 20 New York Times article confirms our forecast: "It's time to call Abenomics a failure."

Who Holds the Future of Gold in Its Hands? Hint: It's Not the Fed!

Mainstream economic wisdom says the Federal Reserve holds the fate of gold prices in its hand. Cut rates, and gold rallies. Raise rates, and gold falls. Recent history, however, tells a radically different story.

The REAL Reason the Euro Has Fallen to a 9-Year Low

On January 5, the euro plunged to a nine-year low against the U.S. dollar. The reason why has nothing to do with Greek politics or a beefed up stimulus plan by the ECB...

Gold Prices: The Fed is NOT the "Force" that Awakens

The U.S. Federal Reserve's December 16 rate hike was interpreted by gold bulls the world over as a virtual lightsaber through the heart. But as recent history proves: The "force" behind gold prices isn't the Fed... 

Natural Gas: Harness the Volatility

The three-month long roller-coaster ride in natural gas has been epic: First, prices plunged to a 17-year low in late December, then less than one month later, they soared 50% into early January before turning back down. Now it's time to harness that volatility.

Zika: What Socionomics Tells Us About Timing of This Outbreak.

Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread. (You can watch the interview or read the transcript.)

From "We" to "They": How Deglobalization is Shifting Friends to Enemies

Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains how 16 years of negative social mood is driving globalization's unpopularity. Learn more in this new interview.

Bob Prechter's Big 5 Warnings for Gold and Silver Investors

Successful market analysis is rooted in irony and paradox. Our gold and silver analysis at the peak two years ago relied heavily on five arguments directly opposed to those offered everywhere else we look.

71 Results