Search Results for "US+Markets"
Nine of our top market strategists offer a sneak peek of sentiment in their markets ahead of the U.S. presidential election.
Learn why "the markets are more powerful than governments" in this new interview with Brian Whitmer.
This week served us two examples of the same Elliott wave pattern foreshadowing a big rally in two major markets: first, the euro -- and now, gold.
Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, explains how using the news to predict the markets is "meaningless."
Mark Galasiewski tells you what helps him keep an eye on all markets across the Asia-Pacific region at the same time.
In this new interview with Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, he explains why he thinks we're at a turning point, or "phase transition" in politics, along with a turning point in real estate -- and what this means for the financial markets.
Whatever the Fed says around 2 PM Eastern on December 16, a surge of emotion will be visible in the markets. Emotions are natural drivers of price trends. And no method allows you to track the markets' collective emotion quite like Elliott waves do. So, here's what we know...
The U.S. dollar has gotten a lot stronger lately, and you'll find many "fundamentally" based reasons for that. But watch our Senior Currency Strategist explain how more than a month ago, Elliott wave patterns in four separate forex markets already warned of the U.S. dollar strength.
Mark Galasiewski shares new insights into this opportunity-rich region.
Years ago, analyst Jeffrey Kennedy started an educational column for subscribers of his Commodity Junctures service. His lessons became so popular that we expanded this idea into a service we call Trader's Classroom. Join us for a free lesson.
A little while back, we wrote that, after a big drop in the euro, its Elliott wave patterns called for a rally. It was a "terminal thrust" lower from an Elliott wave triangle pattern that tipped us off to the coming bullish turn in EURUSD...
In this interview, EWI's European markets expert, Brian Whitmer, highlights the countries he is most concerned about in Europe -- and explains why you should be concerned, too.
In this recent interview, ElliottWaveTV's Alexandra Lienhard talks to Steve Craig, our Chief Energy Analyst, about crude oil and natural gas' price action over 2015.
Chris Carolan shows you why today, it's important to keep your eye on emerging market equities and foreign exchange.
On Tuesday (Aug. 18) China's Shanghai Composite fell more than 6% in one day. Here are some tips from EWI's Asian Intraday Stocks Pro Service analyst, Matthew Gress, on what to expect next.
In an interview recorded on December 19, our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan explains which way bond markets around the world have been moving -- and which markets you should keep your eye on.
EWI's Asian-Markets expert, Chris Carolan, has been regularly covering the Chinese yuan since 2014. See how his stunning two-year forecast proves this "manipulated" currency isn't unpredictable through the Elliott Wave method.
Technical indicators will often help you catch trend reversals before the news. This week, forex markets gave us an example of Elliott waves doing just that -- in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and world's most popular forex market.
Yes, you can maintain your financial objectivity when others are losing it. For example, when fear was running rampant during the 2008 bear market, one Asian-Pacific analyst made a historic forecast for a huge rally. Here's how he did it. ...
In this interview, EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg explains why the Fed and ECB don't really control the markets.
Mark Galasiewski sits down with ElliottWaveTV to give key insights about opportunities he sees now in emerging markets around the globe.
Mark Galasiewski tells you how his analysis of Indian stocks differs from the way he looks at other markets.
Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread. (You can watch the interview or read the transcript.)
We are in the era of skyscrapers on steroids. The race to construct the world's tallest building is on. How does this relate to financial markets? Find out.
Many view bear markets as simply a downturn in stock prices. But societal changes also tend to accompany trend changes in the stock market. Will the "gender barrier" be shattered in the months ahead?
At the start of 2016, the mainstream outlook for emerging markets was "ugly," "scary," and "tough." And yet, the sector spent the first 10 months of the year soaring to one-year highs. The reason why that happened might surprise you.
Our global opportunities expert, Chris Carolan, tells you about the markets that he's excited about as we look towards the end of 2015 and into 2016.
Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."
Financial media pundits like to talk about a "rebound" in the economy, but a new EWI economic report presents important facts that have gone underreported -- until now.
In this new interview recorded on November 1, our Chief Energy Analyst Steve Craig talks about the recent volatility across the energy markets.
With the help of the Wave Principle, you can spot investment opportunities when the fundamentals are at their worst. Emerging markets are a good example. Review this chart and commentary from our Global Market Perspective.
Watch this 3-minute video to learn what shaped our Mark Galasiewski's outlook on the markets and how he got his start with Elliott wave analysis.
Are financial markets patterned? Episode one of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series shows you a theory that proves they are.
When it comes to staying ahead of major price turns in commodity markets, many investors stay tuned to various "channels" which keep them abreast of weather, political, or economic events that may affect a market's future trend. But, as the 2016 rally in coffee prices shows us, there's only one true "channel" to watch!
Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast and contributor to our Global Market Perspective, reveals what markets you should keep your eye on heading into the new year.
Global political leaders and CEOs of major companies have a privileged perspective on the world. But even they can steer investors in the wrong direction. Right now, emerging markets appear ripe with opportunity, contrary to the "experts'" forecasts. Take a look at these two charts.
Computers are a double-edged sword in financial markets. They help ensure that small and institutional investors are on a "level playing field." On the other hand, don't be surprised if the next major glitch occurs during a fast-moving bear market.
Bond market commentators are saying that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed programs are swaying the bond market. But a close examination reveals otherwise. We posit that there's a "wrong way" and a "right way" to analyze financial markets. Here's what we mean.
The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.
With the world's attention focused on the stock markets for the past two weeks, it's easy to overlook what's been happening in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market.
Does the news move the markets? New insights from Chris Carolan explain why it's a mistaken notion.
This economic indicator has stood the test of time -- and it's sending an ominous message. A 3 1/2-year shelf of support has recently been broken. See two charts that tell you what you need to know now.
Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you why he's looking for increased volatility heading into the month of October.
In an interview with ElliottWaveTV, Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks about the key story from 2016 that most investors missed. Learn what he's watching closely right now.
In 1982 Robert Prechter called for a strong bull market. Most everyone else was mired in the memory of the 1970s, and expected little if anything from stocks. At the same time that Prechter called for a big bull market, he also said the most severe bear market in US history would follow. Has that epic trend change already occurred?
Bond prices have been trending lower (yields rising), and investors appear vulnerable to even greater volatility. Learn why selling pressure could accelerate.
Trendlines: You may have heard of them. Now, see how effective this simple technical tool can be for identifying high-confidence trade set-ups in real-world financial markets. Examples: gold and O.J.
Senior researcher Alan Hall presented to the National Defense University during a two-day conference. Alan's research links negative social mood with stock markets, public health, and epidemics. Learn more about the danger for global disease outbreaks in the interview below.
"Is it true that Britain's vote to leave the European Union will cause upheaval in the financial markets?" You may be wondering the same thing. That's why we've put together this new free report, "How to Invest for Brexit," featuring EWI Chief European Market Analyst Brian Whitmer.
We've all read about, heard about and watched the many negative political headlines from across the planet. If you're an investor, you have to wonder: What does it all mean for world trade and global markets? That question is too broad to answer with one graph or visual, but: We do have a chart to start the conversation.
A positive social mood is driving expressions of inclusion in many aspects of society, including the racial, cultural and political.
On June 5, the Euro Stoxx 50 index recorded its longest weekly losing streak for all of 2015. As for why -- one chart speaks more than all the fundamentals in the world.
Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.
In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.
The Oscar-nominated movie "The Big Short" is a gripping story of a group of no-name outsiders who warned of the 2007-9 housing/subprime mortgage collapse. We at Elliott Wave International know that story all too well...
The Institute's Alan Hall looks in depth at what's dividing people on both sides of the Atlantic. Chart and short excerpt free; no sign-in required.
Jim Martens, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, gives you a preview of what's going on in the FX world post-Brexit.
Brian Whitmer talks about the implications of the upcoming Brexit vote.
Join us as we review the Nikkei's recent volatility, and see how Elliott wave analysis enabled us to stay ahead of the market's "hopping" down-up-down-up sequence.
Pete Kendall, the co-editor of our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, tells you more about the just-published Financial Forecast's special Election section.
At the start of 2016, discussions focused on how China's economic slowdown had hurt the prices of commodities. Even so, our January Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast told subscribers to expect a "turnaround" for commodities. Find out how the Elliott wave model served as a guide.
Brian Whitmer talks about the negative sentiment in the European Union following the historic Brexit vote and outlines what to watch for next.
Tom Denham talks about recent price action in gold and silver.
Read this interview with Tom Prindaville, editor of our U.S. Stocks Intraday Pro Service, to get his take on the latest price action -- and new key price levels he's looking at.
Often during Thanksgiving week, markets quiet down. Not so this year. The Dow made a new all-time high on Wednesday -- and in forex, the euro slid to a new post-election low. Let’s talk about that.
Back in late 2007, one simple technical tool -- trendlines -- was instrumental in enabling us to forecast a bearish reversal in Germany's DAX Index. The time to use this tool is upon us, again.
Financial markets tend to turn when most investors least expect it. Deep complacency toward stocks suggests that more triple-digit Dow declines may be just ahead.
Elliott wave analysis has only three rules. Beyond those, there are many guidelines for wave formation. But a guideline is just that -- a guideline, while a rule is... well, something you cannot violate. Or can you?
By 2012’s end, Japan’s stock market seemed to be locked in a bearish fundamentally-sound death-spiral with nowhere to go but down. And yet, prices embarked on a spectacular four-year long bull run to their highest level in 18 years. What gives?
Dr. Elam spoke with us about how he helps people understand and appreciate socionomics.
The Dow's 1000-point slide this week put it solidly in the red for 2015. The S&P 500, too. Even the white-hot NASDAQ was down 6% for the week. Is this a "normal correction" -- or are the "bubble days" really over?
While the mainstream analysts weigh macro-economic and sociological factors to make forecasts for the busy European election season next year, this model shows you an entirely different approach.
The stock market's ramped-up volatility has many observers trying to figure out the cause. One believes he knows the answer. We investigate.
Watch what helped Jim Martens, editor of Currency Pro Service, prepare his subscribers early for the violent reversal and historic sell-off in the British pound.
Financial news is the most upbeat near market tops. Headlines are gloomy around market bottoms. Most investors miss important trend reversals. Learn how we keep subscribers ahead of trend changes.
Most people believe that social events impact our mood. They think that war makes us fearful and angry, or that a rising stock market makes us increasingly optimistic. Socionomics, on the other hand, turns conventional wisdom about social mood and social behavior completely on its head
The rally in 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has been over-believed. For example, hedge funds were recently at a record net-long position in futures and options contracts relative to open interest. Our analysis reveals prices are at a critical juncture. Take a look at these two charts.
The old Wall Street advice to "buy low and sell high" seems easier said than done. But there's a group of traders who consistently pull it off. Find out who they are and, more important, what makes them so different.
Today, there are over 10 trillion dollars' worth of so-called negative yield bonds in the world. These bonds don't pay you a dime; no -- you, the buyer, pay the issuer. In other words, with a negative yield bond, you are guaranteed to lose money. Crazy? You could say that again. But, because bonds are "guaranteed investments," there is one interesting caveat...
Let's face it, bonds are boring. Bonds are the beige minivan of the markets. People don't turn to bonds for excitement. They are valued for their safety and stability. That's why it was all the more surprising when...
Michael Madden, who forecasts cross rates for our Currency Pro Service, tells you about the volatility following the historic Brexit vote.
The Fed runs the market. Right? Well, "see if you can tell on this chart where authorities intervened."
chart of the day | You may have seen us mention the importance of sentiment extremes on these pages before. We don't take sentiment at face value; years of experience have taught us to use sentiment extremes as a contrarian indicator -- here's why.
Many investors monitor the news for hints on how to position their portfolios. Learn why this is a BIG mistake.
In early 2016, the global debt market embraced one of the most powerful “long-bond bonanzas” in recent history. By the end of the year, however, the stellar long-bond rally had completely reversed course. As our analysis shows, this turn of events was no accident.
Elliott wave analysis identifies corrective and impulsive moves, which helps you stay on the right side of the trend. Watch our Intraday Asian Stocks Pro Service analyst explain how.
In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles, high-confidence price patterns. Watch the first video of this 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor explains what a triangle in USDJPY on March 2 implied for the trend.
Robert Prechter talks about his developing theory on finance with Douglass Lodmell for The Mind Of Money series.
Learn how Chris Carolan, our Global Opportunities Expert, used the Wave Principe as a trader and how he got his start with Elliott wave analysis.
Dr. Jon Fassett brought his knowledge and enthusiasm for fractals in nature and finance to the 2016 Social Mood Conference on April 9 in Atlanta, GA.
EWI's CEO Robert Prechter offers visitors his classic report. No purchase necessary.
The market-forecasting method I employ every day has been around since the 1930s. Yet, it works as well as, if not better than, any new-fangled, expensive, computerized technical analysis package I've seen. My method is a form of technical analysis based on...
Watch this clip from Commodity Junctures' editor, Jeffrey Kennedy -- and learn why he believes the next couple of weeks will be pivotal for many commodities.
A mix of bull and bear market impulses is evident in today's culture. How is that possible with recent all-time highs in stocks? Shouldn't social mood be decidedly bullish? A Boston University econophysicist charts water's freezing process and makes a shocking discovery.
Gold has been mired in a four-year long bear market, with prices still sitting 30%-plus below their 2011 high. And, some people are saying it's crazy to own gold.
Our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan explains how the Wave Principle helps you navigate the recent uncertainty associated with European markets.
In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave "triangle" price pattern. Watch this free 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor walks you through this high-confidence opportunity step by step.
The editor of our Interest Rates Pro Service explains why this was a "monumental" week in the bond markets -- and offers a preview of which markets he's keeping his eye on.
chart of the day | The Elliott wave pattern and the extreme sentiment show us the direction the trend in the euro should take next -- plus the specific price points to watch, which will help confirm the forecast.
If you've been observing the Japanese yen purely from the perspective of market fundamentals since January 29th, you'd most likely be perplexed. Here's why...
Brian Whitmer, the editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast, explains what indicators helped him anticipate market volatility.
The conventional wisdom says that the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged triggered a jump in gold to a 12-week high. But does the central bank's policy really drive the price of gold? See how the Wave Principle helps us to forecast gold.
In 2011, fundamentals painted an ongoing bullish picture for copper prices. Elliott waves, however, foresaw a foreboding reversal in the red metal's future.
We forecast the low and rally in the emerging market index. Yet, that's when the pattern got REALLY interesting...
Halloween is past, but the financial walking dead are still among us. We look at a financial services firm that has seen its share price drop, despite aggressive stock buybacks. Take a look at these two charts.
Robert Kelley tells you how he uses divergences between related markets -- and what they're telling him now about the markets he follows.
On June 21, 2005, CBS aired a three-hour special from the American Film Institute, dedicated to the 100 most memorable movie quotations in American cinema. Robert Prechter says most of those quotes were crafted in periods when stocks were in a bear market.
EWI is dedicated to helping subscribers anticipate the next major market turn. No, we don't always "get it right" – yet these examples speak for themselves. Most investors never saw these major trend changes coming.
Natural Gas - 3 degrees of trend for 2 months. "What's Next" for the U.S. Dollar Index. And, "Who's Excited" about consumer credit? See and hear about these topics and more, in our March preview of Global Market Perspective.
Learn why our Chief Commodity Analyst is anticipating downward pressure across the commodity markets.
In this timeless interview, editor of EWI's Currency Pro Service explains how the forex market "inflicts pain" on most traders by reversing just as they get comfortable with a trend -- and how you can avoid the same mistake.
Robert Prechter explains how Elliott wave indicators led him to June 2008 forecast that "one of the greatest commodity tops of all time is due very soon" amidst the bull market in oil. He goes on to explain EWI's forecast for crude oil going forward.
Stock market price trends tell you much more than if portfolios are gaining or losing value. They give you a good idea of what to expect in society at large. For example, stocks lead the economy. Stocks lead movie productions. Stocks even lead inventors to invent.
Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.
In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles, high-confidence price patterns. Watch this 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor spots a triangle in USDJPY and follows it as it unfolds in real-time in the coming days.
In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles. Here's the 2nd video of this 4-part series where our Currency Pro Service editor gives you an update on USDJPY's high-confidence price pattern as it developed.
The story goes like this: First, gold prices soar as global stock markets crash. Then, gold prices plunge as global stock markets... crash? It's time for a different version of events...
Bear markets are faster than bull markets. Why? Because bear markets are driven by fear. Greed is a "slower" emotion. That's why it took the DJIA less than a week to erase the entire rally that took two years. But wait...
Crude Oil is one of the most volatile markets on the planet. Find out what Jeffrey Kennedy, EWI's expert commodity analyst, called for at the beginning of 2016 and see how that forecast turned out.
Get Jeffrey Kennedy's new commodity forecasts -- and a preview of the best commodity opportunities he sees in the markets right now.
Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall discuss what the Brexit vote represents -- and its implications for the world markets and economies.
Except for a couple of turbulent days in early September, this fall season has so far been as uneventful for the markets as this past summer was. But that's likely to change.
In the spring of 2013 the Nikkei 225 fell from near 16,000 to near 12,500, all in a matter of about three weeks. Yet, here is why it was clear to us that the crash was only part of a bull-market correction.
Jeffrey Kennedy explains why the Wave Principle is such a reliable and powerful way to forecast the financial markets.
Elliott Prechter, the Lead Developer of EWAVES artificial intelligence software, explains how EWAVES is different from other Elliott wave programs.
Governments tax it; schools ban it. Across the US, efforts to remove sugary drinks have de-fizzed sugar-sweetened beverages sales.
Hard to believe, but the barrage of news stories this week has already overshadowed the Greek bailout. Yet, price action in EURUSD around the time Greek deal was reached gave us a cool lesson in Elliott wave forex trading -- so let's take a quick look back.
Knowledge of classic chart patterns can be of enormous value to you. For example, a contracting diagonal takes a wedge shape within two converging lines, and is the most common form for an ending diagonal. This knowledge helped us anticipate Sept. 9's stock market volatility, even though the market had traded sideways for most of the summer.
Are you curious about our analysts and their background? Our Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens, started following markets in the 1980s. In this new interview, you'll learn how he got his start in markets, and how the flexibility of the Wave Principle enhances your market analysis.
Asian markets have been a mixed bag lately. Here, Elliott Wave International's Matthew Gress offers you his take on recent market action -- and a new opportunity he's most excited about.
Elliott wave-minded investors must be adaptable to a changing market environment in order to be successful. Deductive reasoning is the best approach. See how Elliott waves and supporting technical evidence helped us stay on track with a bullish forecast for the DJIA.
Since early February, the price of crude has rallied. Few analysts saw it coming. We were among them. Learn what helped us track the ups and downs of oil since before its 2014 peak through today -- plus what you can expect next.
Pete Kendall and his colleague Steve Hochberg have co-edited our flagship monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast since 1999. In this interview, Pete draws from his extensive experience to show you where the markets are at right now -- and why he thinks there could be a turn in the markets very soon.
The late Paul Montgomery, the originator of the magazine cover indicator, said that when a financial trend makes the cover of a general-interest magazine like Time or Newsweek, the trend is close to a reversal. See how this time-tested indicator helped us to spot the top in Icahn Enterprises.
In part two of this new interview with Elliott Prechter, the Lead Developer of EWAVES artificial intelligence software, he talks about why he and his team are excited about the new release of EWAVES, version 2.0 beta.
Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, has been using Elliott wave analysis since the mid-1980s -- on forex markets, for most of that time.
It's been a summer of discontent for Europe's stock markets, as the upside seems lined with banana peels; or rather, Bre-nana peels! Say many, the fuel for Europe's sell-off is Brexit. But our records show otherwise: the makings of the downtrend were in place months before the U.K. decided to leave the European Union.
The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.
Jim Martens explains why his "ideal subscriber" is a forex trader who thinks for himself and only uses Jim's analysis as a "sounding board" for spotting high-confidence trade setups.
Learn to spot Elliott wave patterns -- in Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (CLF), iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) and Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) -- with this classic 5-minute clip from one of our Trader's Classroom video lessons.
Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Watch this video to learn more about the psychology behind the waves -- and how it affects your investment decisions.
Brian Whitmer, our European Financial Forecast editor, explains the mixed picture he sees in Europe -- and what it implies for the future.
European Financial Forecast editor, Brian Whitmer, tells you why financial bubbles occur so regularly -- and what he means by a "practical approach to trading."
In part 2 of this in-depth interview with Wayne Gorman, he tells you why he approaches the Elliott Wave Principle as a science -- and why that makes analyzing and forecasting the markets more exciting.
Investor psychology steamrolls government intervention in the stock market. See how the Wave Principle helped us identify a turn in the Shanghai Composite before the dramatic decline began.
In this video, our senior instructor Jeffrey Kennedy reminds us why trying to force a price chart into a wave pattern is a bad idea.
Gold has been hailed as "the biggest story of this year" lately. And to think that just in December, pundits were saying that gold had "lost its luster"! How did the mainstream miss this sleeper opportunity? This video gives you an answer.
Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.
The best thing about Elliott wave patterns? Easy: They repeat -- on all timeframes, across markets. Once you know what to look for, you see familiar patterns in most charts. And that means countless new opportunities.
What gives Elliott waves the ability to warn you about trend changes before the news? The answer begins with a conversation about what the markets’ true driver is.
Back in 2008, the consensus strongly agreed that crude oil and the CRB index of commodities would keep rising. Instead, both markets came crashing down. Here's why.
Here's a classic example of Elliott wave forecasting in forex markets. It's a trade set-up you'll see again and again.
Our Chief Commodity Analyst gives you a preview of what to expect in the commodity markets in 2015. Listen to the interview to get Jeffrey Kennedy's latest take on cocoa, corn, soybeans, wheat and more.
Jim Martens, our Senior Currency Strategist, talks about how he's stayed a step ahead of recent moves in EURUSD -- and why now is a critical time for the currency markets.
Network television viewership is dropping, and so is interest in the Olympics. What does this have to do with bull and bear markets? Plenty.
Our European markets expert explains why it's "too late" for Deutsche Bank and how this has now evolved into a problem across the EU.
The Golden Ratio is found everywhere, from nature to human behavior to financial markets. Episode 3 of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series explains this amazing natural phenomenon in greater detail.
Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.
Brian Whitmer, one of our emerging markets experts, talks about the Puerto Rican debt crisis and explains why the country's recent default "was not a surprise" to him and others at EWI.
China's aggressive behavior in the South China Sea has antagonized a growing number of countries. US leaders say that in the near future, China will be able to project substantial military power in the region. In the April 2016 issue of The Socionomist, Chuck Thompson takes a look at China's actions and at the potential for conflict with its neighbors as well as the US.
Brian Whitmer discusses the social mood landscape across Europe and explains how social mood will impact the upcoming European elections.
For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.
When it comes to cannabis legalization, lots of people assume that they've seen & heard all there is to see & hear. But -- hang with us for the next four minutes, and maybe we can offer a different perspective...
When on October 4th the British pound fell to a new low for the year -- and a new 31-year low -- the explanation was simple: Brexit. But if the timing of the slump seems almost accidental, from an Elliott wave standpoint, it was no accident at all.
2016 was the year of political surprises. First was the shocking Brexit vote in June. Then, the surprise Donald Trump victory in November. Both moments saw a lot of volatility in the financial markets. Yet, while it’s tempting to say “of course” and blame volatility on the news, the reality is not so black-and-white. Case in point: the British pound.
EWI's European Intraday Stocks Analyst, Murat Yilmaz, gives you an overview of where European markets find themselves today. In particular, Murat gives you his thoughts on the SMI and FTSE 100.
Recognizable patterns unfold in the financial markets. Using Elliott waves, you can learn to identify these patterns and use them to anticipate where prices will go next. Get started with a basic understanding of the Wave Principle.
In part 2 of our in-depth conversation with Steve Craig, Elliot Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, he reveals why the volatility in crude oil and natural gas keeps him excited about the markets he covers.
China's economy is slowing. Its stock market began to crash back in July. And, the volatility rocking financial markets has been widely linked to the recent yuan devaluations by China's central bank. Speaking of that...
On Feb. 8, U.S. and global stocks had a rough day. And what, says the conventional wisdom, "reliably" goes up when markets are "uncertain"? That's right: gold. But here's something you should know...
Home values have recently surged in some real estate markets, which bolsters the sentiment about a housing recovery. But one chart puts this housing recovery into context. Homeowners will likely experience more real estate pricing whiplash.
On Aug. 11 China shocked global markets by devaluing its currency, the renminbi, by almost 2%. Yet, if you looked at your forex screens Tuesday morning, after the initial devaluation, you could hardly tell that anything had happened. Why?
"Unprecedented," "nuts," and "inexplicable" are just a few of the words people use to describe the 2016 US presidential campaign. How did radical politicians such as Trump and Sanders get as far as they did?
chart of the day | We follow a lot of financial markets, yet the sentiment we see at work in gold continues to be compelling. Here, you see two charts of gold sentiment: from December 21 and January 4.
"If you want to know where the global economy is headed, check the oil markets," says one economist. Let's see if this theory holds as we look at a couple of crude oil charts.
Financial optimism was on full display in 1999 and 2006. The rich were splurging as the stock market zoomed higher. Bear markets soon followed. Now, as we kick off 2016, the affluent are partying like it's 1999 and 2006.
The conventional narrative on 2016 US presidential candidate Donald Trump is that he has succeeded despite his rejection of political correctness. Here, Robert Folsom explains that Trump has in large part succeeded because of it. Trump gives voice to the political discontent that flows from negative social mood.
Most investors are too embarrassed to tell the truth: They consistently lose money in financial markets. Even during a bull market, the median household saw their retirement wealth decline by 13%. The observations of a stock broker more than 100 years ago are revealing.
Albert Einstein's observation that opportunity lies within every difficulty often applies to financial markets. When the fundamentals are at their worst, most investors flee. But they run away from the beginnings of potentially rewarding trends. See what the Wave Principle reveals about an important emerging market sector.
Last week, the financial world had its eyes fixed on the Fed chair Janet Yellen's speech in Jackson Hole, as traders considered how her words would impact the markets. Dozens of articles later, one perspective was still missing almost entirely from the mainstream discussions...
The evidence is compelling: The stock market's price action is a reliable indicator of war and peace. Even the U.S. Revolutionary War began at the bottom of a long bear market. On the other hand, bull markets correlate with peace. What about today?
It's been less than a decade since the housing bubble burst, yet home prices in the UK and US today hover near new highs. Even so, socionomist Alan Hall foresees a darker future for real estate. He warns that once again, housing data suggests that the real estate market is beginning to wilt.
The consequences of a negative social mood are far-reaching. One example is that the political party in power often faces a backlash from voters. Another is the emergence of an "us vs. them" sentiment. Both are at play in Germany. Keep an eye on the DAX index.
Financial history shows that peaks in corporate mergers generally occur prior to major bear markets. With that in mind, consider that 2015 saw a record amount of money spent on mergers. But, since then, a shift has occurred. Is financial history set to repeat?
Why would the British pound rise on the news that Brexit needs approval from the British parliament? Well, you could argue that the markets, unsure of Brexit's ultimate economic impact, showed their approval for a delay in the process. Yet, here is another explanation...
The results are in: Two- plus months of negative interest rates has had no positive impact on Japan's economy. "It's like being Alice in Wonderland," observes one strategist. But, in our opinion, there's nothing "curiouser" about the futility of free money to revive Japan's credit markets.
Here's what we know from three-plus decades of observing markets: When prices move in a sideways, choppy fashion -- it’s a corrective pattern. That is to say, the market is making a “pause” within the larger trend; the actual trend should soon resume.
On December 8, Germany's DAX Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 broke out of long-enduring holding patterns, embarking on a synchronized uptrend to new 2016 highs. According to the experts, the main catalyst for the markets' breakout was the ECB's pledge to keep the QE tap open. But there's a very big problem with this logic.
On September 21, a perfect bullish storm brewed in the fundamental backdrop of platinum. And yet, on September 23, platinum turned down in a vicious sell-off to six-month lows. Let us offer you an explanation you won’t read in the mainstream.
Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.
Brian Whitmer, our European Markets Expert, discusses deflation and its effect on European economies, as well as deflation in world-wide economies.
On July 22, gold prices soared 3%-plus to go above $1300 per ounce in their largest percentage gain since June 29, 2012. The fact is, the July 22 rally in gold makes absolutely no sense in terms of fundamental analysis of financial markets. It is, however, easy to understand in the context of objective Elliott wave analysis. Let's look back on EWI's Metals Specialty Service for support.
Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.
Global Market Perspective (GMP) delivers monthly analysis and forecasts for the world's major financial markets, straight to your computer. Watch this preview of our December issue.
Our Global Opportunities Expert, Chris Carolan, discusses Monday's sharp declines in China's Shanghai Composite and Germany's DAX, and then he shares his outlook for the global markets based on the regional currencies.
Financial markets have a way of turning just when the majority of investors are convinced that the established trend will continue. But make sure a market's chart pattern also supports a turn. This market appears ripe with opportunity.
Many investors believe that the Federal Reserve holds sway over markets and the economy. But a former chairman of the U.S. central bank says monetary policy cannot solve everything. See a chart that shows what central bankers are up against.
If you trade with Elliott, you may use supporting indicators in your analysis of the markets. Here's a brief lesson that shows you three ways that moving averages can help you determine the market trend.
Check out the political landscape. Why is PC on its way out and anger and separatism on their way in? What, if anything, does this say about the markets?
Could a simple trendline help you identify price breakout points, manage risk, and identify critical resistance levels in the markets you follow? You betcha! Watch and learn from EWI's Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.
"New York City has a history of progressing very dramatically along the lines of bull and bear markets." So says Peter Kendall, who is leading a socionomic walking tour of Wall Street and Lower Manhattan on September 8. Watch as Peter explains more.
Whether you look at other markets, politics or something else to explain a market move, you’re explaining a move that’s already happened. And for a trader, the real question is, "What will the market do tomorrow?" Let's look at how Elliott wave analysis handles it.
The investor stampede out of stocks has produced some of the most furious selling since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Learn why ill-prepared money managers are contributing to the stunning downtrend.
The co-editor of the U.S. section of our Global Market Perspective sat down to explain why this uncommon pattern in the Dow fits with the overall long-term picture in the stock market.
On Feb. 6, gold prices plunged 2%. The mainstream experts blamed the fall on a "gangbuster" jobs report. The real answer to what caused it, though, is right in front of you.
At the start of 2016, India’s S&P Nifty Index was circling the drain of a 21-month while India’s rupee clung to an all-time-ever low against the U.S. dollar. But then the unexpected happened -- both the Nifty and the rupee hit bottom. Yet -- while the one continues to soar in a bull market rally, the other one sputters...
Pete Kendall tells you that although stocks recently hit new all-time highs, there is a great slackening in the economy -- but not for the reasons you commonly hear about in the news. To watch the interview or read the transcript, click on the link below.
Never before has the world piled up so much debt. A day of reckoning is at hand. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office just said that "the long-term outlook for the federal budget has worsened dramatically."
There was no shortage of U.S. dollar bears during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. But the greenback defied the negative sentiment and now trades near 100. See what could have helped you anticipate that sharp bounce.
The U.S. has just imposed a new tariff on steel imports from China. Trade wars between nations are the result of a defensive psychology. Prepare now for a trend toward protectionism.
The April 1 U.S. Department of Labor report showed a 5% unemployment rate. The mainstream experts hailed this as a sign of "robust" growth. We, on the other hand, call April Fool's!
In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments...
The transition from risk-taking to risk-aversion started off gradually in 2007. Then it suddenly accelerated. Our analysts see evidence that a similar pattern is repeating itself. Look at these two charts.
China is dumping U.S. Treasuries. So is Russia and Brazil. Are interest rates set to soar? Learn why now may be the time to question the safe-haven status of U.S. government bonds.
Will the Drug Enforcement Agency remove marijuana from the same drug classification as heroin and LSD? Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert weighs in. Watch this interview or read transcript now.
Have you ever wondered why the U.S. economy remains weak even after unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus? The reason boils down to just two words: deflationary psychology. Now is the time to prepare for what we see ahead.
A well-known financial publication suggests that now is the time to invest for the long-term. Such an approach might be hazardous to your portfolio. See a chart that shows a dip-buyer's nightmare.
Housing market analysts expect prices to climb again in 2016. But one EWI subscriber expresses caution. Learn what he just told The New York Times.
Homeowners were using their homes as ATMs around the time of the 2006 peak in housing prices. Today, many people are again borrowing against their homes. Learn why the housing market is prone to "boom and bust."
Something unprecedented has just occurred in the stock market. A researcher calls this market action "unheard of" and we believe you should prepare for more of the same. Two charts are instructive.
There are many ways to describe the 2014-2015 rally in the U.S. dollar to 12-year highs. One of those ways happens to be an Elliott third wave in action...
What should you make of the recent big sell-off, a rally -- and now, another sell-off in U.S. stocks? Here are some tips from Tom Prindaville, editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service.
Small investors have grown apathetic toward the stock market. On the other hand, institutional investors like hedge funds are extremely bullish. There's a parallel in market history.
Even as the Dow hovers in record-high territory, some sectors have slipped into a bear market. Venture capital for U.S. business startups is drying up. For many technology firms, "the game is already over."
Even today, there are repercussions from the real estate lending boom that ended with the subprime mortgage crisis. In 2017, commercial mortgages are maturing, and some landlords face delinquency. Here's what that means for some bondholders.
The U.S. dollar surged in the wake of Britain's decision to leave the European Union. But the greenback's upward trend started several weeks before the June 23 vote. See how the Wave Principle can help you spot trend turns, even when professional speculators are betting the other way.
This week promises to be big on economic news. Meanwhile, EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market, has been trading lower and lower over the past few days, as the U.S. dollar got stronger. How might the upcoming events impact this trend?
Many private companies want to go public during a bull market trend. Even companies that are losing money get listed on major stock exchanges when optimism reaches an extreme. See a chart that tells a story that investors need to know now.
On May 3, the U.S. Dollar Index spiked down to a low of 91.919. But, just three days later, as the bears were licking their chops, we anticipated a turn higher. Our wave analysis has served subscribers well. The index just hit a 13.5-year high.
Many pundits are celebrating the 271,000 jobs that were added in the U.S. (October). New research reveals the caliber of many of the new jobs created during the economic "recovery." See the five-wave form of the rise in mean U.S. income.
Days before the ECB announcement, EURUSD charts began to show a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern called an "ending diagonal." It almost always introduces fast trend reversals -- up, in this case. You can see this price pattern here...
The U.S. economy grew at a snail's pace in Q2. The preliminary GDP annual growth rate of 1.2% took polled economists by surprise. They expected an increase more than twice that high. Find out how we anticipate economic trend changes.
The federal government is good at lending taxpayer money to borrowers who are unable or unwilling to pay it back. It happened during the housing bust, and now, some seven million people are in default on their student loans. Find out why we anticipate that the number will rise dramatically.
The selloff in global bonds has been blamed on speculation that central banks will raise rates. Some observers point to economic data. Yet, we saw the handwriting on the wall four months ago. See how a combination of Elliott waves and sentiment measures can be highly useful to investors.
chart of the day | European stocks, just like stocks in the U.S., enjoyed a rebound over the past few weeks. You may have heard different reasons for the rally in Europe, but here's one most analysts overlook -- and in our opinion, it's one of the most important reasons.
On August 31, Wall Street officially bid adieu to the fiscal Q2 2016. And, according to the experts, “better-than-estimated earnings” lifted U.S. stocks to record highs. The problem is, that’s just one side of the story. The other side you don’t want to miss.
On November 9, U.S. bond investors realized there's something worse than the uncertainty leading up to the 2016 presidential election; namely, the uncertainty following it! Is there a way to gain insight into the market's trend? Absolutely.
U.S. public pension fund returns have been hurt by a long stretch of low interest rates. Today, the funding gap stands at an astounding $3.4 trillion. Our research and others' suggests the bankruptcies of Detroit and San Bernardino may be only previews of what's to come for at least five other major cities on the brink of insolvency.
Are you ready for an even bigger cool down in the housing market? Recent data suggests that real estate's ice age, which started in 2006, is far from over. Get the details now.
The Federal Reserve is troubled by the jobs market, and for good reason. The central bank's own Labor Market Conditions Index is at its lowest level in seven years. Also, a record 95 million Americans are not in the labor force. Now is the time to prepare for what we see ahead.
We warned about deflation when others scoffed at the idea. Now, deflation has taken a foothold around the globe, and U.S. farmers and grocery store operators are feeling the pain. Food prices have tumbled as a result of deepening deflationary forces. Prepare now for the next phase when no one will doubt this developing trend.
Energy Pro Service editor Steve Craig has established himself as one of the world's most accurate forecasters of oil prices. In this short chat with ETV, Steve reveals how he came to EWI and, importantly, how he uses the Wave Principle to keep his subscribers ahead of the massive moves in crude and nat gas (5:01).
Our Senior Metals Analyst explains the real - or perceived - relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar.
See what to make of the recent U.S. dollar strength in this new interview with Forex Experts Jim Martens and Michael Madden.
Love or hate December's infamous volatility, if you choose to trade this month, you have to deal with it. And this December has certainly been volatile. Take EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market...
Beginning May 11, our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy will present his 5-session online course, "4 Critical Elements of High-Confidence Trading." We spoke with Randy H., a student who took Jeffrey's first "Critical Elements" course, to learn what he thought of it.
"The economy leads, and the stock market follows." This common assumption is easy to check -- all you have to do is look at the data.
The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.
Picture this. You are a looking at a price chart, and you see a wave pattern you recognize. Based on the pattern, you think the market should fall. Instead, it rises. How do you adjust your analysis? Let's look at a real-life example: silver futures.
The recent nerve gas attack in Syria has brought the United States and other nations to the point of taking military action. The threat of a larger involvement in war is usually thought to affect the price of gold, as if it were a fundamental divining rod for gold prices.
In 2003, we warned about the trend toward socialized healthcare and taxes. Now, the fines for the uninsured have increased in 2016. Now is the time to prepare for what's next.
Manufacturing jobs were the foundation of the U.S. economy. But since 1979, manufacturing jobs have been disappearing. We've gone from "making things" to "financing things." Learn why this is a harbinger of economic deterioration.
One economic indicator just marked its eighth straight week of declines. Another just turned in its worst five-year run since the early 1980s. Yet, there's even more evidence that the economy is on very shaky ground.
Just weeks before the 2007 stock market top, a big clue appeared in the bond market. Today, similar developments are occurring in the bond market. See two charts: one from 2007 and the other from today.
chart of the day | Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the U.S. GDP, so the latest uptick in spending is happy news for stock market bulls. Except, there is one caveat.
Jim Martens, editor of EWI's Currency Pro Service, discusses recent price action in EURUSD and explains why he's looking for the euro to start another leg down -- and for the U.S. dollar, another leg up -- very soon.
Deflation is already a reality in many quarters of the global economy. Mounting evidence suggests that the full fury of this trend is about to be unleashed. Give our just-released dispatch on deflation your immediate attention.
U.S. shopping malls have seen better days. Now, foot traffic is dwindling. Major retailers are closing stores. One iconic retailer has just seen its share price touch fresh lows.
Besides Elliott wave price patterns, our analysts also watch other telltale market indicators to pinpoint trend reversals -- e.g., sentiment extremes.
The U.S. dollar remains in an uptrend that's been unfolding for nearly nine years. Can a magazine cover really help point to which way the trend will go from here?
Chris Carolan tells you about what a weaker dollar implies for Asian equities, gives you an update on what he's looking at in China.
Two bull market institutions are showing patterns of five-waves up. Elliott-minded investors know that this means the next trend points downward. See two charts that you will likely not find anywhere else.
On March 9, 2017, the bull market marks its eighth anniversary. At the same time, one group of market participants are more bullish than they've been in decades. Are they right? The Wave Principle is helping our subscribers anticipate the next major trend change.
In February, professional investors were record net short futures and options contracts on oil. Yet, we took the opposite stance. On June 8, crude closed at a new 2016 high. Take a look at this chart.
Here's a weekly chart of gold, covering the past five years: You can see that, from the peak high in 2011, gold's price trend has moved in a series of waves lower, recently down to levels last seen in 2010 ... So, what's up with those green arrows?
chart of the day | Here we have the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Spread. It's one of those indicators you don't see enough of in the financial media, even though it's a lot more predictive and relevant to investors, versus all of this week's hoopla about the Federal Reserve.
Blaming the euro weakness on "negative inflation" -- or, deflation, if you call a spade a spade -- is a logical choice. After all, the euro did get weaker after the report. However, if you look at these EURUSD charts, you'll see that this weakness started days ago.
It's almost Christmas, "the hap-happiest season of all." Yet, here's a sobering fact for U.S. investors: As this chart shows, the S&P 500 stocks are actually lower now than at the end of last year.
More than half of all student loan borrowers are behind in their payments. Some student loans may never be paid back. Guess who will probably foot the bill? Prepare now for a debt implosion in U.S. student loans.
A year ago, economists were predicting a sustained 3% growth rate for the U.S. economy. Yet the government just said that the economy contracted at a 0.7% annualized rate in Q1. See a chart that shows a "relentless decline" in a key economic measure.
U.S. stocks have had a rough week -- and for many observers, it's been a "head-scratcher." what's bothering the stock market? We offer a simple explanation -- one based on Elliott wave analysis, which is at the core of what we do.
On Sept. 23, the Canadian dollar fell to an 11-year low against the U.S. dollar. Two weeks earlier, EWI's Senior Currency Strategist posted this video forecast, explaining why USDCAD presented a bullish opportunity. Watch this great lesson in Elliott wave forecasting now.
Puerto Rico's debt crisis may seem insignificant to many U.S. investors. After all, the Caribbean island is smaller than Connecticut and only has a population of 3.6 million. But you may be exposed to Puerto Rican debt and not know it.
The U.S. GDP growth has just been revised upward. That, many experts say, sets the stage for a stock market rally -- because the economy leads and the stock market follows. Right? At least, that’s what almost everyone believes. But even a brief glance at recent history proves otherwise.
Even as the Dow reaches an all-time high, the Dallas pension system is asking taxpayers for a bailout. U.S. public pension systems grapple with an accelerating downward spiral. Our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast notes that some are prime candidates for insolvency.
You can also see how our currency forecast came first, and the "Brexit surprise" came second. Plus, why central bank "Targets" amount to a chart of failure. Check it out.
News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.
Not one economist surveyed by The Wall Street Journal at the start of 2015 anticipated that crude oil would be trading under $40 a barrel. Most of them don't consider investor psychology, the true driver of big trends. And that's precisely what Elliott wave analysis helps you do. Take a look at this chart.
On December 16, the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. Yet -- even though the rate hike was a foregone conclusion, the Nikkei's reaction to said hike was apparently all over the map.
Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that after nine years of negative mood, Russia looks a lot more threatening than it once did.
The financial sector has been part of the so-called Trump Bump. A well-known hedge fund manager sees a golden age for banks. Our view is radically different. We expect that the most aggressive exploiters of the long bull market will face harsh future consequences.
As of 2013, the daily trading volume in foreign exchange was more than $5 TRILLION a day. EWI's currencies expert, Jim Martens, discusses the pros and cons of trading forex vs. trading stocks.
The Federal Reserve's assets have soared since its quantitative easing programs started in 2008. One chart shows why so many investors are positioned for inflation. Learn why they will probably be caught off guard.
"Open Sesame" is the phrase that opens the door to treasure. A Chinese entrepreneur was inspired by the story of Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves and named a company that has yielded vast riches. One of our Global Market Perspective editors provides analysis of Alibaba Group.
How could the debt crisis in Puerto Rico affect you? Where is the next housing bubble set to burst? How do money managers signal major gold turns? Get the answers, today!
Now that crude oil rose about 20% in April alone, it's getting hard to remember that this winter, WTI fell to just $26.05 a barrel. Harder still is to remember the sentiment towards oil at that time. These headlines from major news sources are a good reminder...
Wow, how far we've come. A year ago, saying that the euro and U.S. dollar would soon reach parity would have been laughed at. At the time, the euro-dollar exchange rate was trading near $1.40. By March of this year, it fell about four cents away from parity. Will it get there?
When it comes to anticipating the record-shattering rout in German bonds, the final score is: Technical analysis: 1 Fundamental analysis: 0
Pay attention to the market's momentum. The late Richard Russell of Dow Theory fame developed a proprietary configuration of eight market-based measures. We've created a momentum indicator from this configuration. Look at the chart.
India is often ignored in the U.S. financial media. But investors should pay close attention. Indian equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the years. And, now, opportunity appears to beckon again.
Stocks are up. In fact, the DJIA added almost 700 points this week. And why not? Unemployment is down. Square and Match/OKCupid/Tinder's IPOs are doing well. Good news all around. That's why stocks are up. Right? Well, only if you read happy news stories...
On June 16, the Jakarta Composite Index plunged to its lowest level in 13 months. Now, we "hunt down" the real reason behind the powerful sell-off...
In late July, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a massive, $267 billion stimulus package -- the largest of the prior 23 years, if you don’t count the one during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. While most investors are wondering whether the stimulus this time will be effective, our analysis gives you a completely different perspective on the announcement.
You may remember that in 2008-2009, as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression was ravaging stocks, real estate, commodities and other "can't-lose" asset classes, many called into question traditional economic models, as well as the Fed's "omnipotence."
This U.S. Dollar Index chart is as straightforward as it looks. It's a longer-term, weekly bar chart. The Elliott wave pattern is crystal clear, yet is still in progress. From the low in April 2011, 4 waves are in place, exactly as the blue labels show: 1, 2, 3, 4...
University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.
In this interview, our Senior Currency Strategist and editor of the forex-focused Currency Pro Service tells you what to expect during the Forex FreeWeek (Oct. 19-23).
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert explains how he first encountered socionomics and how the field has grown over the years.
Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy tells you about the four key principles that'll help improve your Elliott wave skills.
Jeffrey Kennedy demonstrates how Fibonacci ratios help you determine price targets and turning points. The most common Fibonacci ratios are .382 and .618, but there are others...
On May 5, Malaysia's Kuala Lumpur Composite Index slipped to a two-month low. The mainstream experts cited negative economic data in China as the root cause for the rout. Sounds perfectly logical... at first read.
On June 24, the British pound plummeted to a 31-year low on the back of its steepest single-day fall ever! What caused cable to crash, you ask? Well, according to some experts, the Brexit vote is to blame. We, however, have a different explanation.
All eyes were on the much-anticipated OPEC oil production freeze this week. And yet, somehow, crude oil prices themselves had two very different reactions to news of the output halt? Read on!
This idea of gold as inflation hedge is practically gospel. This chart shows a major flaw in this theory.
The EURCAD's recent nosedive to a one-month low shows you how Elliott wave analysis has a very real place in the world of forex trading. Plus, a special "Black Friday" (Nov. 21) deal awaits you.
Today, we step into our "time machine" and go back to July 11, 2008 -- the day of crude oil's all-time high. There, you'll also see how prepared the mainstream financial experts were for crude's ensuing crash.
Question: Why did gold prices rally to a two-week high on September 18? Hint: The answer does NOT include one specific "F" word; namely, the "Federal" Reserve's recent "no" vote to raise rates.
Here's the what: Oil prices have just enjoyed their strongest 3-day rally since Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait. Now, read why OPEC is not to thank for the upsurge...
Every forex trader knows that some trading days, you and the market just "click" somehow. And then there are days when just about every trading decision turns against you. Have you ever wondered why those "good" vs. "bad" days happen to begin with?
When platinum prices plunged to a 6.5 year low on July 17, the mainstream experts blamed the Fed's anticipated rate hike. But that kind of logic is nowhere near inside the right orbit.
At a 10-month high in early June, all "fundamental" signs pointed UP for crude oil's future. And yet -- on August 1, crude oil prices plunged below the $40 per barrel level for the first time in more than three months AND slipped into its third bear market in two years. See the story from a totally unique perspective.
Bearish hedge fund managers were woefully caught off guard in December 2015 when gold launched a 31% rally into July of this year. By contrast, we told subscribers that a sharp rally was imminent right at the low. Now, gold's price appears to face another key juncture.
Despite the Fed's stimulus efforts, inflation remains subdued. The trend in money velocity -- the rate at which money changes hands in the economy -- is not what one might expect during a bull market. One bond manager points to high-debt levels.
Some people believe that "baby boomers" are driving the stock market's trend. The thinking goes that this large demographic group is behind the bull market, and as they retire, a bear market will follow. This thesis seems logical, but let's look at the evidence.
Robert Folsom explains that a real honeymoon means a "happy couple" -- and so far, Donald Trump hasn't made his "bride" -- namely, the public -- happy.
Without question, over the past five years U.K. shares have been among the strongest equity performers, with the FTSE 100 recently rocketing above the 7000-point mark for the first ever in April 2015. But the "great bull market" isn't actually as great as it seems.
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series.
In this new clip from Steve Hochberg's presentation at the 2016 San Francisco MoneyShow, you'll see how the extreme sentiment surrounding gold helped him anticipate its looming reversal.
The mass "exodus" of financial institutions from commodities continues. Could this be a sign that the 6-year long commodity bear market has bottomed?
Chris Carolan, who edits our Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, explains how the Elliott Wave Principle helped him anticipate the recent move in the Chinese yuan.
Chris Carolan outlines his forecasts for the Chinese yuan and shows you how he stayed one step ahead of China's currency devaluation steps.
In 2011 and 2014, mainstream finance resolved that commodities would make a major comeback. In 2016, those same experts predicted the sector was doomed. The end result: 0 for 3. But someone got the story right.
What comes first? See the evidence on these three charts for yourself in Episode 4 of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series.
Stocks rallied on Thursday (Jan. 14) -- but tanked again on Friday (Jan. 15), probably making the previously reported $3.2-trillion loss in the value of global stocks even bigger. But how can that be? Doesn't money simply move from one asset class to another?
We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.
Remember how during the time of the Greek bailout a couple of weeks ago, the euro didn't seem to "know" which way to go next? There is a reason for that, says The Wall Street Journal: carry trade.
Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains how 16 years of negative social mood is driving globalization's unpopularity. Learn more in this new interview.
EWI's own Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful.
"The trend is your friend," goes the old trading adage -- but what if the trend is about to end as you're "befriending" it? Elliott wave analysis is uniquely positioned to give you ample warning when that happens -- watch.
U.S. crude has recently slipped below $40, and the mainstream media is blaming a supply glut. But is that the real reason for oil's slide? Take a look at an oil chart that goes back over 150 years.
On Monday (June 29), the world woke up to the ever-more-real possibility of a Greek default. The U.S. dollar gained, and EURUSD fell on the news. But then, just as abruptly, the euro sell-off reversed and completely erased all dollar gains. What happened?
Financial commentators parse every word the Fed utters, hoping to catch a clue about the central bank's next policy decision. But who really determines the direction of rates?
A famous hedge fund manager recently said that deflation "is less likely than an asteroid hitting the earth." Yet, Europe already faces very low inflation and outright deflation, and Japan just suffered a stunning economic setback.
Applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake. See an illustration that shows how they differ.
The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast has been tracking a steady global shift to greater financial conservatism over the last several months.
Twenty-three states (and D.C.) have now legalized marijuana in some form. Have you ever asked yourself why marijuana laws got more lax now? Why not 20 years ago? Why not 10 years from now? Is it "today's loose morals"? There is a better explanation.
"Peace lets companies innovate and compete, helping the economy." True -- and yet, stocks will go where they go.
Why do some traders jump in too early and take positions when an Elliott wave pattern demonstrates only one or two of the necessary traits? Find the answer -- and the solution -- with a quick lesson from our Trader's Classroom editor, Jeffrey Kennedy.
The editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, tells you why he thinks 2016 will be an exciting year for Japanese and global investors willing to dip a toe into that market.
The sell-off in dollar-yen, or USDJPY, has been in the news a lot. "USDJPY Takes Out Stops, Plunges Under 101: Drags Stocks To New Lows," said a Zero Hedge headline yesterday. (Japan's Nikkei fell another 4.2% today.)
Are you curious about spotting market turns? Our metals analyst uses the Wave Principle throughout every trading day to help his subscribers spot important changes in trend.
Steve Craig, EWI's Chief Energy Analyst, explains what's really driving crude prices. Watch this new interview to find out what he's paying attention to.
Watch this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Commodity Junctures market-forecasting service, to learn about the one commodity [Jeff] is most excited about.
The trend -- in any market, fad, fashion, or social phenomenon -- is most likely to reverse course exactly when it seems like it's "here to stay." Learn how socionomics alerts you to the opportunities that trend reversals present.
Pete Kendall, co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, discusses important trends that he'll be watching in the coming weeks and months ahead.
We sat down with Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, to learn how he approaches market volatility -- and why it's important to have alternate wave counts.
Alibaba's stock market debut -- BABA -- was supposed to be the can't-lose, golden IPO of 2015. But then, the stock plunged 30% and stands near its initial offer price. While it's easy to blame China's contracting economy for the BABA bust, that wouldn't be true.
This essay describes the work and research of the legendary econophysicist Dr. H. Eugene Stanley, keynote speaker of the 2016 Social Mood Conference. An extended form of this essay appeared in the February 2016 issue of The Socionomist.
Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to identify and trade an ending diagonal in the chart of Union Pacific (UNP)
Big banks remain more fragile than most people realize. Many financial institutions never really recovered from the 2007-2009 financial crisis. A new report opens your eyes to the secret new government tax.
See how this single market indicator warned of reversals in stocks in 2000 and 2007.
Many recent survey respondents see clear skies ahead for the U.S. economy. But there's an important historic insight that investors need to know about today's economic optimism.
The on-demand video of the 2016 Social Mood Conference introduces you to the world's leading socionomists. You'll hear their groundbreaking foresights into the radical sea changes in store for the entire human landscape.
Brian Whitmer explains why the elevated state of investor optimism will ultimately lead many European banks to default.
Yes, this is a thought experiment. But it draws on 250-plus years of American history -- namely the stock market from 1760 to 2012.
Natural Gas recently hit a 17-year low. See our analysis and the surprising forecast.
Periods of low stock market volatility are usually followed by high volatility. On March 18, volatility was non-existent. Since then, volatility has jumped. Prepare now for "head spinning stock market moves."
Over the last year, Walmart has gone from retail victor to re-FAIL victim of falling sales growth, store closures, layoffs, and on. Who's to blame for Walmart's reversal of fortune? Hint: It's not the strong dollar. It's deflation.
On January 6, gold prices rallied to a 2-month high. But before you say "North Korea," know this: Elliott wave analysis foresaw gold's uptrend before the "H-bomb" went off.
For the past two months, EURUSD, the world's most-traded forex market, has made almost zero net progress -- until now. This chart shows you the long sideways trading range stretching back all the way to December.
How much longer will investors remain enamored with risk-assets like stocks? The evidence suggests that a major shift toward financial conservatism is underway. See the evidence and decide for yourself.
"If you knew earnings would rise for next 6 quarters, would you buy stocks?" Yes, it's a trick question.
From the start of 2013 to late June, gold prices took a 20% nosedive to their lowest level in three years. But if you think an improving economy took the wind out of gold's sails, the last six decades of history might surprise you.
On September 17, gold traders and investors were sure of one thing: IF the Fed kept interest rates near 0% for a "considerable time," gold prices would rise. The Fed did just that -- YET, gold prices dropped 1% that day. What gives?
On October 27, one day before the latest Fed meeting wrapped up, gold prices flexed their bullish muscle, soaring to $1180 per ounce. Many experts did not see the Fed's coming decision as a threat for the rally. And then this happened.
Many speculators believe that the price of gold is headed down. See a chart that shows what happened with gold during other times when sentiment was extremely negative. Another chart addresses the widespread belief that rising interest rates are bearish for gold.
The sentiment surrounding company stock buybacks goes from cheers to jeers. Also, a splintering is taking place in M&A deals. Are these signs of a historic trend shift in stocks?
Big volatility has been conspicuously absent from the stock market. We view this as a warning sign instead of a reason for complacency. Market history backs up our view. Take a look at this chart.
Most analysts blamed "market fundamentals" for the stunning sell-off in crude on July 5. Yet, note that neither "the fallout from Greek turmoil," nor the "potential Iranian nuclear deal" have happened yet. Well, here's an Elliott wave perspective.
The price of crude oil just hit a six-year low. Market forecasters offer different views on what's next. We conclude with what the July Elliott Wave Theorist has to say.
In the past month, gold saw a big spike in volatility. Commentators pointed to the U.S. presidential election as the cause. But Elliott wave analysts made a forecast for volatility in gold when the CBOE Gold ETF VIX index had been trending lower, and made no mention of the election. Here's what we saw.
Two days before the New Year’s Eve, I got an insistent email from a colleague. Jim Martens, our Senior Currency Strategist, sent me a message with only a subject line: “Sell those euros. Sell'em.”
On Dec. 16, gold traders were more bearish on a longer-term basis than they were in July 1999, when the precious metal was at $252.15. That day, our Short Term Update said, "It's tough to lean against the crowd ... but that's exactly what our analysis suggests is proper at the current juncture." On Jan. 17, gold hit a 2-month high.
Financial optimism has reached a new extreme. The impulse to herd is ever present, but there is a way to set yourself apart from the crowd.
The DJIA has been on a winning streak with one all-time closing high after another. "Traders are convinced that market volatility will remain nonexistent." Our subscribers know better.
Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.
U.S. debt is on the rise and could reach a milestone level sometime in 2017. Student debt has risen for 18 consecutive years, and subprime loans are a growing worry in another sector. See these charts to understand the threat.
Does the Fed's interest rate policy determine the direction of stocks and the economy? Many Fed watchers believe so. Perhaps they have not seen these two charts.
In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to the decade lows we see today. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.
As bad news goes, terrorism is at the top of the list. Why then do stocks ignore these terrible events so often?
At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.
We often get asked about computerized trading "causing the market to stray from the Wave Principle." EWI founder Robert Prechter asked that very question in this excerpt from Prechter's Perspective.
The stock market moves with lightning speed when fear grips the minds of investors. On June 24, the Dow saw its eighth-largest point loss ever. Is the wave of financial optimism that started in 2009 over? A "must read" book tells you how to get financially safe.
What happens when you speak against your country's decision to go to war? Nothing good, most of the time. The new episode of our Pop Trends, Price Culture podcast tells a true tale of dissenters who were (so to speak) jailed by negative mood.
It was supposed to be a "quiet" Thanksgiving holiday in precious metals. But thanks to a 7%-plus sell-off in silver, it's been anything but.
Learning how to apply Elliott wave analysis in your own investing or trading? Hear these tips from a Wall Street veteran who's been personally using Elliott waves since the 1980s.
Our Chief Energy Analyst weighs in on recent volatility in the energy complex and offers you a preview of what he's looking for in 2017.
On Friday, June 24, the world awoke to an apparent new wind blowing out of Europe: The citizens of Great Britain voted to leave the European Union.
This is a weekly chart of the natural gas market. It posted on October 2, in our monthly Global Market Perspective publication. A lot has happened since then, but, on Oct. 2, this chart showed the five-year high...
In mid-2015, sugar futures were mired in a multi-year bear market, with prices plunging to an 8-year low. All fundamental signs pointed D-O-W-N. But instead, sugar prices turned up, in a powerful 90% rally! Know the real reason why, today.
Investors shun stocks when they're cheap, but love them when they're over-valued. Financial herding occurs across all groups of investors, even among those who regularly advise against it. It's time to adopt another way of looking at the market.
In mid-2015, the Japanese yen stood at a near 13-year low against the U.S dollar. And, according to mainstream wisdom, the yen's downside fate was sealed by the B.O.J's ongoing commitment toward monetary easing. And yet -- the yen rallied?
"U.S. trade deficit seems to be a reasonable thing to worry about." This chart shows you why it's really not.
The historically low default rate of municipal bonds is a lure that will trap millions of unsuspecting investors. The list of American cities facing severe budget shortfalls and huge pension liabilities is long. Which city will be the next Detroit?
In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.
"GDP reflects corporate success. So do stock prices. So how could GDP not impact stocks?" -- Solid logic, and yet...
"Some economists say wars stimulate the economy; others say war hurts it." These 4 charts negate both cases.
"Rising oil prices reduce corporate and consumer spending, impacting stocks and the economy." Right? Wrong.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke made this startling confession before a Senate Banking Committee on July 18, 2013: "Nobody really understands gold prices, and I don't pretend to understand them either." For some perspective, that's kind of like boarding an airplane only to have the pilot get on the PA system and say, "Does anyone know what this flashing red button means?"
In 2012, all the "fundamental" lines added up in corn's bullish favor. And yet, corn prices embarked on a multi-year bear market that persists today. Lend your "ear" to the full story...
Last Friday (Oct. 2) at 9:06 AM, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, Jim Martens, emailed me with a three-letter subject line: "EUR."
In December 2014, we discussed an indicator that appeared to carry "the same message as it did in 2007." The Dow Industrials topped just five months later. Now, the stress level is even more intense.
On Sept. 16-17, the Federal Reserve meets to decide whether or not to raise interest rates. It's been described as "the most important Fed meeting of the decade" -- and a pivotal moment for stocks. Yet, these four charts show you why it may not be.
The dust settled after last week's Fed meeting, the focus has shifted to their next meeting in October, the interest rate hike option is still on the table -- and so, the U.S. dollar is stronger... but what happens next?
Mainstream economists say gold's trend is in the eye of the Fed holder. Rate hikes are bearish, while low rates are bullish. See why this love story isn't everything it seems.
On June 16, copper prices plunged to a 3-month low. There are 3 main fundamental explanations for the sell-off. But there's only 1 right one -- the Elliott wave explanation.
The what: On July 20, gold prices plunged below $1100 an ounce for the first time in five years. As for the WHY -- well, the real reason might surprise you.
Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Such blatant contradictions appear regularly in the media. Keep an eye on the market itself. The Dow's price pattern pointed to a new all-time high months before the election, and anticipates what's next.
In February, the U.S. jobless rate fell to 4.7% as the economy added 235,000 non-farm payrolls. Some people attribute the economic improvement to the new president. Here's why the added jobs were anticipated well before the U.S. election.
In this interview, senior analyst and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Alan Hall explains how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition and shares some thoughts on how Donald Trumps fits into the authoritarian narrative.
August was the worst month for the Dow in five years, yet many investors remain optimistic about stocks. If a bear market has started, history shows that many of these investors will hold all the way down. Take a look at a chart that is most revealing.
Much like a cardiogram can show a doctor how the patient's heart is doing, Elliott wave patterns on a price chart can show you which way the market's collective psychology is about to take prices -- before the news, or without any news, period.
As Greece teeters on the brink of another default, the question is: Will this end the Eurozone crisis, or will it begin an even bigger one? From an Elliott wave viewpoint, the mainstream answer to this question misses a hugely important piece of the puzzle...
How does catching a 79% move in 14 months sound to you? Any investor would be thrilled. Our Global Market Perspective subscribers were alerted to just such an opportunity in this Australian index -- see how.
Chris Carolan discusses Tuesday's near 1000-point decline in Japan's Nikkei.
On April 27, the World Bank Group upwardly revised its annual forecast for crude oil prices -- after oil had risen 77% from this winter's lows. As for seeing oil's rally in advance -- well, that's a different story. One worth reading now...
The facts and evidence are clear: When emotions run high, Elliott waves are at their best. Case in point: Crude oil from 2014 to today. See Prechter's mind-boggling chart and forecast for yourself.
When on August 18 the Shanghai Composite Index plunged more than 6%, the mainstream experts could find "no obvious catalyst" for the drop. Turns out, they weren't looking in the right place.
Elliott waves allow you to see before the news which way the collective psychology of market participants is leaning. If traders feel bullish…
In the May 2008 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, we cited a sudden loss of enthusiasm for company buybacks as another component of a major market reversal.
Elliott Wave International's Steve Craig offers you his latest insight on price trends in crude oil and natural gas.
In our latest "Video Mailbag," three of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.
Five months ago, by almost every fundamental measure, commodity prices were dead in the water. And yet, as of June 6, the commodity sector as a whole went from doom to BOOM! So, what changed? The answer might surprise you.
In this new Q&A with Murat Yilmaz, our European Stocks Intraday Analyst, you'll learn how the Wave Principle helps you see new trade opportunities, what he considers a "good" opportunity, the importance of risk management and more.
Most investors believe that higher interest rates are bearish. These four charts show you the truth.
In 2010, a historic supply deficit was widely expected to keep the bullish wind in cocoa's sails. But instead, cocoa prices crashed in a 45% sell-off to 3-year lows. Now, a similar supply/demand picture is developing.
On November 16, GDP data confirmed Japan had fallen back into a recession. No two-ways about it. Yet, the Japanese yen had more than two ways to react to the news...
What do NYC taxicab medallions and stock market shares have in common? Well, let's just say, borrowing money to buy into either asset with the hopes of ever-rising values doesn't end well
Jeffrey Kennedy is a 20-plus year Elliott wave market veteran. In this new interview, he walks you through his 4-step process of how to find high-confidence, low-risk trade setups.
In part two of this essay, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explains how to think of the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.
Germany served as an anchor of stability during Europe's sovereign debt crisis. The nation is the Continent's largest economy. Even so, Germany's stock market now looks poised for increased volatility. Also, take a look at this downtrending stock chart of the country's largest steel maker.
The stock market's price history consists of recognizable patterns at all degrees of trend. The chart of one European bourse shows a bull market has ended at five degrees of trend. It now appears that Minor wave 3 is unfolding.
Over the last year, investors' appetite for risk has gone from red hot to lukewarm, culminating in the recent junk bond bust. Get the real story of the reversal here...
On July 7, gold prices turned down in a $20/oz. intraday tumble. As for what caused gold to lose its luster -- see why Greece's debt crisis is NOT the reason.
Welcome to the world of half-century loans at 1% and a 100-year note at a yield of 2.35%. One of our Global Market Perspective analysts says the European bond market has entered a realm of "sheer lunacy." These two charts help to explain.
Relying on government to financially secure your retirement might be a big mistake. Social Security is a wealth-transfer program that's headed for a major crisis. State and local government pensions are also in trouble. Are you prepared for what the book Conquer the Crash warns about?
Investors can get badly hurt when a financial bubble implodes. But, if you're positioned properly, downtrends can be your friend. One of our Global Market Perspective analysts examines a sector in Australia that may be on the cusp of a significant move. See the chart and read the commentary.
In early December, two popular European exchange-traded funds, France's EWQ and Germany's EWG, had one thing in common: a bullish Elliott wave pattern called "ending diagonal" on their price charts. This is what happened next.
On January 26, rubber prices soared to their highest level in four years. And, according to many sources, torrential rainfall in southern Thailand is the main driver of the market’s rally. Except, rubber prices started bouncing before the floods.
Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.
Many stock market observers believe that prices are random and unpredictable. But we've observed that repetitive patterns show up in market charts at all degrees of trend. Find out how Elliott wave analysis helped our subscribers prepare for a high-confidence juncture in the stock market.
Since 2008, crude oil investors have become bullish at each top and bearish at each bottom. Recently, even oil industry insiders have expressed extreme bearishness. Yet, on Feb. 22, U.S. crude soared nearly 7%. Get our perspective.
Most analysts say the same thing: Oil is higher in reaction to the news. Sounds reasonable... but what if someone told you there was a way to forecast this rally before the news -- or even without any news?
Investors tend to extrapolate present trends into the future. When that trend also catches fire with the general public, watch out. A turn might be nigh. Learn about an indicator that has a strong record of marking major turns of fortune.
Investment manias reach soaring heights. We've made an important observation about the market's action following a mania. Read about it, and see a chart of two similar-looking price forms that will help you to prepare for the months ahead.
Many observers now blame the dramatic decline in crude oil on "oversupply." But U.S. oil production was increasing before the price of oil took a sharp turn south. See what we said about oil's approaching decline.
On March 14, fundamental analysis experts in precious metals had their sights pinned on two main factors, both with bullish near-term implications. And yet, gold and silver prices are down hard! Here is our take on the situation.
Meet the predecessor of the Elliott Wave Principle: Dow Theory has been around for over a century and boasts a consistent record of performance. Yet some analysts are dismissive. Learn why you should pay attention to the Dow Theory -- along with the Elliott Wave Principle.
Should investors base market decisions on fundamental or technical analysis? A new study sheds light on this important question. Learn how the Elliott wave model helped prepare our subscribers for the recently ramped up market volatility.
China's main stock index just plunged nearly 8.5%. That would be like the Dow diving nearly 1480 in a single session. The Shanghai Composite's violent downward move may be a part of a larger trend that you need to know about.
Even as the market forms the biggest triple extreme in 150 years, market fear is historically low. See a chart that shows just how far above the trend the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 Composite has risen.
The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.
Just one week before the Shanghai Composite's June 12 high, our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said, "China's stock market is definitely in a mania ... the rush into shares will end badly for investors." Now, we're preparing subscribers for further global financial turmoil.
Commodity prices are in the claws of a bearish trend. One index recently fell to an 11-year low and commodity price declines have recently accelerated. This downtrend points to a rare economic trend.
This video lesson gives you tips on how to use a simple and effective trend-change indicator: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). You'll also see an example of this technical analysis tool in action: Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL).
Gold's near-to-intermediate price trend is one thing, while the metal's long-term trend is another. When a countertrend rally concludes, the turn can be swift and dramatic.
Like 2005's Katrina, a major Gulf of Mexico hurricane can deal a heavy blow to crude oil production. Most financial and economic pundits would then conclude that such a supply disruption would send oil prices skyrocketing with demand. Yet this chart defies their Econ 101 logic.
About three months ago, hedge fund managers were the most bullish on bonds they've been in 10 years. Yet, our July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned a "trend reversal is nigh." Just four trading days later, on July 8, bond futures made their closing high. Take a look at these two charts.
The days of $20 doctor house calls and affordable hospital stays for the uninsured are long gone. Chalk it up to government involvement in healthcare. Now we learn that "Obamacare" premiums will sharply rise in 2017. Prepare for what's next.
In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Today, almost no one talks about "Peak Oil."
Steve Craig, editor of our Energy Pro Service, tells you what to make of the current sentiment picture in oil -- and what he's looking for down the road in crude, natural gas and more.
The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.
In our new ElliottwaveTV episode that we call "Video Mailbag," you'll hear from two of our global analysts: Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan and Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.
For commodity investors and traders, it's easy to fall victim to information overload.
Use this free lesson to brush up on methods and indicators that can help you improve your confidence in your own market analysis.
One of the most common requests we get from traders is: Can you teach me how to look at a chart and find opportunities for myself?
For most of this summer, the U.S. stock market was about as volatile as a yoga retreat. Now, it's a model of turbulence. Yet somehow, the mainstream experts have insisted that both volatility scenarios are bullish! Keep reading...
EWI's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip."
In early June, crude oil prices took a flying leap from 10-month highs, tumbling 15% to a three-month low on July 27. As for seeing oil's reversal coming in advance -- the "parachute" of fundamental analysis didn't "open" in time ...
In part 1 of this in-depth interview with Wayne Gorman, he tells you how he discovered the Wave Principle and explains why "the learning never stops."
EWI's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip."
Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.
On May 9, crude oil prices rose 2% in the morning, only to turn down and plunge 3% in the afternoon. The reason for BOTH moves, said the experts, was Canada's wildfires. The lesson here is one you'll never want to forget.
Most investors herd. Hence, most investors lose, including the smartest. The May Elliott Wave Theorist says, "To win, you have to do the opposite of what's natural."
The era of the industrial robot has arrived, and our Global Market Perspective pinpoints opportunities. The share price of Fanuc Corp. tripled after our analyst identified the early stages of a fifth-wave thrust. More recently, the robot revolution has taken a breather. Expand your investment horizon now.
A classic "head and shoulders" pattern is showing up in the FTSE 100. If prices slice through the neckline, how far can investors expect the FTSE 100 to fall? Learn about the head and shoulders measuring formula.
On April 11, copper prices took step one of a powerful rally that launched the red metal to one-month highs -- despite a raft of bearish data that pointed the market in the opposite direction. Makes you think something else is at work!
Successful market analysis is rooted in irony and paradox. Our gold and silver analysis at the peak two years ago relied heavily on five arguments directly opposed to those offered everywhere else we look.
Our Global Market Perspective editors have spotted two compelling investment ideas in Australia. We first show you Australia's big stock market picture. Then we focus on the charts of two Internet companies.
Sentiment has turned negative in India. Yet a classic price formation has been taking shape in the chart of one of India's stock indexes. Could this mean opportunity for investors? Take a look at the chart.
Syria is at the top of any serious list of today's "biggest problems." Not just because of Syria's nearly five-year war. Not just for being the bloodiest example of how "The Arab Spring" became "The Arab Winter"...
On October 6, crude oil prices surged to a one-month high. And, according to the mainstream experts, oil prices are rising as Russian airstrikes in Syria intensify. There's a lot more to this story, however, than meets the eye.
Despite recent volatility, European stock investors are using large doses of leverage. More than that, the head of the world's largest sovereign wealth fund is embracing risk assets. Our analysis suggests that a day of reckoning is at hand.
Here's the what: On October 9, zinc and lead stole the metals show by staging powerful rallies from five-year lows to multi-month highs. As for the why -- well, there's two sides to that story...
China's Shanghai Composite Index just suffered its worst 2-day rout since the 2007 financial crisis. Now, say the usual pundits, it's up to monetary officials to stem the tide. Are they right?
Financial reporters seek a "cause and effect" to explain the stock market's action on a given day. For example, Aug. 5 headlines said the strong jobs report triggered the session's rally. Seems logical, but on May 6, stocks also rallied when the jobs number disappointed. The Wave Principle offers a valuable alternative to looking for market "catalysts."
Your next car might drive itself. Advanced computer chips, software and sensors make this possible. These two driverless companies flash bullish wave patterns. Our analyst says hop on board now.
We all love a bargain... except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. Learn how our mind works in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty – and learn one way to deal with it.
The September 20-21 FOMC meeting is over, and the word-parsing has begun. But while many see the Fed as the final word on the future of the U.S. economy and stock market, the real impotence of the world’s largest central bank might surprise you.
A battle between bull and bear market forces is being fought in the U.S. housing market. On the one hand, millennials are living with their parents longer. On the other, one Connecticut estate aims to become the most expensive residential property in the nation. A victor between bull and bear impulses will eventually emerge.
Which precious metal has outperformed all others in 2016? You might think gold or silver. But the real answer is... palladium. Turns out, this metal underdog has one factor to thank for its incredible bull run… See for yourself.
In December 2015, the fundamental experts gave gold's future two, enthusiastic thumbs-down. And yet, from a six-year low, gold prices turned up, rallying 20% to a 22-month high this June. Turns out, there's more to this market than meets the fundamental eye.
Many public pension funds appear on the brink of full-blown crisis. The financial numbers are alarming, even as the stock market trades near a record high. Police and firefighters in one big city are "quitting in droves" because they fear their promised pensions are in jeopardy.
Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our popular Trader's Classroom educational service, weighs in on how you know when it's time to enter a trade.
On January 21, editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, Mark Galasiewski, gave a new interview to CNBC TV18 in India -- to discuss an imminent opportunity that may be ripe for their picking. Learn what it is now.
Professional investors made a huge bet against gold in December. We took the opposite stance. Money managers are now licking their wounds. The price of the yellow metal has climbed north of 22%. Position your portfolio for gold's next big move.
Enhance your analysis with a technique that has "stood the test of time by consistently providing high-probability objectives for developing waves..."
The stock market's long-term trend appears to be at a historic juncture. A legendary hedge fund manager has raised a red flag, saying "Few, if any, will escape unscathed."
EURUSD fell to a new low for the month today, below $1.07. You can read a variety of explanations about why that happened. Yet none tell you what should happen next. Elliott waves, on the other hand, do.
On Thursday (Nov. 19), crude oil again fell below $40. From our perspective, there are other factors impacting oil prices than what meets the eye. We are talking about Elliott wave patterns, of course.
Can the bull market continue without a stronger economy? Many people would say, no -- but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.
Ever heard of Three Urinals? It's a sculpture that sold for $3.2 million in November 2014. That same month, Andy Warhol's silk screen featuring Elvis Presley was unloaded for $82 million. But, today's art world has seen a shift in prices, and in some cases, it's been dramatic.
At times like this, many people say: "Well, of course stocks are down -- after a six-year bull market without much of a correction." Yet, even if it feels like the decline was "only natural," in reality very few market experts said so on the record. In fact...
With the Shanghai Composite index 30% below its June 12 peak, China's government has a clear, two-part damage control plan for future losses. Will it work?
In this new interview, Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources Department, offers tips and strategies for options traders.
At the start of July 2016, cocoa prices were orbiting multi-year highs. And, according to mainstream fundamental analysis, the commodity’s uptrend was in the bag. So, why did cocoa prices then reverse in a gut-wrenching decline to three-year lows? The answer might surprise you
Many investors are baffled when the stock market declines after what appears to be good news or rallies after an external shock. But events do not govern the market's trend. Find out how the Wave Principle helps you to anticipate the unexpected.
John Jacob Astor has been called "America's first multi-millionaire," and he made a brilliant financial move that may interest investors. Today's luxury market appears to be in trouble. Take a look at this chart.
On May 18, NYSE trades were disrupted due to a technical issue. During the next market downturn, many investors will blame collapsing prices on such glitches. But the cause will actually be increased investor pessimism. Even so, structural risks exist. High emotions will exacerbate those risks.
Millennials financially struggle long after the Great Recession officially ended. More than half of those who move out "boomerang" back to Mom and Dad. How much do millennials earn? Take a look at this graphic.
The delinquency rate among subprime auto loans is rising, even as total auto loan liabilities exceed $1 trillion. The CEO of the nation's largest bank raises a red flag. The Wall Street Journal calls it a "subprime flashback." Prepare now for what we see ahead.
"Bad, bad, bad" is how a global forecaster describes the May U.S. jobs report, the single worst for jobs growth in almost six years. Also, for the first time since the financial crisis, Wall Street pay has turned lower across almost all lines of business. Here's our forecast for Wall Street employment.
Even with historically low interest rates, the U.S. savings rate as a percentage of disposable income has been rising. This indicates a deflationary psychology is taking hold, while the Fed grapples with weak inflation long after the end of the Great Recession. Prepare now for what's next.
Many people view government debt as a problem that is far removed from their daily lives. When debt becomes overwhelming, the lives of citizens are directly affected in many critical ways. Consider Puerto Rico, which now faces another debt default.
An important sector of the U.S. economy has contracted for the second month in a row. Deflation is a rare condition that's occurred only twice in U.S. history. Has the third episode already started?
In December, most money managers hated gold. But the Wave Principle said gold was going higher. On Feb. 11, the yellow metal hit a one-year high. Now is the time to position your portfolio for gold's next big move.
Some financial authorities want to take away your cash. Now is the time to find a safe place to store your greenbacks. See a chart that shows how "deflation is winning."
Real estate agents say that today's near-record low mortgage rates means it's a good time to buy a house. But is it? See a chart that debunks a common belief about housing prices, and learn about warning signs that are reminders of the 2006 housing bubble.
It's a bit like watching Old Faithful fail to erupt when it should: To see a market "correlation" become disconnected can be unsettling. For weeks the media has looked at oil prices to forecast stocks. But Tuesday morning (Feb. 9) a CNBC headline said this...
A big percentage of pension benefits go poof! Workers protest to no avail. The government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation is broke. Take the steps to secure your retirement now.
Here is a classic example of an Elliott wave pattern warning you of a sharp market reversal BEFORE a news event that was later said to be responsible for the turn. Market: S&P 500. Event: former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's congressional testimony.
In 2002, Conquer the Crash was virtually alone in warning about deflation. Now, European government officials acknowledge that the Continent faces deflation. More than that, the financial press is now raising concern about the prospects of a U.S. deflation. Are you prepared?
Decades of research reveals that events outside the market do not govern the market's main trend, not even war. See these four charts and decide for yourself.
Positive economic reports are said to be bullish for the stock market, while negative data are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- but please take a look at this chart...
On May 5, crude oil prices soared above $60 a barrel for the first time in five months. Now, see why the May 4 Libyan oil port protest is not the bullish catalyst.
Corporate boardroom confidence has rarely been stronger. Mergers-and-acquisitions volume in 2015 is on pace to be the second highest on record. See a chart that shows just how dramatically the trend can change.
Learn how Japanese candlestick analysis can help support your technical trading decisions.
"Nobody really understands gold prices, and I don't pretend to understand them either," the former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke once said. Well, if all you do is look at gold's "fundamentals," he's right -- the difficulty is obvious.
An exponential rise in a financial market usually ends badly. Investors typically buy at the worst possible time. See the chart of a European sector that is poised to plunge.
The stock of an economic bellwether has been taking it on the chin. This, along with other signs, could portend an extended period of deflation. Take a look at these two charts.
Deflation has dogged Japan for the better part of 25 years. Enter Elliott wave analysis and the Kondratieff economic cycle. Is a major shift afoot? Two charts tell the tale.
What is more likely: an asteroid hitting the earth or deflation? A famous hedge fund manager gives his opinion. You can review the evidence for yourself.
Enhance your trading confidence with this short lesson on how to combine Moving Average Convergence Divergence with other technical tools.
The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.
Gold's price had been turned back by a line of resistance on several occasions since May. But something significant happened on October 9 that every gold investor should know about.
Conservative investors have been punished with exceptionally low interest rates. But at least they haven't lost money. Learn about a good way to defend your portfolio against rising rates.
U.S. housing prices remain far below their 2005 highs. Even so, we see signs that investors have re-kindled the old real estate mania. Their timing may prove financially disastrous.
The Elliott Wave Principle can help you assess probabilities regarding future market movement. Our wave analysis has kept our subscribers ahead of recent market turns. Here's a free tutorial to help you learn what you need to know about the Elliott Wave Principle.
Fed up with earning next to nothing on your bank deposits? It could be worse. Some depositors are actually paying for the privilege. Here's an idea for protecting your hard-earned money.
According to our research, investors are hopelessly devoted to the U.S. IPO market, even though the relationship has become dangerously one-sided.
After hitting a 6-year low in mid-March, crude oil prices embarked on a powerful rally to 5-month highs on May 5. See how the rise was an act of Elliott wave intervention.
We have often said that holding cash is a smart way for investors to protect themselves against a major economic downturn. Now, the manager of one of Britain’s biggest bond funds says likewise.
Prolonged profligate spending has landed Greece, Puerto Rico and many U.S. municipalities in financial hot water. The water is about to boil over and almost everyone will be scalded. Learn what Alan Greenspan just called "extremely dangerous."
Actively managed mutual funds generally charge higher fees than passive index funds. Shareholders pay for the fund manager's supposed stock-picking skills. Find out why many investors are often disappointed, and especially so through the first half of 2016.
Every financial crash has been preceded by the same setup: an unsustainable build-up of credit. Rising rates will mean corporations will have a difficult time servicing their debt. An inevitable day of reckoning will follow. This chart serves as a warning.
Eating out is a bull market phenomenon. When people are in an upbeat mood, they tend to splurge at restaurants on food and drinks. But a shift appears underway. One analyst sees similarities to the first half of 2007, just before a major financial downturn.
House flipping was wildly popular during the mid-00s.The market crashed, and so did the flippers, just as we warned. Many were ruined. Now, flipping is making a big comeback. How safe is it?
The next big monetary event is approaching fast. No, it's not inflation. The evidence is mounting that deflation already has a foothold and is gaining ground. These two charts reveal a disturbing trend for anyone who's unprepared.
Elliott wave analysts made 10 terrific crude oil calls in a row -- simply by observing the market's pattern -- while their mainstream counterparts routinely fell on the wrong side of the trend. Why? It starts with an obvious data discrepancy they always seem to ignore.
Times are turbulent for the world's largest passenger airliner, the Airbus A380. Orders for the superjumbo jet are drying up. Airbus's share price has a history of outpacing declines in the broader market. Read this analysis from our Global Market Perspective.
The housing market appears to be on the verge of another big shift. We see an eerie similarity between 2005 and 2016. Just like 11 years ago, almost no one is worried about a bubble. Plan now for what we see ahead.
Wall Street pundits have called the 2016 presidential election the most important of their lifetimes. Yet our data shows the party in control of the White House makes no discernible difference to the stock market's trend. So what gives? Take a look at a revealing chart from our research about political parties and the stock market.
Despite historically low mortgage rates, U.S. homes sales have faltered. One North American city has seen a dramatic plunge in sales. As we anticipated, price declines have followed. See how government embraced a real estate trend just when it reached maturity.
In a throwback to the last credit mania, bond buyers are once again embracing high risk in their search for yield. Beware of these two debt instruments.
You can make high-confidence market forecasts based on the Wave Principle. Using the Wave Principle, our Short Term Update made a specific market call on Aug. 22, and the market fulfilled our expectation, serving our subscribers well as a result. High volatility may be ahead. The calm before the storm is the time to prepare.
This measure shows you the growth in Real Per Capita GDP -- it adjusts for population, and it adjusts for inflation. It's all built into one trend line. That's a far more revealing picture of the economy. And, it's especially telling regarding the future -- specifically, the future of incomes...
As of Nov. 25, the Russell 2000 closed higher for 15 straight trading sessions. The late Paul Montgomery, a renowned observer of market behavior, made an observation about consecutive closing streaks that should be of high interest to every investor.
In the face of historic optimism, which attended the July high in 30-year Treasury bonds, our June Elliott Wave Theorist said, "Bonds are on their last leg." In November, global bond investors lost $1.7 trillion. Sentiment has shifted to deep pessimism toward bonds but keep an eye on the wave count.
The Fibonacci sequence provides the mathematical basis of the Wave Principle. The stock market's price pattern builds fractally into similar patterns of increasing size. Familiarity with these patterns can prove highly useful to investors.
Elliott waves and sentiment extremes often anticipate financial market moves that baffle mainstream market observers. For example, a recent surge higher in the euro was called a "mystery move." Here's what we called it.
Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.
Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.
Since last August, cocoa prices have been in a “meltdown” (CNBC). But imagine having a clear “line” in the sand which, if crossed, would signal such a sell-off -- before it occurred. Well, you don’t have to imagine.
On March 1, the U.S. dollar did something it hadn't done in almost two months: It got stronger. Two reasons were behind the move, said analysts: The Fed's imminent rate hike, and, President Trump's widely-covered address to Congress. But here's one reason many have overlooked.
The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.
Lately, copper's identity has been swinging back and forth from "precious" metal to "industrial" metal and back again. It's enough to make investors feel crazy! But in our opinion, there's a very clear method to copper's seeming "madness" -- one seen through the eyes of Elliott wave analysis.
Wave analysis works by helping you track the market's psychology. Of course, not every Elliott wave forecast works out. Yet, even then Elliott waves give you the exact price points to watch; if the price breaks any of them, you'll know it may be time to get out. "Cut your losses short," remember? Elliott waves help you do just that. Let's look at a fresh example.
Big Italian banks are weighed down by hundreds of billions of dollars of non-performing loans. There's fear of a systemic financial crisis. Depositors may find themselves on the hook. Now is the time to prepare for a deflation that will likely extend far beyond Italy.
Rather than revive demand for Chinese exports, the August 11, 2015 devaluation of China's currency has fueled a capital flight by China's own citizens and businesses. The practice is called "smurfing," and here's why...
How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics
According to mainstream wisdom, commodity prices revolve around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. But historical evidence proves there's a much larger force at the center of the commodity universe.
In the last four years, the popular pundits twice resolved that commodities would make a comeback. And twice the sector failed to fulfill their bullish New Year's "resolutions."
From its May peak, the EURUSD has fallen 10% to a 2-year low. Many forex traders may feel "cheated" by the dramatic decline, especially if they never saw it coming.
"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?
"Crude oil prices up" on fall in supply. "Crude slips" on supply glut -- any questions? Today, we get to the bottom of what really drives crude oil's trend changes.
In June 2015, the Japanese yen stood at a 13-year low against the U.S. dollar. And, with no shortage of fiscal stimulus in the works by the Bank of Japan, the yen's downward fate seemed sealed... key word being "seemed." We make sense of what happened next.
In March 2015, the European Central Bank launched its unprecedented QE program in hopes of jump-starting the eurozone economy and reigniting stock prices. Instead, Europe’s no.1 market, Germany’s DAX index plummeted into a 10-month long bear market. That’s just the tip of this story...
Mainstream economic wisdom claims market trends move at random, with no clear structure or system in place to illuminate future price action. Well, if that were true, then how do you explain the last eight years in India’s Sensex?
On December 12, crude oil prices soared to their highest level in 17 months. According to the experts, one factor is to blame for the rise: Agreements by OPEC and non-OPEC countries to cut production. But that’s not the ho, ho, whole story!
During November 2016, this global index fell four percent. For investment grade debt, that's all but unheard of -- the deepest in twenty-six years (the history of the index).
Robert Prechter discusses the socionomic insight and explains how he developed the theory in this engaging interview.
From June 23 to July 4, silver prices exploded upwards, soaring 16% to a two-year high. According to the mainstream experts, the Brexit vote was a main catalyst for the white metal's winning streak. But there's much more to this story that they aren't saying.
Sometimes it's hard to get excited about sideways movement on a market's price chart. Like, say, the four-month long sideways crawl in sugar prices from October 2015 to January 2016. But from an Elliott wave standpoint, this kind of "holding pattern" is often cause for the greatest excitement.
On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.
On May 4, we were right alongside the mainstream experts with a bullish outlook on gold -- save for one "critical" difference. Our analysis identified a critical support level that, if breached, would tilt the odds in favor of a major decline. And that has made all the difference.
Many investors continue to pour money into municipal bond funds even after Puerto Rico's municipal bond default. We believe debt-market complacency will soon be met with regret. Cities and states face severe financial struggles even as the stock market remains elevated. Imagine what the next downturn will bring.
Holy Soy! Between March 1 and June 1, soybean prices went from an 8-year low, to being the #1 performer among all 22 listed futures on the Bloomberg Commodity Index. Oddly enough, there was no fundamental reason for bean's bullish comeback. There was, however, an Elliott wave one!
This excerpt gives you a unique perspective on the rapid spread of the dangerous Zika virus. See the surprising connection between social mood, the stock market -- and public health.
For any investor or trader who uses technical market indicators to stay in the "safe" zone of price action, the most critical component of market analysis is protective stops. Without them, it's like going scuba-diving without an air-pressure gauge...
On April 18, crude oil took step one of a powerful rally that rocketed prices to new highs for 2016 -- despite one of the most bearish fundamental news events in oil's recent history. What gives?
The week ending Dec. 12 was the Dow's worst loser in three years. The mainstream experts say "plunging oil prices" are to blame for the rout. We couldn't disagree more!
Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll hear something like: A hawkish Federal Reserve is to gold prices what kryptonite is to Superman. End the money printing and low interest rates, and you take the gravity-defying power out of gold.
On February 12, Japan's Nikkei 225 index soared to a 7-year high, begging the question: Is Japan's 23-year long bear market finally over?
On January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank abruptly ended its three-year-long exchange rate target for the Swiss franc of 1.20 against the euro. However, the news wasn't a shock for everyone -- here's why.
Now that the stock market has recovered from its mid-December slump, it's a good time to talk about the one culprit that almost everyone said was behind the Dow's big slide: namely, crude oil.
EWI's Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy is one of our most popular trading instructors. In this series, Jeffrey shows you ways to spot trading opportunities using wave analysis and other technical analysis methods. Today he addresses the important question: "When does a wave count become a trade?"
Most aspiring traders start by picking a trading method. The reality is that they would be better off picking the trading method last. It only sounds counterintuitive -- here's why.
A new day has dawned as the world's largest economies adopt a pro-currency devaluation stance -- led by China. So, what really happened to change their minds?
Near-term stock market trends may move against the trend of the next larger degree. Consider European equities. On October 1, a small-degree fifth wave down appeared to be approaching completion. Now get insights into the more significant larger trend.
The Fed's 2% inflation target remains elusive even after a prolonged period of near-zero interest rates. We see evidence of a rare economic trend that the Fed will be powerless against. See two charts that help to explain.
On Sept. 9, Japan's Nikkei stock index skyrocketed 7.7% for its sharpest single-day rally since 2008. The same day, a major Abenomics tax cut was announced. Cause -- or coincidence?
What do governments, overseas buyers of U.S. stocks, corporations and even millionaires have in common? Answer: All of them have shown lousy stock market timing. Our independent analysis keeps you ahead of market turns.
Should stock market bulls worry if a Democrat takes the White House in 2016? Or, should they celebrate if a Republican wins? We answer both questions with a chart that might surprise you.
Public and private pensions now rely on how well hedge funds perform. This strategy may prove lethal. Hedge funds are highly leveraged. Huge losses are likely in the next bear market.
America is drowning in its own oil. So much drilling has happened in recent years that we are now running out of places to store oil in this country. And to think that a decade ago, the public's biggest fear was "peak oil" and other panicky "we're-gonna-run-out-soon" theories!
It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Here are 8 indicators we are watching closely.
The world's financial system appears to again be at risk. Big trouble is brewing at big banks. Hedge funds are pulling billions of dollars from a financial giant the IMF calls the world's riskiest bank. Get financially safe now.
Most people are in love with technology. Tesla Motors and its leader Elon Musk have been prime symbols of this adoration. We take a broad view of technology and find a repetition that should interest every investor.
Mark Galasiewski talks about the increasing negative sentiment in the Asian-Pacific region and explains why all of the resulting events have great significance for financial trends in the region.
The bedrock belief that earnings drive stock prices permeates Wall Street. About a third of S&P companies report this week, and investors are watching. But have they bothered to investigate the evidence about earnings and stocks? We have.
Almost no one expected a dramatic decline in housing prices in January 2006. At the time, 43% of first-time home buyers were putting no money down. Six months later, housing prices topped. Today, owners of entry-level homes are once again highly leveraged.
For the year, the DJIA is up about 7%. Gold prices rose 28% between January and July. How did gold become one of this year's best performers? For answers, take a look at this chart.
What’s the biggest commodity mover of the year so far? If you guessed gold or oil, you’re wrong. Click here to see what it was. And yeah, Jeff Kennedy nailed it for his subs.
Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, discusses his long-term view of the U.S. dollar and euro.
This week's shocking spike in crude oil prices is +12% and counting. Media stories blame one culprit: the November 30 OPEC agreement to cut production. The weeks leading up to the meeting were filled with anticipation and emotion. Oil prices went all over the place -- down 4% one day, 3% the next. Yet, those fluctuations weren't random.
Back in July 2016, Japanese government bond (JGB) yields stood at their lowest levels ever amidst a supposed runaway "negative feedback loop." So, why then did the yields start rising to hit a one-year high in late January 2017? The answer might shock you.
On December 1, the British pound soared to a three-month high against the euro. Some investors may find the move shocking, considering the British unit was supposed to be strangled by the Brexit albatross. There's only one way to explain it.
According to mainstream financial wisdom, the Federal Reserve is to gold prices what Gepetto is to Pinocchio: If the Fed raises rates, gold prices fall. But one look at recent events proves the “nose” on this story is getting longer and longer!
On March 10, gold prices turned down from a 13-month high to embark on the 11-session sell-off we see today. The problem is, the metal's downtrend fits nowhere into the mainstream picture. It does, however, fit into the Elliott wave one.
Exclusionism is on the rise in Europe, and social upheaval could arise in the United States next. Learn how you can prepare for what we see just around the corner.
It's been over 80 years since the world plunged into a devastating deflation. Now, an entire lifetime later, the evidence for this rare event is appearing again. Look at these two charts.
Back in 2012, all the fundamental signs pointed UP in soybeans. But instead, bean prices turned down, plummeting 50%-plus in the multi-year bear market we see today. Here are some signs to help you spot the next big trend change.
On March 7, iron ore prices rocketed a staggering 19% in is largest, single-day rally ever. According to the experts, ore's surge was a sign the market had gone "berzerk." Yet --from an Elliott wave perspective, the move is right on schedule.
Malcolm Gladwell's best-seller Blink shows how our first impressions are unconsciously manipulated by forces outside our control. Now, hedge fund and other money managers -- they aren't unconsciously swayed by the masses, right? Don't be so sure.
In 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis called the Wave Principle. Here's a quick introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle.
In mid-2015, Chinese stocks listed on U.S. exchanges were chomping at the bit to get back home and relist on the red-hot Chinese market. But then, China's stock market crashed and the doors to overseas-listings slammed shut. See how Elliot wave analysis anticipated both events.
Tom Prindaville, EWI's U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, tells you why you shouldn't be afraid of volatility and why it's important to maintain more than one Elliott wave count -- especially in challenging and volatile market environments.
Since hitting an all-time high in early 2015, AAPL stock has plunged a whopping 26%. Clearly, AAPL falling from its bullish branch was not part of the mainstream plan. It was, however, part of the Elliott wave one.
In 2015, the mainstream experts said falling oil prices would help jump-start the economy. It goes without saying, this forecast did not come to pass as planned. The full story might surprise you.
On October 31, gold prices touched their lowest level since July 2010. You're going to hear a lot about how gold's decline had much ado about the Fed's end of QE. Don't believe it!
Here's a question: Has the bull market in German stocks faked its own death in order to force investors "home" for a major buying opportunity? Turns out, this idea isn't as crazy as it sounds...
In late August, Germany's DAX index entered bear market territory, having plummeted 22% from its all-time record high in April 2015. But before you blame China for the rout, look closely...
The three-month long roller-coaster ride in natural gas has been epic: First, prices plunged to a 17-year low in late December, then less than one month later, they soared 50% into early January before turning back down. Now it's time to harness that volatility.
Back in 2014, our analysis saw the Chinese yuan’s 8-year long rally coming to an end despite the People’s Bank’s accommodative policies.
As 2017 began, all fundamental signs pointed DOWN for China’s ever-depreciating yuan. Three weeks into the year, and the yuan is on a very different course; namely, up! Look no further for an explanation.