Search Results for "Trading"
Jeffrey Kennedy is a 20-plus year Elliott wave market veteran. In this new interview, he walks you through his 4-step process of how to find high-confidence, low-risk trade setups.
In this new interview, Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources Department, offers tips and strategies for options traders.
In this interview, Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shares with you his 4-step method for finding high-confidence trade setups.
On May 18, NYSE trades were disrupted due to a technical issue. During the next market downturn, many investors will blame collapsing prices on such glitches. But the cause will actually be increased investor pessimism. Even so, structural risks exist. High emotions will exacerbate those risks.
A moving average (MA) is one of the simplest technical tools an analyst or trader can use. In this 6-minute video lesson, Jeffrey Kennedy explores the different types of moving averages and how you can apply them on your charts.
In this new interview, Jeffrey Kennedy gives a trading lesson on how to use trendlines, trend channels, price gaps and other technical tools in conjunction with Elliott wave analysis.
In this interview, Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of Trader's Classroom, talks about his three passions: teaching, trading and technical analysis.
Learn about 3 practical benefits of trading with the Elliott Wave Principle.
Avoid two common trading pitfalls: educate yourself with a valuable lesson from one of our senior tutorial instructors, Jeffrey Kennedy.
The moving average is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. EWI Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to spot high-confidence trading opportunities using moving averages. Two charts provide examples.
Enhance your trading confidence with this short lesson on how to combine Moving Average Convergence Divergence with other technical tools.
Answer: Every trader, every analyst and every technician has favorite techniques to use when trading. But where traditional technical studies fall short, the Wave Principle kicks in to show high-confidence price targets.
Beginning May 11, our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy will present his 5-session online course, "4 Critical Elements of High-Confidence Trading." We spoke with Randy H., a student who took Jeffrey's first "Critical Elements" course, to learn what he thought of it.
Learn how the Wave Principle helps you trade with the trend, which waves offer trade setups and how to "keep it simple" when using the Wave Principle.
EWI's own Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful.
Learning how to apply Elliott wave analysis in your own investing or trading? Hear these tips from a Wall Street veteran who's been personally using Elliott waves since the 1980s.
In this 3-minute video, our Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens shows you several Elliott wave patterns that offer high-confidence trading opportunities.
Why do some traders jump in too early and take positions when an Elliott wave pattern demonstrates only one or two of the necessary traits? Find the answer -- and the solution -- with a quick lesson from our Trader's Classroom editor, Jeffrey Kennedy.
Jeffrey Kennedy explains why the Wave Principle is such a reliable and powerful way to forecast the financial markets.
"How to draw a trendline" is one of the first things people learn when they study technical analysis. Typically, they quickly move on to more advanced topics and too often discard this simplest of all technical tools.
You don't need years of experience to find a high-confidence trade setup. Here's how to apply a few popular Japanese candlestick patterns and a simple moving average to accomplish that task. Watch...
Wave analysis works by helping you track the market's psychology. Of course, not every Elliott wave forecast works out. Yet, even then Elliott waves give you the exact price points to watch; if the price breaks any of them, you'll know it may be time to get out. "Cut your losses short," remember? Elliott waves help you do just that. Let's look at a fresh example.
In our new ElliottwaveTV episode that we call "Video Mailbag," you'll hear from two of our global analysts: Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan and Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.
Answer: A Moving Average is simply the average value of data over a specified time period. ...
Most aspiring traders start by picking a trading method. The reality is that they would be better off picking the trading method last. It only sounds counterintuitive -- here's why.
Learn how Japanese candlestick analysis can help support your technical trading decisions.
EWI's Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy is one of our most popular trading instructors. In this series, Jeffrey shows you ways to spot trading opportunities using wave analysis and other technical analysis methods. Today he addresses the important question: "When does a wave count become a trade?"
Watch an 11-minute lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom to learn how you can use the stochastic oscillator in your analysis and trading.
Too often, people take a ready-fire-aim approach to trading. That's, obviously, backwards. Today, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to take aim but wait before you pull the trigger. Watch.
Some people think the Wave Principle is complicated. But, in reality, all you need to know to find trading opportunities are the five core patterns. What is most important to understand about the Wave Principle is that each wave pattern implies a path for future price movement.
How do you distinguish between a "good" Elliott wave count and a "bad" wave count? Watch this new video lesson on how to develop good wave counting skills from our Trader's Classroom.
Our Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy values the Wave Principle not only as an analytical tool, but also as a real-time trading tool. In this excerpt from the Best of Trader's Classroom eBook, he shows you how the Wave Principle's built-in rules can help you set your protective stops when trading.
Do you see a pattern you recognize in this chart of Reynolds American (RAI)? Using a chart from one of his popular educational videos, our senior trading instructor shows you how to properly label a common Elliott wave pattern.
Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to identify and trade an ending diagonal in the chart of Union Pacific (UNP)
Edwards and Magee popularized "Head & Shoulders" price patterns in their Technical Analysis of Stock Trends. Watch our Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy explain how to properly use this powerful reversal pattern.
Every forex trader knows that some trading days, you and the market just "click" somehow. And then there are days when just about every trading decision turns against you. Have you ever wondered why those "good" vs. "bad" days happen to begin with?
European Financial Forecast editor, Brian Whitmer, tells you why financial bubbles occur so regularly -- and what he means by a "practical approach to trading."
While it's true that forex trading can be a challenge, Jim Martens makes understanding the rules and guidelines easy... Check out this excerpt from one of Jim's DVD.
Day-trading in the stock market is all about the hope of making a fast buck. Today, the same psychology is at work in another financial arena. Hint: We've been here before.
You'll find many explanations in the news why USDJPY is trading near the highest point since 2002. Most of them have one thing in common: They rationalize the move which has already happened. Well, here's a different perspective -- watch.
We often get asked "What time frame is best for using Elliott wave analysis?" In this 2-minute clip, Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy answers that very questions.
The EURCAD's recent nosedive to a one-month low shows you how Elliott wave analysis has a very real place in the world of forex trading. Plus, a special "Black Friday" (Nov. 21) deal awaits you.
Jeffrey Kennedy discusses one of our most popular events, Trader Education Week. Details about the free event inside.
In this lesson, Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of Trader's Classroom, "gets back to basics" and reviews the 5 core Elliott wave patterns: Impulse Waves, Ending Diagonals, Zigzags, Flats and Triangles.
How do you know the right time to exit when price action goes your way? While no forecasting method guarantees that you buy at the absolute low and sell at the absolute high, Elliott wave analysis -- and, specifically, Fibonacci relationships between waves -- can help you identify high-probability price targets.
Learn how the rules and guidelines of the Wave Principle help traders identify exactly when they're wrong and about the strengths of technical tools that Jeffrey Kennedy, our Senior Tutorial Instructor, uses himself.
You must ambush high confidence trades. Long-time professional trader and teacher Dick Diamond says patience is vital before the ambush. I talked to Diamond about his famous 80/20 trade ...
This video lesson gives you tips on how to use a simple and effective trend-change indicator: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). You'll also see an example of this technical analysis tool in action: Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL).
EWI analyst Jeffrey Kennedy explains why triangles offer traders important forecasting information. Take a look at a chart that shows a real-world example of the triangle price pattern, and read Jeffrey's comments.
Years ago, analyst Jeffrey Kennedy started an educational column for subscribers of his Commodity Junctures service. His lessons became so popular that we expanded this idea into a service we call Trader's Classroom. Join us for a free lesson.
You've probably heard of "quants," or quantitative analysts. You may also know that we've been developing our own AI system we call EWAVES. In this interview, learn what makes EWAVES different.
Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our popular Trader's Classroom educational service, weighs in on how you know when it's time to enter a trade.
If you trade with Elliott, you may use supporting indicators in your analysis of the markets. Here's a brief lesson that shows you three ways that moving averages can help you determine the market trend.
In part 2 of this in-depth interview with Wayne Gorman, he tells you why he approaches the Elliott Wave Principle as a science -- and why that makes analyzing and forecasting the markets more exciting.
In part 1 of this in-depth interview with Wayne Gorman, he tells you how he discovered the Wave Principle and explains why "the learning never stops."
Now that crude oil rose about 20% in April alone, it's getting hard to remember that this winter, WTI fell to just $26.05 a barrel. Harder still is to remember the sentiment towards oil at that time. These headlines from major news sources are a good reminder...
Enhance your analysis with a technique that has "stood the test of time by consistently providing high-probability objectives for developing waves..."
The best thing about Elliott wave patterns? Easy: They repeat -- on all timeframes, across markets. Once you know what to look for, you see familiar patterns in most charts. And that means countless new opportunities.
For any investor or trader who uses technical market indicators to stay in the "safe" zone of price action, the most critical component of market analysis is protective stops. Without them, it's like going scuba-diving without an air-pressure gauge...
Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy tells you about the four key principles that'll help improve your Elliott wave skills.
We often get asked about computerized trading "causing the market to stray from the Wave Principle." EWI founder Robert Prechter asked that very question in this excerpt from Prechter's Perspective.
In part two of this essay, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explains how to think of the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.
The what: On July 20, gold prices plunged below $1100 an ounce for the first time in five years. As for the WHY -- well, the real reason might surprise you.
Jeffrey Kennedy demonstrates how Fibonacci ratios help you determine price targets and turning points. The most common Fibonacci ratios are .382 and .618, but there are others...
Let's face it, bonds are boring. Bonds are the beige minivan of the markets. People don't turn to bonds for excitement. They are valued for their safety and stability. That's why it was all the more surprising when...
The three-month long roller-coaster ride in natural gas has been epic: First, prices plunged to a 17-year low in late December, then less than one month later, they soared 50% into early January before turning back down. Now it's time to harness that volatility.
Remember how during the time of the Greek bailout a couple of weeks ago, the euro didn't seem to "know" which way to go next? There is a reason for that, says The Wall Street Journal: carry trade.
One of the most common requests we get from traders is: Can you teach me how to look at a chart and find opportunities for myself?
As of 2013, the daily trading volume in foreign exchange was more than $5 TRILLION a day. EWI's currencies expert, Jim Martens, discusses the pros and cons of trading forex vs. trading stocks.
Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the ending diagonal.
Seasoned instructor Jeffrey Kennedy has been teaching the Elliott Wave Principle for more than a decade. Watch his simple tips to help you get started with Elliott waves.
Watch our master instructor Jeffrey Kennedy's tips for taking a "holistic" approach to technical analysis by combining MACD and RSI with Elliott waves.
Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy explains the importance of knowing the right questions to ask when looking at the market as an analyst vs. a trader.
Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the zigzag.
Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom in which he teaches you the basics of the triangle, a sideways correction, and shows an example in the chart of Pfizer, Inc. (PFE).
Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the impulse wave.
Stocks are up. In fact, the DJIA added almost 700 points this week. And why not? Unemployment is down. Square and Match/OKCupid/Tinder's IPOs are doing well. Good news all around. That's why stocks are up. Right? Well, only if you read happy news stories...
Trendlines: You may have heard of them. Now, see how effective this simple technical tool can be for identifying high-confidence trade set-ups in real-world financial markets. Examples: gold and O.J.
Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Watch this video to learn more about the psychology behind the waves -- and how it affects your investment decisions.
Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.
We all love a bargain... except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. Learn how our mind works in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty – and learn one way to deal with it.
Jeffrey Kennedy talks about some of the easy techniques to help you spot high-confidence trade opportunities.
The Popgun is a two-bar pattern composed of an outside bar preceded by an inside bar. It introduces swift, tradable moves in price. Learn how to incorporate this bar pattern into your Elliott wave analysis.
Using Fibonacci calculations helps you identify high-probability price targets and trade setups. In this new interview with our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy, you'll learn how Fibonacci pairs perfectly with Elliott wave analysis. Watch now.
In this video, our senior instructor Jeffrey Kennedy reminds us why trying to force a price chart into a wave pattern is a bad idea.
The Wave Principle is the only technical analysis tool that lets you know exactly where you're wrong. Our senior instructor Jeffrey Kennedy explains this important benefit of Elliott wave analysis -- watch.
There are many different ways to identify support and resistance on your charts. In this 6-minute lesson, the editor of our Trader's Classroom education service, Jeffrey Kennedy, shows you one of the easiest and most effective methods (example: Bank of America, NYSE: BAC).
Just as there are patterns in price, there are also patterns in momentum indicators. In this 10-minute lesson from our popular trader-education service, Trader's Classroom, you'll learn key patterns in moving average convergence divergence (MACD).
In our latest "Video Mailbag," three of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.
Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources department, explains how Elliott waves help you get "ahead of the game."
Jim Martens, our Currency Pro Service editor, gives you his take on whether or not the June 23 Brexit vote will determine the trend in the British Pound, GBPUS.
Here is a classic example of an Elliott wave pattern warning you of a sharp market reversal BEFORE a news event that was later said to be responsible for the turn. Market: S&P 500. Event: former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's congressional testimony.
The stock market moves with lightning speed when fear grips the minds of investors. On June 24, the Dow saw its eighth-largest point loss ever. Is the wave of financial optimism that started in 2009 over? A "must read" book tells you how to get financially safe.
The market-forecasting method I employ every day has been around since the 1930s. Yet, it works as well as, if not better than, any new-fangled, expensive, computerized technical analysis package I've seen. My method is a form of technical analysis based on...
Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.
Some people think the Elliott Wave Principle is complicated. Yet, to find trading opportunities all you need to know are the five core Elliott wave price patterns...
"The trend is your friend," goes the old trading adage -- but what if the trend is about to end as you're "befriending" it? Elliott wave analysis is uniquely positioned to give you ample warning when that happens -- watch.
The recent story about the "boy wonder" who everyone believed made $72 million trading stocks is fascinating on many levels. One, it paints a very top-heavy picture of the market!
For the past two months, EURUSD, the world's most-traded forex market, has made almost zero net progress -- until now. This chart shows you the long sideways trading range stretching back all the way to December.
As of Nov. 25, the Russell 2000 closed higher for 15 straight trading sessions. The late Paul Montgomery, a renowned observer of market behavior, made an observation about consecutive closing streaks that should be of high interest to every investor.
You've seen it before: Before a major news announcement -- like a Federal Reserve statement -- the market first swings wide, then the swings narrow down, then get narrower still...until the price simply goes sideways. At moments like these, what is your trading plan? This may help you next time -- watch.
This week promises to be big on economic news. Meanwhile, EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market, has been trading lower and lower over the past few days, as the U.S. dollar got stronger. How might the upcoming events impact this trend?
About three months ago, hedge fund managers were the most bullish on bonds they've been in 10 years. Yet, our July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned a "trend reversal is nigh." Just four trading days later, on July 8, bond futures made their closing high. Take a look at these two charts.
We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.
Are you curious about spotting market turns? Our metals analyst uses the Wave Principle throughout every trading day to help his subscribers spot important changes in trend.
Not one economist surveyed by The Wall Street Journal at the start of 2015 anticipated that crude oil would be trading under $40 a barrel. Most of them don't consider investor psychology, the true driver of big trends. And that's precisely what Elliott wave analysis helps you do. Take a look at this chart.
Wow, how far we've come. A year ago, saying that the euro and U.S. dollar would soon reach parity would have been laughed at. At the time, the euro-dollar exchange rate was trading near $1.40. By March of this year, it fell about four cents away from parity. Will it get there?
Hard to believe, but the barrage of news stories this week has already overshadowed the Greek bailout. Yet, price action in EURUSD around the time Greek deal was reached gave us a cool lesson in Elliott wave forex trading -- so let's take a quick look back.
The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.
Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of Commodity Junctures, puts the 2015 decline in commodities into perspective in terms of the larger trend.
Watch this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Commodity Junctures market-forecasting service, to learn about the one commodity [Jeff] is most excited about.
Learn why our Chief Commodity Analyst is anticipating downward pressure across the commodity markets.
In this interview, our Senior Currency Strategist and editor of the forex-focused Currency Pro Service tells you what to expect during the Forex FreeWeek (Oct. 19-23).
Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.
Something unprecedented has just occurred in the stock market. A researcher calls this market action "unheard of" and we believe you should prepare for more of the same. Two charts are instructive.
There are many ways to describe the 2014-2015 rally in the U.S. dollar to 12-year highs. One of those ways happens to be an Elliott third wave in action...
Computers are a double-edged sword in financial markets. They help ensure that small and institutional investors are on a "level playing field." On the other hand, don't be surprised if the next major glitch occurs during a fast-moving bear market.
EWI's CEO Robert Prechter offers visitors his classic report. No purchase necessary.
All inverse funds and inverse ETFs suffer from beta slippage because they all track a certain market on a percent change basis. The greater the leverage and volatility, the greater the slippage. Bob Prechter explained this in his August 5, 2009, Elliott Wave Theorist ...
Love or hate December's infamous volatility, if you choose to trade this month, you have to deal with it. And this December has certainly been volatile. Take EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market...
Elliott waves and sentiment extremes often anticipate financial market moves that baffle mainstream market observers. For example, a recent surge higher in the euro was called a "mystery move." Here's what we called it.
A well-known financial publication suggests that now is the time to invest for the long-term. Such an approach might be hazardous to your portfolio. See a chart that shows a dip-buyer's nightmare.
Malcolm Gladwell's best-seller Blink shows how our first impressions are unconsciously manipulated by forces outside our control. Now, hedge fund and other money managers -- they aren't unconsciously swayed by the masses, right? Don't be so sure.
The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.
The Elliott Wave Principle can help you assess probabilities regarding future market movement. Our wave analysis has kept our subscribers ahead of recent market turns. Here's a free tutorial to help you learn what you need to know about the Elliott Wave Principle.
Many U.S. dollar bears have expected inflation to trigger a collapse in the greenback. But inflation has been missing in action. Only one asset is sure to gain value during deflation.
In the past month, gold saw a big spike in volatility. Commentators pointed to the U.S. presidential election as the cause. But Elliott wave analysts made a forecast for volatility in gold when the CBOE Gold ETF VIX index had been trending lower, and made no mention of the election. Here's what we saw.
Two days before the New Year’s Eve, I got an insistent email from a colleague. Jim Martens, our Senior Currency Strategist, sent me a message with only a subject line: “Sell those euros. Sell'em.”
Here's a classic example of Elliott wave forecasting in forex markets. It's a trade set-up you'll see again and again.
Use this free lesson to brush up on methods and indicators that can help you improve your confidence in your own market analysis.
It's not quite time for the so-called Santa Claus Rally. And yet, it's easy to get disheartened when you see stocks struggle and fail to make progress for days. That's when you may wish to consider turning to Elliott wave analysis.
On November 16, GDP data confirmed Japan had fallen back into a recession. No two-ways about it. Yet, the Japanese yen had more than two ways to react to the news...
$37.75 a barrel is how low crude fell this week. You have to look back to the darkest days of the 2007-2009 financial crisis to see when crude last traded this low. But that was at the start of the week. By Friday's close...
EWI's Asian-Markets expert, Chris Carolan, has been regularly covering the Chinese yuan since 2014. See how his stunning two-year forecast proves this "manipulated" currency isn't unpredictable through the Elliott Wave method.
On April 11, copper prices took step one of a powerful rally that launched the red metal to one-month highs -- despite a raft of bearish data that pointed the market in the opposite direction. Makes you think something else is at work!
Will piles of "sideline cash" send the stock market higher? Learn the answer to that question, plus find out why the stock market may not remain "boring" for long.
Last Friday (Oct. 2) at 9:06 AM, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, Jim Martens, emailed me with a three-letter subject line: "EUR."
Here's the what: Oil prices have just enjoyed their strongest 3-day rally since Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait. Now, read why OPEC is not to thank for the upsurge...
This week started slow for EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market. The euro fell a little on Monday and rose a little on Tuesday. ... And then the bottom fell out. Here are two perspectives on what happened.
The price of gold just saw its biggest surge since January. Yet most precious metals traders have been bearish on gold. See a chart that shows how we've kept subscribers ahead of gold's trend.
Financial reporters seek a "cause and effect" to explain the stock market's action on a given day. For example, Aug. 5 headlines said the strong jobs report triggered the session's rally. Seems logical, but on May 6, stocks also rallied when the jobs number disappointed. The Wave Principle offers a valuable alternative to looking for market "catalysts."
Pay attention to the market's momentum. The late Richard Russell of Dow Theory fame developed a proprietary configuration of eight market-based measures. We've created a momentum indicator from this configuration. Look at the chart.
The price of gold is a long way down from its September 2011 all-time high. If you invest in gold, knowing where it's headed according to the wave patterns could be helpful.
EURUSD fell to a new low for the month today, below $1.07. You can read a variety of explanations about why that happened. Yet none tell you what should happen next. Elliott waves, on the other hand, do.
Can the bull market continue without a stronger economy? Many people would say, no -- but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.
Ever heard of Three Urinals? It's a sculpture that sold for $3.2 million in November 2014. That same month, Andy Warhol's silk screen featuring Elvis Presley was unloaded for $82 million. But, today's art world has seen a shift in prices, and in some cases, it's been dramatic.
On May 3, the U.S. Dollar Index spiked down to a low of 91.919. But, just three days later, as the bears were licking their chops, we anticipated a turn higher. Our wave analysis has served subscribers well. The index just hit a 13.5-year high.
Tom Prindaville, EWI's U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, tells you why you shouldn't be afraid of volatility and why it's important to maintain more than one Elliott wave count -- especially in challenging and volatile market environments.
Learn how Chris Carolan, our Global Opportunities Expert, used the Wave Principe as a trader and how he got his start with Elliott wave analysis.
Many investors are baffled when the stock market declines after what appears to be good news or rallies after an external shock. But events do not govern the market's trend. Find out how the Wave Principle helps you to anticipate the unexpected.
Market psychology will take prices up or down with or without the news. The advantage you have with Elliott waves is that while other traders are reacting, you can be proactive. Case in point: USDJPY.
Many people view government debt as a problem that is far removed from their daily lives. When debt becomes overwhelming, the lives of citizens are directly affected in many critical ways. Consider Puerto Rico, which now faces another debt default.
Most analysts say the same thing: Oil is higher in reaction to the news. Sounds reasonable... but what if someone told you there was a way to forecast this rally before the news -- or even without any news?
With the world's attention focused on the stock markets for the past two weeks, it's easy to overlook what's been happening in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market.
Crude oil's long-term Elliott wave count anticipated a dramatic price slide. Workers for energy companies grapple with the consequences. The deflationary trend has only started.
On Feb. 8, U.S. and global stocks had a rough day. And what, says the conventional wisdom, "reliably" goes up when markets are "uncertain"? That's right: gold. But here's something you should know...
In the spring of 2013 the Nikkei 225 fell from near 16,000 to near 12,500, all in a matter of about three weeks. Yet, here is why it was clear to us that the crash was only part of a bull-market correction.
The financial crisis that began in 2007 is becoming a hazy memory for many investors. But perhaps you still recall the one thing everyone wanted during the worst of the crash, but could not get their hands on?
Days before the ECB announcement, EURUSD charts began to show a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern called an "ending diagonal." It almost always introduces fast trend reversals -- up, in this case. You can see this price pattern here...
The downtrend in commodity prices was advertised in the chart pattern long before China's economic slowdown. Now, sentiment has reached a negative extreme.
There was no shortage of U.S. dollar bears during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. But the greenback defied the negative sentiment and now trades near 100. See what could have helped you anticipate that sharp bounce.
Gold's price had been turned back by a line of resistance on several occasions since May. But something significant happened on October 9 that every gold investor should know about.
Should investors base market decisions on fundamental or technical analysis? A new study sheds light on this important question. Learn how the Elliott wave model helped prepare our subscribers for the recently ramped up market volatility.
Here's a chart you won't see elsewhere. It depicts the 17 or so crucial moments of the Ukraine crisis, along a timeline that comes courtesy of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Big volatility has been conspicuously absent from the stock market. We view this as a warning sign instead of a reason for complacency. Market history backs up our view. Take a look at this chart.
Puerto Rico's debt crisis may seem insignificant to many U.S. investors. After all, the Caribbean island is smaller than Connecticut and only has a population of 3.6 million. But you may be exposed to Puerto Rican debt and not know it.
Apple Inc. is by far the world’s largest company measured by market capitalization. But the Elliott Wave Principle tells a story that every Apple investor should know.
Even as the market forms the biggest triple extreme in 150 years, market fear is historically low. See a chart that shows just how far above the trend the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 Composite has risen.
On the same day that China released three positive economic reports, the nation's main index took another nosedive. Why? Learn the answer now.
Investor psychology steamrolls government intervention in the stock market. See how the Wave Principle helped us identify a turn in the Shanghai Composite before the dramatic decline began.
Many private companies want to go public during a bull market trend. Even companies that are losing money get listed on major stock exchanges when optimism reaches an extreme. See a chart that tells a story that investors need to know now.
Blaming the euro weakness on Greece is easy, yet that doesn't give you almost any objective measure of just where the euro's slide may stop. Here's why you may find technical analysis more helpful in this volatile environment.
The price of crude oil just hit a six-year low. Market forecasters offer different views on what's next. We conclude with what the July Elliott Wave Theorist has to say.
Just one week before the Shanghai Composite's June 12 high, our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said, "China's stock market is definitely in a mania ... the rush into shares will end badly for investors." Now, we're preparing subscribers for further global financial turmoil.
The late Paul Montgomery, the originator of the magazine cover indicator, said that when a financial trend makes the cover of a general-interest magazine like Time or Newsweek, the trend is close to a reversal. See how this time-tested indicator helped us to spot the top in Icahn Enterprises.
No trader wants to be "left behind" when a financial market takes off. But many traders jump aboard a trend just when it's on the cusp of a reversal. Silver is a case in point, for bull and bears.
Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.
The bull market has given rise to the "equitizations of individuals." Individual brand names like Oprah and Trump represent wealth much like stocks and bonds. But historic extremes in such brand awareness might serve as a cautionary signal. Take note of the share price performance of Weight Watchers.
As bad news goes, terrorism is at the top of the list. Why then do stocks ignore these terrible events so often?
"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?
Back in 2014, our analysis saw the Chinese yuan’s 8-year long rally coming to an end despite the People’s Bank’s accommodative policies.
On May 9, crude oil prices rose 2% in the morning, only to turn down and plunge 3% in the afternoon. The reason for BOTH moves, said the experts, was Canada's wildfires. The lesson here is one you'll never want to forget.
Most investors herd. Hence, most investors lose, including the smartest. The May Elliott Wave Theorist says, "To win, you have to do the opposite of what's natural."
Many investors continue to pour money into municipal bond funds even after Puerto Rico's municipal bond default. We believe debt-market complacency will soon be met with regret. Cities and states face severe financial struggles even as the stock market remains elevated. Imagine what the next downturn will bring.
The stock market's price history consists of recognizable patterns at all degrees of trend. The chart of one European bourse shows a bull market has ended at five degrees of trend. It now appears that Minor wave 3 is unfolding.
Alibaba's stock market debut -- BABA -- was supposed to be the can't-lose, golden IPO of 2015. But then, the stock plunged 30% and stands near its initial offer price. While it's easy to blame China's contracting economy for the BABA bust, that wouldn't be true.
The conventional wisdom says that the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged triggered a jump in gold to a 12-week high. But does the central bank's policy really drive the price of gold? See how the Wave Principle helps us to forecast gold.
Between mid-January and March 31, the Canadian dollar (nicknamed "loonie") went from a near record low -- to a five-month high. The currency's dramatic performance may seem "loony," but in fact, it's just what the Elliott wave script called for.
The results are in: Two- plus months of negative interest rates has had no positive impact on Japan's economy. "It's like being Alice in Wonderland," observes one strategist. But, in our opinion, there's nothing "curiouser" about the futility of free money to revive Japan's credit markets.
The week ending Dec. 12 was the Dow's worst loser in three years. The mainstream experts say "plunging oil prices" are to blame for the rout. We couldn't disagree more!
Trend indicators are computerized studies that you often see at the bottom of price charts. There are literally hundreds of technical indicators out there, but of all those, one of the most useful ones is MACD, Moving Average Convergence-Divergence.
In 2011, fundamentals painted an ongoing bullish picture for copper prices. Elliott waves, however, foresaw a foreboding reversal in the red metal's future.
The dust settled after last week's Fed meeting, the focus has shifted to their next meeting in October, the interest rate hike option is still on the table -- and so, the U.S. dollar is stronger... but what happens next?
Deflation is already a reality in many quarters of the global economy. Mounting evidence suggests that the full fury of this trend is about to be unleashed. Give our just-released dispatch on deflation your immediate attention.
Here's the what: On October 9, zinc and lead stole the metals show by staging powerful rallies from five-year lows to multi-month highs. As for the why -- well, there's two sides to that story...
How could the debt crisis in Puerto Rico affect you? Where is the next housing bubble set to burst? How do money managers signal major gold turns? Get the answers, today!
It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Here are 8 indicators we are watching closely.
China's Shanghai Composite Index just suffered its worst 2-day rout since the 2007 financial crisis. Now, say the usual pundits, it's up to monetary officials to stem the tide. Are they right?
China's economy is slowing. Its stock market began to crash back in July. And, the volatility rocking financial markets has been widely linked to the recent yuan devaluations by China's central bank. Speaking of that...
The story goes like this: First, gold prices soar as global stock markets crash. Then, gold prices plunge as global stock markets... crash? It's time for a different version of events...
The investor stampede out of stocks has produced some of the most furious selling since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Learn why ill-prepared money managers are contributing to the stunning downtrend.
On August 13, Greece's Athens Stock Exchange suffered its biggest single-day crash ever. But the experts say the country's economic woes are fully contained. We have good reason not to believe them.
The Dow's 1000-point slide this week put it solidly in the red for 2015. The S&P 500, too. Even the white-hot NASDAQ was down 6% for the week. Is this a "normal correction" -- or are the "bubble days" really over?
In July, crude oil prices plunged 21% to a six-year low. Many oil experts (despite their God-like reputations) failed to anticipate the turn down. The reason why, though, may surprise you.
Mark Galasiewski talks about the increasing negative sentiment in the Asian-Pacific region and explains why all of the resulting events have great significance for financial trends in the region.
Here's what we know from three-plus decades of observing markets: When prices move in a sideways, choppy fashion -- it’s a corrective pattern. That is to say, the market is making a “pause” within the larger trend; the actual trend should soon resume.
The bedrock belief that earnings drive stock prices permeates Wall Street. About a third of S&P companies report this week, and investors are watching. But have they bothered to investigate the evidence about earnings and stocks? We have.
When it comes to staying ahead of major price turns in commodity markets, many investors stay tuned to various "channels" which keep them abreast of weather, political, or economic events that may affect a market's future trend. But, as the 2016 rally in coffee prices shows us, there's only one true "channel" to watch!
At the start of 2016, the mainstream outlook for emerging markets was "ugly," "scary," and "tough." And yet, the sector spent the first 10 months of the year soaring to one-year highs. The reason why that happened might surprise you.
Back in 2012, all the fundamental signs pointed UP in soybeans. But instead, bean prices turned down, plummeting 50%-plus in the multi-year bear market we see today. Here are some signs to help you spot the next big trend change.
Since early February, the price of crude has rallied. Few analysts saw it coming. We were among them. Learn what helped us track the ups and downs of oil since before its 2014 peak through today -- plus what you can expect next.
On March 10, gold prices turned down from a 13-month high to embark on the 11-session sell-off we see today. The problem is, the metal's downtrend fits nowhere into the mainstream picture. It does, however, fit into the Elliott wave one.
On December 1, the British pound soared to a three-month high against the euro. Some investors may find the move shocking, considering the British unit was supposed to be strangled by the Brexit albatross. There's only one way to explain it.
The old Wall Street advice to "buy low and sell high" seems easier said than done. But there's a group of traders who consistently pull it off. Find out who they are and, more important, what makes them so different.
By 2012’s end, Japan’s stock market seemed to be locked in a bearish fundamentally-sound death-spiral with nowhere to go but down. And yet, prices embarked on a spectacular four-year long bull run to their highest level in 18 years. What gives?
Since soaring to a two-year high in late December, natural gas prices have sweated 35% in value. According to the experts, a record warm winter is to blame for the meltdown. See our charts and decide for yourself.
Without question, over the past five years U.K. shares have been among the strongest equity performers, with the FTSE 100 recently rocketing above the 7000-point mark for the first ever in April 2015. But the "great bull market" isn't actually as great as it seems.
In this new Q&A with Murat Yilmaz, our European Stocks Intraday Analyst, you'll learn how the Wave Principle helps you see new trade opportunities, what he considers a "good" opportunity, the importance of risk management and more.
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series.
From their March 2014 peak, lean hog prices have plummeted 60%-plus to a six-year low. Turns out, the price slaughter was not what the fundamental doctor ordered.
When it comes to timing the major turns of one market in particular -- gold -- central bankers are consistently as "off" as a week-old fish. Case in point, gold's 2011 peak...
Michael Madden, who forecasts cross rates for our Currency Pro Service, tells you about the volatility following the historic Brexit vote.
Recognizable patterns unfold in the financial markets. Using Elliott waves, you can learn to identify these patterns and use them to anticipate where prices will go next. Get started with a basic understanding of the Wave Principle.
Our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan explains how the Wave Principle helps you navigate the recent uncertainty associated with European markets.
On November 15, the Chinese yuan tumbled to its lowest level since December 2008. You may be surprised to learn that the seeds for the yuan's current crash were planted long before the supposed bearish "trump" cards of a Trump presidential victory and the 2015-6 yuan devaluations.
Chris Carolan outlines his forecasts for the Chinese yuan and shows you how he stayed one step ahead of China's currency devaluation steps.
During November 2016, this global index fell four percent. For investment grade debt, that's all but unheard of -- the deepest in twenty-six years (the history of the index).
The mass "exodus" of financial institutions from commodities continues. Could this be a sign that the 6-year long commodity bear market has bottomed?
Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."
At the start of July 2016, cocoa prices were orbiting multi-year highs. And, according to mainstream fundamental analysis, the commodity’s uptrend was in the bag. So, why did cocoa prices then reverse in a gut-wrenching decline to three-year lows? The answer might surprise you
As 2017 began, all fundamental signs pointed DOWN for China’s ever-depreciating yuan. Three weeks into the year, and the yuan is on a very different course; namely, up! Look no further for an explanation.
University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.
Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.
In 2011 and 2014, mainstream finance resolved that commodities would make a major comeback. In 2016, those same experts predicted the sector was doomed. The end result: 0 for 3. But someone got the story right.
In 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis called the Wave Principle. Here's a quick introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle.
Successful market analysis is rooted in irony and paradox. Our gold and silver analysis at the peak two years ago relied heavily on five arguments directly opposed to those offered everywhere else we look.