Search Results for "Social+Mood"
In this interview, The Socionomics Institute's senior researcher Chuck Thompson explains socionomic theory and social mood's impact on our lives.
This excerpt gives you a unique perspective on the rapid spread of the dangerous Zika virus. See the surprising connection between social mood, the stock market -- and public health.
The consequences of a negative social mood are far-reaching. One example is that the political party in power often faces a backlash from voters. Another is the emergence of an "us vs. them" sentiment. Both are at play in Germany. Keep an eye on the DAX index.
The trend -- in any market, fad, fashion, or social phenomenon -- is most likely to reverse course exactly when it seems like it's "here to stay." Learn how socionomics alerts you to the opportunities that trend reversals present.
Senior Editor Robert Folsom explains why looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies.
University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.
Senior researcher Alan Hall presented to the National Defense University during a two-day conference. Alan's research links negative social mood with stock markets, public health, and epidemics. Learn more about the danger for global disease outbreaks in the interview below.
In this video, Robert Folsom explains how a negative social mood helped Donald Trump become the presumptive Republican nominee in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
In this interview, senior analyst and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Alan Hall explains how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition and shares some thoughts on how Donald Trumps fits into the authoritarian narrative.
Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread. (You can watch the interview or read the transcript.)
Greece's healthcare system "teetering on the brink of breakdown." This chart shows the similar social mood trends in Western Africa and Greece. Europe should take heed.
Will the Drug Enforcement Agency remove marijuana from the same drug classification as heroin and LSD? Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert weighs in. Watch this interview or read transcript now.
Dr. Elam spoke with us about how he helps people understand and appreciate socionomics.
In this timely article, socionomist Alan Hall explains that negative social mood is driving the popularity of anti-establishment candidates.
A positive social mood is driving expressions of inclusion in many aspects of society, including the racial, cultural and political.
Exclusionism is on the rise in Europe, and social upheaval could arise in the United States next. Learn how you can prepare for what we see just around the corner.
It goes without saying, radical extremists with incendiary ideas have always been a part of social landscape in America. But there are three aspects of the Bundy standoff that make it truly exceptional.
A mix of bull and bear market impulses is evident in today's culture. How is that possible with recent all-time highs in stocks? Shouldn't social mood be decidedly bullish? A Boston University econophysicist charts water's freezing process and makes a shocking discovery.
Most people believe that social events impact our mood. They think that war makes us fearful and angry, or that a rising stock market makes us increasingly optimistic. Socionomics, on the other hand, turns conventional wisdom about social mood and social behavior completely on its head
In this new interview, Socionomics Institute Director of Research Matt Lampert and Senior Analyst Alan Hall talk about the role of social mood in events happening around the globe. They cover a variety of topics -- from the Dow to the "Trump Rally" to Russia.
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert explains how he first encountered socionomics and how the field has grown over the years.
In his new book, The Socionomic Theory of Finance, Robert Prechter says socionomists have observed correlations between stock market trends and more than 50 social behaviors. Social mood's broad influence appears in everything from clothing styles to election outcomes to nuclear testing to epidemic disease, and more. It even affects how we speak.
Syria is at the top of any serious list of today's "biggest problems." Not just because of Syria's nearly five-year war. Not just for being the bloodiest example of how "The Arab Spring" became "The Arab Winter"...
Brian Whitmer talks about the negative sentiment in the European Union following the historic Brexit vote and outlines what to watch for next.
Socionomist Chuck Thompson explains that the nation's greatest seasons of cooperation with other countries tend to occur during positive mood periods, while its most intense displays of conflict and aggression tend to occur during negative mood periods.
As everyone knows, the U.S., Iran and five other nations reached a huge agreement Tuesday. Let’s set aside the politics of the agreement for a moment. What does it mean for the price of crude? Here's an Elliott wave viewpoint.
Times are turbulent for the world's largest passenger airliner, the Airbus A380. Orders for the superjumbo jet are drying up. Airbus's share price has a history of outpacing declines in the broader market. Read this analysis from our Global Market Perspective.
Are financial markets patterned? Episode one of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series shows you a theory that proves they are.
In this all-too timely article, Alan Hall explains that negative social mood is fueling the war in Syria. Among the several countries engaged in the conflict, most are mired in their own long-term negative social mood trends.
Brian Whitmer discusses the social mood landscape across Europe and explains how social mood will impact the upcoming European elections.
"Unprecedented," "nuts," and "inexplicable" are just a few of the words people use to describe the 2016 US presidential campaign. How did radical politicians such as Trump and Sanders get as far as they did?
The June 2016 issue of The Socionomist highlights a mix of positive and negative social expressions across the U.S.
Global cyber wars. Independence referendums. Border restrictions. Nuclear weapons. Impeachments. Fringe candidates. These topics have become daily fixtures in the news. In this timely article, socionomist Chuck Thompson explains how all these events express a global shift toward negative social mood.
The James Bond film franchise launched in 1962, and its performance over five decades provides an opportunity to gauge the effects of social mood on changing consumer preferences for heroes and villains.
Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.
This documentary uses pop songs, news footage and cultural images to explore how social mood drives trends in movies, music, fashion, economics, politics, the media and even the stock market.
Chuck Thompson, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that negative social mood is impelling voters to look beyond the two-party system for answers.
Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains how 16 years of negative social mood is driving globalization's unpopularity. Learn more in this new interview.
The on-demand video of the 2016 Social Mood Conference introduces you to the world's leading socionomists. You'll hear their groundbreaking foresights into the radical sea changes in store for the entire human landscape.
Dr. Jon Fassett brought his knowledge and enthusiasm for fractals in nature and finance to the 2016 Social Mood Conference on April 9 in Atlanta, GA.
This essay describes the work and research of the legendary econophysicist Dr. H. Eugene Stanley, keynote speaker of the 2016 Social Mood Conference. An extended form of this essay appeared in the February 2016 issue of The Socionomist.
Zika, economic woes, scandals and a presidential impeachment all seem to spell "doom" for Brazil, which is set to host the 2016 Olympic Games this summer. In this video, Socionomics Institute Senior Researcher Chuck Thompson explains that a massive trend toward negative social mood is behind it all.
If you look closely, you can see patterns in social mood that help you predict social behaviors.
What happens when you speak against your country's decision to go to war? Nothing good, most of the time. The new episode of our Pop Trends, Price Culture podcast tells a true tale of dissenters who were (so to speak) jailed by negative mood.
The history of transgender expressions in popular culture conforms nicely with social mood ...
Major media outlets have bent over backwards to minimize Hillary Clinton's brewing scandals. But social mood is due for a shift. When the stock market sharply reverses, expect a new bull market in political scandals.
Writer, researcher and seasoned socionomist to lead a walking tour of America's social mood epicenter.
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert joined Bert Martinez from Money for Lunch Online Radio on October 5, 2015, to discuss the connection between mood and marijuana and where he thinks the marijuana legalization movement is headed next.
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert joined Bert Martinez from Money for Lunch Online Radio on October 5, 2015, to discuss the connection between mood and marijuana and where he thinks the marijuana legalization movement is headed next.
Negative social mood leads people to forsake the political center and gravitate toward extremes -- a trend that is currently under way in Europe. The Socionomics Institute's Chuck Thompson shows negative mood at work in the politics of two of Europe's most populous countries: Italy and France.
The seventh film for the space opera series, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, blasted its way to the top of the box office with the largest-ever opening weekend. What's the connection between successful films and social mood?
What does "globalization" even mean? Is it something you can measure? Yes, you can. In fact, standard measures of globalization show that in the past 150 years, the globalization trend may be history's largest manifestation of positive social mood.
Some presidential scandals change history, others are minor and do little damage. In this ETV interview, Robert Folsom discusses social mood as it relates to this question: "How much political damage does a scandal do to the president?"
Socionomics Institute Senior Researcher Alan Hall presented his research connecting declines in stock market indexes to infectious disease outbreaks at the University of Warwick's Mood Conference on May 6.
The nation of Brazil is in turmoil, and the timing couldn't be worse. The country will host the 2016 Summer Olympics in less than four months. In the April 2016 issue of The Socionomist, Chuck Thompson and Alan Hall show the role that social mood is playing in Brazil's upheaval.
The conventional narrative on 2016 US presidential candidate Donald Trump is that he has succeeded despite his rejection of political correctness. Here, Robert Folsom explains that Trump has in large part succeeded because of it. Trump gives voice to the political discontent that flows from negative social mood.
Senior analyst Alan Hall explains how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition; shares some thoughts on how Donald Trump fits into the authoritarian narrative; and offers a sneak peek into his upcoming Social Mood Conference presentation on April 9.
The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert has valuable and timely insights into social mood's role in presidential elections. In this clip taken from his Oct. 14 presentation Talking Politics: Mood, Market, and Decision 2016, Matt shows you what's driving the political extremes in this year's election, record number party polarization, and the decline of political correctness.
Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that after nine years of negative mood, Russia looks a lot more threatening than it once did.
Pablo Picasso's Women of Algiers sold for 160 million dollars, crushing the world record.
"The creepiest ending to a Game of Thrones episode ever."
Brian Whitmer reports that now more than ever, Europe is running out of optimism.
Eating out is a bull market phenomenon. When people are in an upbeat mood, they tend to splurge at restaurants on food and drinks. But a shift appears underway. One analyst sees similarities to the first half of 2007, just before a major financial downturn.
Two starkly different mood trends are now unfolding around the world: North America enjoys a mostly positive mood, even as negative mood dominates the Middle East, North and South Korea, Russia and much of Europe.
The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.
Relying on government to financially secure your retirement might be a big mistake. Social Security is a wealth-transfer program that's headed for a major crisis. State and local government pensions are also in trouble. Are you prepared for what the book Conquer the Crash warns about?
In 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis called the Wave Principle. Here's a quick introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle.
You may have heard different reasons why Stalin and Hitler came to power. Socionomics gives you a new perspective -- listen.
What you clearly see during these years is: The ups and downs in total merger & acquisition value correlate with the stock market trend. Put simply, the same sentiment (or mood) is at work.
Alexandra Lienhard interviews Matt Lampert on the results of the Dutch election and the future of politics in Europe.
Source: Socionomics.net Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert has valuable and timely insights into social mood's role in presidential elections. In this clip, Matt shows you what's driving the political extremes in this year's election.
In this 4-minute video clip, from Robert Prechter's brand-new video presentation, Prechter offers a whole new perspective on financial causality -- a perspective that allows you to anticipate, understand and act on developing financial trends that nearly all other investors and social forecasters fail to see coming.
As Greece teeters on the brink of another default, the question is: Will this end the Eurozone crisis, or will it begin an even bigger one? From an Elliott wave viewpoint, the mainstream answer to this question misses a hugely important piece of the puzzle...
The Institute's Alan Hall looks in depth at what's dividing people on both sides of the Atlantic. Chart and short excerpt free; no sign-in required.
Socionomist Alan Hall saw the de-globalization trend coming -- before the New York Times began to report on the stagnation of globalization in more recent news. Read more on Alan Hall's 500-year view of globalization, and how it's impacting trade today.
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert recently presented his elections research at the University of Warwick. Learn why stock market performance is a significant predictor of how incumbents fare in their re-election bids.
Stock market price trends tell you much more than if portfolios are gaining or losing value. They give you a good idea of what to expect in society at large. For example, stocks lead the economy. Stocks lead movie productions. Stocks even lead inventors to invent.
Yes, this is a thought experiment. But it draws on 250-plus years of American history -- namely the stock market from 1760 to 2012.
More babies were born in 2007 than any other year in U.S. history. But the birth rate dropped to a century-low in 2009. What happened? We offer an answer.
Robert Prechter discusses the socionomic insight and explains how he developed the theory in this engaging interview.
How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics
Many investors monitor the news for hints on how to position their portfolios. Learn why this is a BIG mistake.
In February, the U.S. jobless rate fell to 4.7% as the economy added 235,000 non-farm payrolls. Some people attribute the economic improvement to the new president. Here's why the added jobs were anticipated well before the U.S. election.
The days of $20 doctor house calls and affordable hospital stays for the uninsured are long gone. Chalk it up to government involvement in healthcare. Now we learn that "Obamacare" premiums will sharply rise in 2017. Prepare for what's next.
This market sentiment indicator has a reliable history that goes back nearly 200 years! It's sending a signal today that's as clear as it's ever been. We map that indicator out for you.
The CDC is cautioning travelers who have been in areas with Zika transmission to wait at least six months after exposure to try to conceive a baby or have unprotected sex -- even if you have never had symptoms of the virus. See the new guidelines, and what Socionomics has to say about the infectious disease trend.
Twenty-three states (and D.C.) have now legalized marijuana in some form. Have you ever asked yourself why marijuana laws got more lax now? Why not 20 years ago? Why not 10 years from now? Is it "today's loose morals"? There is a better explanation.
Bear markets are faster than bull markets. Why? Because bear markets are driven by fear. Greed is a "slower" emotion. That's why it took the DJIA less than a week to erase the entire rally that took two years. But wait...
The investor stampede out of stocks has produced some of the most furious selling since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Learn why ill-prepared money managers are contributing to the stunning downtrend.
chart of the day | Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the U.S. GDP, so the latest uptick in spending is happy news for stock market bulls. Except, there is one caveat.
While the mainstream analysts weigh macro-economic and sociological factors to make forecasts for the busy European election season next year, this model shows you an entirely different approach.
Here's a chart you won't see elsewhere. It depicts the 17 or so crucial moments of the Ukraine crisis, along a timeline that comes courtesy of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Much fanfare was made over Janet Yellen's appointment as the first female chair of the Fed. But it appears the honeymoon is over. The central bank's inflationary policies have been impotent. Learn why Yellen's legacy may be greatly tarnished.
The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.
Applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake. See an illustration that shows how they differ.
Most investors herd. Hence, most investors lose, including the smartest. The May Elliott Wave Theorist says, "To win, you have to do the opposite of what's natural."
Stocks are up. In fact, the DJIA added almost 700 points this week. And why not? Unemployment is down. Square and Match/OKCupid/Tinder's IPOs are doing well. Good news all around. That's why stocks are up. Right? Well, only if you read happy news stories...
The financial sector has been part of the so-called Trump Bump. A well-known hedge fund manager sees a golden age for banks. Our view is radically different. We expect that the most aggressive exploiters of the long bull market will face harsh future consequences.
"If you want to know where the global economy is headed, check the oil markets," says one economist. Let's see if this theory holds as we look at a couple of crude oil charts.
We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.
"A Williamsburg establishment started selling a $100 edible 24-karat-gold-covered doughnut dunked in Cristal-infused icing. It's $1,000 for a dozen and it's not even in Manhattan." (January 11 Vanity Fair)
Tom Prindaville, EWI's U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, tells you why you shouldn't be afraid of volatility and why it's important to maintain more than one Elliott wave count -- especially in challenging and volatile market environments.
Financial news is the most upbeat near market tops. Headlines are gloomy around market bottoms. Most investors miss important trend reversals. Learn how we keep subscribers ahead of trend changes.
Financial history shows that peaks in corporate mergers generally occur prior to major bear markets. With that in mind, consider that 2015 saw a record amount of money spent on mergers. But, since then, a shift has occurred. Is financial history set to repeat?
Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.
Nothing short of a complete overhaul will get the U.S. economic engine purring again. The financial mechanics have been trying to get that engine firing on all cylinders for five years now. They've used every tool at their disposal. Yet the engine continues to sputter. There appears to be only one fix.
We have often said that holding cash is a smart way for investors to protect themselves against a major economic downturn. Now, the manager of one of Britain’s biggest bond funds says likewise.
The U.S. economy grew at a snail's pace in Q2. The preliminary GDP annual growth rate of 1.2% took polled economists by surprise. They expected an increase more than twice that high. Find out how we anticipate economic trend changes.
The evidence is compelling: The stock market's price action is a reliable indicator of war and peace. Even the U.S. Revolutionary War began at the bottom of a long bear market. On the other hand, bull markets correlate with peace. What about today?
Does the Fed's interest rate policy determine the direction of stocks and the economy? Many Fed watchers believe so. Perhaps they have not seen these two charts.
Network television viewership is dropping, and so is interest in the Olympics. What does this have to do with bull and bear markets? Plenty.
Mark Galasiewski talks about the increasing negative sentiment in the Asian-Pacific region and explains why all of the resulting events have great significance for financial trends in the region.
In early 2016, the global debt market embraced one of the most powerful “long-bond bonanzas” in recent history. By the end of the year, however, the stellar long-bond rally had completely reversed course. As our analysis shows, this turn of events was no accident.
Food for thought: "Fed up with banks' reluctance to lend," one of Italy's most prominent dairy co-ops has raised 6 million euros via bonds backed by cheese! It's a little funny at first read. But the larger issue here is actually quite serious.
At its inception in 2013, EWI warned that Abenomics would fail to rescue Japan's economy from deflation. Now, a November 20 New York Times article confirms our forecast: "It's time to call Abenomics a failure."
The Fed runs the market. Right? Well, "see if you can tell on this chart where authorities intervened."
On June 2, the Wall Street Journal asked why the American consumer has become so "stingy." Today, we have the answer, and it might surprise you.
Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."
Watch this 3-minute video to learn what shaped our Mark Galasiewski's outlook on the markets and how he got his start with Elliott wave analysis.
Brian Whitmer explains why the ongoing struggle to keep the European Union afloat won't end anytime soon.
Marie Antoinette had been a spendthrift early in her reign, but curtailed that habit when she learned what the public thought. Even so, the young French queen had already been nicknamed "Madame Deficit." French debt had ballooned before she and King Louis XVI took the throne. But they received the blame for France's financial straits. Now fast forward to the U.S. economy today. Get ready for the blame game to turn serious.
Nine of our top market strategists offer a sneak peek of sentiment in their markets ahead of the U.S. presidential election.
Prolonged profligate spending has landed Greece, Puerto Rico and many U.S. municipalities in financial hot water. The water is about to boil over and almost everyone will be scalded. Learn what Alan Greenspan just called "extremely dangerous."
Our European markets expert explains why it's "too late" for Deutsche Bank and how this has now evolved into a problem across the EU.
The stock market's ramped-up volatility has many observers trying to figure out the cause. One believes he knows the answer. We investigate.
Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.
The U.S. has just imposed a new tariff on steel imports from China. Trade wars between nations are the result of a defensive psychology. Prepare now for a trend toward protectionism.
Here is a classic example of an Elliott wave pattern warning you of a sharp market reversal BEFORE a news event that was later said to be responsible for the turn. Market: S&P 500. Event: former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's congressional testimony.
The Elliott Wave Principle can help you assess probabilities regarding future market movement. Our wave analysis has kept our subscribers ahead of recent market turns. Here's a free tutorial to help you learn what you need to know about the Elliott Wave Principle.
The only thing the Fed has to show for its purchase of $1.5 trillion worth of Treasuries (QE) is a high-priced stock market. Now even that may be crumbling. The credibility of the central bank is on the line.
What is more likely: an asteroid hitting the earth or deflation? A famous hedge fund manager gives his opinion. You can review the evidence for yourself.
In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Today, almost no one talks about "Peak Oil."
You can make high-confidence market forecasts based on the Wave Principle. Using the Wave Principle, our Short Term Update made a specific market call on Aug. 22, and the market fulfilled our expectation, serving our subscribers well as a result. High volatility may be ahead. The calm before the storm is the time to prepare.
The conventional wisdom says that the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged triggered a jump in gold to a 12-week high. But does the central bank's policy really drive the price of gold? See how the Wave Principle helps us to forecast gold.
On January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank abruptly ended its three-year-long exchange rate target for the Swiss franc of 1.20 against the euro. However, the news wasn't a shock for everyone -- here's why.
Most everyone likes paying less for gas and food. Economists have coined the term "joyflation" to describe these benefits of low inflation. But there's nothing joyful about a downtrend in wage growth and job loss.
China's Shanghai Composite Index just suffered its worst 2-day rout since the 2007 financial crisis. Now, say the usual pundits, it's up to monetary officials to stem the tide. Are they right?
The September 20-21 FOMC meeting is over, and the word-parsing has begun. But while many see the Fed as the final word on the future of the U.S. economy and stock market, the real impotence of the world’s largest central bank might surprise you.
Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast and contributor to our Global Market Perspective, reveals what markets you should keep your eye on heading into the new year.
Many view bear markets as simply a downturn in stock prices. But societal changes also tend to accompany trend changes in the stock market. Will the "gender barrier" be shattered in the months ahead?
Many investors believe that the Federal Reserve holds sway over markets and the economy. But a former chairman of the U.S. central bank says monetary policy cannot solve everything. See a chart that shows what central bankers are up against.
We all love a bargain... except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. Learn how our mind works in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty – and learn one way to deal with it.
We are in the era of skyscrapers on steroids. The race to construct the world's tallest building is on. How does this relate to financial markets? Find out.
Five months ago, by almost every fundamental measure, commodity prices were dead in the water. And yet, as of June 6, the commodity sector as a whole went from doom to BOOM! So, what changed? The answer might surprise you.
Back in 2008, the consensus strongly agreed that crude oil and the CRB index of commodities would keep rising. Instead, both markets came crashing down. Here's why.
The recent story about the "boy wonder" who everyone believed made $72 million trading stocks is fascinating on many levels. One, it paints a very top-heavy picture of the market!
Recognizable patterns unfold in the financial markets. Using Elliott waves, you can learn to identify these patterns and use them to anticipate where prices will go next. Get started with a basic understanding of the Wave Principle.
Mainstream economic wisdom claims market trends move at random, with no clear structure or system in place to illuminate future price action. Well, if that were true, then how do you explain the last eight years in India’s Sensex?
Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.