246 Results

Look Who's Been Feverishly Buying Stocks for 14 Years -- and What That Means

Updated: November 9, 2017

A group of investors with very deep pockets has been engaging in a long stretch of extraordinary stock buying. Here in November, even more buying has been announced. See a chart and learn what The Elliott Wave Theorist has to say about it.

How to Tell the "Size of the Forming Top" in U.S. Stocks

Updated: October 16, 2017

Many investors see almost no risk in the stock market. Indeed, they are betting to a record degree that the stock market will continue to rise. In EWI's view, here's what this extreme financial optimism strongly suggests.

Stocks: See This "Stunning" Development with Money Managers

Updated: October 13, 2017

A group of stock market bears has just done an about-face. One of EWI's analysts describes the switch as "stunning." A chart helps to explain.

FANG Stocks: "The Attack on the High Tech Giants"

Updated: October 9, 2017

FANG stocks -- Facebook, Apple, Amazon, and Google (now Alphabet) -- hit their most recent share price highs about two months ago. Is this the time to "buy the dip," or a sign that the NASDAQ 100 is "cruising for a bruising"?

Are U.S. Dollar Speculators Woefully Wrong -- Again?

Updated: October 4, 2017

Why do investors keep making the same mistakes -- i.e., buying at highs and selling at lows? The answer is that their psychology never changes. If you're an independent thinker, you can potentially benefit from this knowledge. Let's take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index.

IBM: Warren Buffett Vs. Elliott Wave Analysis

Updated: October 2, 2017

Many investors seek to mirror the trades of Warren Buffett. See how EWI analysts took the opposite side of a Buffet trade and how "Warren Buffett Versus the Wave Principle" has worked out so far.

Look What's Fueling the ETF Boom -- and Why It's So Dangerous

Updated: September 27, 2017

The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned about this financially dangerous sign of " wild-eyed optimism" in June 2007, and the stock market went on to top some four months later. Now, in 2017, the same warning sign is appearing. Get the details you need to know.

U.S Dollar: Plenty of Optimists + Elliott Waves = Financial Opportunity

Updated: September 20, 2017

The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a steady slide since its January high, and one foreign exchange strategist expects the downward trend to continue. But financial markets often move in the opposite direction from the prevailing sentiment. See how this knowledge can help you seize opportunities that most others miss.

Stock Market's "Proper Value" Is Nonsense -- Here's Why

Updated: September 18, 2017

Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.

2017 Ends With "7": What That Might Mean for Stocks

Updated: September 11, 2017

In 1939, Edgar Lawrence Smith discussed the stock market's Decennial Pattern. It "has been remarkably useful." One of the aspects of the Decennial Pattern relates directly to 2017. Get the details.

Why Speculators Should Keep a Close Eye on the Bond Market

Updated: September 8, 2017

Bonds are generally considered far less risky than the stock market. That's a big reason why flows into bond mutual funds and ETFs have been substantial in the past two years. But there's a major reason to be wary of the bond market. See for yourself.

Trouble Knocks on the U.S. Housing Market's Door

Updated: September 7, 2017

Troublesome developments are occurring in the U.S. housing market. Media outlets are saying that "an acute shortage of properties" is hurting sales. But, the real story is revealed in these chart patterns.

Just in Time? "Tulip Mania" Blossoms Again

Updated: September 6, 2017

Historically, financially themed Hollywood productions have often coincided with trend changes in the DJIA. Now, a motion picture that is based on one of the biggest financial bubbles of all time has just opened at theaters. The movie tells a "financial story that's fascinating ... ."

U.S. Stocks: Does the Recent Pullback Have More to Go?

Updated: August 30, 2017

Robert Kelley tells you about a handful of reliable indicators he monitors to help him spot approaching tops and bottoms.

Harvey's Here. So Why Are Oil Prices Lower?

Updated: August 29, 2017

If supply disruptions cause oil prices to go up, can you tell when on this chart the most destructive hurricane in U.S. history arrived?

Trump Supporters Should Tell Congress to Impeach Him Right Now

Updated: August 28, 2017

President Trump. Love him or hate him, if you watch the news you have to deal with him. But for how long? Discover the president's chances to survive impeachment in this Chart of the Day video.

2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why

Updated: August 23, 2017

See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.

What to Make of This Rare "Fear Gauge" Jump

Updated: August 22, 2017

Periods of low stock market volatility are inevitably followed by high volatility. The DJIA just registered its worst day in three months. See the chart that helped us to anticipate the "turbulence."

Why the Bond Market Should Be Watching Tesla

Updated: August 22, 2017

Tesla's share price at an all-time high, its junk bond yield at a record low. Today's investor appetite for risk is strong indeed...

How You Can Get Ahead of a Fast-Moving News Cycle

Updated: August 18, 2017

Watch Matt Lampert, Director of Research at the Socionomics Institute, show how you can use Elliott waves to act more confidently in other areas of your life, not just in the markets.

U.S. Stocks: What Market Sentiment Indicators are Telling You

Updated: August 17, 2017

Robert Kelley explains why bullish sentiment indicators aren't necessarily bullish for the market. Watch this new interview to learn what he expects next for U.S. stocks.

This Is Why U.S. Stocks Are at a Critical Juncture

Updated: August 11, 2017

Right now is one of those special moments in the markets that will determine where stocks go for the next few weeks -- and the next few months. Watch this clip from a new interview with our Chief Market Analyst to learn why stocks today find themselves at such a critical moment in their Elliott wave pattern.

This is Why Gold Was Set to Rally BEFORE North Korea Scare

Updated: August 10, 2017

The big flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and North Korea has dominated the news. And some financial observers are saying this is why gold's price has been rising. Yet, see how "seller exhaustion and a trend reversal" was indicated a month ago, suggesting a gold rally ahead.

U.S. Stock Market: Sunrise ... Sunset

Updated: August 7, 2017

The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.

Individual Investors Say, "Cash is Trash"... Again

Updated: August 4, 2017

Many investors are just as committed to the stock market as they were at the January 2000 top. The same patterns of investor psychology appear to repeat themselves. Take a look at these two charts.

This High Flier Soars with the Stock Market

Updated: August 2, 2017

A burst of technological innovations and rip-roaring bull markets tend to go hand-in-hand. Find out about one particular concept that "has a long history that lines up well with key junctures in stock prices."

U.S. Stocks: "Telltale Divergences Between a Lot of Indexes"

Updated: August 2, 2017

Robert Kelley weighs in on recent price action in U.S. stocks.

A New Twist on "Peak Oil"

Updated: July 31, 2017

In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Now, the phrase "peak oil" has been re-introduced, but in a different way.

Do Corporate Earnings Matter to the Stock Market?

Updated: July 28, 2017

The notion that "earnings drive stock prices" powers a lot of research on Wall Street. See a chart that torches this assumption.

Why Stocks Don't Take Orders from the President

Updated: July 26, 2017

The stock market began to rally long before Donald Trump was elected president. What's more, the evidence shows that the rally would have likely occurred even if another candidate had won. It boils down to the market's price pattern -- see for yourself.

U.S. Housing: A Tell-Tale Warning Sign We've Seen Before

Updated: July 19, 2017

A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.

The Fed and Gold Prices: Don't Miss the "Invisible Gorilla"

Updated: July 17, 2017

Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.

Will FANG Take the First Big Bite Out of the Bull?

Updated: July 14, 2017

Stock market action in recent weeks suggests that the enthusiasm for the technology sector is simmering down. More than that, outright animosity is being directed toward some of technology's biggest names. Here's what we see down the road.

This is Why the Mortgage Market Suddenly Looks Riskier

Updated: July 10, 2017

Some U.S. real estate markets have bounced back strongly since the Great Recession while others have languished. All told, "the recovery is spotty at best." Now, two new developments are adding risk to the mortgage market.

Real Threats, Real Markets: GMP Preview Looks at "What to Fear"

Updated: July 7, 2017

Global market charts you won't see elsewhere show "What" -- and What Not -- to Fear.

This Will Make You Sit up and Notice Sentiment Extremes in U.S. Stocks

Updated: July 7, 2017

Robert Kelley discusses the sentiment gauges he monitors. See what they're telling you about the market trend.

What the New Passive Investing Push Tells You

Updated: June 30, 2017

Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market's Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize.

A "Mortgage Meltdown" Culprit Makes a Return

Updated: June 23, 2017

The housing market is heating up -- again. Signs are appearing that are reminders of the previous housing boom. "Buyers are convinced values will only continue to climb ... ." Is the housing trend near a reversal?

How Applying "Cause and Effect" Ideas to the Stock Market Can Cost You

Updated: June 19, 2017

Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.

New Evidence that Oil Prices Follow the Elliott Wave Model

Updated: June 15, 2017

On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.

Municipal Bonds: Still "on Track for a Train Wreck"

Updated: June 12, 2017

The head of credit research for a municipal-bond management firm just commented: "We haven't seen this in a modern state before." He was talking about Illinois' deep fiscal trouble. Look at the eye-brow-raising credit spread.

Why Renewed Danger Lurks in the U.S. Leveraged Loan Market

Updated: June 7, 2017

In investing, one rule of thumb tells you that the higher the return, the higher the risk. Today, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone. We're sounding the alarm -- again.

GMP Preview: Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?

Updated: June 6, 2017

See 3 global market charts that answer the question, Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?

U.S. Housing: "Not Since the Mania Days"

Updated: June 5, 2017

The U.S. housing market has staged a significant rebound since prices bottomed in February 2012. Now, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?

Taking the Temperature of Global Warming Fever

Updated: June 2, 2017

Critics say President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement dealt a setback to the global-warming cause. But, the evidence suggests that "global-warming fever" had already been cooling off. "Crowds often think their personal cause of the moment is a permanent issue. It almost never is."

Public Pensions: "The writing appears on the wall"

Updated: May 26, 2017

"The writing appears to be on the wall" for public pension plans -- and $3.6 trillion is on the line. Managers have been "embracing riskier assets and sweeping underfunded liabilities under the rug." Now, here's an update.

Bonds: What Hedge Funds' "Record Reversal" Tells You

Updated: May 17, 2017

Maxwell Edison may have majored in medicine, as the Beatles sang, but many of the "brainiacs" on Wall Street are hedge fund managers. Even so, their performance record at key market turns often leaves a lot to be desired. See this eye-opening bond market chart.

How 'Startling Unexpected Headlines' Can Cost You BIG

Updated: May 15, 2017

A chief investment officer just told USA Today, "Listening to the 6 o'clock news gets investors off track." Find out why he made that statement. Plus, see what a "news-driven" and rational-reaction graph of stock prices would look like. (Hint: It's nothing you'd ever see in real life.)

Goldman Sachs Warns: Stock Market's Behavior is "Worrisome"

Updated: May 12, 2017

The CEO of a major Wall Street firm calls it "worrisome." A director of floor operations at the NYSE says it's "not normal." Find out why a volatility explosion might be just around the corner.

New Signs That the Glorious Era of ETFs is on Shaky Ground

Updated: May 8, 2017

There's an exchange-traded fund for almost every investment niche. Our analysts view the proliferation of ETFs as part of the entire derivatives boom. Here's how we believe ETFs will go down in history.

The Treacherous Psychology of Ramped-Up Investor Expectations

Updated: May 5, 2017

There's a sizeable gap between investor expectations and historical market returns. Chalk it up to ramped-up optimism and what psychologists call "information avoidance." Two surveys and one chart are revealing.

Fast Charts and World Markets: $18 TRILLION, A Bold Forecast, Inflation(?)

Updated: May 2, 2017

See our global market charts that cover $18 TRILLION, inflation(?), and a truly bold forecast.

A New, Scary Chapter in the Age-Old Story of Stock Market Leverage (A.K.A. "Debt")

Updated: May 1, 2017

NYSE margin debt levels reached records in the milestone market years of 2000 and 2007. But wait until you see what that level is now. Plus, find out how hedge funds are making matters even more precarious.

A Sobering Look at "Market-Shattering Shocks"

Updated: April 26, 2017

If investors would only review the historical data, they would discover the sobering truth about news and the stock market. Do you believe a presidential assassination or a major terrorist attack would affect the market's trend? Find out what really happened.

Recall This Bond Trader Chart? Here's What Happened

Updated: April 25, 2017

Our three recent Treasury Bond charts combine to show you trader sentiment, price action and important near-term turns and trends.

Why 90%+ of Active Stock Fund Managers Underperform the S&P 500

Updated: April 17, 2017

Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."

Stock Market Traders Trim Back Hedges

Updated: April 13, 2017

If you're a gambler or trader, you know what it means to "hedge your bet." It's how you offset your losses if you bet on the wrong horse, or on the wrong market position. Yet today, falling demand for equity hedges suggests an absence of fear among stock traders and investors. This chart shows you why.

What to Make of the "Supreme Confidence in Financials"

Updated: April 11, 2017

In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.

Crude Oil: A Better Way to Explain the Sharp Dip

Updated: April 6, 2017

Crude oil prices fell sharply on April 5. Analysts blamed the dip on a surprise jump in U.S. crude inventories. But take a look at this chart before you accept that explanation.

"Saying Stocks Are Risky is an Understatement"

Updated: April 5, 2017

Almost everyone knows that stocks are risky. Yet, new evidence shows that stock picking is fraught with even more risk than many investors might realize. Let's look at the return profiles of individual stocks from a recent academic study.

Why So Complacent? April Global Markets in Charts & Pictures

Updated: April 4, 2017

Going into April, too many world financial markets look too complacent. See the charts & pictures for yourself.

U.S. Stock Market: A Beauty or a Beast?

Updated: March 31, 2017

The DJIA is much more than a financial gauge: The index is also predictive in the multi-faceted arena of social trends, including movie attendance, fashion, politics and more. See what our Elliott Wave Theorist shared with subscribers.

Crude Oil Prices: A 7% Rally in 3 Days

Updated: March 31, 2017

Supply and demand factors do influence crude oil prices -- as with any physical commodity, for that matter. However, crude oil futures are also a financial market. Here's what that implies.

What to Make of the Dow's Longest Losing Streak Since 2011

Updated: March 28, 2017

The DJIA just registered its longest losing streak in nearly six years. Yet, from Feb. 9 through Feb. 27, the index posted its longest winning streak since 1987. Our analysis of that winning streak reveals why we haven't been surprised by the DJIA's downturn.

U.S. Dollar: "Clearly on Life-Support"

Updated: March 27, 2017

Knowledge of sentiment measures combined with a market's Elliott wave pattern is key in forecasting. The U.S. Dollar Index provides a perfect example. Read what our March 24 Short Term Update has to say.

Why You Should Check the Safety of Your Insurance Company

Updated: March 24, 2017

You buy insurance for protection, but some insurance companies themselves might be at risk. You need to know which ones are safe. "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news.

Bond Traders And Sentiment Reversal: Here's What It Looks Like

Updated: March 23, 2017

Two trader groups habitually on opposite sides of the market are at it again: See what past extremes say to the present trend.

Here's the Real Reason the Fed is Raising Rates

Updated: March 22, 2017

Financial commentators parse every word the Fed utters, hoping to catch a clue about the central bank's next policy decision. But who really determines the direction of rates?

Are "Baby Boomers" Driving the Stock Market's Trend?

Updated: March 20, 2017

Some people believe that "baby boomers" are driving the stock market's trend. The thinking goes that this large demographic group is behind the bull market, and as they retire, a bear market will follow. This thesis seems logical, but let's look at the evidence.

Why the Fed's Rate Hike Means Nothing to the Stock Market

Updated: March 17, 2017

The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.

Letting the Market Interpret the Market: Less Liquid Small Caps, Weaker Than Big Caps

Updated: March 14, 2017

Rather than relying on political headlines (and other unrelated news), this chart lets the broader stock market itself explain how we got here -- and where we're going.

Why the Glowing Jobs Number Was No Surprise

Updated: March 13, 2017

In February, the U.S. jobless rate fell to 4.7% as the economy added 235,000 non-farm payrolls. Some people attribute the economic improvement to the new president. Here's why the added jobs were anticipated well before the U.S. election.

Can a Supermodel Signal a Decline in U.S. Dollar?

Updated: March 9, 2017

Besides Elliott wave price patterns, our analysts also watch other telltale market indicators to pinpoint trend reversals -- e.g., sentiment extremes.

An Eye-Brow Raising Survey on Bull's 8th Anniversary

Updated: March 9, 2017

On March 9, 2017, the bull market marks its eighth anniversary. At the same time, one group of market participants are more bullish than they've been in decades. Are they right? The Wave Principle is helping our subscribers anticipate the next major trend change.

Why Do Stocks Rise and Fall? (Hint: It’s NOT the News!)

Updated: March 7, 2017

The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.

EURUSD: When Price Pattern Trumps Other "Reasons"

Updated: March 3, 2017

On March 1, the U.S. dollar did something it hadn't done in almost two months: It got stronger. Two reasons were behind the move, said analysts: The Fed's imminent rate hike, and, President Trump's widely-covered address to Congress. But here's one reason many have overlooked.

This Stock Market Indicator Jumps to "Levels Rarely Seen"

Updated: March 3, 2017

An interesting thing happened on the way to the Dow surpassing 21,000: Corporate insider selling jumped "to levels rarely seen." Moreover, it's not just a short-term trend. History shows why investors should be concerned.

Here's Why Closing Streaks In the Stock Market REALLY Matter

Updated: February 27, 2017

Since November 4th, the Dow Jones Industrials have seen a 17 percent rally, and closed higher in every session from February 9th through this past Friday, February 24. That is no ordinary streak. The Dow hasn't seen that many consecutive closes since January 1987...

The "Trump Bump" Was in the Cards LONG Before Trump

Updated: February 21, 2017

Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.

This Sentiment Measure Nearly Matches October 2007

Updated: February 17, 2017

The DJIA has been on a winning streak with one all-time closing high after another. "Traders are convinced that market volatility will remain nonexistent." Our subscribers know better.

U.S. Markets: The BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now

Updated: February 14, 2017

In an interview with ElliottWaveTV, Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks about the key story from 2016 that most investors missed. Learn what he's watching closely right now.

Learn Why It’s Important to Trade with The Trend

Updated: February 13, 2017

Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.

Successful Investors: "Avoid the Fruit, Embrace the Spear"

Updated: February 6, 2017

Financial optimism has reached a new extreme. The impulse to herd is ever present, but there is a way to set yourself apart from the crowd.

A Day of Reckoning for U.S. Commercial Real Estate

Updated: January 25, 2017

Even today, there are repercussions from the real estate lending boom that ended with the subprime mortgage crisis. In 2017, commercial mortgages are maturing, and some landlords face delinquency. Here's what that means for some bondholders.

Money Velocity: What the Latest Numbers Tell You

Updated: January 23, 2017

Despite the Fed's stimulus efforts, inflation remains subdued. The trend in money velocity -- the rate at which money changes hands in the economy -- is not what one might expect during a bull market. One bond manager points to high-debt levels.

Deflation: A Sky-High View

Updated: January 20, 2017

Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.

See the Gold Forecast Many Have Missed

Updated: January 19, 2017

On Dec. 16, gold traders were more bearish on a longer-term basis than they were in July 1999, when the precious metal was at $252.15. That day, our Short Term Update said, "It's tough to lean against the crowd ... but that's exactly what our analysis suggests is proper at the current juncture." On Jan. 17, gold hit a 2-month high.

GMP Trailer - What the Death of "Do It Yourself " looks like in U.S. Stocks, plus stops in China and Turkey

Updated: January 6, 2017

You can also see how our currency forecast came first, and the "Brexit surprise" came second. Plus, why central bank "Targets" amount to a chart of failure. Check it out.

Look Who's Leading the Way on Interest Rates (It's NOT the Fed)

Updated: December 16, 2016

The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.

From Unloved & Unwanted to George Washington on Steroids: The U.S. Dollar

Updated: December 15, 2016

The U.S. dollar remains in an uptrend that's been unfolding for nearly nine years. Can a magazine cover really help point to which way the trend will go from here?

U.S. Public Pensions: In a "Downward Spiral"

Updated: December 12, 2016

Even as the Dow reaches an all-time high, the Dallas pension system is asking taxpayers for a bailout. U.S. public pension systems grapple with an accelerating downward spiral. Our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast notes that some are prime candidates for insolvency.

U.S. Tech Startups: A Storm Is Brewing

Updated: December 6, 2016

Even as the Dow hovers in record-high territory, some sectors have slipped into a bear market. Venture capital for U.S. business startups is drying up. For many technology firms, "the game is already over."

Violent Bond Selloff: An Eye-Opening Perspective

Updated: December 2, 2016

In the face of historic optimism, which attended the July high in 30-year Treasury bonds, our June Elliott Wave Theorist said, "Bonds are on their last leg." In November, global bond investors lost $1.7 trillion. Sentiment has shifted to deep pessimism toward bonds but keep an eye on the wave count.

A Legendary Analyst's Observation Speaks Volumes about This Market

Updated: November 28, 2016

As of Nov. 25, the Russell 2000 closed higher for 15 straight trading sessions. The late Paul Montgomery, a renowned observer of market behavior, made an observation about consecutive closing streaks that should be of high interest to every investor.

Why the U.S. Dollar Index's 13.5-Year High Was Expected

Updated: November 18, 2016

On May 3, the U.S. Dollar Index spiked down to a low of 91.919. But, just three days later, as the bears were licking their chops, we anticipated a turn higher. Our wave analysis has served subscribers well. The index just hit a 13.5-year high.

So Which Is It -- Is the Donald Good or Bad for Stocks?

Updated: November 14, 2016

Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Such blatant contradictions appear regularly in the media. Keep an eye on the market itself. The Dow's price pattern pointed to a new all-time high months before the election, and anticipates what's next.

Did U.S. Treasury Bonds Just Get Stumped by Trump?

Updated: November 9, 2016

On November 9, U.S. bond investors realized there's something worse than the uncertainty leading up to the 2016 presidential election; namely, the uncertainty following it! Is there a way to gain insight into the market's trend? Absolutely.

It's a Girl! It's a Boy! It's a Bull Market

Updated: November 9, 2016

More babies were born in 2007 than any other year in U.S. history. But the birth rate dropped to a century-low in 2009. What happened? We offer an answer.

Global Sentiment Ahead of US Election

Updated: November 8, 2016

Nine of our top market strategists offer a sneak peek of sentiment in their markets ahead of the U.S. presidential election.

Epic Disdain for Cash

Updated: November 8, 2016

Where does the mutual fund cash-to-assets ratio stand today? It has returned to a historic level -- fund managers are ALL IN the stock market. It adds up to the most extreme reading on record.

Global Sentiment Ahead of US Election

Updated: November 8, 2016

Nine of our top market strategists offer a sneak peek of sentiment in their markets ahead of the U.S. presidential election.

This Chart Reveals a Dangerous Callback to the Last Housing Bust

Updated: November 7, 2016

Almost no one expected a dramatic decline in housing prices in January 2006. At the time, 43% of first-time home buyers were putting no money down. Six months later, housing prices topped. Today, owners of entry-level homes are once again highly leveraged.

U.S. Election: What Does It Mean to the Markets and What Do the Markets Mean to It?

Updated: November 7, 2016

Pete Kendall, the co-editor of our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, tells you more about the just-published Financial Forecast's special Election section.

U.S. Election: What Does It Mean to the Markets and What Do the Markets Mean to It?

Updated: November 7, 2016

Pete Kendall, the co-editor of our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, tells you more about the just-published Financial Forecast's special Election section.

A New Bull Market in Political Scandal is Coming to a TV Near You

Updated: November 4, 2016

Major media outlets have bent over backwards to minimize Hillary Clinton's brewing scandals. But social mood is due for a shift. When the stock market sharply reverses, expect a new bull market in political scandals.

Check Out this Explosive Setup in U.S. Treasury Bonds

Updated: October 28, 2016

The selloff in global bonds has been blamed on speculation that central banks will raise rates. Some observers point to economic data. Yet, we saw the handwriting on the wall four months ago. See how a combination of Elliott waves and sentiment measures can be highly useful to investors.

The Real Reason Obamacare is Coming Unglued

Updated: October 26, 2016

The days of $20 doctor house calls and affordable hospital stays for the uninsured are long gone. Chalk it up to government involvement in healthcare. Now we learn that "Obamacare" premiums will sharply rise in 2017. Prepare for what's next.

Here's Why Investors Should Ignore Earnings Season

Updated: October 24, 2016

The bedrock belief that earnings drive stock prices permeates Wall Street. About a third of S&P companies report this week, and investors are watching. But have they bothered to investigate the evidence about earnings and stocks? We have.

See What Treasury Bonds Did AFTER "Five Up" Had Finished

Updated: October 18, 2016

See it for yourself: A major reversal in Treasury Bonds, as forecast. Prices then went lower in the 3-plus months since. And, the pattern now is as clear as it was then...

Stocks and Complacency: An Explosive Combination

Updated: October 18, 2016

Except for a couple of turbulent days in early September, this fall season has so far been as uneventful for the markets as this past summer was. But that's likely to change.

Dollar Index: Clear Enough to Show Two Years in Two Minutes

Updated: October 13, 2016

Let's talk about the Dollar Index. Not with one chart, but with three charts of the Index. Because, they show we mean when we say, "Textbook Elliott Wave Pattern." Five up, three down...

A Lopsided Art Market Gets Weirder and Weirder

Updated: October 10, 2016

Ever heard of Three Urinals? It's a sculpture that sold for $3.2 million in November 2014. That same month, Andy Warhol's silk screen featuring Elvis Presley was unloaded for $82 million. But, today's art world has seen a shift in prices, and in some cases, it's been dramatic.

This is What Happens After Home Sales Decline

Updated: October 7, 2016

Despite historically low mortgage rates, U.S. homes sales have faltered. One North American city has seen a dramatic plunge in sales. As we anticipated, price declines have followed. See how government embraced a real estate trend just when it reached maturity.

An Uncommon Pattern is Being Traced Out in U.S. Stocks

Updated: October 6, 2016

The co-editor of the U.S. section of our Global Market Perspective sat down to explain why this uncommon pattern in the Dow fits with the overall long-term picture in the stock market.

Gold: Here's What Caused the Oct. 4 Crash

Updated: October 6, 2016

On October 4, gold prices crashed $40-plus per ounce in their steepest single-day drop in three years. Many cited "hawkish" Fed comments for pulling the rug out from under gold. But that only explains the metal's fall after the fact. What really happened?

It's Official: Deutsche Bank Crisis Has Been "Officially Denied"

Updated: October 4, 2016

The German government itself has been forced to deny making a plan to bail out Deutsche Bank. This prompted our analyst to note that, "Like most of the great banking crises of the past, we can finally list this one as official, because it has been officially denied."

Autumn Volatility: Why Our Top US Intraday Stocks Analyst Says "Rotation" is Key

Updated: September 28, 2016

Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you why he's looking for increased volatility heading into the month of October.

Bulls vs. Bears: A War Rages in Real Estate

Updated: September 21, 2016

A battle between bull and bear market forces is being fought in the U.S. housing market. On the one hand, millennials are living with their parents longer. On the other, one Connecticut estate aims to become the most expensive residential property in the nation. A victor between bull and bear impulses will eventually emerge.

Bond Traders Chase Rally to the Bitter End

Updated: September 13, 2016

About three months ago, hedge fund managers were the most bullish on bonds they've been in 10 years. Yet, our July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned a "trend reversal is nigh." Just four trading days later, on July 8, bond futures made their closing high. Take a look at these two charts.

The Real Reason Stocks Just Turned Volatile

Updated: September 12, 2016

Knowledge of classic chart patterns can be of enormous value to you. For example, a contracting diagonal takes a wedge shape within two converging lines, and is the most common form for an ending diagonal. This knowledge helped us anticipate Sept. 9's stock market volatility, even though the market had traded sideways for most of the summer.

Public Pension Costs Swell After A Decade of Market Busts

Updated: September 7, 2016

Why are governments paying into public pensions? Why is the rate of increase in government payments so much greater? This chart speaks to the health of public pension funds. In a word, that health issue is "underfunded."

How Today's Housing Market Psychology Resembles 2005

Updated: September 6, 2016

The housing market appears to be on the verge of another big shift. We see an eerie similarity between 2005 and 2016. Just like 11 years ago, almost no one is worried about a bubble. Plan now for what we see ahead.

The Dow's Price Pattern at 3 Degrees of Trend

Updated: August 30, 2016

August 15th saw prices reach an all-time high in the Dow. Yet, the Elliott wave pattern we're following suggests something else was also at work: Namely, a near-term peak at 3 degrees of trend.

This "Pop and Drop" Forecast for the Dow was Spot-On

Updated: August 26, 2016

You can make high-confidence market forecasts based on the Wave Principle. Using the Wave Principle, our Short Term Update made a specific market call on Aug. 22, and the market fulfilled our expectation, serving our subscribers well as a result. High volatility may be ahead. The calm before the storm is the time to prepare.

Does This Chart Say Real Estate "Boom"?

Updated: August 16, 2016

Recent headlines say the housing market is "booming." There's no support for that claim in the trend of homeownership. (1:48)

Easy Money?

Updated: August 16, 2016

House flipping was wildly popular during the mid-00s.The market crashed, and so did the flippers, just as we warned. Many were ruined. Now, flipping is making a big comeback. How safe is it?

How to Quickly Spot Common Fibonacci Ratios on a Chart

Updated: August 12, 2016

Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.

Why the Search for Stock Market "Catalysts" is Futile

Updated: August 8, 2016

Financial reporters seek a "cause and effect" to explain the stock market's action on a given day. For example, Aug. 5 headlines said the strong jobs report triggered the session's rally. Seems logical, but on May 6, stocks also rallied when the jobs number disappointed. The Wave Principle offers a valuable alternative to looking for market "catalysts."

U.S. Student Loans: A Coming Disaster for Taxpayers

Updated: August 4, 2016

The federal government is good at lending taxpayer money to borrowers who are unable or unwilling to pay it back. It happened during the housing bust, and now, some seven million people are in default on their student loans. Find out why we anticipate that the number will rise dramatically.

The U.S. Economy Falters: What History Says About the Months Ahead

Updated: August 1, 2016

The U.S. economy grew at a snail's pace in Q2. The preliminary GDP annual growth rate of 1.2% took polled economists by surprise. They expected an increase more than twice that high. Find out how we anticipate economic trend changes.

The REALLY Big Myth About Earnings

Updated: July 26, 2016

Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.

Building Permits: The Ice Age Returneth

Updated: July 26, 2016

Building permits help answer the question, "What's next for builders, developers, the construction business and real estate in the U.S.?" You can see for yourself that building permits can be an excellent early indicator for real estate.

Bull vs. Bear Market Impulses: How Observing Water Freeze Leads to a Shocking Discovery about Social Mood

Updated: July 25, 2016

A mix of bull and bear market impulses is evident in today's culture. How is that possible with recent all-time highs in stocks? Shouldn't social mood be decidedly bullish? A Boston University econophysicist charts water's freezing process and makes a shocking discovery.

Evidence: "The American Economy Has Slowed to a Crawl"

Updated: July 21, 2016

This measure shows you the growth in Real Per Capita GDP -- it adjusts for population, and it adjusts for inflation. It's all built into one trend line. That's a far more revealing picture of the economy. And, it's especially telling regarding the future -- specifically, the future of incomes...

These Technical Indicators Forecast the Dow High

Updated: July 18, 2016

The Wave Principle and other technical indicators helped investors prepare for new all-time highs. See how.

See How Elliott Waves Called for DJIA's New High... 10 Months Ago

Updated: July 13, 2016

Elliott wave-minded investors must be adaptable to a changing market environment in order to be successful. Deductive reasoning is the best approach. See how Elliott waves and supporting technical evidence helped us stay on track with a bullish forecast for the DJIA.

U.S. Dollar: a Brexit Safe Haven?

Updated: July 11, 2016

The U.S. dollar surged in the wake of Britain's decision to leave the European Union. But the greenback's upward trend started several weeks before the June 23 vote. See how the Wave Principle can help you spot trend turns, even when professional speculators are betting the other way.

"Early Warning" Indicator for Crude Oil

Updated: July 8, 2016

Steve Craig, EWI's Chief Energy Analyst, explains what's really driving crude prices. Watch this new interview to find out what he's paying attention to.

Ask Puerto Ricans Why Government Debt Matters

Updated: June 30, 2016

Many people view government debt as a problem that is far removed from their daily lives. When debt becomes overwhelming, the lives of citizens are directly affected in many critical ways. Consider Puerto Rico, which now faces another debt default.

When Will Deflation Turn Into Inflation?

Updated: June 21, 2016

Deflation is a rare economic phenomenon. Contrary to popular belief, it's not just "low prices." Learn more in this new interview.

Behind the Happy-Face Mask of the U.S. Jobless Rate

Updated: June 17, 2016

The Federal Reserve is troubled by the jobs market, and for good reason. The central bank's own Labor Market Conditions Index is at its lowest level in seven years. Also, a record 95 million Americans are not in the labor force. Now is the time to prepare for what we see ahead.

The Fed Wages a Losing Battle Against Savers

Updated: June 16, 2016

Even with historically low interest rates, the U.S. savings rate as a percentage of disposable income has been rising. This indicates a deflationary psychology is taking hold, while the Fed grapples with weak inflation long after the end of the Great Recession. Prepare now for what's next.

4 Shocking Truths About Earnings Season

Updated: May 26, 2016

How much faith to you put in a company's earnings data to gauge its future growth potential? Well, we have four shocking truths about the real value of earnings that will radically change the way you see this time-honored measure.

Gold Prices: Summer Doldrums Ahead?

Updated: May 24, 2016

On May 4, we were right alongside the mainstream experts with a bullish outlook on gold -- save for one "critical" difference. Our analysis identified a critical support level that, if breached, would tilt the odds in favor of a major decline. And that has made all the difference.

EURUSD: The Fed is NOT Your Friend

Updated: May 20, 2016

On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.

One Elliott Wave Pattern That's Truly Worth the Wait

Updated: May 18, 2016

Sometimes it's hard to get excited about sideways movement on a market's price chart. Like, say, the four-month long sideways crawl in sugar prices from October 2015 to January 2016. But from an Elliott wave standpoint, this kind of "holding pattern" is often cause for the greatest excitement.

No Thaw for the Housing Market's Ice Age

Updated: May 17, 2016

Are you ready for an even bigger cool down in the housing market? Recent data suggests that real estate's ice age, which started in 2006, is far from over. Get the details now.

How Elliott Waves Save You from Trading Mistakes

Updated: May 17, 2016

Wave analysis works by helping you track the market's psychology. Of course, not every Elliott wave forecast works out. Yet, even then Elliott waves give you the exact price points to watch; if the price breaks any of them, you'll know it may be time to get out. "Cut your losses short," remember? Elliott waves help you do just that. Let's look at a fresh example.

A Record Collapse of Corporate Mergers: Get Ready for What's Next

Updated: May 16, 2016

Financial history shows that peaks in corporate mergers generally occur prior to major bear markets. With that in mind, consider that 2015 saw a record amount of money spent on mergers. But, since then, a shift has occurred. Is financial history set to repeat?

USDJPY: The Kind of Move You Don't Want to Miss

Updated: May 11, 2016

Market psychology will take prices up or down with or without the news. The advantage you have with Elliott waves is that while other traders are reacting, you can be proactive. Case in point: USDJPY.

Crude Oil: How to Catch a 77% Rally

Updated: May 4, 2016

Now that crude oil rose about 20% in April alone, it's getting hard to remember that this winter, WTI fell to just $26.05 a barrel. Harder still is to remember the sentiment towards oil at that time. These headlines from major news sources are a good reminder...

What to Make of the Stubbornly Sluggish U.S. Economy

Updated: May 2, 2016

Have you ever wondered why the U.S. economy remains weak even after unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus? The reason boils down to just two words: deflationary psychology. Now is the time to prepare for what we see ahead.

Why Crude Oil at $46 Is Not a Surprise

Updated: April 28, 2016

On April 27, the World Bank Group upwardly revised its annual forecast for crude oil prices -- after oil had risen 77% from this winter's lows. As for seeing oil's rally in advance -- well, that's a different story. One worth reading now...

The Key to Copper Prices: Supply, Demand... or Something Else?

Updated: April 27, 2016

On April 11, copper prices took step one of a powerful rally that launched the red metal to one-month highs -- despite a raft of bearish data that pointed the market in the opposite direction. Makes you think something else is at work!

Crude Oil: How Elliott Waves Prepare You for Trend Changes

Updated: April 21, 2016

"The trend is your friend," goes the old trading adage -- but what if the trend is about to end as you're "befriending" it? Elliott wave analysis is uniquely positioned to give you ample warning when that happens -- watch.

Woe-Mart: The Retail Giant Walmart Has Faltered

Updated: April 13, 2016

Over the last year, Walmart has gone from retail victor to re-FAIL victim of falling sales growth, store closures, layoffs, and on. Who's to blame for Walmart's reversal of fortune? Hint: It's not the strong dollar. It's deflation. 

(Video 4 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

Updated: April 8, 2016

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave "triangle" price pattern. Watch this free 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor walks you through this high-confidence opportunity step by step.

How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

Updated: April 6, 2016

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles, high-confidence price patterns. Watch this 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor spots a triangle in USDJPY and follows it as it unfolds in real-time in the coming days.

(Video 3 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

Updated: April 5, 2016

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles. Here's the 3rd video of this 4-part series where our Currency Pro Service editor gives you an update on USDJPY's high-confidence price pattern.

U.S. Housing Market: Should You Rent or Buy?

Updated: April 4, 2016

Housing market analysts expect prices to climb again in 2016. But one EWI subscriber expresses caution. Learn what he just told The New York Times.

(Video 2 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

Updated: April 1, 2016

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles. Here's the 2nd video of this 4-part series where our Currency Pro Service editor gives you an update on USDJPY's high-confidence price pattern as it developed.

U.S. Jobs Market: A Picture of [Ailing] Health

Updated: April 1, 2016

The April 1 U.S. Department of Labor report showed a 5% unemployment rate. The mainstream experts hailed this as a sign of "robust" growth. We, on the other hand, call April Fool's! 

(Video 1 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

Updated: March 31, 2016

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles, high-confidence price patterns. Watch the first video of this 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor explains what a triangle in USDJPY on March 2 implied for the trend.

Gold's Near-Term Trend: "X" Marks the Spot

Updated: March 24, 2016

On March 10, gold prices turned down from a 13-month high to embark on the 11-session sell-off we see today. The problem is, the metal's downtrend fits nowhere into the mainstream picture. It does, however, fit into the Elliott wave one. 

Why Can't the Fed "Move" Commodities?

Updated: March 23, 2016

According to mainstream wisdom, commodity prices revolve around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. But historical evidence proves there's a much larger force at the center of the commodity universe.

Gold: Why You Should Pay Attention to "Extreme Opinions"

Updated: March 22, 2016

Gold has been hailed as "the biggest story of this year" lately. And to think that just in December, pundits were saying that gold had "lost its luster"! How did the mainstream miss this sleeper opportunity? This video gives you an answer.

Soybean Prices and the Giant "Gorilla Experiment"

Updated: March 4, 2016

Back in 2012, all the fundamental signs pointed UP in soybeans. But instead, bean prices turned down, plummeting 50%-plus in the multi-year bear market we see today. Here are some signs to help you spot the next big trend change.

The 2007-9 Housing Bust -- or Boon? That Depends

Updated: February 26, 2016

The Oscar-nominated movie "The Big Short" is a gripping story of a group of no-name outsiders who warned of the 2007-9 housing/subprime mortgage collapse. We at Elliott Wave International know that story all too well...

Learn Why 2015 Was a Key Transition Year for Stocks

Updated: February 25, 2016

Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.

Oil Industry Sees No Life Jacket in Sight

Updated: February 22, 2016

Since 2008, crude oil investors have become bullish at each top and bearish at each bottom. Recently, even oil industry insiders have expressed extreme bearishness. Yet, on Feb. 22, U.S. crude soared nearly 7%. Get our perspective.

Learn Why It's Important to Have Alternate Wave Counts

Updated: February 18, 2016

We sat down with Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, to learn how he approaches market volatility -- and why it's important to have alternate wave counts.

Housing: At the Edge of Another Huge Cliff?

Updated: February 18, 2016

Real estate agents say that today's near-record low mortgage rates means it's a good time to buy a house. But is it? See a chart that debunks a common belief about housing prices, and learn about warning signs that are reminders of the 2006 housing bubble.

You Saw It Here First: Gold as a "Fear Hedge" is a Myth

Updated: February 16, 2016

It's been conventional wisdom for decades: Gold is a "fear hedge." And yet, like many other market myths we've written about, this one is also just that -- a myth. Look at this chart, decide for yourself.

Gold: See 2 Factors that Warned of the Rally a Month Ago

Updated: February 11, 2016

It's tempting to say that gold is up 16% YTD "as investors are seeking a safe haven." Problem is, this (very logical) explanation tells you little about where gold might go tomorrow. Elliott wave analysis, on the other hand, does.

Stocks and Oil: No Longer "A Couple"?

Updated: February 10, 2016

It's a bit like watching Old Faithful fail to erupt when it should: To see a market "correlation" become disconnected can be unsettling. For weeks the media has looked at oil prices to forecast stocks. But Tuesday morning (Feb. 9) a CNBC headline said this...

Can the Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%?

Updated: February 9, 2016

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold Jumps 2% -- and Probably Has More to Go

Updated: February 8, 2016

On Feb. 8, U.S. and global stocks had a rough day. And what, says the conventional wisdom, "reliably" goes up when markets are "uncertain"? That's right: gold. But here's something you should know...

EURUSD: Two Months of "Zero Progress" End with a Bang

Updated: February 5, 2016

For the past two months, EURUSD, the world's most-traded forex market, has made almost zero net progress -- until now. This chart shows you the long sideways trading range stretching back all the way to December.

The Nine Most Terrifying Words in U.S. Healthcare

Updated: February 1, 2016

In 2003, we warned about the trend toward socialized healthcare and taxes. Now, the fines for the uninsured have increased in 2016. Now is the time to prepare for what's next.

Why Are Crude Oil Prices Up 33% in One Week?

Updated: January 29, 2016

Most analysts say the same thing: Oil is higher in reaction to the news. Sounds reasonable... but what if someone told you there was a way to forecast this rally before the news -- or even without any news?

A Day in the Life of a Stock Market Investor (from Outer Space)

Updated: January 27, 2016

Let's say you're an alien sent to this planet to study human behavior. Your task: the stock market as a mirror or human collective psychology. Millions of humans invest in it. Can you learn something by watching them put their money in a collective pot? Oh yes.

Do Oil Prices Govern Stock Prices?

Updated: January 26, 2016

You've probably noticed that lately, oil and stocks have been moving in unison -- so much so that today, people say that cheap oil is bearish for stocks, and higher oil prices are bullish. But do you remember that not that long ago, they said precisely the opposite?

Two Strong Signs of a Big Financial Top?

Updated: January 25, 2016

A review of past market tops shows that many of them were accompanied by the same warning signs. We highlight two of them. Plus, a chart shows a trap that's about to snap shut on stocks.

The Oil Bust: Why More Tears Will Fill Those Beers

Updated: January 22, 2016

Crude oil's long-term Elliott wave count anticipated a dramatic price slide. Workers for energy companies grapple with the consequences. The deflationary trend has only started.

Crude Oil Jumps 5%... Even As Inventories Rise to Highest Level in 25 Years?

Updated: January 21, 2016

It seems reasonable to suggest that, based on strong inventory numbers, crude oil should have fallen. Instead, prices rose. If you find this puzzling, looking at the situation from an Elliott wave perspective may help.

Crude Oil: "It's Still Got a Long Way to Go"

Updated: January 21, 2016

Steve Craig, editor of our Energy Pro Service, offers you his take on the recent decline in crude oil -- and tells you what Elliott wave patterns are showing him about future price action.

EURUSD Falls off a Cliff: See Why in One Chart

Updated: January 21, 2016

"EURUSD plunged after ECB President Drahgi announced that there are 'no limits' to how far the ECB will deploy its tools. The problem with blaming euro weakness on his comments is that the decline started earlier, much earlier."

See the Signs Which Led to This Top

Updated: January 20, 2016

At times like this, many people say: "Well, of course stocks are down -- after a six-year bull market without much of a correction." Yet, even if it feels like the decline was "only natural," in reality very few market experts said so on the record. In fact...

Dow Theory Nailed the Big Ones -- And Here's What It Says Now

Updated: January 20, 2016

Dow Theory and the Wave Principle are both based on empirical observations and complement each other. Dow Theory nailed the market declines of 1973 and 2007. Find out what investors should know now about the current Dow Theory signal.

Emotional Markets Serve Elliott Wave Investors

Updated: January 15, 2016

Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.

Emotional Markets Serve Elliott Wave Investors

Updated: January 15, 2016

Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.

Can Stock Values Simply "Disappear"? Yes.

Updated: January 15, 2016

Stocks rallied on Thursday (Jan. 14) -- but tanked again on Friday (Jan. 15), probably making the previously reported $3.2-trillion loss in the value of global stocks even bigger. But how can that be? Doesn't money simply move from one asset class to another?

The Rich are Acting Like They Did Right Before the Last Financial Crisis

Updated: January 14, 2016

Financial optimism was on full display in 1999 and 2006. The rich were splurging as the stock market zoomed higher. Bear markets soon followed. Now, as we kick off 2016, the affluent are partying like it's 1999 and 2006. 

EURUSD How a Simple Chart Pattern Can Tell You Whats Next

Updated: January 14, 2016

With the world's attention focused on the stock markets for the past two weeks, it's easy to overlook what's been happening in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market.

Eating Gold -- and Other Crazy Things People Do (at Certain, Very Specific, Times)

Updated: January 12, 2016

"A Williamsburg establishment started selling a $100 edible 24-karat-gold-covered doughnut dunked in Cristal-infused icing. It's $1,000 for a dozen and it's not even in Manhattan." (January 11 Vanity Fair)

The Perils of "Buying the Dip" in U.S. Stocks

Updated: January 11, 2016

A well-known financial publication suggests that now is the time to invest for the long-term. Such an approach might be hazardous to your portfolio. See a chart that shows a dip-buyer's nightmare.

The Apple Inc. Bull Goes on Holiday

Updated: January 7, 2016

Since hitting an all-time high in early 2015, AAPL stock has plunged a whopping 26%. Clearly, AAPL falling from its bullish branch was not part of the mainstream plan. It was, however, part of the Elliott wave one.

"Made in America": A Relic of the Past?

Updated: January 7, 2016

An important sector of the U.S. economy has contracted for the second month in a row. Deflation is a rare condition that's occurred only twice in U.S. history. Has the third episode already started?

Making Heads or Tails of This Market

Updated: January 5, 2016

We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.

The "Oil-Price-Tax-Cut" that Never Was

Updated: January 4, 2016

In 2015, the mainstream experts said falling oil prices would help jump-start the economy. It goes without saying, this forecast did not come to pass as planned. The full story might surprise you.

How Crude Oil Fooled (Almost) Everyone

Updated: December 31, 2015

Not one economist surveyed by The Wall Street Journal at the start of 2015 anticipated that crude oil would be trading under $40 a barrel. Most of them don't consider investor psychology, the true driver of big trends. And that's precisely what Elliott wave analysis helps you do. Take a look at this chart.

EURUSD: Getting a Handle on December Volatility

Updated: December 30, 2015

Love or hate December's infamous volatility, if you choose to trade this month, you have to deal with it. And this December has certainly been volatile. Take EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market...

Cash Is a Smash: Grab Hold of the Green

Updated: December 30, 2015

During the holiday season, many people receive cash as a gift. Recipients would be wise to store that cash in a safe place. Bargains in an array of financial assets may be soon available. A shift to financial conservatism appears to have already started.

Junk Bond Bust: The "Fling" Is Over

Updated: December 29, 2015

Over the last year, investors' appetite for risk has gone from red hot to lukewarm, culminating in the recent junk bond bust. Get the real story of the reversal here...

When "Rattled Confidence" Is a Bullish Sign

Updated: December 29, 2015

chart of the day | You may have seen us mention the importance of sentiment extremes on these pages before. We don't take sentiment at face value; years of experience have taught us to use sentiment extremes as a contrarian indicator -- here's why.

Worried About This Bull Market? Stop Looking for a "Trigger"

Updated: December 28, 2015

Financial news is the most upbeat near market tops. Headlines are gloomy around market bottoms. Most investors miss important trend reversals. Learn how we keep subscribers ahead of trend changes.

The Mighty U.S. Consumer

Updated: December 23, 2015

chart of the day | Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the U.S. GDP, so the latest uptick in spending is happy news for stock market bulls. Except, there is one caveat.

Risk On? Risk Off? Find Out Where Your Money Lies

Updated: December 22, 2015

It's almost Christmas, "the hap-happiest season of all." Yet, here's a sobering fact for U.S. investors: As this chart shows, the S&P 500 stocks are actually lower now than at the end of last year.

The Euro vs. the Fed: What We Think Really Happened

Updated: December 18, 2015

Elliott waves allow you to see before the news which way the collective psychology of market participants is leaning. If traders feel bullish… 

Company Buybacks: A Big Warning for the Stock Market

Updated: December 18, 2015

The sentiment surrounding company stock buybacks goes from cheers to jeers. Also, a splintering is taking place in M&A deals. Are these signs of a historic trend shift in stocks?

Debt Troubles Expand: Distressed Bond Issuers Traded Jumps 110%

Updated: December 17, 2015

The debt loads of companies and governments should be easy to service given the exceptionally low interest rates. But did you know that global bond default rates have hit their highest level since 2009? Learn why the next credit crunch could be worse than 2007-2009.

Junk Bond Selloff: The Stress Gets MORE Stressful

Updated: December 17, 2015

chart of the day | Here we have the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Spread. It's one of those indicators you don't see enough of in the financial media, even though it's a lot more predictive and relevant to investors, versus all of this week's hoopla about the Federal Reserve.

EURUSD: Here's What We Know

Updated: December 15, 2015

Whatever the Fed says around 2 PM Eastern on December 16, a surge of emotion will be visible in the markets. Emotions are natural drivers of price trends. And no method allows you to track the markets' collective emotion quite like Elliott waves do. So, here's what we know...

Conservatism Grips the U.S. Economy Like Squirrels Hoarding Nuts for Winter

Updated: December 11, 2015

The transition from risk-taking to risk-aversion started off gradually in 2007. Then it suddenly accelerated. Our analysts see evidence that a similar pattern is repeating itself. Look at these two charts.

Stocks: Rough December So Far

Updated: December 9, 2015

It's not quite time for the so-called Santa Claus Rally. And yet, it's easy to get disheartened when you see stocks struggle and fail to make progress for days. That's when you may wish to consider turning to Elliott wave analysis.

How Women Pursue "Fantasy and Escape" During Economic Downturns

Updated: December 7, 2015

A study shows that changes in women's shoes reflect changes in the economy. The women in the hit television show "Sex in the City" often wore stiletto heels, but in 2015 heels are flat or chunky. Learn more about this and other unusual economic indicators.

First, the Euro. Now -- Gold.

Updated: December 4, 2015

This week served us two examples of the same Elliott wave pattern foreshadowing a big rally in two major markets: first, the euro -- and now, gold.

The REAL Reason Why the Euro Crushed the U.S. Dollar

Updated: December 3, 2015

Days before the ECB announcement, EURUSD charts began to show a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern called an "ending diagonal." It almost always introduces fast trend reversals -- up, in this case. You can see this price pattern here...

Why Your Bank Deposits May Be at Risk

Updated: December 3, 2015

Big banks remain more fragile than most people realize. Many financial institutions never really recovered from the 2007-2009 financial crisis. A new report opens your eyes to the secret new government tax.

Euro vs. U.S. Dollar: What Will the "Big News Week" Bring?

Updated: November 30, 2015

This week promises to be big on economic news. Meanwhile, EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market, has been trading lower and lower over the past few days, as the U.S. dollar got stronger. How might the upcoming events impact this trend?

The Topping Process Is Steaming Along

Updated: November 24, 2015

Pete Kendall, co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, discusses important trends that he'll be watching in the coming weeks and months ahead.

Give Thanks for a... Truly Objective Commodity Forecast

Updated: November 20, 2015

In 2012, all the "fundamental" lines added up in corn's bullish favor. And yet, corn prices embarked on a multi-year bear market that persists today. Lend your "ear" to the full story...

Falling Crude Oil Prices: More Than Meets the Eye?

Updated: November 19, 2015

On Thursday (Nov. 19), crude oil again fell below $40. From our perspective, there are other factors impacting oil prices than what meets the eye. We are talking about Elliott wave patterns, of course.

EURUSD: Up, Down -- and Up Again?

Updated: November 17, 2015

A little while back, we wrote that, after a big drop in the euro, its Elliott wave patterns called for a rally. It was a "terminal thrust" lower from an Elliott wave triangle pattern that tipped us off to the coming bullish turn in EURUSD...

Some Commodity Opportunities DON'T Hinge on Supply/Demand Data

Updated: November 16, 2015

From their March 2014 peak, lean hog prices have plummeted 60%-plus to a six-year low. Turns out, the price slaughter was not what the fundamental doctor ordered.

Why Dow Theory is Still Relevant

Updated: November 13, 2015

Meet the predecessor of the Elliott Wave Principle: Dow Theory has been around for over a century and boasts a consistent record of performance. Yet some analysts are dismissive. Learn why you should pay attention to the Dow Theory -- along with the Elliott Wave Principle.

If Your Nest Egg Breaks, Will You Still Want the Nest?

Updated: November 13, 2015

It's been less than a decade since the housing bubble burst, yet home prices in the UK and US today hover near new highs. Even so, socionomist Alan Hall foresees a darker future for real estate. He warns that once again, housing data suggests that the real estate market is beginning to wilt. 

EURUSD: How to Know the Next Move WITHOUT the News

Updated: November 10, 2015

EURUSD fell to a new low for the month today, below $1.07. You can read a variety of explanations about why that happened. Yet none tell you what should happen next. Elliott waves, on the other hand, do.

Big Risk in the US Bond Market

Updated: November 9, 2015

Bond prices have been trending lower (yields rising), and investors appear vulnerable to even greater volatility. Learn why selling pressure could accelerate.

A Closer Look at All Those New U.S. Jobs

Updated: November 6, 2015

Many pundits are celebrating the 271,000 jobs that were added in the U.S. (October). New research reveals the caliber of many of the new jobs created during the economic "recovery." See the five-wave form of the rise in mean U.S. income.

Why the Euro Took a Tumble

Updated: November 5, 2015

On October 22, EURUSD, the world's most popular forex market, fell sharply -- and it was widely blamed on a statement by the president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi. Now, watch the move explained from the Elliott wave perspective.

Financial Zombies -- More Scary Scenes, Dead Ahead

Updated: November 2, 2015

Halloween is past, but the financial walking dead are still among us. We look at a financial services firm that has seen its share price drop, despite aggressive stock buybacks. Take a look at these two charts.

Does the Fed Know What to Do?

Updated: October 30, 2015

Investors and presidential hopefuls alike have been criticizing the Federal Reserve. The central bank appears uncertain about its monetary policy. Will the Fed even be around in 10 years?

The Bear Market Meter Is Running

Updated: October 30, 2015

What do NYC taxicab medallions and stock market shares have in common? Well, let's just say, borrowing money to buy into either asset with the hopes of ever-rising values doesn't end well

Natural Gas: A 20% Percent Decline In Less Than A Month

Updated: October 27, 2015

This is a weekly chart of the natural gas market. It posted on October 2, in our monthly Global Market Perspective publication. A lot has happened since then, but, on Oct. 2, this chart showed the five-year high...

Dispatch: U.S. On the Precipice of Deflation

Updated: October 26, 2015

Deflation is already a reality in many quarters of the global economy. Mounting evidence suggests that the full fury of this trend is about to be unleashed. Give our just-released dispatch on deflation your immediate attention.

How to Set Protective Stops Using the Wave Principle

Updated: October 22, 2015

Our Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy values the Wave Principle not only as an analytical tool, but also as a real-time trading tool. In this excerpt from the Best of Trader's Classroom eBook, he shows you how the Wave Principle's built-in rules can help you set your protective stops when trading.

Don't Blame Mr. Draghi for the Plunge in EURUSD

Updated: October 22, 2015

The euro plunged Thursday morning in a most dramatic fashion. Analysts rushed to blame the ECB's president Mario Draghi. But here's why the sell-off was in the cards well before his statement. Let's let these two charts do the talking.

Stock Market: Risk-On or Risk-Off?

Updated: October 21, 2015

The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.

U.S. Real Estate: Boom and Bust

Updated: October 7, 2015

Homeowners were using their homes as ATMs around the time of the 2006 peak in housing prices. Today, many people are again borrowing against their homes. Learn why the housing market is prone to "boom and bust."

EURUSD: Why Did the Euro Reverse So Abruptly?

Updated: October 5, 2015

Last Friday (Oct. 2) at 9:06 AM, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, Jim Martens, emailed me with a three-letter subject line: "EUR."

A Reliable Indicator Portends a 2015 Stock Market Decline

Updated: October 2, 2015

In December 2014, we discussed an indicator that appeared to carry "the same message as it did in 2007." The Dow Industrials topped just five months later. Now, the stress level is even more intense.

Why Weaker Euro Has Little to Do with "Negative Inflation"

Updated: October 1, 2015

Blaming the euro weakness on "negative inflation" -- or, deflation, if you call a spade a spade -- is a logical choice. After all, the euro did get weaker after the report. However, if you look at these EURUSD charts, you'll see that this weakness started days ago.

(Chart of the Day) The S&P 500: Textbook Elliott Pattern and a Trend Channel

Updated: September 29, 2015

This S&P 500 chart covers the past 4 years. The relevant dates are October 4, 2011 (an important low) and, recently, September 21 -- the date we posted this chart in our Short Term Update. Between those dates are two great pieces of visual evidence. First...

The Two Faces of Stock Market Volatility

Updated: September 28, 2015

For most of this summer, the U.S. stock market was about as volatile as a yoga retreat. Now, it's a model of turbulence. Yet somehow, the mainstream experts have insisted that both volatility scenarios are bullish! Keep reading...

The Fibonacci Sequence: New Research Surprises Scientists

Updated: February 10, 2014

Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.
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