Updated: February 6, 2018Financial commentators regularly try to connect the day's news with the stock market's action. It seems such a logical thing to do. But here's why investors who buy or sell based on the news might want to re-consider this approach.
Updated: January 31, 2018Even as U.S. stocks kept breaking records lately, the stock market "fear index," the VIX, has been rising. Is that a sign of more trouble to come for the stock market? Robert Kelley, our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, gives ElliottWaveTV a few illuminating answers.
Updated: January 30, 2018Investors who've been on the sidelines are fed up with "missing out!" In recent weeks, money flows into equities have sharply risen. This chart shows you why market risk is sharply rising, too.
Updated: January 29, 2018The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.
Updated: January 25, 2018Think a booming economy is bullish for the stock market? Discover how you can bust this market myth in 60 seconds, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: January 22, 2018Today, many mainstream market strategists anticipate a healthy pullback in this high-flying bull market. We've seen such sentiment before...
Updated: January 18, 2018Should an investor's goal be to "beat the market"? Here's how this investment strategy can severely hurt your portfolio.
Updated: January 16, 2018Record-breaking start to the new year has some investors cheering, some worried. On Tuesday, Jan. 16, our ElliottWaveTV anchor sat down with Robert Kelley, our U.S. stocks intraday opportunities analyst, to get his take on the tone of this year's trading, so far.
Updated: January 16, 2018The recent slide in U.S. bond prices is being blamed on the news that China may stop buying U.S. Treasuries. A famous guru says a bond bear market is upon us. But 30-year U.S. T-bond prices topped in 2016, when China was still happy to buy U.S. debt. How come?
Updated: January 11, 2018Stock market bulls are having a "happy new year" indeed, and at least one Wall Street bank expects equity prices to be even higher at the end of 2018. The bulls may end up being right, but from observing market behavior for almost 40 years, here at EWI we know this...
Updated: January 10, 2018Today's polarized politics may seem out of sync with the mood behind the soaring stock market. But as this socionomics preview video reveals, history offers a precedent to help us understand the present and a guide for what's likely to come.
Updated: January 9, 2018It would seem logical that an expanding trade deficit would be a negative for the economy and stock market. But EWI's decades of research reveals a startling truth. See a chart that exposes one of the biggest market myths of all time.
Updated: December 29, 2017A mainstream financial publication just said "Now more than ever, it's time to diversify." Diversification is supposed to cushion your portfolio during periods of volatility. If one or more assets decline in value, one or more others will rise -- or so the reasoning goes. Learn why this can be a dangerous financial notion during this particular economic trend.
Updated: December 18, 2017Myths about financial markets are perpetuated because almost no one bothers to check the actual data. For example, consider the widely held belief that precious metals perform well during recessions. Learn what the historical record reveals.
Updated: December 13, 2017Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.
Updated: December 6, 2017Hedge fund managers are reputed to be among the smartest of the smart on Wall Street. So, you might be surprised that they make the same critical mistake that most novice investors make. This chart helps to explain.
Updated: December 4, 2017Many people regard a house as an investment -- not just as a place to live. But, when a "consumption" item is treated like an "investment," a financially dangerous psychology develops. Learn what a recent study says about some of real estate's "investment advantages."
Updated: November 24, 2017In Part 1 of this new interview, Robert Kelley, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you what Elliott waves and other technical indicators suggest for U.S. stocks as we go into the holiday season.
Updated: November 21, 2017Think the Fed's interest rates control the stock market? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust this market myth in 2 minutes, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: November 17, 2017Investors are borrowing like never before to invest in stocks. This is not surprising to our Elliott wave experts. "Aggressive speculation is a hallmark of fifth waves...."
Updated: November 9, 2017A group of investors with very deep pockets has been engaging in a long stretch of extraordinary stock buying. Here in November, even more buying has been announced. See a chart and learn what The Elliott Wave Theorist has to say about it.
Updated: November 6, 2017Many investors are tempted to buy any "dip" during a stock market uptrend. But this psychology has its perils. Here's what usually happens after a full market cycle has played out.
Updated: November 3, 2017A new survey reveals what millionaire investors are doing with their capital -- find out the details. Also learn about the unprecedented market action of mutual fund managers.
Updated: November 2, 2017A famous advertisement says, "diamonds are forever." However, financial up-trends are not. Learn about these signs of a dangerous financial optimism.
Updated: October 27, 2017Social mood fluctuates between extremes of optimism and pessimism. At least two developments suggest that a major trend change is afoot. Get the details.
Updated: October 25, 2017Robert Kelley, the editor of our US Stocks Intraday Pro Service, tells you about a sentiment extreme that he's seen recently. Watch this new interview to find out what has caught his attention and what they mean for U.S. stocks going forward.
Updated: October 23, 2017If there's ever been a time to resist the impulse to follow the investing crowd, now is that time. Large speculators are making a bet that's four times larger than what they made in January 2008. Take a look at this chart.
Updated: October 16, 2017Many investors see almost no risk in the stock market. Indeed, they are betting to a record degree that the stock market will continue to rise. In EWI's view, here's what this extreme financial optimism strongly suggests.
Updated: October 13, 2017A group of stock market bears has just done an about-face. One of EWI's analysts describes the switch as "stunning." A chart helps to explain.
Updated: October 9, 2017FANG stocks -- Facebook, Apple, Amazon, and Google (now Alphabet) -- hit their most recent share price highs about two months ago. Is this the time to "buy the dip," or a sign that the NASDAQ 100 is "cruising for a bruising"?
Updated: October 4, 2017Why do investors keep making the same mistakes -- i.e., buying at highs and selling at lows? The answer is that their psychology never changes. If you're an independent thinker, you can potentially benefit from this knowledge. Let's take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index.
Updated: October 2, 2017Many investors seek to mirror the trades of Warren Buffett. See how EWI analysts took the opposite side of a Buffet trade and how "Warren Buffett Versus the Wave Principle" has worked out so far.
Updated: September 27, 2017The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned about this financially dangerous sign of " wild-eyed optimism" in June 2007, and the stock market went on to top some four months later. Now, in 2017, the same warning sign is appearing. Get the details you need to know.
Updated: September 20, 2017The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a steady slide since its January high, and one foreign exchange strategist expects the downward trend to continue. But financial markets often move in the opposite direction from the prevailing sentiment. See how this knowledge can help you seize opportunities that most others miss.
Updated: September 18, 2017Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.
Updated: September 11, 2017In 1939, Edgar Lawrence Smith discussed the stock market's Decennial Pattern. It "has been remarkably useful." One of the aspects of the Decennial Pattern relates directly to 2017. Get the details.
Updated: September 8, 2017Bonds are generally considered far less risky than the stock market. That's a big reason why flows into bond mutual funds and ETFs have been substantial in the past two years. But there's a major reason to be wary of the bond market. See for yourself.
Updated: September 7, 2017Troublesome developments are occurring in the U.S. housing market. Media outlets are saying that "an acute shortage of properties" is hurting sales. But, the real story is revealed in these chart patterns.
Updated: September 6, 2017Historically, financially themed Hollywood productions have often coincided with trend changes in the DJIA. Now, a motion picture that is based on one of the biggest financial bubbles of all time has just opened at theaters. The movie tells a "financial story that's fascinating ... ."
Updated: August 29, 2017If supply disruptions cause oil prices to go up, can you tell when on this chart the most destructive hurricane in U.S. history arrived?
Updated: August 28, 2017President Trump. Love him or hate him, if you watch the news you have to deal with him. But for how long? Discover the president's chances to survive impeachment in this Chart of the Day video.
Updated: August 23, 2017See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.
Updated: August 22, 2017Periods of low stock market volatility are inevitably followed by high volatility. The DJIA just registered its worst day in three months. See the chart that helped us to anticipate the "turbulence."
Updated: August 22, 2017Tesla's share price at an all-time high, its junk bond yield at a record low. Today's investor appetite for risk is strong indeed...
Updated: August 18, 2017See the on-target stock market forecasts subscribers read before the big decline on August 17.
Updated: August 18, 2017Watch Matt Lampert, Director of Research at the Socionomics Institute, show how you can use Elliott waves to act more confidently in other areas of your life, not just in the markets.
Updated: August 11, 2017Right now is one of those special moments in the markets that will determine where stocks go for the next few weeks -- and the next few months. Watch this clip from a new interview with our Chief Market Analyst to learn why stocks today find themselves at such a critical moment in their Elliott wave pattern.
Updated: August 10, 2017The big flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and North Korea has dominated the news. And some financial observers are saying this is why gold's price has been rising. Yet, see how "seller exhaustion and a trend reversal" was indicated a month ago, suggesting a gold rally ahead.
Updated: August 7, 2017The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.
Updated: August 4, 2017Many investors are just as committed to the stock market as they were at the January 2000 top. The same patterns of investor psychology appear to repeat themselves. Take a look at these two charts.
Updated: August 2, 2017A burst of technological innovations and rip-roaring bull markets tend to go hand-in-hand. Find out about one particular concept that "has a long history that lines up well with key junctures in stock prices."
Updated: July 31, 2017In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Now, the phrase "peak oil" has been re-introduced, but in a different way.
Updated: July 28, 2017The notion that "earnings drive stock prices" powers a lot of research on Wall Street. See a chart that torches this assumption.
Updated: July 26, 2017The stock market began to rally long before Donald Trump was elected president. What's more, the evidence shows that the rally would have likely occurred even if another candidate had won. It boils down to the market's price pattern -- see for yourself.
Updated: July 20, 2017Some trends pull prices like a freight train, and jumping on the wrong one can cost you dearly. That's why, in the Elliott wave approach, identifying the trend is paramount. Let's look at crude oil prices as an example.
Updated: July 19, 2017A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.
Updated: July 17, 2017Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.
Updated: July 14, 2017Stock market action in recent weeks suggests that the enthusiasm for the technology sector is simmering down. More than that, outright animosity is being directed toward some of technology's biggest names. Here's what we see down the road.
Updated: July 10, 2017Some U.S. real estate markets have bounced back strongly since the Great Recession while others have languished. All told, "the recovery is spotty at best." Now, two new developments are adding risk to the mortgage market.
Updated: July 7, 2017Global market charts you won't see elsewhere show "What" -- and What Not -- to Fear.
Updated: June 30, 2017Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market's Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize.
Updated: June 23, 2017The housing market is heating up -- again. Signs are appearing that are reminders of the previous housing boom. "Buyers are convinced values will only continue to climb ... ." Is the housing trend near a reversal?
Updated: June 19, 2017Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.
Updated: June 15, 2017On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.
Updated: June 12, 2017The head of credit research for a municipal-bond management firm just commented: "We haven't seen this in a modern state before." He was talking about Illinois' deep fiscal trouble. Look at the eye-brow-raising credit spread.
Updated: June 7, 2017In investing, one rule of thumb tells you that the higher the return, the higher the risk. Today, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone. We're sounding the alarm -- again.
Updated: June 6, 2017See 3 global market charts that answer the question, Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?
Updated: June 5, 2017The U.S. housing market has staged a significant rebound since prices bottomed in February 2012. Now, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?
Updated: June 2, 2017Critics say President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement dealt a setback to the global-warming cause. But, the evidence suggests that "global-warming fever" had already been cooling off. "Crowds often think their personal cause of the moment is a permanent issue. It almost never is."
Updated: May 26, 2017"The writing appears to be on the wall" for public pension plans -- and $3.6 trillion is on the line. Managers have been "embracing riskier assets and sweeping underfunded liabilities under the rug." Now, here's an update.
Updated: May 17, 2017Maxwell Edison may have majored in medicine, as the Beatles sang, but many of the "brainiacs" on Wall Street are hedge fund managers. Even so, their performance record at key market turns often leaves a lot to be desired. See this eye-opening bond market chart.
Updated: May 15, 2017A chief investment officer just told USA Today, "Listening to the 6 o'clock news gets investors off track." Find out why he made that statement. Plus, see what a "news-driven" and rational-reaction graph of stock prices would look like. (Hint: It's nothing you'd ever see in real life.)
Updated: May 5, 2017There's a sizeable gap between investor expectations and historical market returns. Chalk it up to ramped-up optimism and what psychologists call "information avoidance." Two surveys and one chart are revealing.
Updated: May 1, 2017NYSE margin debt levels reached records in the milestone market years of 2000 and 2007. But wait until you see what that level is now. Plus, find out how hedge funds are making matters even more precarious.
Updated: April 26, 2017If investors would only review the historical data, they would discover the sobering truth about news and the stock market. Do you believe a presidential assassination or a major terrorist attack would affect the market's trend? Find out what really happened.
Updated: April 25, 2017Our three recent Treasury Bond charts combine to show you trader sentiment, price action and important near-term turns and trends.
Updated: April 17, 2017Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."
Updated: April 13, 2017If you're a gambler or trader, you know what it means to "hedge your bet." It's how you offset your losses if you bet on the wrong horse, or on the wrong market position. Yet today, falling demand for equity hedges suggests an absence of fear among stock traders and investors. This chart shows you why.
Updated: April 11, 2017In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.
Updated: April 6, 2017Crude oil prices fell sharply on April 5. Analysts blamed the dip on a surprise jump in U.S. crude inventories. But take a look at this chart before you accept that explanation.
Updated: March 24, 2017You buy insurance for protection, but some insurance companies themselves might be at risk. You need to know which ones are safe. "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news.
Updated: March 23, 2017Two trader groups habitually on opposite sides of the market are at it again: See what past extremes say to the present trend.
Updated: March 17, 2017The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.
Updated: March 7, 2017The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.
Updated: February 21, 2017Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.
Updated: February 13, 2017Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.
Updated: January 20, 2017Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.
Updated: August 12, 2016Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.
Updated: July 26, 2016Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.
Updated: May 20, 2016On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.
Updated: January 15, 2016Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.
Updated: October 22, 2015Our Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy values the Wave Principle not only as an analytical tool, but also as a real-time trading tool. In this excerpt from the Best of Trader's Classroom eBook, he shows you how the Wave Principle's built-in rules can help you set your protective stops when trading.
Updated: February 10, 2014Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.
Updated:Learn how looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies, plus why Elliott Wave International believes the "Trump Bump" was in the cards LONG before Trump, and lastly, the BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now.
Updated:Our first feature today explores how to get a firm handle on gold's ups and downs. Then we answer an important question: When does a forecast become a trade? Lastly, we look at the storm brewing for U.S. tech startups.
Updated:Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Euro price action post-election: learn why "we expected that." Our friends at the Socionomics Institute explain why legal marijuana is just the tip of the iceberg.
Updated:Sentiment gets one-sided only at certain points in the markets' Elliott wave pattern. Learn what sentiment gauges are telling you about the market trend. Yield spreads widen for Illinois, Connecticut and New Jersey. Muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future. President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation. Learn how social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.
Updated:August was the worst month for the Dow in five years, yet many investors remain optimistic about stocks. If a bear market has started, history shows that many of these investors will hold all the way down. EWI correspondent Bob Stokes reports. Bob Stokes brings us our next report on the Fed. The only thing the Fed has to show for its purchase of $1.5 trillion worth of Treasuries (also known as QE) is a high-priced stock market. Now even that may be crumbling. And now the credibility of the central bank is on the line. Many energy market observers say "oversupply" explains oil's price plunge. Others blame the financial turmoil in China. However, we at Elliott Wave International see a rare trend at work that you need to know about. Our last report today also comes from correspondent Bob Stokes.
Updated:Enjoy this in-depth interview that I recorded with Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst.Take a listen to learn why Steve thinks Elliott wave analysis is so useful and practical.
Updated:Bob's first report takes a look at US Dollar. There was no shortage of U.S. dollar bears during the 2007 to 2009 financial crisis. But the greenback defied the negative sentiment and now trades near 100. Learn what could have helped you anticipate that sharp bounce. In this next feature, correspondent Bob Stokes reports on the CRB Index. As he explains, the downtrend in commodity prices was advertised in the chart pattern long before China's economic slowdown. And now, sentiment has reached a negative extreme. In finance, demand and price move in the same direction. This next report explains how applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake.
Updated:Today's episode starts off with an interview with Pete Kendall, the co-editor of the monthly Financial Forecast. Next you'll learn why ex-marines do well as investors and traders. The last feature is a conversation with Robert Kelley about stocks and several factors that are pointing to multi-year extremes.
Updated:As the amount of household debt rises, so does the risk of another financial crisis. Learn why the next debt implosion could be bigger than the one 10 years ago. Next up, our Currency Pro Service editor gives you his outlook for the dollar. Our last feature lays out evidence that shows economic news impacts the stock market less than you may think.
Updated:Learn why the recent price action in gold suggests to him that gold prices may be entering a risky period soon. Plus, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone and we're sounding the alarm. Lastly, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?