344 Results

Spain Divided: What Can the Stock Market Tell You About Europe's Secession Fever?

Updated: October 18, 2017

Catalonia declares and then suspends its independence from Spain. Agence France-Presse reports seven other European regions are "demanding more autonomy or even independence." How did Europe get here? And what's next? As this excerpt from the just-published book Socionomic Causality in Politics shows, just ask the stock market.

"Buy and Hold" ... and Investing is Easy

Updated: October 17, 2017

The words (and strategy) sound the safest at the end of every bull market...

Predicting Commodity Markets One Elliott Wave Pattern at a Time

Updated: October 16, 2017

In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to a decade low before pausing. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.

Stocks: See This "Stunning" Development with Money Managers

Updated: October 13, 2017

A group of stock market bears has just done an about-face. One of EWI's analysts describes the switch as "stunning." A chart helps to explain.

On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them

Updated: October 5, 2017

Most investors commit to the trend at the wrong time: when it's about to turn. Have we arrived "there" in stocks?

Dear Fundamental Analysis, I Think It's Time We See Other Forecasting Methods...

Updated: October 5, 2017

Back in mid-2016, sugar prices were orbiting a 4-year high -- and all fundamental signs pointed in one direction: UP. But instead, the market soured to a 2-year low, which is why it may be time to break up with popular financial wisdom...

What Happens When the Fed FINALLY Reduces Its $4.5 Trillion Balance Sheet?

Updated: October 4, 2017

The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT)...

Are U.S. Dollar Speculators Woefully Wrong -- Again?

Updated: October 4, 2017

Why do investors keep making the same mistakes -- i.e., buying at highs and selling at lows? The answer is that their psychology never changes. If you're an independent thinker, you can potentially benefit from this knowledge. Let's take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index.

IBM: Warren Buffett Vs. Elliott Wave Analysis

Updated: October 2, 2017

Many investors seek to mirror the trades of Warren Buffett. See how EWI analysts took the opposite side of a Buffet trade and how "Warren Buffett Versus the Wave Principle" has worked out so far.

Here's Why the Time to Worry About the "Fear Index" is NOW, Not Later

Updated: October 2, 2017

To adjust your portfolio after volatility begins dooms you to being too late. Waves of investor psychology on stock market charts give you better, early warnings.

Market Mythbusting

Updated: September 28, 2017

Think an expanding trade deficit is bearish for stocks? What about falling earnings? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust these market myths using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.

Look What's Fueling the ETF Boom -- and Why It's So Dangerous

Updated: September 27, 2017

The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned about this financially dangerous sign of " wild-eyed optimism" in June 2007, and the stock market went on to top some four months later. Now, in 2017, the same warning sign is appearing. Get the details you need to know.

Here's What Your Price Charts Are Hiding from You

Updated: September 27, 2017

See the advantage you get when you forecast the markets by ONLY looking at price charts.

What This Time-Tested Indicator Says About the Bull Market

Updated: September 25, 2017

You've probably seen the picture of the self-satisfied, rich man burning dollar bills to light a cigar. But, gold eating? The signs of excess are sending one clear message. Pay attention to this time-tested stock market indicator.

Why You Should Seek Financial Opportunity Beyond U.S. Shores

Updated: September 22, 2017

Investment opportunities can be found around the globe. But you must know where to look. See how one of EWI's global analysts spotted an important juncture in an index that has since risen nearly 30%.

U.S Dollar: Plenty of Optimists + Elliott Waves = Financial Opportunity

Updated: September 20, 2017

The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a steady slide since its January high, and one foreign exchange strategist expects the downward trend to continue. But financial markets often move in the opposite direction from the prevailing sentiment. See how this knowledge can help you seize opportunities that most others miss.

Amazon, Inc.: Seeing the Elliott Wave Pattern is Believing

Updated: September 20, 2017

When you look at price chart of Amazon, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN), what do you see? Well, according to the experts, you should see a healthy bull trend -- and, at the same time, a stock vulnerable to decline. Any questions? The good news is, we have the answers!

Technical Vs. Fundamental Analysis? The Winner is ...

Updated: September 15, 2017

Should investors base market decisions on fundamental or technical analysis? A study conducted by three finance professors remains relevant in 2017. The results may surprise you.

Orange Juice Prices: Remove the Hurricane Irma Goggles

Updated: September 13, 2017

Many experts said orange juice was the single-most "hurricane-hit" commodity, with prices soaring ahead of Irma. But we believe there's more to this market's price trend than weather.

The One Big Mistake That Most Stock Market Forecasters Make

Updated: September 13, 2017

There's a big reason why most stock market participants miss the major turns. Two charts provide you with valuable insights so you can avoid making the same big mistake. There's rarely been a more important time to anticipate the DJIA's next trend change.

Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks

Updated: September 12, 2017

Using the same market indicators everyone else uses can lead you to make the same mistakes everyone else makes. Here's a chart that proves the point -- you won't see this one elsewhere.

2017 Ends With "7": What That Might Mean for Stocks

Updated: September 11, 2017

In 1939, Edgar Lawrence Smith discussed the stock market's Decennial Pattern. It "has been remarkably useful." One of the aspects of the Decennial Pattern relates directly to 2017. Get the details.

Commodities: "Pictures Have Meaning"

Updated: September 8, 2017

In early 2011, our senior commodities analyst Jeffrey Kennedy saw a very bearish picture on the long-term price chart of the bellwether Continuous Commodity Index -- that of a mature Elliott wave "impulse." We're now in year six of the bear market that followed.

Commodities: The Road Less Traveled is the Way to Opportunity

Updated: September 6, 2017

In early 2014, lean hog prices stood at an all-time high amidst the most bullish fundamental backdrop in 30 years. And yet, prices got slaughtered in a 2-year long crash to 14-year lows. It's time to look beyond fundamentals to the other forces driving market trends.

This Indicators' 30-Year Track Record is Flashing Red for Stocks

Updated: September 6, 2017

For every $1 they hold in a money market, investors today hold $4.75 in equity funds. See for yourself if that's as crazy as it sounds.

Just in Time? "Tulip Mania" Blossoms Again

Updated: September 6, 2017

Historically, financially themed Hollywood productions have often coincided with trend changes in the DJIA. Now, a motion picture that is based on one of the biggest financial bubbles of all time has just opened at theaters. The movie tells a "financial story that's fascinating ... ."

Bitcoin's Surge Leaves Other Financial Bubbles "in the Dust"

Updated: September 1, 2017

EWI first discussed Bitcoin when the currency traded for pennies. The Bitcoin craze has since dwarfed that of Holland's Tulip Mania. Prepare now for some major "crypto-drama."

How Silver Surprised 91% of Traders

Updated: August 30, 2017

When sentiment toward a financial market grows one-sided, it's time to anticipate a trend change. See how EWI anticipated an upturn in silver prices when most traders were decidedly bearish. Take a look at these two charts ...

The Stock Market, Mood Swings, and Your Investments

Updated: August 30, 2017

Investor sentiment pursues the "hot opportunity." But history shows it's better to use sentiment as a contrary indicator.

The Shocking Truth About Most Investment Portfolios

Updated: August 23, 2017

Very few know what the back-offices of brokerage firms know: the real story of how brokerage clients make out in financial markets. The CEO of a brokerage firm once confided in us. Here is what we were told ...

2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why

Updated: August 23, 2017

See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.

If War Breaks Out, Will Stocks Crash?

Updated: August 14, 2017

Does the DJIA rise more often during times of war or peace? You might be surprised when you review these six charts.

This is Why Gold Was Set to Rally BEFORE North Korea Scare

Updated: August 10, 2017

The big flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and North Korea has dominated the news. And some financial observers are saying this is why gold's price has been rising. Yet, see how "seller exhaustion and a trend reversal" was indicated a month ago, suggesting a gold rally ahead.

Individual Investors Say, "Cash is Trash"... Again

Updated: August 4, 2017

Many investors are just as committed to the stock market as they were at the January 2000 top. The same patterns of investor psychology appear to repeat themselves. Take a look at these two charts.

This High Flier Soars with the Stock Market

Updated: August 2, 2017

A burst of technological innovations and rip-roaring bull markets tend to go hand-in-hand. Find out about one particular concept that "has a long history that lines up well with key junctures in stock prices."

Do Corporate Earnings Matter to the Stock Market?

Updated: July 28, 2017

The notion that "earnings drive stock prices" powers a lot of research on Wall Street. See a chart that torches this assumption.

How to Win Against the Dangerous "Herding Impulse"

Updated: July 26, 2017

We all love a bargain... except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. Learn how our mind works in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty -- and learn one way to deal with it.

Sugar Investors: "Desperately Seeking..." Clarity and Objectivity

Updated: July 25, 2017

Over the last two years, sugar prices have crashed… and spiked… and crashed, providing huge opportunities for investors and traders -- IF they stayed out in front of the dramatic turns, that is. Here's what might have helped them.

Stock Buybacks: "Staggering Waste of Company Cash"

Updated: July 24, 2017

The evidence shows that when corporate executives initiate buyback programs of shares, the decisions are usually not born from rational analysis. The share price performance of corporations which invested in their own shares might surprise you.

U.S. Housing: A Tell-Tale Warning Sign We've Seen Before

Updated: July 19, 2017

A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.

The Fed and Gold Prices: Don't Miss the "Invisible Gorilla"

Updated: July 17, 2017

Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.

Will FANG Take the First Big Bite Out of the Bull?

Updated: July 14, 2017

Stock market action in recent weeks suggests that the enthusiasm for the technology sector is simmering down. More than that, outright animosity is being directed toward some of technology's biggest names. Here's what we see down the road.

This is Why We're Skeptical of the FTSE Rally (Part 1)

Updated: July 13, 2017

Brian Whitmer tells you why you may not want to hang your hat on the latest rally in British stocks.

Bank of Canada Hike: Surprised? You shouldn't be.

Updated: July 13, 2017

Grabbing the headlines today is the Bank of Canada's first interest rate hike in seven years. Speculation amongst conventional economists has now turned to whether they will continue to hike rates. We have a simple answer to that question: watch the market.

The ETF Craze: Beware of These Potential Perils

Updated: July 12, 2017

There seems to be an exchange-traded fund for almost every investment niche. But, beware: some may not perform like you expect. Our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast offers a cautionary example.

Real Threats, Real Markets: GMP Preview Looks at "What to Fear"

Updated: July 7, 2017

Global market charts you won't see elsewhere show "What" -- and What Not -- to Fear.

This is Why Municipal Bonds Are No "Day at the Beach"

Updated: July 5, 2017

Even during a national economic expansion, many U.S. municipalities are financially troubled. "Two out of every three states took in less tax revenue than expected this year." This chart of muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future.

What the New Passive Investing Push Tells You

Updated: June 30, 2017

Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market's Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize.

You Asked. We Answered. (July 2017 "Video Mailbag" Episode.)

Updated: June 30, 2017

In our latest "Video Mailbag," Michael Madden, who forecasts cross rates for our Currency Pro Service, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.

Will Japanese Stocks Continue to Defy the Short-Sellers?

Updated: June 26, 2017

The patterns of investor psychology are the same the world over, and have repeated throughout financial history. Let's look at stocks in the U.S. and Japan, then and now, and see if we can find similarities.

How Applying "Cause and Effect" Ideas to the Stock Market Can Cost You

Updated: June 19, 2017

Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.

New Evidence that Oil Prices Follow the Elliott Wave Model

Updated: June 15, 2017

On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.

Gold Investors: It's Time You Knew the Truth About the Fed

Updated: June 14, 2017

June 14: Fed Day! It's supposedly the one day gold investors can clearly predict the precious metal's next move based on the Fed's hawkish or dovish tone. But history shows gold prices are NOT being led by the Fed at all.

Brazil's Stock Market Flips "Market Fundamentals" on Their Head

Updated: June 9, 2017

Mainstream financial wisdom tells you that negative news events and economic data cause stock prices to fall. But if that were true, then 2016 should've seen Brazil's stock market crash. Instead, it soared to a five-year high. There's only one explanation that makes sense.

Lean Hogs: "It's amazing what a month can do."

Updated: June 7, 2017

In late March, all fundamental signs in the market for lean hogs pointed in one clear direction: down. And yet, hog prices enjoyed a powerful rally to fresh contract highs. Find out the real story here!

Why Renewed Danger Lurks in the U.S. Leveraged Loan Market

Updated: June 7, 2017

In investing, one rule of thumb tells you that the higher the return, the higher the risk. Today, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone. We're sounding the alarm -- again.

GMP Preview: Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?

Updated: June 6, 2017

See 3 global market charts that answer the question, Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?

FAIL-outs! 7 Years and 4 Bailouts Have NOT Saved Greece's Stock Market

Updated: June 5, 2017

True or False: If the eurozone government and IMF start withholding their bailout payments to Greece, then Greek shares will fall. If you answered true, then this story is a must-read!

3 Ways the Elliott Wave Principle Enhances Your Trading

Updated: June 1, 2017

Learn about 3 practical benefits of trading with the Elliott Wave Principle.

A Solid-Gold Sign of Historic Financial Optimism

Updated: May 31, 2017

The demand for luxury tends to increase as a financial mania matures. One of the latest extravagant items weighs 33 pounds and is made of solid gold. Financial trend changes usually occur when they're least expected. Are you prepared?

Contracting Triangle: How This Bullish Forecast Worked Out

Updated: May 30, 2017

In 2016, the prevailing sentiment toward China's economy was negative. Yet, if investors had avoided China's internet sector, they would have missed a significant advance. The whole episode teaches a valuable lesson.

Public Pensions: "The writing appears on the wall"

Updated: May 26, 2017

"The writing appears to be on the wall" for public pension plans -- and $3.6 trillion is on the line. Managers have been "embracing riskier assets and sweeping underfunded liabilities under the rug." Now, here's an update.

You Asked. We Answered. (June 2017 "Video Mailbag" Episode.)

Updated: May 25, 2017

In our latest "Video Mailbag," Pete Kendall, the co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.

You Asked. We Answered. (June 2017 "Video Mailbag" Episode.)

Updated: May 25, 2017

In our latest "Video Mailbag," Pete Kendall, the co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.

What Trading Opportunities Does the Wave Principle Identify?

Updated: May 25, 2017

Learn how the Wave Principle helps you trade with the trend, which waves offer trade setups and how to "keep it simple" when using the Wave Principle.

"Stock Markets Have a Long History of Booming" After This

Updated: May 19, 2017

How could the attempted military coup in Turkey in July 2016 have possibly been a bullish sign for Turkish stocks? Get our insights -- and see two charts that show the price story.

Bonds: What Hedge Funds' "Record Reversal" Tells You

Updated: May 17, 2017

Maxwell Edison may have majored in medicine, as the Beatles sang, but many of the "brainiacs" on Wall Street are hedge fund managers. Even so, their performance record at key market turns often leaves a lot to be desired. See this eye-opening bond market chart.

How 'Startling Unexpected Headlines' Can Cost You BIG

Updated: May 15, 2017

A chief investment officer just told USA Today, "Listening to the 6 o'clock news gets investors off track." Find out why he made that statement. Plus, see what a "news-driven" and rational-reaction graph of stock prices would look like. (Hint: It's nothing you'd ever see in real life.)

Goldman Sachs Warns: Stock Market's Behavior is "Worrisome"

Updated: May 12, 2017

The CEO of a major Wall Street firm calls it "worrisome." A director of floor operations at the NYSE says it's "not normal." Find out why a volatility explosion might be just around the corner.

Commodities: The Kite of Opportunity is Flying High

Updated: May 10, 2017

At the start of 2017, the cards of "market fundamentals" were stacked in sugar's bullish favor. But instead of reclaiming the upside, prices soured in a 20% selloff to a one-year low in late April. Find out the unconventional reason why.

New Signs That the Glorious Era of ETFs is on Shaky Ground

Updated: May 8, 2017

There's an exchange-traded fund for almost every investment niche. Our analysts view the proliferation of ETFs as part of the entire derivatives boom. Here's how we believe ETFs will go down in history.

The Treacherous Psychology of Ramped-Up Investor Expectations

Updated: May 5, 2017

There's a sizeable gap between investor expectations and historical market returns. Chalk it up to ramped-up optimism and what psychologists call "information avoidance." Two surveys and one chart are revealing.

French Election: Socialism, Bull Markets, Bear Markets -- and Social Mood

Updated: May 5, 2017

Brian Whitmer discusses sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president.

Preview: The Coming Real Estate Trend and Turn?

Updated: May 4, 2017

Toronto is the 4th largest city in North America and anchors a greater metropolitan region of nine million -- more than a quarter of Canada's entire population. A city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States...

Fast Charts and World Markets: $18 TRILLION, A Bold Forecast, Inflation(?)

Updated: May 2, 2017

See our global market charts that cover $18 TRILLION, inflation(?), and a truly bold forecast.

A New, Scary Chapter in the Age-Old Story of Stock Market Leverage (A.K.A. "Debt")

Updated: May 1, 2017

NYSE margin debt levels reached records in the milestone market years of 2000 and 2007. But wait until you see what that level is now. Plus, find out how hedge funds are making matters even more precarious.

An Update on the Escalating "War on Cash"

Updated: April 28, 2017

Cash is the one asset that is almost sure to rise in value during a deflationary period. Yet, the "war on cash" has been escalating. Here's why you should start storing away plenty of cash.

A Sobering Look at "Market-Shattering Shocks"

Updated: April 26, 2017

If investors would only review the historical data, they would discover the sobering truth about news and the stock market. Do you believe a presidential assassination or a major terrorist attack would affect the market's trend? Find out what really happened.

Germany's Stock Market & the French Election

Updated: April 24, 2017

On April 24, Germany's DAX Index soared to a new, all-time high. Mainstream pundits say the April 23 outcome of the French Presidential Election lit the market's bullish fire. Here's our take on the rally.

European Credit Spreads Are Sending a Troubling Signal

Updated: April 19, 2017

Widening yield spreads mean investors are growing fearful about the future. In Europe, we're seeing bond market behavior that resembles what occurred before the credit crises in 2008, 2010 and 2012. Take a look at these two charts.

Why 90%+ of Active Stock Fund Managers Underperform the S&P 500

Updated: April 17, 2017

Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."

What to Make of the "Supreme Confidence in Financials"

Updated: April 11, 2017

In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.

Indian Rupee: Why Politics Matters Less Than You Might Think

Updated: April 10, 2017

An April 5 Bloomberg headline reads: "Rupee Rally Nobody Saw Coming Sees Strategists Play Catch Up." Yet, at least one analyst did. These two charts tell the story -- see them for yourself.

Chinese Yuan: The Trump-Xi Meeting Matters Less Than You Think

Updated: April 5, 2017

The next 48 hours are critical, say the experts. Nothing is as important for determining the Chinese yuan’s long-term trend as the April 6 meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. Or, is it?

"Saying Stocks Are Risky is an Understatement"

Updated: April 5, 2017

Almost everyone knows that stocks are risky. Yet, new evidence shows that stock picking is fraught with even more risk than many investors might realize. Let's look at the return profiles of individual stocks from a recent academic study.

You Asked. We Answered. (April Video "Mailbag" Episode.)

Updated: April 4, 2017

In our latest "Video Mailbag," Wayne Gorman, the head of our educational resources, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.

Why So Complacent? April Global Markets in Charts & Pictures

Updated: April 4, 2017

Going into April, too many world financial markets look too complacent. See the charts & pictures for yourself.

How the Average Annual Rate of Return Can Trip You Up

Updated: April 3, 2017

Would you invest in a fund with a guaranteed three-year average annual rate of return of 50%? The answer "yes" seems to be obvious. But let's take a closer look.

UK Stocks: How the Brexit Bombshell Failed to Go Off

Updated: March 30, 2017

In 2016, the only thing more certain than death and taxes was a post-Brexit crisis that would wreak havoc on UK stocks. And then, the unthinkable happened.  

What to Make of the Dow's Longest Losing Streak Since 2011

Updated: March 28, 2017

The DJIA just registered its longest losing streak in nearly six years. Yet, from Feb. 9 through Feb. 27, the index posted its longest winning streak since 1987. Our analysis of that winning streak reveals why we haven't been surprised by the DJIA's downturn.

Bond Traders And Sentiment Reversal: Here's What It Looks Like

Updated: March 23, 2017

Two trader groups habitually on opposite sides of the market are at it again: See what past extremes say to the present trend.

Are "Baby Boomers" Driving the Stock Market's Trend?

Updated: March 20, 2017

Some people believe that "baby boomers" are driving the stock market's trend. The thinking goes that this large demographic group is behind the bull market, and as they retire, a bear market will follow. This thesis seems logical, but let's look at the evidence.

Why the Fed's Rate Hike Means Nothing to the Stock Market

Updated: March 17, 2017

The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.

An Eye-Brow Raising Survey on Bull's 8th Anniversary

Updated: March 9, 2017

On March 9, 2017, the bull market marks its eighth anniversary. At the same time, one group of market participants are more bullish than they've been in decades. Are they right? The Wave Principle is helping our subscribers anticipate the next major trend change.

Preview: Four Charts in Action Reveal World Markets Now

Updated: March 8, 2017

Natural Gas - 3 degrees of trend for 2 months. "What's Next" for the U.S. Dollar Index. And, "Who's Excited" about consumer credit? See and hear about these topics and more, in our March preview of Global Market Perspective.

You Asked, We Answered in our Latest "Video Mailbag"

Updated: March 7, 2017

In our latest "Video Mailbag," two of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.

Why Do Stocks Rise and Fall? (Hint: It’s NOT the News!)

Updated: March 7, 2017

The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.

This Stock Market Indicator Jumps to "Levels Rarely Seen"

Updated: March 3, 2017

An interesting thing happened on the way to the Dow surpassing 21,000: Corporate insider selling jumped "to levels rarely seen." Moreover, it's not just a short-term trend. History shows why investors should be concerned.

JGB Yields: From ALL Time Low to 1-Year High

Updated: March 1, 2017

Back in July 2016, Japanese government bond (JGB) yields stood at their lowest levels ever amidst a supposed runaway "negative feedback loop." So, why then did the yields start rising to hit a one-year high in late January 2017? The answer might shock you.

Emerging Markets: How to Find Your Way (Focus: India's Sensex)

Updated: March 1, 2017

Yes, you can maintain your financial objectivity when others are losing it. For example, when fear was running rampant during the 2008 bear market, one Asian-Pacific analyst made a historic forecast for a huge rally. Here's how he did it. ...

A New "Twist and Turn" on the Big Bull Market

Updated: February 27, 2017

This market sentiment indicator has a reliable history that goes back nearly 200 years! It's sending a signal today that's as clear as it's ever been. We map that indicator out for you.

Natural Gas Bulls: Don't Blame Old Man Winter for Crashing Prices

Updated: February 22, 2017

Since soaring to a two-year high in late December, natural gas prices have sweated 35% in value. According to the experts, a record warm winter is to blame for the meltdown. See our charts and decide for yourself.

Want to "Get Ahead of the Game"? Try This.

Updated: February 22, 2017

Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources department, explains how Elliott waves help you get "ahead of the game."

This Sentiment Measure Nearly Matches October 2007

Updated: February 17, 2017

The DJIA has been on a winning streak with one all-time closing high after another. "Traders are convinced that market volatility will remain nonexistent." Our subscribers know better.

Investors Injured by Classic Inflation Hedges

Updated: February 8, 2017

In 2016, the U.S. inflation rate rose from 1.4% in January to 2.1% in December, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. So, how did classic inflation hedges perform? Let's take a look at two.

A Radical Re-Thinking of the U.S. Trade Deficit

Updated: February 7, 2017

News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.

3 Global Charts: Opportunities & Risks You Won't See Elsewhere

Updated: February 7, 2017

"Fears" of Inflation. What it looks like when mutual fund managers go "all in." Artificial Intelligence In Action. See and hear about these topics and more, in our February preview of Global Market Perspective.

Successful Investors: "Avoid the Fruit, Embrace the Spear"

Updated: February 6, 2017

Financial optimism has reached a new extreme. The impulse to herd is ever present, but there is a way to set yourself apart from the crowd.

Gold's Fate is NOT in the Hands of the Federal Reserve

Updated: February 3, 2017

According to mainstream financial wisdom, the Federal Reserve is to gold prices what Gepetto is to Pinocchio: If the Fed raises rates, gold prices fall. But one look at recent events proves the “nose” on this story is getting longer and longer!

You Asked. We Answered. (New Video "Mailbag" Episode.)

Updated: January 31, 2017

In our latest "Video Mailbag," three of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.

Corporate Insiders Are Scared. Should You Be, Too?

Updated: January 30, 2017

Despite the recent gains in their sector, the CEOs of major U.S. financial institutions have been selling their own stock. This should grab the attention of investors like you. Here's what we have found usually happens following big market decisions by corporate insiders.

Oprah's Weight Plunges -- and So Does WTW Stock

Updated: January 27, 2017

The bull market has given rise to the "equitizations of individuals." Individual brand names like Oprah and Trump represent wealth much like stocks and bonds. But historic extremes in such brand awareness might serve as a cautionary signal. Take note of the share price performance of Weight Watchers.

Japan: How the Unlikeliest of Bull Markets Came to Be

Updated: January 25, 2017

By 2012’s end, Japan’s stock market seemed to be locked in a bearish fundamentally-sound death-spiral with nowhere to go but down. And yet, prices embarked on a spectacular four-year long bull run to their highest level in 18 years. What gives?

Inflation: Here's What the Wrong-Way Bet Looks Like

Updated: January 24, 2017

Why focus on expectations of inflation? Because, those expectations are detached from reality. The inflated fear of inflation is a contrary signal. Investors are betting on the wrong 'Flation.

Deflation: A Sky-High View

Updated: January 20, 2017

Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.

See the Gold Forecast Many Have Missed

Updated: January 19, 2017

On Dec. 16, gold traders were more bearish on a longer-term basis than they were in July 1999, when the precious metal was at $252.15. That day, our Short Term Update said, "It's tough to lean against the crowd ... but that's exactly what our analysis suggests is proper at the current juncture." On Jan. 17, gold hit a 2-month high.

Practice, Practice, Practice Makes Perfect Elliott Wave Analysis

Updated: January 18, 2017

Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy tells you about the four key principles that'll help improve your Elliott wave skills.

Why You Should Be Cautious About Credit Ratings

Updated: January 17, 2017

If you count on standard credit rating agencies for timely warnings, you might find yourself "behind the 8-ball." Time and again, downgrades have occurred after the damage has already been done. Now is the time to protect your portfolio.

Europe's ETFs: The Real Reason for the Late 2016 Rally

Updated: January 12, 2017

In early December, two popular European exchange-traded funds, France's EWQ and Germany's EWG, had one thing in common: a bullish Elliott wave pattern called "ending diagonal" on their price charts. This is what happened next.

How to "Buy Low and Sell High" Like a Pro

Updated: January 12, 2017

The old Wall Street advice to "buy low and sell high" seems easier said than done. But there's a group of traders who consistently pull it off. Find out who they are and, more important, what makes them so different.

The Right and Wrong Way to Analyze the Markets

Updated: January 11, 2017

Bond market commentators are saying that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed programs are swaying the bond market. But a close examination reveals otherwise. We posit that there's a "wrong way" and a "right way" to analyze financial markets. Here's what we mean.

'Active' vs. 'Passive' Investing: And the Winner Is …

Updated: January 10, 2017

Why have an ever-greater number of U.S. investors entrusted their money, not to experts, but to the assumption that the stock market itself can just take care of their investment?

How Bond Investors Were Fooled Twice

Updated: January 9, 2017

Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.

GMP Trailer - What the Death of "Do It Yourself " looks like in U.S. Stocks, plus stops in China and Turkey

Updated: January 6, 2017

You can also see how our currency forecast came first, and the "Brexit surprise" came second. Plus, why central bank "Targets" amount to a chart of failure. Check it out.

Europe's Long-Bond Bonanza Goes Bust. Who Will Follow?

Updated: January 6, 2017

In early 2016, the global debt market embraced one of the most powerful “long-bond bonanzas” in recent history. By the end of the year, however, the stellar long-bond rally had completely reversed course. As our analysis shows, this turn of events was no accident. 

How Fibonacci Ratios Govern the Stock Market

Updated: December 29, 2016

The Fibonacci sequence provides the mathematical basis of the Wave Principle. The stock market's price pattern builds fractally into similar patterns of increasing size. Familiarity with these patterns can prove highly useful to investors.

Silver: What Happens When Most Traders Are "All-in"?

Updated: December 27, 2016

No trader wants to be "left behind" when a financial market takes off. But many traders jump aboard a trend just when it's on the cusp of a reversal. Silver is a case in point, for bull and bears.

European Stocks: The Real Reason for the "Santa Claus" Rally

Updated: December 22, 2016

On December 8, Germany's DAX Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 broke out of long-enduring holding patterns, embarking on a synchronized uptrend to new 2016 highs. According to the experts, the main catalyst for the markets' breakout was the ECB's pledge to keep the QE tap open. But there's a very big problem with this logic.

What Happened to Gold's "Disaster-Driven" Bull Market?

Updated: December 19, 2016

2016 has been a year of shocks. And for many gold bugs, that includes the unrelenting downtrend that gold prices have endured since June. According to the experts, gold was supposed to be soaring, not sputtering. So, what happened?

U.S. Public Pensions: In a "Downward Spiral"

Updated: December 12, 2016

Even as the Dow reaches an all-time high, the Dallas pension system is asking taxpayers for a bailout. U.S. public pension systems grapple with an accelerating downward spiral. Our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast notes that some are prime candidates for insolvency.

India's Stock Market: Nothing "Random" About It

Updated: December 6, 2016

Mainstream economic wisdom claims market trends move at random, with no clear structure or system in place to illuminate future price action. Well, if that were true, then how do you explain the last eight years in India’s Sensex?

New GMP Preview: 3 Killer Charts, 2 Fast Looks at Politics

Updated: December 5, 2016

Global Market Perspective (GMP) delivers monthly analysis and forecasts for the world's major financial markets, straight to your computer. Watch this preview of our December issue.

Violent Bond Selloff: An Eye-Opening Perspective

Updated: December 2, 2016

In the face of historic optimism, which attended the July high in 30-year Treasury bonds, our June Elliott Wave Theorist said, "Bonds are on their last leg." In November, global bond investors lost $1.7 trillion. Sentiment has shifted to deep pessimism toward bonds but keep an eye on the wave count.

A Legendary Analyst's Observation Speaks Volumes about This Market

Updated: November 28, 2016

As of Nov. 25, the Russell 2000 closed higher for 15 straight trading sessions. The late Paul Montgomery, a renowned observer of market behavior, made an observation about consecutive closing streaks that should be of high interest to every investor.

Why Crude Oil Investors Should Look Beyond Supply and Demand

Updated: November 22, 2016

On Nov. 21, U.S. crude spiked 4%. Not surprisingly, the financial press attributed the price rise to the possibility that OPEC will cut production. But, earlier in 2016, oil prices fell on similar news. Find out what really governs oil prices.

Why Investors Embrace Stocks When They Are Over-Valued

Updated: November 21, 2016

Investors shun stocks when they're cheap, but love them when they're over-valued. Financial herding occurs across all groups of investors, even among those who regularly advise against it. It's time to adopt another way of looking at the market.

Stock Market Highs & the Election Buried This HUGE Story

Updated: November 15, 2016

This massive move happened to the granddaddy of "safe," "stable securities." The bond market hasn't seen anything like it in decades. Yet the upheaval simply hasn't gotten the coverage you'd expect...

So Which Is It -- Is the Donald Good or Bad for Stocks?

Updated: November 14, 2016

Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Such blatant contradictions appear regularly in the media. Keep an eye on the market itself. The Dow's price pattern pointed to a new all-time high months before the election, and anticipates what's next.

Did U.S. Treasury Bonds Just Get Stumped by Trump?

Updated: November 9, 2016

On November 9, U.S. bond investors realized there's something worse than the uncertainty leading up to the 2016 presidential election; namely, the uncertainty following it! Is there a way to gain insight into the market's trend? Absolutely.

Debt Man’s Curve: This Is Where the Money Goes When Asset Values Fall

Updated: November 1, 2016

Yes the presidential election is crazy -- but no more crazy or unprecedented than the market behavior regarding Sovereign Debt...

Check Out this Explosive Setup in U.S. Treasury Bonds

Updated: October 28, 2016

The selloff in global bonds has been blamed on speculation that central banks will raise rates. Some observers point to economic data. Yet, we saw the handwriting on the wall four months ago. See how a combination of Elliott waves and sentiment measures can be highly useful to investors.

Here's Why Investors Should Ignore Earnings Season

Updated: October 24, 2016

The bedrock belief that earnings drive stock prices permeates Wall Street. About a third of S&P companies report this week, and investors are watching. But have they bothered to investigate the evidence about earnings and stocks? We have.

What If Donald Trump Were the Incumbent in the 2016 Race?

Updated: October 20, 2016

Yes, this is a thought experiment. But it draws on 250-plus years of American history -- namely the stock market from 1760 to 2012.

Stocks and Complacency: An Explosive Combination

Updated: October 18, 2016

Except for a couple of turbulent days in early September, this fall season has so far been as uneventful for the markets as this past summer was. But that's likely to change.

A Fascinating Link Between Bull Markets and Invention

Updated: October 17, 2016

Stock market price trends tell you much more than if portfolios are gaining or losing value. They give you a good idea of what to expect in society at large. For example, stocks lead the economy. Stocks lead movie productions. Stocks even lead inventors to invent.

These 2 Debt Instruments Pose Peril to Millions of Investors

Updated: October 12, 2016

In a throwback to the last credit mania, bond buyers are once again embracing high risk in their search for yield. Beware of these two debt instruments.

Sentiment in Asia: Seemingly One-Sided

Updated: October 10, 2016

Mark Galasiewski talks about the increasing negative sentiment in the Asian-Pacific region and explains why all of the resulting events have great significance for financial trends in the region.

An Uncommon Pattern is Being Traced Out in U.S. Stocks

Updated: October 6, 2016

The co-editor of the U.S. section of our Global Market Perspective sat down to explain why this uncommon pattern in the Dow fits with the overall long-term picture in the stock market.

Gold: Here's What Caused the Oct. 4 Crash

Updated: October 6, 2016

On October 4, gold prices crashed $40-plus per ounce in their steepest single-day drop in three years. Many cited "hawkish" Fed comments for pulling the rug out from under gold. But that only explains the metal's fall after the fact. What really happened?

"The Waves of War"

Updated: October 5, 2016

Could you look at the stock market of a country in South Asia and trace any connection -- and maybe even make a forecast -- for military conflicts in the same region? Turns out, yes.

It's Official: Deutsche Bank Crisis Has Been "Officially Denied"

Updated: October 4, 2016

The German government itself has been forced to deny making a plan to bail out Deutsche Bank. This prompted our analyst to note that, "Like most of the great banking crises of the past, we can finally list this one as official, because it has been officially denied."

Symptoms Mount for a Break in Technology Fever

Updated: October 3, 2016

Most people are in love with technology. Tesla Motors and its leader Elon Musk have been prime symbols of this adoration. We take a broad view of technology and find a repetition that should interest every investor.

These Big Banks are at Big Risk, and Your Small Bank Could be Next

Updated: September 30, 2016

The world's financial system appears to again be at risk. Big trouble is brewing at big banks. Hedge funds are pulling billions of dollars from a financial giant the IMF calls the world's riskiest bank. Get financially safe now.

Fighting Deflation with More Deflation Wont Work

Updated: September 27, 2016

In this interview, learn why Pete Kendall, co-editor of the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, believes deflation is a global phenomena.

This Chart Shows a Dangerous Divergence in U.S. Stocks

Updated: September 26, 2016

Small investors have grown apathetic toward the stock market. On the other hand, institutional investors like hedge funds are extremely bullish. There's a parallel in market history.

Are You Ready to "Lose Money SAFELY"?

Updated: September 23, 2016

Today, there are over 10 trillion dollars' worth of so-called negative yield bonds in the world. These bonds don't pay you a dime; no -- you, the buyer, pay the issuer. In other words, with a negative yield bond, you are guaranteed to lose money. Crazy? You could say that again. But, because bonds are "guaranteed investments," there is one interesting caveat...

Using Elliott Waves: As Simple As A-B-C

Updated: September 23, 2016

Recognizable patterns unfold in the financial markets. Using Elliott waves, you can learn to identify these patterns and use them to anticipate where prices will go next. Get started with a basic understanding of the Wave Principle.

Bulls vs. Bears: A War Rages in Real Estate

Updated: September 21, 2016

A battle between bull and bear market forces is being fought in the U.S. housing market. On the one hand, millennials are living with their parents longer. On the other, one Connecticut estate aims to become the most expensive residential property in the nation. A victor between bull and bear impulses will eventually emerge.

The Fed Follows the Market Then. And Then. And Now.

Updated: September 20, 2016

Most economists and most of Wall Street and most of the financial media believe that central banks set interest rates. Problem is, that notion is incorrect. And all the relevant evidence shows that it's incorrect...

Why the Fed's Rate Decisions Are Irrelevant

Updated: September 19, 2016

Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.

Dow Back Near All-Time Highs, Stimulus Junkies Flock

Updated: September 13, 2016

When a topic seems to be driving a lot of media chatter, you can quantify it to see if something more than chatter is at work. Case in point: 'Fiscal Stimulus.' Which, it turns out, is quantifiable indeed...

The Real Reason Stocks Just Turned Volatile

Updated: September 12, 2016

Knowledge of classic chart patterns can be of enormous value to you. For example, a contracting diagonal takes a wedge shape within two converging lines, and is the most common form for an ending diagonal. This knowledge helped us anticipate Sept. 9's stock market volatility, even though the market had traded sideways for most of the summer.

How to Use Sentiment to Identify Market Extremes and Looming Reversals

Updated: September 9, 2016

In this new clip from Steve Hochberg's presentation at the 2016 San Francisco MoneyShow, you'll see how the extreme sentiment surrounding gold helped him anticipate its looming reversal.

Why We're Bullish on Japan -- and Abe's Stimulus Package Has Nothing to Do with It

Updated: September 9, 2016

In late July, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a massive, $267 billion stimulus package -- the largest of the prior 23 years, if you don’t count the one during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. While most investors are wondering whether the stimulus this time will be effective, our analysis gives you a completely different perspective on the announcement.

Public Pension Costs Swell After A Decade of Market Busts

Updated: September 7, 2016

Why are governments paying into public pensions? Why is the rate of increase in government payments so much greater? This chart speaks to the health of public pension funds. In a word, that health issue is "underfunded."

The Crash of Icahn Enterprises, and How One Magazine Marked the Top

Updated: September 2, 2016

The late Paul Montgomery, the originator of the magazine cover indicator, said that when a financial trend makes the cover of a general-interest magazine like Time or Newsweek, the trend is close to a reversal. See how this time-tested indicator helped us to spot the top in Icahn Enterprises.

The Dow's Price Pattern at 3 Degrees of Trend

Updated: August 30, 2016

August 15th saw prices reach an all-time high in the Dow. Yet, the Elliott wave pattern we're following suggests something else was also at work: Namely, a near-term peak at 3 degrees of trend.

Before Airbus Soared, it Crashed: Time to Check the Horizon Again 

Updated: August 29, 2016

Times are turbulent for the world's largest passenger airliner, the Airbus A380. Orders for the superjumbo jet are drying up. Airbus's share price has a history of outpacing declines in the broader market. Read this analysis from our Global Market Perspective. 

These 5 Tips Are Critical for Successful Traders

Updated: August 17, 2016

EWI's CEO Robert Prechter offers visitors his classic report. No purchase necessary.

Two Driverless Car Investments Show Bullish Price Patterns

Updated: August 17, 2016

Your next car might drive itself. Advanced computer chips, software and sensors make this possible. These two driverless companies flash bullish wave patterns. Our analyst says hop on board now.

Stocks: Several Factors Are Pointing to Multi-Year Extremes

Updated: August 16, 2016

Robert Kelley tells you how he uses divergences between related markets -- and what they're telling him now about the markets he follows.

Does This Chart Say Real Estate "Boom"?

Updated: August 16, 2016

Recent headlines say the housing market is "booming." There's no support for that claim in the trend of homeownership. (1:48)

Easy Money?

Updated: August 16, 2016

House flipping was wildly popular during the mid-00s.The market crashed, and so did the flippers, just as we warned. Many were ruined. Now, flipping is making a big comeback. How safe is it?

How to Quickly Spot Common Fibonacci Ratios on a Chart

Updated: August 12, 2016

Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.

Why the Search for Stock Market "Catalysts" is Futile

Updated: August 8, 2016

Financial reporters seek a "cause and effect" to explain the stock market's action on a given day. For example, Aug. 5 headlines said the strong jobs report triggered the session's rally. Seems logical, but on May 6, stocks also rallied when the jobs number disappointed. The Wave Principle offers a valuable alternative to looking for market "catalysts."

The REALLY Big Myth About Earnings

Updated: July 26, 2016

Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.

Every Financial Crash Has Had This Setup

Updated: July 22, 2016

Every financial crash has been preceded by the same setup: an unsustainable build-up of credit. Rising rates will mean corporations will have a difficult time servicing their debt. An inevitable day of reckoning will follow. This chart serves as a warning.

Why the Political Party in the White House Is Irrelevant to the Stock Market

Updated: July 18, 2016

Wall Street pundits have called the 2016 presidential election the most important of their lifetimes. Yet our data shows the party in control of the White House makes no discernible difference to the stock market's trend. So what gives? Take a look at a revealing chart from our research about political parties and the stock market.

These Technical Indicators Forecast the Dow High

Updated: July 18, 2016

The Wave Principle and other technical indicators helped investors prepare for new all-time highs. See how.

Should You Leave Stock Picking to the Pros?

Updated: July 15, 2016

Actively managed mutual funds generally charge higher fees than passive index funds. Shareholders pay for the fund manager's supposed stock-picking skills. Find out why many investors are often disappointed, and especially so through the first half of 2016.

Case Study: Successfully Forecasting Crude Oil from 2014 to Today

Updated: July 14, 2016

The facts and evidence are clear: When emotions run high, Elliott waves are at their best. Case in point: Crude oil from 2014 to today. See Prechter's mind-boggling chart and forecast for yourself.

See How Elliott Waves Called for DJIA's New High... 10 Months Ago

Updated: July 13, 2016

Elliott wave-minded investors must be adaptable to a changing market environment in order to be successful. Deductive reasoning is the best approach. See how Elliott waves and supporting technical evidence helped us stay on track with a bullish forecast for the DJIA.

U.S. Dollar: a Brexit Safe Haven?

Updated: July 11, 2016

The U.S. dollar surged in the wake of Britain's decision to leave the European Union. But the greenback's upward trend started several weeks before the June 23 vote. See how the Wave Principle can help you spot trend turns, even when professional speculators are betting the other way.

India's Banks: Can Bad News Be Bullish?

Updated: July 7, 2016

Albert Einstein's observation that opportunity lies within every difficulty often applies to financial markets. When the fundamentals are at their worst, most investors flee. But they run away from the beginnings of potentially rewarding trends. See what the Wave Principle reveals about an important emerging market sector.

High Ho Silver! Prices Surge to 2-Year High

Updated: July 7, 2016

From June 23 to July 4, silver prices exploded upwards, soaring 16% to a two-year high. According to the mainstream experts, the Brexit vote was a main catalyst for the white metal's winning streak. But there's much more to this story that they aren't saying.

July 5: (Financial) Independence Day

Updated: July 5, 2016

It's been a summer of discontent for Europe's stock markets, as the upside seems lined with banana peels; or rather, Bre-nana peels! Say many, the fuel for Europe's sell-off is Brexit. But our records show otherwise: the makings of the downtrend were in place months before the U.K. decided to leave the European Union. 

Why Stock Market Investors Should Expect the Unexpected

Updated: July 5, 2016

Many investors are baffled when the stock market declines after what appears to be good news or rallies after an external shock. But events do not govern the market's trend. Find out how the Wave Principle helps you to anticipate the unexpected.

Elliott Wave Analysis Shines a Light on the Most Secretive of Stocks

Updated: June 29, 2016

In 2010, Japan's No. 1 robotics maker, Fanuc Ltd., was set to embark on a five-year long bull run to all-time highs. Investors in the company's stock, however, had no access behind Fanuc's curtain of secrecy. They did, however, have access to a bullish Elliott wave pattern on its price chart. 

Are You Properly Positioned to Conquer the Crash?

Updated: June 27, 2016

The stock market moves with lightning speed when fear grips the minds of investors. On June 24, the Dow saw its eighth-largest point loss ever. Is the wave of financial optimism that started in 2009 over? A "must read" book tells you how to get financially safe.

EWI's Hochberg: "The Trend is Set" -- And What You Should Pay Attention to Next

Updated: June 24, 2016

Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall discuss what the Brexit vote represents -- and its implications for the world markets and economies.

Gold's 2016 Rally Defies Fundamental Logic

Updated: June 20, 2016

In December 2015, the fundamental experts gave gold's future two, enthusiastic thumbs-down. And yet, from a six-year low, gold prices turned up, rallying 20% to a 22-month high this June. Turns out, there's more to this market than meets the fundamental eye.

Brexit: "The Vote Heard Around the World"

Updated: June 17, 2016

"Is it true that Britain's vote to leave the European Union will cause upheaval in the financial markets?" You may be wondering the same thing. That's why we've put together this new free report, "How to Invest for Brexit," featuring EWI Chief European Market Analyst Brian Whitmer.

GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 2)

Updated: June 17, 2016

In part two of this essay, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explains how to think of the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.

Indian Stocks: It's Important to Look at Sector Performance

Updated: June 16, 2016

Mark Galasiewski tells you how his analysis of Indian stocks differs from the way he looks at other markets.

Emerging Markets: Why You Need to Look at Stocks Country-by-Country

Updated: June 15, 2016

Mark Galasiewski tells you what helps him keep an eye on all markets across the Asia-Pacific region at the same time.

Why Most Investors Eventually Lose Their Shirts

Updated: June 13, 2016

Most investors are too embarrassed to tell the truth: They consistently lose money in financial markets. Even during a bull market, the median household saw their retirement wealth decline by 13%. The observations of a stock broker more than 100 years ago are revealing.

Reviewing the Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle: The Triangle

Updated: June 10, 2016

Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom in which he teaches you the basics of the triangle, a sideways correction, and shows an example in the chart of Pfizer, Inc. (PFE).

Commodity Investors: It's Time to Look Beyond the Fed

Updated: June 9, 2016

Since plummeting to the abyss of a 13-year low in January, the Bloomberg Commodity Index rocketed 21% to enter official "bull market" territory on June 6. Some say the Fed's ongoing commitment to ultra-low interest rates is feeding the sector's fire. But there's a whole lot more to this new "bull" run than meets the eye.

What Investors Need to Know About the Robot Revolution

Updated: June 7, 2016

The era of the industrial robot has arrived, and our Global Market Perspective pinpoints opportunities. The share price of Fanuc Corp. tripled after our analyst identified the early stages of a fifth-wave thrust. More recently, the robot revolution has taken a breather. Expand your investment horizon now.  

A Word About Today's Money Masters

Updated: May 26, 2016

Most investors herd. Hence, most investors lose, including the smartest. The May Elliott Wave Theorist says, "To win, you have to do the opposite of what's natural."

4 Shocking Truths About Earnings Season

Updated: May 26, 2016

How much faith to you put in a company's earnings data to gauge its future growth potential? Well, we have four shocking truths about the real value of earnings that will radically change the way you see this time-honored measure.

Gold Prices: Summer Doldrums Ahead?

Updated: May 24, 2016

On May 4, we were right alongside the mainstream experts with a bullish outlook on gold -- save for one "critical" difference. Our analysis identified a critical support level that, if breached, would tilt the odds in favor of a major decline. And that has made all the difference.

Reviewing the Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle: The Zigzag

Updated: May 24, 2016

Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the zigzag.

EURUSD: The Fed is NOT Your Friend

Updated: May 20, 2016

On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.

Analyst or Trader: Which Hat Are You Wearing?

Updated: May 18, 2016

Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy explains the importance of knowing the right questions to ask when looking at the market as an analyst vs. a trader.

One Elliott Wave Pattern That's Truly Worth the Wait

Updated: May 18, 2016

Sometimes it's hard to get excited about sideways movement on a market's price chart. Like, say, the four-month long sideways crawl in sugar prices from October 2015 to January 2016. But from an Elliott wave standpoint, this kind of "holding pattern" is often cause for the greatest excitement.

How Elliott Waves Save You from Trading Mistakes

Updated: May 17, 2016

Wave analysis works by helping you track the market's psychology. Of course, not every Elliott wave forecast works out. Yet, even then Elliott waves give you the exact price points to watch; if the price breaks any of them, you'll know it may be time to get out. "Cut your losses short," remember? Elliott waves help you do just that. Let's look at a fresh example.

A Record Collapse of Corporate Mergers: Get Ready for What's Next

Updated: May 16, 2016

Financial history shows that peaks in corporate mergers generally occur prior to major bear markets. With that in mind, consider that 2015 saw a record amount of money spent on mergers. But, since then, a shift has occurred. Is financial history set to repeat?

UK Stock Market: 17 Years Later... and 400 Points LOWER?

Updated: May 12, 2016

Without question, over the past five years U.K. shares have been among the strongest equity performers, with the FTSE 100 recently rocketing above the 7000-point mark for the first ever in April 2015. But the "great bull market" isn't actually as great as it seems.

Oil Prices Rise on Alberta Wildfire... Oil Prices FALL on Alberta Wildfire?

Updated: May 10, 2016

On May 9, crude oil prices rose 2% in the morning, only to turn down and plunge 3% in the afternoon. The reason for BOTH moves, said the experts, was Canada's wildfires. The lesson here is one you'll never want to forget.

Malaise for Malaysia's Stock Market: Just the Beginning?

Updated: May 5, 2016

On May 5, Malaysia's Kuala Lumpur Composite Index slipped to a two-month low. The mainstream experts cited negative economic data in China as the root cause for the rout. Sounds perfectly logical... at first read.  

Tips for Identifying Elliott Waves on Your Charts

Updated: May 4, 2016

Seasoned instructor Jeffrey Kennedy has been teaching the Elliott Wave Principle for more than a decade. Watch his simple tips to help you get started with Elliott waves.

What Drives Trend Changes: Weather Patterns -- or Elliott Wave Patterns?

Updated: May 4, 2016

Yes, major weather events can temporarily alter prices. But ultimately, they will go back to resume their natural course. Take, for example, the recent performance by soybean futures.

Investors Are Sent a Furry Hint

Updated: May 4, 2016

John Jacob Astor has been called "America's first multi-millionaire," and he made a brilliant financial move that may interest investors. Today's luxury market appears to be in trouble. Take a look at this chart.

Reviewing the Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle: The Ending Diagonal

Updated: May 3, 2016

Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the ending diagonal.

Why Crude Oil at $46 Is Not a Surprise

Updated: April 28, 2016

On April 27, the World Bank Group upwardly revised its annual forecast for crude oil prices -- after oil had risen 77% from this winter's lows. As for seeing oil's rally in advance -- well, that's a different story. One worth reading now...

Reviewing the Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle: The Impulse Wave

Updated: April 28, 2016

Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the impulse wave.

The Key to Copper Prices: Supply, Demand... or Something Else?

Updated: April 27, 2016

On April 11, copper prices took step one of a powerful rally that launched the red metal to one-month highs -- despite a raft of bearish data that pointed the market in the opposite direction. Makes you think something else is at work!

Pensions Axed: Are Your Retirement Funds Next?

Updated: April 25, 2016

A big percentage of pension benefits go poof! Workers protest to no avail. The government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation is broke. Take the steps to secure your retirement now.

Crude Oil: How Elliott Waves Prepare You for Trend Changes

Updated: April 21, 2016

"The trend is your friend," goes the old trading adage -- but what if the trend is about to end as you're "befriending" it? Elliott wave analysis is uniquely positioned to give you ample warning when that happens -- watch.

Crude Oil: Warmer... Warmer... Hot!

Updated: April 21, 2016

On April 18, crude oil took step one of a powerful rally that rocketed prices to new highs for 2016 -- despite one of the most bearish fundamental news events in oil's recent history. What gives?

Are Wheat Bears Set to Meet their Maker?

Updated: April 18, 2016

In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to the decade lows we see today. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.

Woe-Mart: The Retail Giant Walmart Has Faltered

Updated: April 13, 2016

Over the last year, Walmart has gone from retail victor to re-FAIL victim of falling sales growth, store closures, layoffs, and on. Who's to blame for Walmart's reversal of fortune? Hint: It's not the strong dollar. It's deflation. 

Spotting Opportunities in Emerging Markets with Bad Fundamentals

Updated: April 5, 2016

With the help of the Wave Principle, you can spot investment opportunities when the fundamentals are at their worst. Emerging markets are a good example. Review this chart and commentary from our Global Market Perspective.

U.S. Housing Market: Should You Rent or Buy?

Updated: April 4, 2016

Housing market analysts expect prices to climb again in 2016. But one EWI subscriber expresses caution. Learn what he just told The New York Times.

USDCAD: There's Nothing "Loony" About Price Action

Updated: March 31, 2016

Between mid-January and March 31, the Canadian dollar (nicknamed "loonie") went from a near record low -- to a five-month high. The currency's dramatic performance may seem "loony," but in fact, it's just what the Elliott wave script called for.

Use the News to "Test" Your Own Analysis

Updated: March 30, 2016

Does the news move the markets? New insights from Chris Carolan explain why it's a mistaken notion.

Gold's Near-Term Trend: "X" Marks the Spot

Updated: March 24, 2016

On March 10, gold prices turned down from a 13-month high to embark on the 11-session sell-off we see today. The problem is, the metal's downtrend fits nowhere into the mainstream picture. It does, however, fit into the Elliott wave one. 

Why Can't the Fed "Move" Commodities?

Updated: March 23, 2016

According to mainstream wisdom, commodity prices revolve around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. But historical evidence proves there's a much larger force at the center of the commodity universe.

Basic Tenets of the Elliott Wave Principle

Updated: March 23, 2016

In 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis called the Wave Principle. Here's a quick introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle.

Gold: Why You Should Pay Attention to "Extreme Opinions"

Updated: March 22, 2016

Gold has been hailed as "the biggest story of this year" lately. And to think that just in December, pundits were saying that gold had "lost its luster"! How did the mainstream miss this sleeper opportunity? This video gives you an answer.

"Fed" Up with Crude Oil?

Updated: March 18, 2016

This St. Patrick's Day, some crude oil investors and traders may not be feeling lucky, as they've been pulled all over the map this week by none other than the "fundamentals," which are supposed to keep them on the straight and narrow.

Elliott Wave Analysis Pairs with Fibonacci Perfectly

Updated: March 16, 2016

Using Fibonacci calculations helps you identify high-probability price targets and trade setups. In this new interview with our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy, you'll learn how Fibonacci pairs perfectly with Elliott wave analysis. Watch now.

Pinpoint Where You're Wrong

Updated: March 15, 2016

The Wave Principle is the only technical analysis tool that lets you know exactly where you're wrong. Our senior instructor Jeffrey Kennedy explains this important benefit of Elliott wave analysis -- watch.

Q&A: Nerissa Brown Studies the Herd on the Street

Updated: March 12, 2016

University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.

The Top 5 Mistakes Traders And Investors Make

Updated: March 9, 2016

Wondering "What did I do wrong?" Discover if you're making one of these common mistakes.

How Deflation is Winning in 2016

Updated: March 4, 2016

It's been over 80 years since the world plunged into a devastating deflation. Now, an entire lifetime later, the evidence for this rare event is appearing again. Look at these two charts.

Soybean Prices and the Giant "Gorilla Experiment"

Updated: March 4, 2016

Back in 2012, all the fundamental signs pointed UP in soybeans. But instead, bean prices turned down, plummeting 50%-plus in the multi-year bear market we see today. Here are some signs to help you spot the next big trend change.

Natural Gas: Harness the Volatility

Updated: March 2, 2016

The three-month long roller-coaster ride in natural gas has been epic: First, prices plunged to a 17-year low in late December, then less than one month later, they soared 50% into early January before turning back down. Now it's time to harness that volatility.

Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks Signal Major Market Reversal

Updated: March 1, 2016

In the May 2008 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, we cited a sudden loss of enthusiasm for company buybacks as another component of a major market reversal.

European Banks: Defaults Are Inevitable

Updated: February 29, 2016

Brian Whitmer explains why the elevated state of investor optimism will ultimately lead many European banks to default.

A Disturbing Global Shift Toward Financial Conservatism

Updated: February 25, 2016

The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast has been tracking a steady global shift to greater financial conservatism over the last several months.

The Latest Shot Fired in the War on Cash

Updated: February 24, 2016

Some financial authorities want to take away your cash. Now is the time to find a safe place to store your greenbacks. See a chart that shows how "deflation is winning."

Crude Oil: Put Volatility on Your Side

Updated: February 19, 2016

All eyes were on the much-anticipated OPEC oil production freeze this week. And yet, somehow, crude oil prices themselves had two very different reactions to news of the output halt? Read on!

Housing: At the Edge of Another Huge Cliff?

Updated: February 18, 2016

Real estate agents say that today's near-record low mortgage rates means it's a good time to buy a house. But is it? See a chart that debunks a common belief about housing prices, and learn about warning signs that are reminders of the 2006 housing bubble.

China: Why Currency Devaluation is Doomed to Fail

Updated: February 17, 2016

Rather than revive demand for Chinese exports, the August 11, 2015 devaluation of China's currency has fueled a capital flight by China's own citizens and businesses. The practice is called "smurfing," and here's why...

You Saw It Here First: Gold as a "Fear Hedge" is a Myth

Updated: February 16, 2016

It's been conventional wisdom for decades: Gold is a "fear hedge." And yet, like many other market myths we've written about, this one is also just that -- a myth. Look at this chart, decide for yourself.

Are the World's Rich and Powerful Right About Emerging Markets?

Updated: February 16, 2016

Global political leaders and CEOs of major companies have a privileged perspective on the world. But even they can steer investors in the wrong direction. Right now, emerging markets appear ripe with opportunity, contrary to the "experts'" forecasts. Take a look at these two charts.

Gold: See 2 Factors that Warned of the Rally a Month Ago

Updated: February 11, 2016

It's tempting to say that gold is up 16% YTD "as investors are seeking a safe haven." Problem is, this (very logical) explanation tells you little about where gold might go tomorrow. Elliott wave analysis, on the other hand, does.

Gold Rally Defies Bearish Money Managers

Updated: February 11, 2016

Professional investors made a huge bet against gold in December. We took the opposite stance. Money managers are now licking their wounds. The price of the yellow metal has climbed north of 22%. Position your portfolio for gold's next big move.

Stocks and Oil: No Longer "A Couple"?

Updated: February 10, 2016

It's a bit like watching Old Faithful fail to erupt when it should: To see a market "correlation" become disconnected can be unsettling. For weeks the media has looked at oil prices to forecast stocks. But Tuesday morning (Feb. 9) a CNBC headline said this...

Can the Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%?

Updated: February 9, 2016

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold Jumps 2% -- and Probably Has More to Go

Updated: February 8, 2016

On Feb. 8, U.S. and global stocks had a rough day. And what, says the conventional wisdom, "reliably" goes up when markets are "uncertain"? That's right: gold. But here's something you should know...

Eurozone's Newest Lending Fad: Say Cheese!

Updated: February 8, 2016

Food for thought: "Fed up with banks' reluctance to lend," one of Italy's most prominent dairy co-ops has raised 6 million euros via bonds backed by cheese! It's a little funny at first read. But the larger issue here is actually quite serious.

Bond Traders Telegraph a Message About 30-Year Treasuries

Updated: February 8, 2016

Financial markets have a way of turning just when the majority of investors are convinced that the established trend will continue. But make sure a market's chart pattern also supports a turn. This market appears ripe with opportunity.

2016 Will Surprise Commodity Traders & Investors

Updated: February 5, 2016

Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of Commodity Junctures, puts the 2015 decline in commodities into perspective in terms of the larger trend.

Robert Prechter: 'This Kind of Causality Doesn't Work'

Updated: February 2, 2016

In this 4-minute video clip, from Robert Prechter's brand-new video presentation, Prechter offers a whole new perspective on financial causality -- a perspective that allows you to anticipate, understand and act on developing financial trends that nearly all other investors and social forecasters fail to see coming. 

Pot Sales Are Smoking!

Updated: February 1, 2016

How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics

Japan: Negative Rates Redux

Updated: January 29, 2016

On January 29, the Bank of Japan slashed interest rates into negative territory in hopes of fending off further economic weakness. History shows, however, the "free money" policy is futile against the "immutable" forces of finance.

Why You Should Take a Close Look at India Now

Updated: January 29, 2016

India is often ignored in the U.S. financial media. But investors should pay close attention. Indian equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the years. And, now, opportunity appears to beckon again.

Does the Fed Drive the Price of Gold?

Updated: January 29, 2016

The conventional wisdom says that the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged triggered a jump in gold to a 12-week high. But does the central bank's policy really drive the price of gold? See how the Wave Principle helps us to forecast gold.

Why Are Crude Oil Prices Up 33% in One Week?

Updated: January 29, 2016

Most analysts say the same thing: Oil is higher in reaction to the news. Sounds reasonable... but what if someone told you there was a way to forecast this rally before the news -- or even without any news?

A Day in the Life of a Stock Market Investor (from Outer Space)

Updated: January 27, 2016

Let's say you're an alien sent to this planet to study human behavior. Your task: the stock market as a mirror or human collective psychology. Millions of humans invest in it. Can you learn something by watching them put their money in a collective pot? Oh yes.

Do Oil Prices Govern Stock Prices?

Updated: January 26, 2016

You've probably noticed that lately, oil and stocks have been moving in unison -- so much so that today, people say that cheap oil is bearish for stocks, and higher oil prices are bullish. But do you remember that not that long ago, they said precisely the opposite?

The Oil Bust: Why More Tears Will Fill Those Beers

Updated: January 22, 2016

Crude oil's long-term Elliott wave count anticipated a dramatic price slide. Workers for energy companies grapple with the consequences. The deflationary trend has only started.

Crystal-Clear Wave Pattern in Indian Stocks

Updated: January 22, 2016

On January 21, editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, Mark Galasiewski, gave a new interview to CNBC TV18 in India -- to discuss an imminent opportunity that may be ripe for their picking. Learn what it is now.

Alibaba Stock: BABA Boom to Bust

Updated: January 21, 2016

Alibaba's stock market debut -- BABA -- was supposed to be the can't-lose, golden IPO of 2015. But then, the stock plunged 30% and stands near its initial offer price. While it's easy to blame China's contracting economy for the BABA bust, that wouldn't be true.

See the Signs Which Led to This Top

Updated: January 20, 2016

At times like this, many people say: "Well, of course stocks are down -- after a six-year bull market without much of a correction." Yet, even if it feels like the decline was "only natural," in reality very few market experts said so on the record. In fact...

Dow Theory Nailed the Big Ones -- And Here's What It Says Now

Updated: January 20, 2016

Dow Theory and the Wave Principle are both based on empirical observations and complement each other. Dow Theory nailed the market declines of 1973 and 2007. Find out what investors should know now about the current Dow Theory signal.

Can Stock Values Simply "Disappear"? Yes.

Updated: January 15, 2016

Stocks rallied on Thursday (Jan. 14) -- but tanked again on Friday (Jan. 15), probably making the previously reported $3.2-trillion loss in the value of global stocks even bigger. But how can that be? Doesn't money simply move from one asset class to another?

The Rich are Acting Like They Did Right Before the Last Financial Crisis

Updated: January 14, 2016

Financial optimism was on full display in 1999 and 2006. The rich were splurging as the stock market zoomed higher. Bear markets soon followed. Now, as we kick off 2016, the affluent are partying like it's 1999 and 2006. 

See a European Stock Market Top at Five Degrees of Trend

Updated: January 13, 2016

The stock market's price history consists of recognizable patterns at all degrees of trend. The chart of one European bourse shows a bull market has ended at five degrees of trend. It now appears that Minor wave 3 is unfolding.

Eating Gold -- and Other Crazy Things People Do (at Certain, Very Specific, Times)

Updated: January 12, 2016

"A Williamsburg establishment started selling a $100 edible 24-karat-gold-covered doughnut dunked in Cristal-infused icing. It's $1,000 for a dozen and it's not even in Manhattan." (January 11 Vanity Fair)

The Apple Inc. Bull Goes on Holiday

Updated: January 7, 2016

Since hitting an all-time high in early 2015, AAPL stock has plunged a whopping 26%. Clearly, AAPL falling from its bullish branch was not part of the mainstream plan. It was, however, part of the Elliott wave one.

Momentum Warns of the Stock Market's "Withering Heights"

Updated: January 6, 2016

Pay attention to the market's momentum. The late Richard Russell of Dow Theory fame developed a proprietary configuration of eight market-based measures. We've created a momentum indicator from this configuration. Look at the chart.

Chinese Stocks: The Outlook is Clearly Negative

Updated: January 6, 2016

Our Global Opportunities Expert, Chris Carolan, discusses Monday's sharp declines in China's Shanghai Composite and Germany's DAX, and then he shares his outlook for the global markets based on the regional currencies.

Making Heads or Tails of This Market

Updated: January 5, 2016

We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.

The "Oil-Price-Tax-Cut" that Never Was

Updated: January 4, 2016

In 2015, the mainstream experts said falling oil prices would help jump-start the economy. It goes without saying, this forecast did not come to pass as planned. The full story might surprise you.

How Crude Oil Fooled (Almost) Everyone

Updated: December 31, 2015

Not one economist surveyed by The Wall Street Journal at the start of 2015 anticipated that crude oil would be trading under $40 a barrel. Most of them don't consider investor psychology, the true driver of big trends. And that's precisely what Elliott wave analysis helps you do. Take a look at this chart.

FTSE 100: A Look at a "Head and Shoulders" Pattern

Updated: December 31, 2015

A classic "head and shoulders" pattern is showing up in the FTSE 100. If prices slice through the neckline, how far can investors expect the FTSE 100 to fall? Learn about the head and shoulders measuring formula.

Cash Is a Smash: Grab Hold of the Green

Updated: December 30, 2015

During the holiday season, many people receive cash as a gift. Recipients would be wise to store that cash in a safe place. Bargains in an array of financial assets may be soon available. A shift to financial conservatism appears to have already started.

Junk Bond Bust: The "Fling" Is Over

Updated: December 29, 2015

Over the last year, investors' appetite for risk has gone from red hot to lukewarm, culminating in the recent junk bond bust. Get the real story of the reversal here...

When "Rattled Confidence" Is a Bullish Sign

Updated: December 29, 2015

chart of the day | You may have seen us mention the importance of sentiment extremes on these pages before. We don't take sentiment at face value; years of experience have taught us to use sentiment extremes as a contrarian indicator -- here's why.

Gain Trading Confidence by Improving Your Wave Analysis Skills

Updated: December 28, 2015

How do you distinguish between a "good" Elliott wave count and a "bad" wave count? Watch this new video lesson on how to develop good wave counting skills from our Trader's Classroom.

The Mighty U.S. Consumer

Updated: December 23, 2015

chart of the day | Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the U.S. GDP, so the latest uptick in spending is happy news for stock market bulls. Except, there is one caveat.

Alibaba: Headed for a $1-Trillion Market Capitalization?

Updated: December 23, 2015

"Open Sesame" is the phrase that opens the door to treasure. A Chinese entrepreneur was inspired by the story of Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves and named a company that has yielded vast riches. One of our Global Market Perspective editors provides analysis of Alibaba Group.

Risk On? Risk Off? Find Out Where Your Money Lies

Updated: December 22, 2015

It's almost Christmas, "the hap-happiest season of all." Yet, here's a sobering fact for U.S. investors: As this chart shows, the S&P 500 stocks are actually lower now than at the end of last year.

"The Markets Will Always Have Their Way"

Updated: December 21, 2015

Learn why "the markets are more powerful than governments" in this new interview with Brian Whitmer.

Company Buybacks: A Big Warning for the Stock Market

Updated: December 18, 2015

The sentiment surrounding company stock buybacks goes from cheers to jeers. Also, a splintering is taking place in M&A deals. Are these signs of a historic trend shift in stocks?

Gold Prices: The Fed is NOT the "Force" that Awakens

Updated: December 18, 2015

The U.S. Federal Reserve's December 16 rate hike was interpreted by gold bulls the world over as a virtual lightsaber through the heart. But as recent history proves: The "force" behind gold prices isn't the Fed... 

Debt Troubles Expand: Distressed Bond Issuers Traded Jumps 110%

Updated: December 17, 2015

The debt loads of companies and governments should be easy to service given the exceptionally low interest rates. But did you know that global bond default rates have hit their highest level since 2009? Learn why the next credit crunch could be worse than 2007-2009.

Junk Bond Selloff: The Stress Gets MORE Stressful

Updated: December 17, 2015

chart of the day | Here we have the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Spread. It's one of those indicators you don't see enough of in the financial media, even though it's a lot more predictive and relevant to investors, versus all of this week's hoopla about the Federal Reserve.

Fed Day: How the Nikkei Fell... and Rose to the [Same] Occasion

Updated: December 16, 2015

On December 16, the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. Yet -- even though the rate hike was a foregone conclusion, the Nikkei's reaction to said hike was apparently all over the map.

Conservatism Grips the U.S. Economy Like Squirrels Hoarding Nuts for Winter

Updated: December 11, 2015

The transition from risk-taking to risk-aversion started off gradually in 2007. Then it suddenly accelerated. Our analysts see evidence that a similar pattern is repeating itself. Look at these two charts.

Everyone is Looking for Trading Opportunities -- Here's How to FIND Them

Updated: December 10, 2015

In this 3-minute video, our Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens shows you several Elliott wave patterns that offer high-confidence trading opportunities.

Stocks: Rough December So Far

Updated: December 9, 2015

It's not quite time for the so-called Santa Claus Rally. And yet, it's easy to get disheartened when you see stocks struggle and fail to make progress for days. That's when you may wish to consider turning to Elliott wave analysis.

Australia: Fast-Growing Internet Companies Seek New Rally Highs

Updated: December 9, 2015

Our Global Market Perspective editors have spotted two compelling investment ideas in Australia. We first show you Australia's big stock market picture. Then we focus on the charts of two Internet companies.

Copper Prices: From Life Force to Life Raft

Updated: December 9, 2015

Between 2011 and 2015, copper has gone from life force of a commodity bull market -- to life raft in a commodity bear. Turns out, the reversal in the red metal's fate is exactly what the Elliott wave "doctor" ordered.

GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 1)

Updated: December 8, 2015

The market-forecasting method I employ every day has been around since the 1930s. Yet, it works as well as, if not better than, any new-fangled, expensive, computerized technical analysis package I've seen. My method is a form of technical analysis based on...

Is Germany's Stock Market Bull Faking Its Own Death?

Updated: December 4, 2015

Here's a question: Has the bull market in German stocks faked its own death in order to force investors "home" for a major buying opportunity? Turns out, this idea isn't as crazy as it sounds...

Why Your Bank Deposits May Be at Risk

Updated: December 3, 2015

Big banks remain more fragile than most people realize. Many financial institutions never really recovered from the 2007-2009 financial crisis. A new report opens your eyes to the secret new government tax.

Black or "Red": Is Japan's Bull Market Here to Stay?

Updated: December 3, 2015

With so much economic uncertainty surrounding Japan, how is an investor to know whether it's time to go long the Nikkei -- or stay on the sidelines? Answer: Elliott wave analysis! 

The Topping Process Is Steaming Along

Updated: November 24, 2015

Pete Kendall, co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, discusses important trends that he'll be watching in the coming weeks and months ahead.

Why Not to "Bank" on It

Updated: November 24, 2015

chart of the day | See a chart of two indexes, which represent two strongly-related sectors in the financial industry -- namely, banking and hedge funds. At a glance, the patterns look similar. But there is more to this story.

Infinity Lights vs. The Stock Market

Updated: November 23, 2015

Applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake. See an illustration that shows how they differ.

Give Thanks for a... Truly Objective Commodity Forecast

Updated: November 20, 2015

In 2012, all the "fundamental" lines added up in corn's bullish favor. And yet, corn prices embarked on a multi-year bear market that persists today. Lend your "ear" to the full story...

Negative Social Mood Drives Combatants in the Syrian Conflict

Updated: November 19, 2015

Syria is at the top of any serious list of today's "biggest problems." Not just because of Syria's nearly five-year war. Not just for being the bloodiest example of how "The Arab Spring" became "The Arab Winter"... 

Devaluation Doobie: Getting High on Falling Currencies

Updated: November 19, 2015

A new day has dawned as the world's largest economies adopt a pro-currency devaluation stance -- led by China. So, what really happened to change their minds?

Falling Crude Oil Prices: More Than Meets the Eye?

Updated: November 19, 2015

On Thursday (Nov. 19), crude oil again fell below $40. From our perspective, there are other factors impacting oil prices than what meets the eye. We are talking about Elliott wave patterns, of course.

Sentiment and Gold: Pessimism at an Extreme

Updated: November 16, 2015

chart of the day | This is a daily chart of spot gold prices, as the action stood on November 9, one week ago. Here are a couple of things that make this chart interesting. First, we see four completed waves of what we expect to be a five-wave pattern. Second...

Some Commodity Opportunities DON'T Hinge on Supply/Demand Data

Updated: November 16, 2015

From their March 2014 peak, lean hog prices have plummeted 60%-plus to a six-year low. Turns out, the price slaughter was not what the fundamental doctor ordered.

Why Dow Theory is Still Relevant

Updated: November 13, 2015

Meet the predecessor of the Elliott Wave Principle: Dow Theory has been around for over a century and boasts a consistent record of performance. Yet some analysts are dismissive. Learn why you should pay attention to the Dow Theory -- along with the Elliott Wave Principle.

When You Trade and Invest, Why Use the Wave Principle?

Updated: November 12, 2015

"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?

Currency Devaluation: Quick-Fix or Complete Fiasco?

Updated: November 12, 2015

The list of countries joining the currency devaluation bandwagon keeps growing. But how effective is this strategy really for restoring economic growth? 

Japanese Bonds: Yield of Dreams?

Updated: November 6, 2015

With the yield on the 10-year Japanese Government Bond circling .3%, some say the JGB is actually facing "extinction." They also say the bond's fate depends on the BOJ. We disagree on both accounts!

Why You Should Pay Attention to Stock Market's Bull/Bear Ratio

Updated: November 5, 2015

chart of the day | European stocks, just like stocks in the U.S., enjoyed a rebound over the past few weeks. You may have heard different reasons for the rally in Europe, but here's one most analysts overlook -- and in our opinion, it's one of the most important reasons.

The Bear Market Meter Is Running

Updated: October 30, 2015

What do NYC taxicab medallions and stock market shares have in common? Well, let's just say, borrowing money to buy into either asset with the hopes of ever-rising values doesn't end well

The Economy Follows the Stock Market

Updated: October 29, 2015

The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.

Seeing Fractal Patterns: From the Microscope to the Telescope to the Naked Eye

Updated: October 29, 2015

The Golden Ratio is found everywhere, from nature to human behavior to financial markets. Episode 3 of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series explains this amazing natural phenomenon in greater detail.

Collective Trends Reflect Social Mood

Updated: October 29, 2015

Are financial markets patterned? Episode one of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series shows you a theory that proves they are.

An Elegant Theory

Updated: October 29, 2015

The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.

Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk?

Updated: October 27, 2015

In the early 1990s, two simple words transformed the way the U.S. consumer saw it: "Got Milk?" Suddenly, the narrative changed from an obligatory drink you had to finish as a kid -- into a sexy, funny, and above all desirable treat for all ages. Until now...

Great Scott! Will Crude Oil Prices Ever Rise Again?

Updated: October 21, 2015

Today, we step into our "time machine" and go back to July 11, 2008 -- the day of crude oil's all-time high. There, you'll also see how prepared the mainstream financial experts were for crude's ensuing crash.

Stock Market: Risk-On or Risk-Off?

Updated: October 21, 2015

The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.

Steve Hochberg on "The Granddaddy of Investment Conferences"

Updated: October 15, 2015

In this clip, our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks about the upcoming New Orleans Investment Conference, sharing some interesting facts about the conference's origins and explains why he keeps going back to speak, year after year.

What Really Drove VW's Stock Price Over a Cliff?

Updated: October 14, 2015

Volkswagen, the world's largest car maker, has been rocked by the biggest scandal in its 78-year history. But did the scandal also fuel the sell-off in VW's stock price? The answer might surprise you

Deflation Threat for World's Three Biggest Economies

Updated: October 14, 2015

What is more likely: an asteroid hitting the earth or deflation? A famous hedge fund manager gives his opinion. You can review the evidence for yourself.

The "Personality" of Stock Market Waves

Updated: October 14, 2015

Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Watch this video to learn more about the psychology behind the waves -- and how it affects your investment decisions.

Germany's DAX Has Just Crossed a Critical Line... Again

Updated: October 9, 2015

Back in late 2007, one simple technical tool -- trendlines -- was instrumental in enabling us to forecast a bearish reversal in Germany's DAX Index. The time to use this tool is upon us, again.

U.S. Real Estate: Boom and Bust

Updated: October 7, 2015

Homeowners were using their homes as ATMs around the time of the 2006 peak in housing prices. Today, many people are again borrowing against their homes. Learn why the housing market is prone to "boom and bust."

Rising Oil Prices: The "Syria Effect"? Not Really.

Updated: October 7, 2015

On October 6, crude oil prices surged to a one-month high. And, according to the mainstream experts, oil prices are rising as Russian airstrikes in Syria intensify. There's a lot more to this story, however, than meets the eye.

A Reliable Indicator Portends a 2015 Stock Market Decline

Updated: October 2, 2015

In December 2014, we discussed an indicator that appeared to carry "the same message as it did in 2007." The Dow Industrials topped just five months later. Now, the stress level is even more intense.

Deflation Returns to Haunt the Eurozone

Updated: October 1, 2015

When ECB president Mario Draghi launched the first-ever Euro-QE in March 2015, it was hailed as the "death of deflation." But now, after six months, deflation is back in the eurozone...

(Chart of the Day) The S&P 500: Textbook Elliott Pattern and a Trend Channel

Updated: September 29, 2015

This S&P 500 chart covers the past 4 years. The relevant dates are October 4, 2011 (an important low) and, recently, September 21 -- the date we posted this chart in our Short Term Update. Between those dates are two great pieces of visual evidence. First...

The Two Faces of Stock Market Volatility

Updated: September 28, 2015

For most of this summer, the U.S. stock market was about as volatile as a yoga retreat. Now, it's a model of turbulence. Yet somehow, the mainstream experts have insisted that both volatility scenarios are bullish! Keep reading...

European Markets at Risk!

Updated: August 6, 2015

In this interview, EWI's European markets expert, Brian Whitmer, highlights the countries he is most concerned about in Europe -- and explains why you should be concerned, too.

So You Want to Learn Elliott Wave Analysis?

Updated: July 15, 2015

Learning how to apply Elliott wave analysis in your own investing or trading? Hear these tips from a Wall Street veteran who's been personally using Elliott waves since the 1980s.

The Disruptive New Science that Shatters Today's Investing Paradigm

Updated: June 10, 2015

Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.

FAQ: Is it possible that today's widespread computerized trading including HFT might cause the market to stray from the Wave Principle?

Updated: March 29, 2015

We often get asked about computerized trading "causing the market to stray from the Wave Principle." EWI founder Robert Prechter asked that very question in this excerpt from Prechter's Perspective.

FAQ: Sometimes on your charts there is overlap between waves one and four within wave 5. Doesn't that break a rule?

Updated: March 29, 2015

Subscribers often write in saying that, "Sometimes on your charts there is overlap between waves one and four within wave 5. Doesn't that break a rule?" This excerpt from Elliott Wave Principle -- Key to Market Behavior answers that question.

FAQ: How do you calculate Fibonacci retracements?

Updated: March 28, 2015

Fibonacci provides the mathematical basis for the Wave Principle. This lesson, adapted from our How You Can Identify Turning Points Using Fibonacci eBook, shows you how to calculate the retracement that corrective waves make.

Just What, Exactly, Is Wrong with "Random Walk" Theory?

Updated: March 18, 2015

Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.

Do Earnings Really Drive Stock Prices?

Updated: September 11, 2014

"If you knew earnings would rise for next 6 quarters, would you buy stocks?" Yes, it's a trick question.

Do Interest Rates REALLY Drive the Stock Market?

Updated: September 8, 2014

Most investors believe that higher interest rates are bearish. These four charts show you the truth.
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