Updated: January 18, 2018Should an investor's goal be to "beat the market"? Here's how this investment strategy can severely hurt your portfolio.
Updated: January 16, 2018The recent slide in U.S. bond prices is being blamed on the news that China may stop buying U.S. Treasuries. A famous guru says a bond bear market is upon us. But 30-year U.S. T-bond prices topped in 2016, when China was still happy to buy U.S. debt. How come?
Updated: January 5, 2018Can the economy get any better than this? See the chart that previews an answer to that question as we enter 2018.
Updated: December 29, 2017A mainstream financial publication just said "Now more than ever, it's time to diversify." Diversification is supposed to cushion your portfolio during periods of volatility. If one or more assets decline in value, one or more others will rise -- or so the reasoning goes. Learn why this can be a dangerous financial notion during this particular economic trend.
Updated: December 28, 2017Today's investors are used to the idea that the developed markets lead the developing ones. This idea makes a lot of sense... until you look at evidence like this.
Updated: December 7, 2017How much price history does a stock need before you can make a high-confidence forecast? Well, in the case of Snapchat (SNAP), five trading days was enough for our Trader's Classroom editor to anticipate the tech IPO's 2017 crash.
Updated: December 6, 2017Hedge fund managers are reputed to be among the smartest of the smart on Wall Street. So, you might be surprised that they make the same critical mistake that most novice investors make. This chart helps to explain.
Updated: December 4, 2017Many people regard a house as an investment -- not just as a place to live. But, when a "consumption" item is treated like an "investment," a financially dangerous psychology develops. Learn what a recent study says about some of real estate's "investment advantages."
Updated: November 30, 2017The Elliott wave model reflects the repetitive patterns of crowd behavior. Government represents the ultimate crowd because they are usually the last to act on a trend. Learn how one government-run wealth fund is "doubling down."
Updated: November 30, 2017In early November, Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy showed subscribers a budding third-wave rally on cotton's price chart. From there, cotton soared. This picture is worth one word: opportunity.
Updated: November 29, 2017Has debt deflation taken down a huge multinational builder -- literally? See the share price and "breached" debt for yourself.
Updated: November 28, 2017In July, after O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) had plummeted 30%, the mainstream experts found the cause for the crash -- a "mild winter." But what about seeing the sell-off before it happened? Yes, there was a way.
Updated: November 28, 2017Shoppers have been getting into brawls for the sake of a bargain. It's all over the news this holiday season. At the same time, investors hate bargains in the stock market and love stocks when prices are high. What gives? Here's the explanation...
Updated: November 22, 2017Throughout each trading day, there's an awful lot of chatter in the financial press about what will drive the stock market's trend. In our experience, so-called "fundamental" market information is almost always one step behind the price action. Yet, even if you were isolated from financial news, you could still successfully forecast the market by only having access to this tool...
Updated: November 21, 2017Think the Fed's interest rates control the stock market? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust this market myth in 2 minutes, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: November 20, 2017The positive social mood that drives a bull market in stocks also drives art market prices. Just recently, this painting sold for a record-shattering $450 million. Learn how other record-high prices in the art world coincided with turns in the DJIA.
Updated: November 17, 2017See the charts that reveal this truth: "When an outlook is as good as it gets, it's time to think about a reversal."
Updated: November 15, 2017The "impulse to build" colossal skyscrapers invariably shows up at the END of economic booms: The question is, Why? Discover Bob Prechter's answer.
Updated: November 14, 2017History shows that in the world of finance, government regulators usually embrace a trend after it's been in force for years -- and usually when the trend is about to turn. With this in mind, learn why investors should be weary of what financial authorities are expressing now.
Updated: November 9, 2017What's up with Europe's wave of secession fever? See and hear an answer you can't get elsewhere...
Updated: November 9, 2017A group of investors with very deep pockets has been engaging in a long stretch of extraordinary stock buying. Here in November, even more buying has been announced. See a chart and learn what The Elliott Wave Theorist has to say about it.
Updated: November 6, 2017Many investors are tempted to buy any "dip" during a stock market uptrend. But this psychology has its perils. Here's what usually happens after a full market cycle has played out.
Updated: November 3, 2017Watch as our own Murray Gunn explains why you shouldn’t get too comfortable with the lack of volatility in the markets.
Updated: November 3, 2017Is there a way to navigate the near-term price trend in a hugely popular stock like Facebook -- without getting sucked into the maelstrom of news surrounding the company? Our answer: definitely. It's called technical analysis.
Updated: November 3, 2017A new survey reveals what millionaire investors are doing with their capital -- find out the details. Also learn about the unprecedented market action of mutual fund managers.
Updated: November 2, 2017A famous advertisement says, "diamonds are forever." However, financial up-trends are not. Learn about these signs of a dangerous financial optimism.
Updated: October 30, 2017In late September, the USDA dropped a bearish bombshell on the lean hog market. So, why then did hog prices proceed to rally to a two-plus month high? Miracle -- or something else?
Updated: October 27, 2017Financial market manias are one thing. What about "manias" on behalf of truly horrible ideas? Why and when do they happen?
Updated: October 26, 2017Today, fears of a nuclear conflict are stronger than at any time since the jittery days of the Cold War. Yes, North Korea's nuclear testing is one reason... But there is more to this story.
Updated: October 23, 2017If there's ever been a time to resist the impulse to follow the investing crowd, now is that time. Large speculators are making a bet that's four times larger than what they made in January 2008. Take a look at this chart.
Updated: October 18, 2017Catalonia declares and then suspends its independence from Spain. Agence France-Presse reports seven other European regions are "demanding more autonomy or even independence." How did Europe get here? And what's next? As this excerpt from the just-published book Socionomic Causality in Politics shows, just ask the stock market.
Updated: October 17, 2017The words (and strategy) sound the safest at the end of every bull market...
Updated: October 16, 2017In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to a decade low before pausing. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.
Updated: October 13, 2017A group of stock market bears has just done an about-face. One of EWI's analysts describes the switch as "stunning." A chart helps to explain.
Updated: October 5, 2017Most investors commit to the trend at the wrong time: when it's about to turn. Have we arrived "there" in stocks?
Updated: October 5, 2017Back in mid-2016, sugar prices were orbiting a 4-year high -- and all fundamental signs pointed in one direction: UP. But instead, the market soured to a 2-year low, which is why it may be time to break up with popular financial wisdom...
Updated: October 4, 2017The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT)...
Updated: October 4, 2017Why do investors keep making the same mistakes -- i.e., buying at highs and selling at lows? The answer is that their psychology never changes. If you're an independent thinker, you can potentially benefit from this knowledge. Let's take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index.
Updated: October 2, 2017Many investors seek to mirror the trades of Warren Buffett. See how EWI analysts took the opposite side of a Buffet trade and how "Warren Buffett Versus the Wave Principle" has worked out so far.
Updated: October 2, 2017To adjust your portfolio after volatility begins dooms you to being too late. Waves of investor psychology on stock market charts give you better, early warnings.
Updated: September 28, 2017Think an expanding trade deficit is bearish for stocks? What about falling earnings? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust these market myths using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: September 27, 2017The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned about this financially dangerous sign of " wild-eyed optimism" in June 2007, and the stock market went on to top some four months later. Now, in 2017, the same warning sign is appearing. Get the details you need to know.
Updated: September 27, 2017See the advantage you get when you forecast the markets by ONLY looking at price charts.
Updated: September 25, 2017You've probably seen the picture of the self-satisfied, rich man burning dollar bills to light a cigar. But, gold eating? The signs of excess are sending one clear message. Pay attention to this time-tested stock market indicator.
Updated: September 22, 2017Investment opportunities can be found around the globe. But you must know where to look. See how one of EWI's global analysts spotted an important juncture in an index that has since risen nearly 30%.
Updated: September 20, 2017The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a steady slide since its January high, and one foreign exchange strategist expects the downward trend to continue. But financial markets often move in the opposite direction from the prevailing sentiment. See how this knowledge can help you seize opportunities that most others miss.
Updated: September 20, 2017When you look at price chart of Amazon, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN), what do you see? Well, according to the experts, you should see a healthy bull trend -- and, at the same time, a stock vulnerable to decline. Any questions? The good news is, we have the answers!
Updated: September 15, 2017Should investors base market decisions on fundamental or technical analysis? A study conducted by three finance professors remains relevant in 2017. The results may surprise you.
Updated: September 13, 2017Many experts said orange juice was the single-most "hurricane-hit" commodity, with prices soaring ahead of Irma. But we believe there's more to this market's price trend than weather.
Updated: September 13, 2017There's a big reason why most stock market participants miss the major turns. Two charts provide you with valuable insights so you can avoid making the same big mistake. There's rarely been a more important time to anticipate the DJIA's next trend change.
Updated: September 12, 2017Using the same market indicators everyone else uses can lead you to make the same mistakes everyone else makes. Here's a chart that proves the point -- you won't see this one elsewhere.
Updated: September 11, 2017In 1939, Edgar Lawrence Smith discussed the stock market's Decennial Pattern. It "has been remarkably useful." One of the aspects of the Decennial Pattern relates directly to 2017. Get the details.
Updated: September 8, 2017In early 2011, our senior commodities analyst Jeffrey Kennedy saw a very bearish picture on the long-term price chart of the bellwether Continuous Commodity Index -- that of a mature Elliott wave "impulse." We're now in year six of the bear market that followed.
Updated: September 6, 2017In early 2014, lean hog prices stood at an all-time high amidst the most bullish fundamental backdrop in 30 years. And yet, prices got slaughtered in a 2-year long crash to 14-year lows. It's time to look beyond fundamentals to the other forces driving market trends.
Updated: September 6, 2017For every $1 they hold in a money market, investors today hold $4.75 in equity funds. See for yourself if that's as crazy as it sounds.
Updated: September 6, 2017Historically, financially themed Hollywood productions have often coincided with trend changes in the DJIA. Now, a motion picture that is based on one of the biggest financial bubbles of all time has just opened at theaters. The movie tells a "financial story that's fascinating ... ."
Updated: September 1, 2017EWI first discussed Bitcoin when the currency traded for pennies. The Bitcoin craze has since dwarfed that of Holland's Tulip Mania. Prepare now for some major "crypto-drama."
Updated: August 30, 2017When sentiment toward a financial market grows one-sided, it's time to anticipate a trend change. See how EWI anticipated an upturn in silver prices when most traders were decidedly bearish. Take a look at these two charts ...
Updated: August 30, 2017Investor sentiment pursues the "hot opportunity." But history shows it's better to use sentiment as a contrary indicator.
Updated: August 23, 2017Very few know what the back-offices of brokerage firms know: the real story of how brokerage clients make out in financial markets. The CEO of a brokerage firm once confided in us. Here is what we were told ...
Updated: August 23, 2017See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.
Updated: August 14, 2017Does the DJIA rise more often during times of war or peace? You might be surprised when you review these six charts.
Updated: August 10, 2017The big flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and North Korea has dominated the news. And some financial observers are saying this is why gold's price has been rising. Yet, see how "seller exhaustion and a trend reversal" was indicated a month ago, suggesting a gold rally ahead.
Updated: August 4, 2017Many investors are just as committed to the stock market as they were at the January 2000 top. The same patterns of investor psychology appear to repeat themselves. Take a look at these two charts.
Updated: August 2, 2017A burst of technological innovations and rip-roaring bull markets tend to go hand-in-hand. Find out about one particular concept that "has a long history that lines up well with key junctures in stock prices."
Updated: July 28, 2017The notion that "earnings drive stock prices" powers a lot of research on Wall Street. See a chart that torches this assumption.
Updated: July 25, 2017Over the last two years, sugar prices have crashed… and spiked… and crashed, providing huge opportunities for investors and traders -- IF they stayed out in front of the dramatic turns, that is. Here's what might have helped them.
Updated: July 24, 2017The evidence shows that when corporate executives initiate buyback programs of shares, the decisions are usually not born from rational analysis. The share price performance of corporations which invested in their own shares might surprise you.
Updated: July 19, 2017A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.
Updated: July 17, 2017Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.
Updated: July 14, 2017Stock market action in recent weeks suggests that the enthusiasm for the technology sector is simmering down. More than that, outright animosity is being directed toward some of technology's biggest names. Here's what we see down the road.
Updated: July 13, 2017Brian Whitmer tells you why you may not want to hang your hat on the latest rally in British stocks.
Updated: July 13, 2017Grabbing the headlines today is the Bank of Canada's first interest rate hike in seven years. Speculation amongst conventional economists has now turned to whether they will continue to hike rates. We have a simple answer to that question: watch the market.
Updated: July 12, 2017There seems to be an exchange-traded fund for almost every investment niche. But, beware: some may not perform like you expect. Our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast offers a cautionary example.
Updated: July 7, 2017Global market charts you won't see elsewhere show "What" -- and What Not -- to Fear.
Updated: July 5, 2017Even during a national economic expansion, many U.S. municipalities are financially troubled. "Two out of every three states took in less tax revenue than expected this year." This chart of muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future.
Updated: June 30, 2017Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market's Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize.
Updated: June 30, 2017In our latest "Video Mailbag," Michael Madden, who forecasts cross rates for our Currency Pro Service, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.
Updated: June 26, 2017The patterns of investor psychology are the same the world over, and have repeated throughout financial history. Let's look at stocks in the U.S. and Japan, then and now, and see if we can find similarities.
Updated: June 19, 2017Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.
Updated: June 15, 2017On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.
Updated: June 14, 2017June 14: Fed Day! It's supposedly the one day gold investors can clearly predict the precious metal's next move based on the Fed's hawkish or dovish tone. But history shows gold prices are NOT being led by the Fed at all.
Updated: June 9, 2017Mainstream financial wisdom tells you that negative news events and economic data cause stock prices to fall. But if that were true, then 2016 should've seen Brazil's stock market crash. Instead, it soared to a five-year high. There's only one explanation that makes sense.
Updated: June 7, 2017In late March, all fundamental signs in the market for lean hogs pointed in one clear direction: down. And yet, hog prices enjoyed a powerful rally to fresh contract highs. Find out the real story here!
Updated: June 7, 2017In investing, one rule of thumb tells you that the higher the return, the higher the risk. Today, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone. We're sounding the alarm -- again.
Updated: June 6, 2017See 3 global market charts that answer the question, Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?
Updated: June 5, 2017True or False: If the eurozone government and IMF start withholding their bailout payments to Greece, then Greek shares will fall. If you answered true, then this story is a must-read!
Updated: June 1, 2017Learn about 3 practical benefits of trading with the Elliott Wave Principle.
Updated: May 31, 2017The demand for luxury tends to increase as a financial mania matures. One of the latest extravagant items weighs 33 pounds and is made of solid gold. Financial trend changes usually occur when they're least expected. Are you prepared?
Updated: May 30, 2017In 2016, the prevailing sentiment toward China's economy was negative. Yet, if investors had avoided China's internet sector, they would have missed a significant advance. The whole episode teaches a valuable lesson.
Updated: May 26, 2017"The writing appears to be on the wall" for public pension plans -- and $3.6 trillion is on the line. Managers have been "embracing riskier assets and sweeping underfunded liabilities under the rug." Now, here's an update.
Updated: May 25, 2017In our latest "Video Mailbag," Pete Kendall, the co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.
Updated: May 25, 2017In our latest "Video Mailbag," Pete Kendall, the co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.
Updated: May 25, 2017Learn how the Wave Principle helps you trade with the trend, which waves offer trade setups and how to "keep it simple" when using the Wave Principle.
Updated: May 19, 2017How could the attempted military coup in Turkey in July 2016 have possibly been a bullish sign for Turkish stocks? Get our insights -- and see two charts that show the price story.
Updated: May 17, 2017Maxwell Edison may have majored in medicine, as the Beatles sang, but many of the "brainiacs" on Wall Street are hedge fund managers. Even so, their performance record at key market turns often leaves a lot to be desired. See this eye-opening bond market chart.
Updated: May 15, 2017A chief investment officer just told USA Today, "Listening to the 6 o'clock news gets investors off track." Find out why he made that statement. Plus, see what a "news-driven" and rational-reaction graph of stock prices would look like. (Hint: It's nothing you'd ever see in real life.)
Updated: May 12, 2017The CEO of a major Wall Street firm calls it "worrisome." A director of floor operations at the NYSE says it's "not normal." Find out why a volatility explosion might be just around the corner.
Updated: May 10, 2017At the start of 2017, the cards of "market fundamentals" were stacked in sugar's bullish favor. But instead of reclaiming the upside, prices soured in a 20% selloff to a one-year low in late April. Find out the unconventional reason why.
Updated: May 8, 2017There's an exchange-traded fund for almost every investment niche. Our analysts view the proliferation of ETFs as part of the entire derivatives boom. Here's how we believe ETFs will go down in history.
Updated: May 5, 2017There's a sizeable gap between investor expectations and historical market returns. Chalk it up to ramped-up optimism and what psychologists call "information avoidance." Two surveys and one chart are revealing.
Updated: May 5, 2017Brian Whitmer discusses sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president.
Updated: May 4, 2017Toronto is the 4th largest city in North America and anchors a greater metropolitan region of nine million -- more than a quarter of Canada's entire population. A city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States...
Updated: May 2, 2017See our global market charts that cover $18 TRILLION, inflation(?), and a truly bold forecast.
Updated: May 1, 2017NYSE margin debt levels reached records in the milestone market years of 2000 and 2007. But wait until you see what that level is now. Plus, find out how hedge funds are making matters even more precarious.
Updated: April 28, 2017Cash is the one asset that is almost sure to rise in value during a deflationary period. Yet, the "war on cash" has been escalating. Here's why you should start storing away plenty of cash.
Updated: April 26, 2017If investors would only review the historical data, they would discover the sobering truth about news and the stock market. Do you believe a presidential assassination or a major terrorist attack would affect the market's trend? Find out what really happened.
Updated: April 24, 2017On April 24, Germany's DAX Index soared to a new, all-time high. Mainstream pundits say the April 23 outcome of the French Presidential Election lit the market's bullish fire. Here's our take on the rally.
Updated: April 19, 2017Widening yield spreads mean investors are growing fearful about the future. In Europe, we're seeing bond market behavior that resembles what occurred before the credit crises in 2008, 2010 and 2012. Take a look at these two charts.
Updated: April 17, 2017Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."
Updated: April 11, 2017In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.
Updated: April 10, 2017An April 5 Bloomberg headline reads: "Rupee Rally Nobody Saw Coming Sees Strategists Play Catch Up." Yet, at least one analyst did. These two charts tell the story -- see them for yourself.
Updated: April 5, 2017The next 48 hours are critical, say the experts. Nothing is as important for determining the Chinese yuan’s long-term trend as the April 6 meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. Or, is it?
Updated: April 5, 2017Almost everyone knows that stocks are risky. Yet, new evidence shows that stock picking is fraught with even more risk than many investors might realize. Let's look at the return profiles of individual stocks from a recent academic study.
Updated: April 4, 2017In our latest "Video Mailbag," Wayne Gorman, the head of our educational resources, answers questions submitted by viewers like you.
Updated: April 4, 2017Going into April, too many world financial markets look too complacent. See the charts & pictures for yourself.
Updated: April 3, 2017Would you invest in a fund with a guaranteed three-year average annual rate of return of 50%? The answer "yes" seems to be obvious. But let's take a closer look.
Updated: March 30, 2017In 2016, the only thing more certain than death and taxes was a post-Brexit crisis that would wreak havoc on UK stocks. And then, the unthinkable happened.
Updated: March 28, 2017The DJIA just registered its longest losing streak in nearly six years. Yet, from Feb. 9 through Feb. 27, the index posted its longest winning streak since 1987. Our analysis of that winning streak reveals why we haven't been surprised by the DJIA's downturn.
Updated: March 23, 2017Two trader groups habitually on opposite sides of the market are at it again: See what past extremes say to the present trend.
Updated: March 20, 2017Some people believe that "baby boomers" are driving the stock market's trend. The thinking goes that this large demographic group is behind the bull market, and as they retire, a bear market will follow. This thesis seems logical, but let's look at the evidence.
Updated: March 17, 2017The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.
Updated: March 9, 2017On March 9, 2017, the bull market marks its eighth anniversary. At the same time, one group of market participants are more bullish than they've been in decades. Are they right? The Wave Principle is helping our subscribers anticipate the next major trend change.
Updated: March 8, 2017Natural Gas - 3 degrees of trend for 2 months. "What's Next" for the U.S. Dollar Index. And, "Who's Excited" about consumer credit? See and hear about these topics and more, in our March preview of Global Market Perspective.
Updated: March 7, 2017In our latest "Video Mailbag," two of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.
Updated: March 7, 2017The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.
Updated: March 3, 2017An interesting thing happened on the way to the Dow surpassing 21,000: Corporate insider selling jumped "to levels rarely seen." Moreover, it's not just a short-term trend. History shows why investors should be concerned.
Updated: March 1, 2017Back in July 2016, Japanese government bond (JGB) yields stood at their lowest levels ever amidst a supposed runaway "negative feedback loop." So, why then did the yields start rising to hit a one-year high in late January 2017? The answer might shock you.
Updated: March 1, 2017Yes, you can maintain your financial objectivity when others are losing it. For example, when fear was running rampant during the 2008 bear market, one Asian-Pacific analyst made a historic forecast for a huge rally. Here's how he did it. ...
Updated: February 27, 2017This market sentiment indicator has a reliable history that goes back nearly 200 years! It's sending a signal today that's as clear as it's ever been. We map that indicator out for you.
Updated: February 22, 2017Since soaring to a two-year high in late December, natural gas prices have sweated 35% in value. According to the experts, a record warm winter is to blame for the meltdown. See our charts and decide for yourself.
Updated: February 22, 2017Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources department, explains how Elliott waves help you get "ahead of the game."
Updated: February 17, 2017The DJIA has been on a winning streak with one all-time closing high after another. "Traders are convinced that market volatility will remain nonexistent." Our subscribers know better.
Updated: February 8, 2017In 2016, the U.S. inflation rate rose from 1.4% in January to 2.1% in December, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. So, how did classic inflation hedges perform? Let's take a look at two.
Updated: February 7, 2017News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.
Updated: February 7, 2017"Fears" of Inflation. What it looks like when mutual fund managers go "all in." Artificial Intelligence In Action. See and hear about these topics and more, in our February preview of Global Market Perspective.
Updated: February 6, 2017Financial optimism has reached a new extreme. The impulse to herd is ever present, but there is a way to set yourself apart from the crowd.
Updated: February 3, 2017According to mainstream financial wisdom, the Federal Reserve is to gold prices what Gepetto is to Pinocchio: If the Fed raises rates, gold prices fall. But one look at recent events proves the “nose” on this story is getting longer and longer!
Updated: January 31, 2017In our latest "Video Mailbag," three of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.
Updated: January 30, 2017Despite the recent gains in their sector, the CEOs of major U.S. financial institutions have been selling their own stock. This should grab the attention of investors like you. Here's what we have found usually happens following big market decisions by corporate insiders.
Updated: January 27, 2017The bull market has given rise to the "equitizations of individuals." Individual brand names like Oprah and Trump represent wealth much like stocks and bonds. But historic extremes in such brand awareness might serve as a cautionary signal. Take note of the share price performance of Weight Watchers.
Updated: January 25, 2017By 2012’s end, Japan’s stock market seemed to be locked in a bearish fundamentally-sound death-spiral with nowhere to go but down. And yet, prices embarked on a spectacular four-year long bull run to their highest level in 18 years. What gives?
Updated: January 24, 2017Why focus on expectations of inflation? Because, those expectations are detached from reality. The inflated fear of inflation is a contrary signal. Investors are betting on the wrong 'Flation.
Updated: January 20, 2017Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.
Updated: January 19, 2017On Dec. 16, gold traders were more bearish on a longer-term basis than they were in July 1999, when the precious metal was at $252.15. That day, our Short Term Update said, "It's tough to lean against the crowd ... but that's exactly what our analysis suggests is proper at the current juncture." On Jan. 17, gold hit a 2-month high.
Updated: January 18, 2017Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy tells you about the four key principles that'll help improve your Elliott wave skills.
Updated: January 17, 2017If you count on standard credit rating agencies for timely warnings, you might find yourself "behind the 8-ball." Time and again, downgrades have occurred after the damage has already been done. Now is the time to protect your portfolio.
Updated: January 12, 2017In early December, two popular European exchange-traded funds, France's EWQ and Germany's EWG, had one thing in common: a bullish Elliott wave pattern called "ending diagonal" on their price charts. This is what happened next.
Updated: January 12, 2017The old Wall Street advice to "buy low and sell high" seems easier said than done. But there's a group of traders who consistently pull it off. Find out who they are and, more important, what makes them so different.
Updated: January 11, 2017Bond market commentators are saying that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed programs are swaying the bond market. But a close examination reveals otherwise. We posit that there's a "wrong way" and a "right way" to analyze financial markets. Here's what we mean.
Updated: January 10, 2017Why have an ever-greater number of U.S. investors entrusted their money, not to experts, but to the assumption that the stock market itself can just take care of their investment?
Updated: January 9, 2017Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.
Updated: January 6, 2017You can also see how our currency forecast came first, and the "Brexit surprise" came second. Plus, why central bank "Targets" amount to a chart of failure. Check it out.
Updated: January 6, 2017In early 2016, the global debt market embraced one of the most powerful “long-bond bonanzas” in recent history. By the end of the year, however, the stellar long-bond rally had completely reversed course. As our analysis shows, this turn of events was no accident.
Updated: December 29, 2016The Fibonacci sequence provides the mathematical basis of the Wave Principle. The stock market's price pattern builds fractally into similar patterns of increasing size. Familiarity with these patterns can prove highly useful to investors.
Updated: December 19, 20162016 has been a year of shocks. And for many gold bugs, that includes the unrelenting downtrend that gold prices have endured since June. According to the experts, gold was supposed to be soaring, not sputtering. So, what happened?
Updated: September 27, 2016In this interview, learn why Pete Kendall, co-editor of the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, believes deflation is a global phenomena.
Updated: September 23, 2016Recognizable patterns unfold in the financial markets. Using Elliott waves, you can learn to identify these patterns and use them to anticipate where prices will go next. Get started with a basic understanding of the Wave Principle.
Updated: August 12, 2016Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.
Updated: July 26, 2016Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.
Updated: July 14, 2016The facts and evidence are clear: When emotions run high, Elliott waves are at their best. Case in point: Crude oil from 2014 to today. See Prechter's mind-boggling chart and forecast for yourself.
Updated: July 7, 2016From June 23 to July 4, silver prices exploded upwards, soaring 16% to a two-year high. According to the mainstream experts, the Brexit vote was a main catalyst for the white metal's winning streak. But there's much more to this story that they aren't saying.
Updated: June 17, 2016In part two of this essay, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explains how to think of the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.
Updated: June 10, 2016Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom in which he teaches you the basics of the triangle, a sideways correction, and shows an example in the chart of Pfizer, Inc. (PFE).
Updated: May 24, 2016Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the zigzag.
Updated: May 20, 2016On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.
Updated: May 18, 2016Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy explains the importance of knowing the right questions to ask when looking at the market as an analyst vs. a trader.
Updated: May 4, 2016Seasoned instructor Jeffrey Kennedy has been teaching the Elliott Wave Principle for more than a decade. Watch his simple tips to help you get started with Elliott waves.
Updated: May 3, 2016Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the ending diagonal.
Updated: April 28, 2016Watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom. He'll teach you about the basics of the impulse wave.
Updated: March 23, 2016In 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis called the Wave Principle. Here's a quick introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle.
Updated: March 16, 2016Using Fibonacci calculations helps you identify high-probability price targets and trade setups. In this new interview with our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy, you'll learn how Fibonacci pairs perfectly with Elliott wave analysis. Watch now.
Updated: March 15, 2016The Wave Principle is the only technical analysis tool that lets you know exactly where you're wrong. Our senior instructor Jeffrey Kennedy explains this important benefit of Elliott wave analysis -- watch.
Updated: March 12, 2016University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.
Updated: March 9, 2016Wondering "What did I do wrong?" Discover if you're making one of these common mistakes.
Updated: February 2, 2016In this 4-minute video clip, from Robert Prechter's brand-new video presentation, Prechter offers a whole new perspective on financial causality -- a perspective that allows you to anticipate, understand and act on developing financial trends that nearly all other investors and social forecasters fail to see coming.
Updated: February 1, 2016How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics
Updated: December 28, 2015How do you distinguish between a "good" Elliott wave count and a "bad" wave count? Watch this new video lesson on how to develop good wave counting skills from our Trader's Classroom.
Updated: December 10, 2015In this 3-minute video, our Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens shows you several Elliott wave patterns that offer high-confidence trading opportunities.
Updated: December 8, 2015The market-forecasting method I employ every day has been around since the 1930s. Yet, it works as well as, if not better than, any new-fangled, expensive, computerized technical analysis package I've seen. My method is a form of technical analysis based on...
Updated: December 3, 2015With so much economic uncertainty surrounding Japan, how is an investor to know whether it's time to go long the Nikkei -- or stay on the sidelines? Answer: Elliott wave analysis!
Updated: November 23, 2015Applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake. See an illustration that shows how they differ.
Updated: November 12, 2015"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?
Updated: October 29, 2015The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.
Updated: October 29, 2015The Golden Ratio is found everywhere, from nature to human behavior to financial markets. Episode 3 of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series explains this amazing natural phenomenon in greater detail.
Updated: October 29, 2015Are financial markets patterned? Episode one of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series shows you a theory that proves they are.
Updated: October 29, 2015The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.
Updated: October 14, 2015What is more likely: an asteroid hitting the earth or deflation? A famous hedge fund manager gives his opinion. You can review the evidence for yourself.
Updated: October 14, 2015Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Watch this video to learn more about the psychology behind the waves -- and how it affects your investment decisions.
Updated: August 6, 2015In this interview, EWI's European markets expert, Brian Whitmer, highlights the countries he is most concerned about in Europe -- and explains why you should be concerned, too.
Updated: July 15, 2015Learning how to apply Elliott wave analysis in your own investing or trading? Hear these tips from a Wall Street veteran who's been personally using Elliott waves since the 1980s.
Updated: June 10, 2015Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.
Updated: March 29, 2015We often get asked about computerized trading "causing the market to stray from the Wave Principle." EWI founder Robert Prechter asked that very question in this excerpt from Prechter's Perspective.
Updated: March 29, 2015Subscribers often write in saying that, "Sometimes on your charts there is overlap between waves one and four within wave 5. Doesn't that break a rule?" This excerpt from Elliott Wave Principle -- Key to Market Behavior answers that question.
Updated: March 28, 2015Fibonacci provides the mathematical basis for the Wave Principle. This lesson, adapted from our How You Can Identify Turning Points Using Fibonacci eBook, shows you how to calculate the retracement that corrective waves make.
Updated: March 18, 2015Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.
Updated: September 11, 2014"If you knew earnings would rise for next 6 quarters, would you buy stocks?" Yes, it's a trick question.
Updated: September 8, 2014Most investors believe that higher interest rates are bearish. These four charts show you the truth.