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Spotting Trend Reversals in Real Time: Here’s an Example of How We Do It

Nathaniel Williams — Wed, 22 May 2013 17:00:00

EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst saw that, in 2010, the Dhaka General Index had completed a five-wave impulse, a typical Elliott wave pattern that precedes a correction. Moreover, the index had also risen five waves from its 1999 high -- meaning that it had topped at two degrees of trend. The implications were clear: The Dhaka General was in for a sharp correction. What happened next?

U.S. Stocks Are Hot. What Does That Mean for India and China?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 08 May 2013 16:30:00

Think back to 2007 and early 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis. Perhaps you recall this major investment belief: Even if the West took a dive, emerging markets would save the day. But when the crisis hit, emerging markets crashed right along with the developed ones. Still, there were a few important nuances. For example...

Australia's Banking Boom: Knock on Wood

Nico Isaac — Mon, 06 May 2013 18:00:00

In April 2013, use of the 'b' word -- as in "bubble" showed up in a surprising region of the world: the Australian banking sector. Turns out that major Aussie lenders have enjoyed a powerful upswing since the start of the year. As a recent Wall Street Journal article wrote: "It's astonishing given the size of Australia, its population, economy and banking system, relative to other countries like the US, China, Japan and the UK."

Bears Continue to Take a Giant Bite Out of Apple

Nico Isaac — Thu, 18 Apr 2013 17:30:00

Last September, with Apple Inc. shares soaring into the outergalactic $700 region, the mainstream experts tightened their grip on the upside. But instead of going to the moon, AAPL crashed back to earth in a 40% selloff to the 16-month lows we see today. One question remains: How could the professional analysts have gotten it so wrong?

How News Corp. Stock Doubled – Despite the Phone-Hacking Scandal

Nathaniel Williams — Tue, 02 Apr 2013 13:30:00

While most stock watchers believed that News Corporation's phone-hacking scandal in 2011 would torpedo its stock price, EWI's analyst surveyed the chart and saw a different future for the intermediate term, which also supports his analysis of Australian markets in general.

Abenomics in Japan: Have They Fueled the Nikkei's Astounding Surge?

Nathaniel Williams — Mon, 18 Mar 2013 18:00:00

Case in point: The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast did not attribute the Nikkei's surge to Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's new economic policies -- because it had already anticipated the move a month before his election victory.

China's Colossal Real Estate Boom is "Unprecedented in Human History"

Bob Stokes — Wed, 06 Mar 2013 09:15:00

China is the home of the biggest real estate bubble in human history. A financial analyst estimates the government is "building somewhere between 12 and 24 new cities every single year." Even China's middle class have poured their savings into real estate investments. Find out what EWI's Asian-Pacific Forecast Service sees ahead for China.

Why China's Stock Market Defied the Fundamentals

Nathaniel Williams — Tue, 05 Mar 2013 09:15:00

If you follow fundamental analysis, then you may remember that financial, economic and geopolitical events -- along with pessimistic forecasts -- seemed deeply ominous for Chinese markets in late 2012. Yet in the midst of a near-unanimous chorus of bears, one voice went against the grain with a starkly different message...

Japan: Here’s Why our Analyst Said the Nikkei Would ‘Surprise the World’

Nathaniel Williams — Fri, 15 Feb 2013 17:00:00

EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst used both wave analysis and a clear-eyed look at the Topix real estate index to suss out where the Nikkei was headed: "Real estate ... is approaching a resistance line drawn from its 2009 high. If it breaks out above the line, that would be bullish for Japanese stocks as a whole."

See the 'Bearish Opportunity' Forecast that Preceded Malaysia's Recent 4 Percent Plunge

Nathaniel Williams — Thu, 24 Jan 2013 10:30:00

When Malaysian stocks plummeted 4.4% in two days, mainstream financial analysts immediately cast about for an explanation. But before the plunge -- and before the media's after-the-fact blame game -- EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update anticipated the developing storm. Here's how ...

Why Did Chinese Stocks Soar 10%, Despite a Bearish Consensus?

Nathaniel Williams — Mon, 24 Dec 2012 14:15:00

The outlook for China was as gloomy and negative as Scrooge before the three ghosts visit him in Charles Dickens' A Christmas Carol. Our analyst saw things differently, though, and his analysis will help you determine whether the recent spike in China's bear market is a correction or the start of a new bull market.

Asian-Pacific Stocks: Take a BOLD Look Into 2013

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Fri, 07 Dec 2012 17:45:00

'Tis the season of year-end summaries and cautious next-year forecasts. We will join the crowd -- just this once! -- and do the same. Except, the forecasts you'll find in the latest, December Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast are anything but timid. Here are the highlights...

Asia-Pacific Stocks: Great Expectations

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:15:00

As November begins, the Asian-Pacific region stands at an interesting Elliott wave juncture. It offers a broad range of stock price patterns, thus a broad range of expectations. On the one hand, already-bullish trends in Southeast Asian should continue higher, well above their 2010 and 2011 highs. On the other hand, other regional markets are already at their 2010 and 2011 highs. Still others need further declines before they reach an intermediate-term low. Discover all the details in the November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?

Nathaniel Williams — Fri, 19 Oct 2012 18:15:00

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.

But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Asian-Pacific Stocks: The MANY Surprises Directly Ahead

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Fri, 05 Oct 2012 17:45:00

Anywhere you go, most investors are conditioned to believe that bad news -- be that bad economy, a threat of war, or any other turmoil -- are bad for the stock market. Conversely, the same investors believe that the absence of negative factors is bullish for stocks. That is exactly why so many investors will be surprised by the stock market trends in the Asian-Pacific region in the weeks ahead. See, from an Elliott wave perspective...

Guess Who’s Coming to China’s Stock Market: Bear, Bull -- or Gorilla?

Nico Isaac — Fri, 14 Sep 2012 10:00:00

China’s Shanghai Composite index is 5 years into the worst bear market of its 2-decade history. And this August, the exchange suffered its 4^th straight month of declines for the longest losing streak since 2004. In a quest to answer the burning question of whether the SSE’s bearish rout is over, the mainstream financial experts are hard at work sifting through every current and potential future quantitative measure under the economic sun

Stop the Presses: Why We Just Published a Special Report on China

Nico Isaac — Fri, 07 Sep 2012 15:00:00

The earthquakes that shook southwest China on Friday, Sept. 7, killing more than 60 people and damaging 20,000 houses, sadly seem to mirror the string of financial temblors that have sent shockwaves through China’s economy over the past 5 years. Today, the mainstream financial experts are ready to call it. So, are they right?

Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Fri, 31 Aug 2012 20:15:00

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Everyone Has the Blues About China: Should You?

Nathaniel Williams — Thu, 23 Aug 2012 15:00:00

Many people have been singing the blues about China's economy. One foreign policy magazine ran a story headlined, "Five Signs of the Chinese Economic Apocalypse." Our Asian analyst notes all these views and then turns to the tune sung by the Elliott wave patterns.

Asia-Pacific Stocks: On the Edge

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 30 Jul 2012 17:45:00

"Australian and Japanese stocks have arrived at crucial junctures... Other Asian-Pacific stock markets have arrived at similar crossroads. What happens in the region’s markets in the next several weeks should determine the trend over the next several months and even beyond." That's the opening paragraph of our latest August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. And here are some specifics...