Introducing EWAVES (beta) Flash Services
Over the years, EWI has been developing a computer program that interprets markets under the Elliott wave model. It does not take short-cuts such as using momentum indicators to guess at Elliott wave patterns. It identifies the patterns from the price action, as one should. Getting a computer to recognize Elliott wave forms at all degrees of trend was not easy to do. It has been a challenge. But we’ve done it.
We call our program EWAVES.
Along with this analytical module, we have been developing a strategy module that converts the analysis to simple “buy” and “sell” alerts. This combination, while still under intensive development, is finally ready for application.
The ultimate version of EWAVES is not finished. But we have gotten the project to “beta” mode. This designation means the program is fully operable, yet we still have a long list of improvements that we are rapidly implementing.
To decide whether to start using EWAVES in real time, a year ago we back-tested the beta version of the program. We constructed our tests rigorously to avoid data mining. The results were good enough that last spring we began using the program in real time to make market calls for our Flash service.
Since May 2013, all but the stock-index recommendations in Flash have been powered by computers, not humans. The real-time results have been good: Within all Flash services—in Futures, ETFs and Individual Stocks— our computer-generated recommendations have net positive performance from inception through the end of the 3rd quarter. Our results are calculated using live data in real time based on published calls. (Results could vary slightly among individual accounts.)
We are cautiously excited about this result but not inclined to make a big deal out of it. Sometimes test periods work great only to fail later. And drawdowns are inevitable with any market-calling approach. Nevertheless, we issued every recommendation our program generated, and EWAVES quietly passed the test.
As a result, computers now power all our Flash recommendations, with the current exception of two long term positions in the S&P and Dow that were established months ago by the old method. EWAVES will soon take them over as well.
Frankly, we have never heard of a computer program that worked
reliably in calling markets. But we have an idea of why this is the
case. As far as we know, all other market-calling computer programs
run on “quant” parameters, which are based on the fallacy that markets
adhere to quantitative norms. But the market is a fractal, as Elliott
discovered and Mandelbrot proved. EWAVES is not a quant system.
It is a qualitative system. It identifies Elliott wave patterns
regardless of size or duration.
Our first issue of EWAVES Flash covers this fascinating
topic and more. Future issues will update you on our progress, discuss
program improvements, and show test results. This publication is
open-access, meaning it is available at no charge. We hope you will
come along for the intellectual ride and enjoy the fascinating new
world of EWAVES.
Download the inaugural issue of EWAVES Flash now >>
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