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The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast
On August 26, 2007 — between the stock market’s double top of July and October — and in right the middle of what economists were calling a “Goldilocks” period in the U.S. economy — The Elliott Wave Theorist said this to subscribers:
FASTEN YOUR SEAT BELT
Be prepared for a sharp increase in negative news. There is a high probability that a financial crisis will expose weaknesses in overly leveraged banks. Real estate, stock shares, commodities, most bonds (corporate, municipal and mortgage)…are likely to produce losses eventually.
What To Do
Speculators should stay with the “fully leveraged short position” that The Elliott Wave Theorist recommended in its special bulletin of July 17, the day of the [stock market] high. Investors should stay in the safest cash equivalents.
You remember what came next: the biggest bear market in stocks since 1929-1932, a mortgage crisis, a real estate crash, major bank failures and ultimately the Great Recession. The shift was so dramatic and unexpected that Hollywood made a movie about it: The Big Short. In January 2009, our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast summarized it like this:
The year-end reviews are in, and it’s unanimous: 2008 was not a good year. “This is the year the global economy fell apart”; “All the bulwarks crumbled”; “Investment banks went bust and credit evaporated”; The world economy is suffering “cardiac arrest.” For stocks, commodities, real estate and the economy it was “annus horribilis.”
For EWI subscribers, however, 2008 was a very good year. In Conquer the Crash, The Elliott Wave Theorist and The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, readers got the scoop on the general shape of the decline and many of its nuances, before the tables turned.
As you can see, we are 100% independent of mainstream opinions. Readers can see the difference, and they tell us so:
“I find your analysis of the U.S. stock markets, bonds, the dollar and precious metals to be of the highest caliber. You have achieved a level of expertise that is unparalleled in the industry and your analysis definitely needs to be an integral part of any serious traders’ decision-making process.”
“Could someone write an article on the word SURPRISE? I see it all the time in the Wall Street Journal. It is used in reference to earnings, job reports, government economists, etc. I am usually thinking, ‘Hey, I remember reading about that in The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast.’”
We apply the same careful analysis to the bond market, gold & silver, macroeconomic trends, the U.S. dollar, inflation vs. deflation, and even cultural trends such as the popularity of presidents, gambling, movies and pop stars.
We offer a whole new perspective on the world of financial markets.
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