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The New Carry Trade
How long the new "carry trade" funded by low U.S. interest rates may last?

by Jason Farkas
10/12/2009 4:45:00 PM

As the recession has taken hold, short-term U.S. interest rates have been pushed down to .25% or lower. This encourages those who want to borrow to do so in U.S. dollars, which is exactly how the low Japanese interest rates of the past boom cycle encouraged borrowing in yen. But markets can move fast when they head down, and when a carry trade unwinds, few things move faster.

Filed Under: us dollar, australian dollar, euro, yen, Federal Reserve, Bernanke helicopter, EUR/JPY, eur/usd, AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, interest rates
Category: Currencies


VIDEO: What Elliott Wave Software Should I Use?
An interesting insight into commercially-available Elliott wave programs.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/22/2009 12:30:00 PM

"What Elliott wave software do you recommend?" is one of the most frequent questions our readers send us. Watch the editor of Elliott Wave International's Currency Specialty Service Jim Martens answer this question in this free 6-minute classic video using charts of the U.S. Dollar Index and the dollar/yen as examples.

Filed Under: elliott wave, U.S. Dollar Index, yen
Category: Currencies


How to Apply Elliott Wave Analysis to Forex

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2009 2:30:00 PM
Elliott wave analysis is all about looking at charts, in different time frames, in search of clear Elliott wave patterns. What does that mean in practice? Here's a good example. (Don't forget: Forex FreeWeek at elliottwave.com continues through noon on May 20.)
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, yen, sterling, gbp, EURGBP, British pound, Swiss franc, new zealand dollar, forex
Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: "Too Late to Chase the Market…"
You can explain any market move in retrospect. But it doesn't help you make future trading decisions.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/5/2009 12:00:00 PM

The story goes that on January 5, the euro and the yen lost to the U.S. dollar because Barack Obama's proposed fiscal stimulus package may help the U.S. economy. That same day, the Mexican peso gained -- because an improved U.S. economy should boost Mexican exports. But wouldn't a better U.S. economy also boost exports from the EU and Japan? So why didn't the euro and yen gain with the peso? Hmm...

Filed Under: forex, Currencies, eur/usd, euro, yen, peso, economic stimulus
Category: Currencies


The Carry Trade Unwinds: If You Knew Now What We Saw YEN

by Nico Isaac
11/12/2008 4:00:00 PM

Right now, the Japanese Yen is nearing a 13-year high against the U.S. Dollar and headlines abound of the great "unwinding" of the Yen Carry Trade. If you think the Bank of Japan is behind the yen's rally, think again...

Filed Under: japanese yen, yen carry trade, yen, bank of japan
Category: Currencies


Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
Robert Prechter on CNBC
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...

EWI's New Trading eBook: How to Trade the Highest Probability Opportunities: Price Bars and Chart PatternsIn this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.

Download your copy today!


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> Do you know of any mutual funds that use Elliott wave analysis? 
> Inflationists: Is there a flaw in their reasoning? What is it? 
> If stocks lead economy, why won't rising stocks SAVE economy? 
> Obama: Can the President's approval ratings LEAD the stock market? 
> Social mood: If news and events don't change it, what does? 
> Silicon Valley and internet startups: How might they fare in this depression? 
> Prechter's new Theorist: What event can start the next crash in the Dow? 
> Come on, admit it: The Fed runs the show... doesn't it? 
> Can Elliott wave patterns be completed in overnight trading? 
> Tax rates: Higher or lower in the coming depression? 

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Press Room
IN THE MEDIA
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts

As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.