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Russian Stocks: What's Driving the "Mystery" Rally?
How can the country's stocks rally while the economy keeps contracting

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/26/2009 3:00:00 PM
To most observers who compare the performance of Russia's stock market vs. its economy over the past couple of years, it must look as mysterious as the proverbial "mysterious Russian soul." See for yourself...
Filed Under: Russia, rts, emerging markets, oil
Category: Stocks


European Stocks: How Much More of the "Downside Fireworks"?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/27/2009 5:30:00 PM

In early 2008, European stocks, especially those in Eastern Europe, were investors' darlings, "shelters from the storm." Well, try finding someone who thinks so now. And, says the European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer in the new, March issue, judging by the "incomplete structure" of Elliott wave patterns in Europe's major bourses, they can go even lower.

Filed Under: european stocks, ftse, dax, cac 40, rts
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Not As Chaotic As It May Seem
In terms of price movement, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/9/2009 4:15:00 PM

I'll bet that if you ask ten people which of these two words – "order" or "chaos" – they associate bull and bear markets with, eight out of ten will say that bull markets bring order, while bear markets are chaotic. Yet in terms of price movements, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly. You want proof? OK.

Filed Under: dax, cac40, aex' smi, ibex 35, mib 30, euro stoxx 50, rts, fibonacci, british housing, Bank of England
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Sideways to… Higher?
Will the October-November period of sideways trading in the FTSE prove to be "base-building"?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/5/2008 4:30:00 PM

Despite the fact that in November the index suffered another significant decline, its overall performance since late September-early October has essentially been flat, with almost zero net progress in either direction. If you think that's interesting, you're not alone. The editor of EWI's monthly European Financial Forecast (EFF), Tom Denham, focuses on this fact on p. 2 of the just-published, December issue -- and presents the following chart... 

Filed Under: ftse, dax, cac40, aex, smi, mib 30, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece
Category: European Markets


Emerging Markets: Still The "Safe Havens?"
What's behind the selloffs in the stock markets in China, India -- and Russia?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/12/2008 5:30:00 PM

Surely you've heard opinions that even if the stock markets in the U.S. and other developed countries experienced "a correction," the emerging markets would be just fine. Well, here we are. It's August 2008, a little over a year into the global liquidity crisis. China's Shanghai Composite stock index is down 50% from its all-time high; India's BSE SENSEX is down about 40%; and Russia's RTS is down over 30%. Why?

Filed Under: emerging markets, safe haven, Shanghai Composite, BSE SENSEX, rts, Russia-Georgia war, Beijing Olympic Games
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Five-Wave Moves Speak Volumes
It's no secret that summer months are rarely favorable for stock investors.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/27/2008 3:45:00 PM

Summer months are rarely favorable for stock investors. ("Sell in May and go away," remember?) What complicates things now, however, is the ongoing liquidity crisis that has plagued the markets for almost a year now. And while some analysts out there keep saying "the worst is over," others are not so optimistic.

Filed Under: dax, ftse, cac40, aex, smi, ibex, mib, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece, european stocks, sell in may and go away, gran scala, European Las Vegas
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Finally Catching a Break?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/25/2008 5:00:00 PM

As expected, European stock indexes rallied in April. However, May begins the “worst six months of the year” according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. "Sell in May and go away, come back on St. Leger's Day," remember? They don’t say that for nothing...

Filed Under: sell in may, ftse, dax, Schatz Yield, ftse 250, cac40, aex, smi, ibex 35, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece
Category: European Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.