Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Initial Public Offerings of 2013 Meet the Manias of 2007 and 1929
IPOs are set to raise the most money since 2007.

By Bob Stokes
5/13/2013 5:00:00 PM

How can you tell when stock market optimism has turned "fervent"?  One historically sure sign is that a rush of companies go public. The year 1999 was a perfect example. Large numbers of Internet companies with zero revenue went public. The fervor didn't last, as you may recall. 2007 was also a busy year for IPOs -- and another major market top. Now consider the IPO levels of 2013.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Elliott wave, investor psychology, risk appetite, Robert Prechter, sentiment, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


Be On the Right Side of Risk-On Markets When the Herd Turns Risk-Off

By Gary Grimes
4/15/2013 2:30:00 PM

A growing number of investors – especially institutional investors – are positioning their money based on an observation The Elliott Wave Theorist published back in 2002. Asset classes such as stocks, bonds, commodities, metals and energy are more correlated than ever (the US dollar is inversely correlated). As far as we know, the Theorist was the first investment publication to talk about this phenomenon, likewise the first to give it a name ...

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Elliott Wave Theorist, risk appetite

Category: Stocks


Robert Prechter Describes the Beginner's "Best Approach to the Markets"
New to technical analysis? This helpful excerpt shows you where to start.

By Jill Noble
12/13/2012 5:45:00 PM

Learn the Basics with words from Robert Prechter, excperted from one of our two of our most powerful educational tools for beginners to the Elliott Wave Principle

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, risk appetite, Robert Prechter, technical analysis, Traders

Category: Education


The Trap is Set for High-Yield Bond Investors
"Junk" bonds have that name for a good reason

By Bob Stokes
12/12/2012 5:45:00 PM

Low interest rates have attracted a swarm of yield hungry investors into junk bonds. Learn why these investors may have stepped into a soon-to-shut trap.
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, credit rating, debt, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, risk appetite, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


The Kiss of Death for the Current Market Trend
Investors have decreased their use of leverage

By Bob Stokes
11/30/2012 4:45:00 PM

Entire bull markets can be heavily sustained by leverage. And when leverage contracts, that's usually a sign that the upward market trend is in trouble. With that in mind, take a look at a chart. 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, bull market, Elliott wave, history, momentum, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), risk appetite, volume

Category: Stocks


Why Billions in Bond Portfolios May Soon Evaporate
Muni and junk bond investors rush in when it may be the worst time

By Bob Stokes
11/15/2012 6:00:00 PM

Many who have recently rushed into muni-bonds fear the tax hikes that will be triggered if lawmakers go off the "fiscal cliff." Junk bond investors, on the other hand, want high yields. However, EWI sees financial danger ahead for bond portfolios. Learn why.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, credit rating, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, municipal bonds, risk appetite, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Game Over for Hedge Funds: Expect Disastrous Outflows at Just the Wrong Time
Some hedge funds swing for the fences, even as others strike out

By Bob Stokes
11/13/2012 6:00:00 PM

Poor performance has prompted a growing number of hedge fund managers to walk away. Yet, many hedge funds that are still in the game believe that this is the right time to go for broke. But EWI's analysis suggests that the big financial game is deep into overtime -- and the clock is about to run out.
 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, hedge funds, investment strategy, risk appetite, short selling

Category: Stocks


Is It Bullish When Stocks "Ignore Bad News"?
You can only answer that if you look at the market's larger context: bullish or bearish.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/6/2012 5:30:00 PM

On more than one recent occasion, I've seen financial TV interviewers ask experts this very question: "Is it bullish when stocks 'ignore bad news?'” The answer the experts give is invariably, "yes." But please read what EWI President Robert Prechter, a market analyst with more than 40 years of market experience, says about that...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), risk appetite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, social mood, socionomics

Category: Stocks


The Importance of Being Patient and Persistent in Your Trading
Read an excerpt from Jeff's teaching and hear how his educational lessons help improve subscriber's trading approach.

By Jill Noble
6/15/2012 5:00:00 PM

Preview a popular lesson from our new Elliott Wave Junctures service.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, risk appetite, risk management, technical analysis, Traders, trading lessons

Category: Education


Peter Brandt on Risk Management -- FREE Webinar
Learn three new ways to think about risk management from a best-selling author with a 30-year trading career.

By Jill Noble
5/24/2012 5:00:00 PM

Mastering the concept of risk management is essential to surviving market volatility and creating a successful trading career no matter what markets you trade... preview Peter Brandt's approach in this 5-minute webinar clip.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, risk appetite, risk management, technical analysis, Traders, trading lessons

Category: Education


Good-bye Stock Trades: Look Who's Had Enough
Since 2008, stock trading has continued to fall. What do we see ahead?

By Bob Stokes
5/14/2012 5:30:00 PM

During Q1 of 2012, trading on the New York Stock Exchange was down 23 percent vs. last year. But if many individual investors have stayed out of the market, how has the S&P 500 more than doubled? Moreover, what do we see ahead?...

Filed Under: banks, credit default swaps, Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment decisions, investor psychology, liquidity, risk appetite, Robert Prechter, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


Why Consider This $4-Trillion-a-Day Market? Part II
Elliott Wave International's forex expert discusses the pros and cons of speculating in currencies vs. stocks

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/23/2012 2:30:00 PM

Elliott Wave International presents Part II of the interview with Jim Martens. (Read Part I here.)

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex, forex trading, online trading, Robert Prechter, risk appetite, risk management, Swiss franc, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), usd/jpy, volatility

Category: Currencies


Public Pension Funds: Tens of Billions at Significant Risk
Is now the time to gamble with retirement?

By Bob Stokes
4/3/2012 5:00:00 PM

To meet ambitious investment return targets, some public pension funds must now swing for the fences. But many are down two strikes already, due to their previous big bets with hedge funds. What do we see ahead?...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, hedge funds, pension funds, risk appetite

Category: Stocks


Does Bernanke's Speech Mean the Risk Trade is On?
The Russell 2000: The smaller they are, the harder they fall?

By Bob Stokes
3/26/2012 4:15:00 PM

A look at the performance of small-capitalization stocks is one way to tell whether investors are in the mood for risk taking. See a revealing chart...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, quantitative easing, risk appetite, stock indexes, Traders

Category: Stocks


A Story About Overcoming the Odds
Winning in the markets is hard enough. Imagine if you had to also overcome THIS

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/23/2012 6:30:00 PM

A rare opportunity came my way this past December: My company, Elliott Wave International, sent me to Orlando to attend Peter Brandt's Traders' Boot Camp. I say "rare opportunity" because, well, how often do you get to come to a training event for serious market speculators? Of the 20 traders at that Boot Camp, I'd say 7 or 8 had a $1 million-plus trading account. One had been written about in a Forbes article. There was a lot of success in that room. Why, then, you may wonder, did those traders pay good money to spend 2.5 days with Peter Brandt, the instructor?

Filed Under: investment decisions, investment strategy, online trading, risk appetite, risk management, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets

Category: Education


Facebook IPO: Will the Frenzy Fuel Share Prices?
Is Facebook worth $75-$100 billion of excitement?

By Bob Stokes
2/3/2012 5:30:00 PM

Should investors be concerned over too much Facebook excitement? Consider that the IPO filing comes after...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, investor psychology, risk appetite, S&P 500, sentiment, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


A Dangerous Comfort with Stocks
The average investor knows better.

By Bob Stokes
1/19/2012 3:15:00 PM

Professional money managers are supposed to have more investment savvy than the average mutual fund shareholder. Yet some recent evidence suggests that the "investor next door" is wiser than the professionals...

Filed Under: cash, financial forecast, risk appetite, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


A Hellish Year for Hedge Funds: What Do We See Ahead?
"2011 was a year of horrors" for high-rollers.

By Bob Stokes
1/4/2012 5:15:00 PM

"The reports of hedge-fund dysfunction are starting to appear; the size and number of disruptions will multiply many times in coming months...hedge funds will find themselves unable to..." Read the rest of this quote from the October Financial Forecast...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, hedge funds, mutual funds, risk appetite

Category: Stocks


Gold: Does This Sound Bullish To You?
Gold loses $200 in three days: buying opportunity, or more losses to come?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/25/2011 1:45:00 PM

On August 24, as gold was falling to its biggest one-day loss in 31 years, one headline said, "DJIA Wobbles, VIX Gains as Uncertainty Rises" -- which raises the question: If gold is supposed to be the ultimate hedge against "uncertainty," how come it's falling when uncertainty is rising? Something strange is going on with gold -- if you go along with the conventional perspective, that is. But then there's the Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, Robert Prechter, risk appetite, safe haven

Category: Gold and Silver


Tech IPO Boom, Take Two: Do Richer Investors Make Smarter Investors?
EWI's latest Elliott Wave Financial Forecast studies whether the new dot-com boom is a start of a sustained new trend

By Nico Isaac
7/20/2011 4:30:00 PM

Does having more zeros at the end of their salary figures really mean that "wealthy individuals" act differently from your average "grandma" investor? Look at these 2 charts for some eye-opening evidence...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investment decisions, investor psychology, risk appetite, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.