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by
Jason Farkas
10/21/2009 1:45:00 PM
An increasingly loud chorus of investors expects the imminent demise of the US dollar and US Treasuries. They also expect that an exploding monetary base and the US’s structural problems will lead to massive inflation. This opinion may prove to be correct in the very long run, but evidence continues to mount that deflationary will come first.
Filed Under:
us dollar, Us treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter, forex, emerging markets, derivatives, high-frequency trading, terrorism
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/20/2009 2:45:00 PM
Contracting triangles are a useful and simple chart pattern that does a great job of warning you of impending market breakouts. You don't have to squint to see them. Watch most markets long enough and you'll see them everywhere. Let's take a look at the latest action in crude oil futures, for example.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, prechter, elliott wave, contracting triangle
Category:
Energy
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by
Robert Folsom
10/20/2009 1:30:00 PM
The new chapters allow Bob to spell out his unique arguments for deflation, and a lot more. He proves that every market offers a story, if you know where to look and how to tell it -- that is Bob's exceptional gift. No financial story could be more compelling than the stock market's manic climb to the 2007 peak, and the second includes an entire chapter to tell it. If you think you remember this period, wait till you read his description...
Filed Under:
prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Robert Folsom
10/14/2009 6:15:00 PM
I'll be the first to acknowledge that no one can "know" the future with certainty. Nothing is certain before it happens. Yet when the topic is financial markets, the "who knew" question really is about forecasts. As in, "Who actually forecast a rally to Dow 10,000?" And if THAT is the question, well, the answer is Yes. Someone did. And it was back in late March...
Filed Under:
prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2009 11:15:00 AM
It's earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about earnings' influence on the broad stock market. Well, take a look at this chart if you also think that earnings are what you should focus on in your investment strategy...
Filed Under:
earnings, DJIA, prechter, elliott wave, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2009 3:30:00 PM
The word on the street is, the U.S. dollar is rapidly depreciating, so investment in the U.S. Treasuries defies common sense. You would think that would prompt foreign governments such as China and Saudi Arabia to stop investing in U.S. securities? But instead of selling their depreciating dollar-denominated assets, they are buying more. Here's why, says EWI's Bill Fox…
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, china, saudi arabia, U.S. Treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/5/2009 6:15:00 PM
On October 1, the U.S Treasuries zoomed upward as the DJIA saw its first material decline in six months. In percentage terms, the Dow's decline was insignificant -- yet bonds had one of their best single-day rallies since the summer low. Why is this important? Here's why...
Filed Under:
inflation, disinflation, deflation, prechter, elliott wave, Fed
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/17/2009 12:15:00 PM
As you learn Elliott wave analysis, at some point you'll start to do your own wave counts. That's when you may discover that sometimes, the counts in different -- but related -- markets don't quite "line up." That can be a puzzling moment. After all, shouldn't related markets move in sync? For answers, let's turn to EWI's experts.
Filed Under:
SENSEX, Nikkei, Hong Kong, Singapore, asia, europe, prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/25/2009 3:45:00 PM
Every investor knows that you should "buy low and sell high." Yet few actually follows these rules. Why? The Elliott Wave Principle explains it best: investors herd.
Filed Under:
rothschild, templeton, prechter, elliott wave, buy low, sell high
Category:
Stocks
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by
Neil Beers
8/13/2009 12:00:00 PM
In his August 2009 Theorist, Bob Prechter explains what "the prudent thing to do" in the markets is, based on Elliott wave patterns and sentiment indicators -- plus the Dow's 3/8 Fibonacci retracement from the March 9 low.
Filed Under:
Prechter's latest, daily sentiment index, fibonacci, Fibonacci ratio, 1.618, prechter, stock markets
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/25/2009 12:30:00 PM
The European Central Bank made a record "liquidity injection" into Europe's money markets this week. Will it help turn things around? Before you say yes, read this insightful comment by Robert Prechter, EWI's founder and president.
Filed Under:
european central bank, liquidity injection, Federal Reserve, social mood, prechter, deflation
Category:
European Markets
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by
Robert Folsom
6/16/2009 4:45:00 PM
That was in 2002. Jump ahead to 2008 and early 2009 -- we've seen the gargantuan size of the U.S. government's bailout schemes, and watched the Federal Reserve's unprecedented steps to keep interest rates low. Clearly the time had come for Prechter to focus again on government debt...
Filed Under:
Treasury bonds, interest rates, prechter, bailout
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 4:00:00 PM
You'll either agree with me or you won't, so here it goes: What reliably makes me lose my cool is when respected professionals passionately embrace an idea, for a while -- only to reject it just as passionately later on. Let’s talk about some of the financial "gospels," for example.
Filed Under:
prechter, Efficient Market Hypothesis, diversification, warren buffett, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/7/2009 4:30:00 PM
EWI's founder and president Bob Prechter understands options market. Before winning the 1984 U.S. trading championship with a monitored real money options account, here's what he told subscribers in the October 1983 Elliott Wave Theorist about what NOT to do if you're an options trader...
Filed Under:
options, out of money, in the money, futures, options strategies, prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/6/2009 10:30:00 AM
If you trade forex, you've probably noticed that some markets have behaved erratically in recent weeks. The EUR/USD, for example, the most widely-traded currency pair, would go sideways for days -- but then start swinging wildly from hour to hour. What's going on? Here are some thoughts on this from Jim Martens, EWI's Senior Currency Strategist.
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, eur/usd, prechter
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/30/2009 6:00:00 PM
In light of the potential swine flu pandemic, it's worth mentioning that from an Elliott wave perspective, disease epidemics are hardly random. Take a look at these facts -- and don't miss the new study showing you the 600-year history of social mood as it relates to epidemic disease.
Filed Under:
swine flu, bird flu, prechter, epidemics, pandemics, spanish influenza, socionomics
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/24/2009 5:00:00 PM
In light of the the latest news of a severe swine flu outbreak in Mexico, it's worth mentioning that from an Elliott wave perspective, disease epidemics are hardly random. Take a look at these facts...
Filed Under:
swine flu, bird flu, prechter, epidemics, pandemics, spanish influenza, socionomics
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/17/2009 6:30:00 PM
The economy follows the stock market. It's a fact typically overlooked by conventional market forecasters who think the opposite. From an Elliott wave perspective, their thinking is simply backwards. Here's a good example...
Filed Under:
deflation, earnings, goldilocks, prechter, foreclosures, unemployment
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/11/2009 4:30:00 PM
This is part two of my interview with Brian Whitmer, the new editor of Elliott Wave International’s monthly European Financial Forecast. Here, Brian talks about Europe's "hidden" markets and gives tips on how to trade overseas if you are a U.S.-based investor. He also explains why he thinks the integrity of the European Union will be tested in this bear market.
Filed Under:
Aex, bel20, ftse, dax, cac, atx, cece, deflation, prechter, social mood
Category:
European Markets
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by
Alan Hall
3/9/2009 10:45:00 PM
In Part I of this series, you learned about the basics of Elliott wave patterns. Part II introduced you to "alternate counts" and ways to identify the market position in the wave pattern. Part III talked about the Fibonacci sequence and the ratios within the sequence that guide the shape of Elliott waves. Part IV showed you how to use Elliott to establish investment strategy and reduce risk. This is the last article in the series, and it covers the ways you can take advantage of the Wave Principle in trading.
Filed Under:
prechter, fibonacci, coffee, trading
Category:
Stocks
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Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...
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 In this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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