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"Stocks Rise" on the Worst Housing Market "Since the Great Depression"?
All the Rubbish That's Fit to Print

by Robert Folsom
2/25/2008 5:15:00 PM

Now, all this data sums up a clear-enough picture of the housing trend. It's uniformly bad. If your home's value stands anywhere near today's median price, you are approximately $30,000 poorer than you were 20 months ago. So why spell all this out? Heck, everyone knows the housing situation is ugly, with our without reading the particulars. My reason for putting the facts before you begins with this quote, which was typical of what stock market stories were saying around 11:00am this morning...

Filed Under: Federal Reserve, mortgage, Real Estate, recession
Category: Real Estate


Not "Stagflation," But DEflation...
Was "Headed in the Other Direction" An Understatement?

by Robert Folsom
2/22/2008 1:45:00 PM

Yesterday on this page I suggested that it's absurd to compare today's ailing economy to the economic woes of the 1970s. I asked the rhetorical question, Can you have "stagflation" -- or even a strong overall inflationary trend -- if home prices are headed in the other direction? Unfortunately, what I've read today makes me wonder if "headed in the other direction" was an understatement. The source of my wonder was (yet again) a front-page story in The New York Times, which included this staggering quote...

Filed Under: Federal Reserve, mortgage, subprime mortgages
Category: Real Estate


Bank Of America and Google: News Doesn't Matter?
Elliott Wave International discusses illogical price moves in the shares of Google and Bank of America.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/4/2008 5:35:21 PM

On Friday (Feb. 1), Google reported that its "fourth-quarter revenue increased 51% and net income rose 17%, and top executives said they saw no effect of an economic slowdown." Good news, no argument there. Yet at the open GOOG promptly lost ground and closed Friday's trading down more than 8%. And then on Monday (Feb. 4), it lost some more. Why? We have some ideas...

Filed Under: bank of america, bac, google, goog, mortgage, earnings, shares, stock
Category: Stocks


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.