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$15-Trillion and Counting: Will the Debt Mountain Just Grow Higher?
"Anti-spending sentiment is on the rise."

By Bob Stokes
12/23/2011 4:45:00 PM

Many people say that the Federal Reserve will just keep "printing money." But to say that the government will just keep "stimulating" is to ignore the simple truth that institutions consist of people. Even people in authority come under the influence of prevailing psychology -- which today is one of increasing... 

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, monetary policy, monetization, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Economic Recovery
If this is what a "recovery" looks like, imagine the "economic reversal"

By Bob Stokes
12/15/2011 5:30:00 PM

After reading this, you may wonder how healthy the "economic recovery" really is...

Filed Under: banks, debt downgrade, deflation, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


What's Next for the Fed: Announce "QE-3"?
Inflation-engines are sputtering.

By Bob Stokes
12/6/2011 5:15:00 PM

Even though the economy remains weak, the Fed has not announced additional quantitative easing. Has the central bank reached its monetary and political limit?...

Filed Under: banks, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, monetization, quantitative easing, social mood, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


The Federal Reserve: Is This "House Divided" Losing Credibility?
Signs that a rare economic trend is now underway

By Bob Stokes
11/16/2011 4:45:00 PM

Is this the point where Bernanke can no longer use Fed policy to "inflate at will"? Well, Robert Prechter says something "momentous" happened on September 21, 2011...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


The Next Big Craze: The Euro-Haircut

By Gary Grimes
11/11/2011 3:45:00 PM

In 1999, 11 European countries surrendered their currencies for the euro and a shared monetary authority. But as the world applauded, EWI forecast that those countries had also sealed a shared fate: to eventually collapse together in a liquidity-driven deflationary spiral.

Filed Under: euro, eurozone, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


The Wealthy Witch of Wall Street: Past and Present Penny-Pinching
Will the public sector be forced to become as "tight-fisted" as Hetty Green?

By Bob Stokes
10/28/2011 4:30:00 PM

Stories of her frugality are legendary: she traveled in an old carriage, bought broken cookies in bulk because they were less expensive, and reportedly spent half a night looking for a lost two cent stamp. But the most extreme example of her pathological stinginess relates to...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Robert Prechter, central banks, deflation, history, monetary policy, stimulus package, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), Wall Street

Category: U.S. Economy


Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part III
The world's foremost Elliott wave expert goes "behind the scenes" on the Federal Reserve

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/10/2011 11:30:00 AM

This is Part III, the final part of Elliott Wave International's series "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed: The world's foremost Elliott wave expert goes 'behind the scenes' on the Federal Reserve."

Filed Under: Club EWI, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, monetization, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part I
The world's foremost Elliott wave expert goes "behind the scenes" on the Federal Reserve

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/30/2011 2:15:00 PM

The ongoing economic problems have made the central bank's decisions -- interest rates, quantitative easing, monetary stimulus, etc. -- a permanent fixture on six-o'clock news. Yet many of us don't truly understand the role of the Federal Reserve. For answers, let's turn to someone who has spent a considerable amount of time studying the Fed and its functions: EWI president Robert Prechter. Today we begin a 3-part series...

Filed Under: Club EWI, deflation, Elliott wave, gold futures, monetary policy, monetization, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?
"The Panic of 1907" vs. the "Debt Crisis" of 2011

By Bob Stokes
8/17/2011 11:15:00 AM

While he "stared down" that financial crisis, even J.P. Morgan would be no match for today's national debt. In 1907, the Wall Street legend gathered New York City's biggest bankers into his office and demanded that they had 10 minutes to...

Filed Under: central banks, conquer the crash, economic depression, history, monetary policy, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Judgment Day for Keynesian Economics: Headed To "The Ash Heap of History"?
Government Intervention in the Economy: Does the Evidence Say It Works?

By Bob Stokes
8/2/2011 5:45:00 PM

During the past few years, the federal government followed Keynes' script by trying virtually everything it could to fix our weak economy. And what did we get in return?...
 

Filed Under: bailouts, central banks, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), gross domestic product (GDP), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package

Category: U.S. Economy


Three Strikes for the Fed: What's Next for the Economy?
What to Expect from the New Economic Trend in the Years Ahead

By Bob Stokes
7/29/2011 5:00:00 PM

The Fed's easy money campaign has defined the front line of that "war on credit." The problem is that it just hasn't worked...
 

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave Theorist, housing prices, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


$600 Billion Later: Why QE2 Will Not Stop Deflation
The Fed Doesn't Control the Economy

By Bob Stokes
7/22/2011 2:45:00 PM

Some in the financial media argue that QE2 worked because the Fed has prevented a Japanese-like deflation. But is inflation alive and well? Keep the above chart in mind as you read...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


U.S. Dollar: What Happens if Congress Doesn't Raise the U.S. Debt Ceiling?
"Fundamentally"-based arguments about the dollar's future can be very misleading

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/7/2011 2:00:00 PM

At EWI's Message Board, our subscribers and free Club EWI members ask us great questions daily. Here's a recent one: "Doesn't the U.S. Treasury's looming extension of the U.S. debt limit even higher than it is today mean more pressure on the dollar?" The question refers to a hot political issue: whether to raise the U.S. debt ceiling to yet another record high (over $14 trillion). That's a staggering figure, hence the question...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, forex trading, investor psychology, monetary policy, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Currencies


Should We Expect the "Financially Rare Event"?
Elliott Waves Tell a Multi-Generational Story

By Bob Stokes
6/30/2011 4:15:00 PM

The build-up of credit in our financial system is beyond rare; it's unprecedented in at least the past 100 years of U.S. history. See the chart...

Filed Under: consumer credit, credit crisis, credit rating, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), history, monetary policy, Robert Prechter, safe haven

Category: U.S. Economy


The Fed and Interest Rates: Surprise, Surprise
The Federal Reserve Bank's interest rate policy is not as "independent" as most people think

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/28/2011 5:15:00 PM

You may remember the event that dominated last week's U.S. economic calendar: the June 22 Federal Reserve's interest rates announcement followed by Ben Bernanke's press-conference. In a credit-based economy that revolves around lending and borrowing, interest rates are a hugely important component of the overall economic picture. So it's no wonder that Wall Street and Main Street both pay close attention to the Fed's interest rates decisions. But the fact is that the Fed is no more in charge of interest rates than it is of the weather. See this chart...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


What Will Happen to the Stock Market When QE2 Ends?
Club EWI's free "Independent Investor eBook, 2011 Edition" offers you an unorthodox view of the Fed's quantitative easing program

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/27/2011 12:00:00 PM

Club EWI's free "Independent Investor eBook, 2011 Edition" offers you an unorthodox view of quantitative easing and its "effects" on stocks and the economy...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), liquidity, market manipulation, monetary policy, monetization, Robert Prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks


DJIA Closes Below 12,000 -- Again. What's Going On?
Better results come from directly observing market behavior, not reading Fed statements

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2011 5:15:00 PM

On Wednesday, June 22, the Federal Reserve Bank released its latest interest rates policy statement (no change). Afterward the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke held a press conference, followed by a Q&A period. The financial media paid lots of attention to what Bernanke said. Our own Steve Hochberg -- editor of the Monday-Wednesday-Friday Short Term Update -- had this to say about Bernanke's press conference...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, economic depression, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), gross domestic product (GDP), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, recession, stimulus package, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks


EURUSD: Stuck in a Sideways Move, But Not for Long
"Fundamentals" amount to guesswork about the euro-dollar's next move, but Elliott wave analysis has an objective forecast ready right now

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/14/2011 5:30:00 PM

Type “U.S. dollar” in Google News and you'll get a dozen fresh links to articles on the latest in the forex markets, complete with speculation about the dollar’s future. Here's just some of what they discuss today...

Filed Under: euro, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), forex trading, fundamental analysis, Greek debt, monetary policy, online trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Understanding the Fed
EWI's free eBook explains the common and misleading myths about the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/12/2011 6:00:00 PM

What exactly is the function of the Fed? If it's to help the U.S. economy grow steadily, then how come in 2007-2009 we had the biggest stock market crash in decades followed by "the Great Recession" and a worldwide financial crisis? For answers, let's turn to someone who has spent a considerable amount of time studying the Fed and its functions: EWI's president Robert Prechter. This is an excerpt from a free Club EWI eBook...

 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, bailouts, Ben Bernanke, Robert Prechter, Campaign for Independent Thinking, Elliott wave, Greenspan, hyperinflation, inflation, market crash, market manipulation, monetary policy, monetization, Robert Prechter, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, social mood, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Bad News, Bonds: The "Fed-Led Rally" That Never Was
EWI's objective analysis reveals whether the days of cheap lending are really over

By Nico Isaac
3/30/2011 2:30:00 PM

On March 29, the sharpened bear claws officially came out of bond land. That day, yields on the 10-year Treasury note rose for a ninth consecutive session sending prices lower in the market's longest losing streak in over 20 years. And, according to the mainstream experts, one main factor was behind the powerful decline: namely, rumours that the Federal Reserve will cut short is second round of quantitative easing, a.k.a. QE2. Here, the following news items set the scene:

Filed Under: bailouts, monetary policy, quantitative easing, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy