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by
Nico Isaac
3/17/2010 7:00:00 PM
According to Wall Street wisdom, "Fed" stands for Financial Emergency Defeater. When the US economy hangs in the balance, only the Federal Reserve can keep things afloat via an accommodating monetary policy and other strategic emergency measures. The reality of the central bank's power, however, is a far different story.
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, Fed, central bank, interest rates, bob prechter
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/11/2010 10:15:00 AM
The financial news these days clearly shows that the world economy is on shaky ground. You'd think that because of that, the markets would be as jittery as some of the news anchors are. But they aren't. The DJIA, the world's benchmark stock index, has rallied since early February. And the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s VIX index (the "fear" index) also shows that the markets are not nervous. What does that tell us? Let's look at some historical evidence...
Filed Under:
volatility, vix, China's bubble, U.S. unemployment, interest rates, Sovereign Debt, DJIA
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
2/22/2010 4:30:00 PM
Over the past week, the U.S. dollar has squashed all rumors of its demise like a bug on the windshield of a speeding semi. Last check, the greenback stands at its highest level in nearly nine months. As for what's causing the currency's new lease on life -- well, that depends on who you ask. In the eyes of the mainstream experts, the U.S. dollar is rallying on the wings of a hawk named the Federal Reserve.
Filed Under:
us dollar, dollar, greenback, Federal Reserve, Fed, interest rates, discount rate
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/22/2010 10:00:00 AM
Elliott wave analysts sometimes hear the criticism that patterns in market charts can be "open to interpretation." Does that happen? Absolutely. (Although, there are tools an Elliottician can always employ to firm up the wave count.) But here's the real question: What's the alternative? Here's Bob Prechter's take on it.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, interest rates, CPI, PPI, ben bernanke, Federal Reserve, discount rate
Category:
Stocks
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
2/19/2010 11:30:00 AM
What options do we have regarding U.S. deficits? President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City gave three of them in his February 16 speech: doing nothing, inflating our way out of at least some of the debt... but there was also a third option.
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, interest rates, deficits, Treasury bonds, Robert Prechter, greece, portugal, Spain, sovereign default, pigs
Category:
Economy
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by
Editorial Staff
2/9/2010 4:45:00 PM
"Have you ever watched a dog interact with its owner? The dog repeatedly looks at the owner, taking cues constantly. The owner is the leader, and the dog is a pack animal alert for every cue of what the owner wants it to do. Participants in the stock market are doing something similar. They constantly watch their fellows, alert for every clue of what they will do next. The difference is that there is no leader. The crowd is the perceived leader, but it comprises nothing but followers. When there is no leader to set the course, the herd cues only off itself, making the mood of the herd the only factor directing its actions."
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, interest rates, t-bills, Treasury bonds, Fed, oil, earnings
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/27/2010 4:30:00 PM
Around data releases, forex; traders often buy the U.S. dollar -- but then sell it just as quickly (or vice versa). Trading at such moments can be dangerous, but it helps if you know Elliott wave analysis. Watch this classic free 8-minute video where the editor of EWI's intensive Currency Specialty Service Jim Martens explains how.
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, interest rates, u.s. dollar, FOMC, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Jason Farkas
1/6/2010 6:45:00 PM
Imagine the disappointment the Japanese faced in the 1990s. Their 1980s boom created enough wealth to buy landmarks like Rockefeller Center and Pebble Beach. But the 1990s turned inflation into deflation. Stimulus packages and bailouts failed to prop up Japan's property market and to prevent the deflationary collapse. Now the U.S. government is trying to do the same thing -- and here's why they are likely to fail.
Filed Under:
inflation, deflation, prechter, Japan, interest rates, quantitative easing, budget deficit
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
12/23/2009 3:15:00 PM
This Holiday season, all hopes are pinned on the bearded man in the fancy suit AND his faithful team of helpers to swoop down and deliver the one gift that is on everyone's wish list: A sustained economic recovery. And no, I'm not talking about sled-driving Santa, but rather Fed-driving Ben Bernanke.
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, ben bernanke, Fed, interest rates, rates
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2009 7:15:00 PM
News stories move the markets -- that's what just about every investor believes. But can you predict what the market will do before the news is released? Let's look at a fresh example: the actio in the EUR/USD on November 4, when the Federal Reserve Bank announced its latest decision on the U.S. interest rates.
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, eur/usd, Federal Reserve, interest rates, u.s. dollar
Category:
Currencies
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/3/2009 1:00:00 PM
European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet has proven throughout this financial crisis that he is his own man when it comes to navigating the euro-land banking system through the deflation and debt deleveraging storm. And will likely save Europe from overspending.
Filed Under:
interest rates, Bernanke, Trichet, deflation, monetary policy, quantitative easing, bailouts
Category:
European Markets
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by
Jason Farkas
10/12/2009 4:45:00 PM
As the recession has taken hold, short-term U.S. interest rates have been pushed down to .25% or lower. This encourages those who want to borrow to do so in U.S. dollars, which is exactly how the low Japanese interest rates of the past boom cycle encouraged borrowing in yen. But markets can move fast when they head down, and when a carry trade unwinds, few things move faster.
Filed Under:
us dollar, australian dollar, euro, yen, Federal Reserve, Bernanke helicopter, EUR/JPY, eur/usd, AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, interest rates
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/6/2009 5:00:00 PM
On October 6, the Reserve Bank of Australia surprised the global financial community with a .25% interest rate hike. Only 1 in 20 surveyed economists expected it. But if conventional economists would simply plot central banks’ decisions on a chart of bond yields, they would make a "shocking" discovery that could save them a lot of surprises...
Filed Under:
Reserve Bank of Australia, rba, interest rates, economic recovery, u.s. treasury bill, Federal Reserve
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/23/2009 6:15:00 PM
What an interesting day of trading we saw in stocks on Wednesday (Sept. 23.) On the same day, we had: 1. A single event -- the Fed's interest rate announcement; 2. The stock market's bullish -- and -- bearish "reaction" to it, and 3. Several news stories explaining why stocks rallied -- and -- declined after the event. One question remains: Where will stocks go from here?
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, Fed, interest rates, DJIA, s&p, dollar, Gold
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/18/2009 10:45:00 AM
If you believe that central banks' "potent directors" carefully watch economic indicators and deftly adjust interest rates accordingly, this will come as a shock: Central banks are no more in control of interest rates than they are of the weather. Three examples prove this point.
Filed Under:
interest rates, Federal Reserve, european central bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, U.S. Treasury bills, central banks
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Nico Isaac
6/24/2009 3:45:00 PM
t's Federal Open Market Committee time again. And, even before the June 24 meeting adjourned, word-parsers were dissecting the "minutes" like a high school biology student with a frog. In short: While everyone with a pulse guesses at the meaning of Bernanke-speak, ALL of them hope his words give the stock market something to celebrate.
Filed Under:
FOMC, Fed, rate cuts, interest rates, stock market, bailout, central bank, Federal Reserve
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Robert Folsom
6/16/2009 4:45:00 PM
That was in 2002. Jump ahead to 2008 and early 2009 -- we've seen the gargantuan size of the U.S. government's bailout schemes, and watched the Federal Reserve's unprecedented steps to keep interest rates low. Clearly the time had come for Prechter to focus again on government debt...
Filed Under:
Treasury bonds, interest rates, prechter, bailout
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Susan C. Walker
4/24/2009 6:00:00 PM
Gold in particular follows the Wave Principle impeccably, at least in a world of fiat paper currencies. Gold is a wonderful reflector of the Wave Principle because unlike, say, pork bellies, it is traded by people around the globe, so the prime mover is the psychology of human beings at the most shared and basic level.
Filed Under:
stock averages, Precious metals, interest rates, Currencies, Commodities, Gold, inflation, Federal Reserve
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/13/2009 6:00:00 PM
Any experienced forex trader will tell you that trading currencies when a major economic report gets released can be treacherous. Probably the most infamous of all scheduled news releases -- infamous for its treachery, that is -- are the U.S. interest rate announcements by the Federal Reserve Bank. But market action on those days can also mean opportunity for a forex trader who is properly positioned BEFORE the announcement. Here are some thoughts on how to do that...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, Federal Reserve, eur/usd, FOMC, interest rates
Category:
Currencies
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
2/17/2009 6:00:00 PM
The United States enjoys funding its ever-increasing debt in its own currency as the dollar, for better or worse, remains the world’s reserve currency. Because the euro and the pound sterling do not enjoy this status, the smaller economies under the European Union's stability pact are having trouble attracting investors for government debt. The only answer is to offer higher yields in order to attract investors...
Filed Under:
Devaluation, Europe, euro zone, stimulus, interest rates, fiat currency, deflation
Category:
Economy
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The Mania Chronicles
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With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist. |
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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