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U.S. Dollar Vs. Japanese Yen: Why the Big Sell-off?
Higher U.S. interest rates or not, USDJPY was ready to slide

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2014 5:00:00 PM

Here’s a question for you to ponder: The markets move as a reaction to news, right? We hear those explanations every day. Then how come you can often predict where the market will go before the news? Case in point...

 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, inflation, Interest Rates, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


(Video) Stocks Up, Commodities Down -- Despite QE. What Should You Make of That?
Robert Prechter: "Charts tell the truth. Let’s look at some charts."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/16/2014 5:15:00 PM

During QE3, the latest round of the Fed's quantitative easing, the stock market rose. We all know that. But did you also know that commodities fell? That’s right: QE3 had zero effect on commodities. See for yourself.

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, central banks, commodities, Elliott wave, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Commodities


Mario Draghi Speaks -- and EURUSD Falls? Not So Fast
"It's market psychology that matters, not the news."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2014 1:00:00 PM

Here are tweets that Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, posted on his EWI Forex Insider on Monday (April 14)...

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, eurozone, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, inflation, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Video) Happy Tax Season
You won't believe what this one simple chart can show

By Robert Folsom
4/1/2014 1:15:00 PM

See the entire history of tax revenue in the United States -- on ONE simple chart. (Yes, you can show that on one chart -- and it's an eye-opener...)

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, debt, deficit, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, M3 money supply, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Stocks Rose, Yet Commodities Fell -- Despite QE. What Does That Mean?
Robert Prechter: "Charts tell the truth. Let’s look at some charts."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/21/2014 5:30:00 PM

During QE3, the latest round of the Fed's quantitative easing, the stock market rose. We all know that. But did you also know that commodities fell? That’s right: QE3 had zero effect on commodities – or maybe even a negative effect. There is more -- take a look at these charts...

Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, bull market, commodities, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis, inflation, QE2, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


The Economy Faces Fierce Deflationary Tendencies
The spiral downward may rival the Great Depression

By Bob Stokes
12/11/2013 5:30:00 PM

Robert Prechter has long warned about deflation, and now the evidence shows that this rare trend may be accelerating. See a chart of the Federal Reserves favorite inflation gauge.

Filed Under: consumer price index, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, inflation, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


EUR/USD: Why the Fast, Sudden Selloff?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/7/2013 3:15:00 PM

The European Central Bank cuts interest rates. The euro plunges. Logical? Yes. Plausible? Sure. But there is another explanation for the EUR/USD selloff on November 7.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, eurozone, forex, forex trading, inflation, Interest Rates, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Deflationary Forces Stymie the Fed's Economic Rescue Efforts
See a stunning chart of the Federal Reserve's assets

By Bob Stokes
8/21/2013 3:45:00 PM

The Federal Reserve's assets have soared since its quantitative easing programs started in 2008. One chart shows why so many investors are positioned for inflation. Learn why they will probably be caught off guard.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, inflation, quantitative easing, steve hochberg, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


The Rundown on Runaway Inflation in One Chart
Despite a dramatic increase in the Fed's balance sheet, the Producer and Consumer Price Indexes are subdued

By Bob Stokes
8/14/2013 5:15:00 PM

The Producer and Consumer Price Indexes show no sign of runaway inflation, despite a dramatic increase in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. That’s one reason why Robert Prechter titled the recent double issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist, "Mounting Risk of a Deflationary Crash." 

Filed Under: consumer price index, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stock indexes, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Debt and Deflation vs. Hyperinflation: 15 Minutes with Robert Prechter
A must-see interview for every independently minded trader and investor

By Jill Noble
8/13/2013 11:15:00 AM

EWI's founder and president speaks with contrarian journalist Max Keiser

Filed Under: central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott Wave Education, inflation, Robert Prechter, video

Category: Education


(Video) Bond Yields Surge But Inflation is Missing in Action
The bond market thwarts the Federal Reserve's intent

By Bob Stokes
8/2/2013 3:00:00 PM

Bond market observers who expected inflation fears to drive bond yields higher are scratching their heads. Yes, bond yields have soared, but inflation fears are absent. So what is the reason for the change of trend in bond yields? EWI's chief market analyst gives the answer in a revealing 11-minute video about bonds.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Ben Bernanke, deflation, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, long-term trend, quantitative easing, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Why Risk Management Occupies Goldman Sachs CEO
Will the next major trend in the economy be that of inflation or deflation?

By Bob Stokes
7/26/2013 4:15:00 PM

People who see extremely tough times ahead for the economy -- whether from deflation or inflation -- are sometimes called "gloom and doomers." They are usually considered to be out of the mainstream -- even off the reservation. But someone who is about as mainstream as it gets -- the CEO of Goldman Sachs -- just offered some frank views about risk.

Filed Under: CNBC, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, Goldman Sachs, inflation, risk management, Robert Prechter, Wall Street

Category: U.S. Economy


Deflation Will Take the Majority by Surprise
Google searches offer an insightful glimpse into economic expectations

By Bob Stokes
7/23/2013 5:30:00 PM

The last thing on the minds of most people is deflation. It’s easy enough to determine that with a quick quiz -- and that quiz is found in the just-published Elliott Wave Theorist. In this July-August Theorist, Robert Prechter uses Google searches to make a point about deflation. Here's what those searches reveal ...

Filed Under: deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, inflation, Robert Prechter, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


Gold's Price Decline: Part of an Economic Trend that Few Expect
Consider what happened to the price of gold in 2008 from March to November

By Bob Stokes
7/8/2013 5:30:00 PM

Many investors who have loaded up on gold are scratching their heads over the precious metal's downtrend since its peak on Sept. 6, 2011. Gold slid 25% in Q2 of 2013 alone, with gold bugs predicting a halt to the decline all the way down to its current level. All the while, Elliott Wave International subscribers have been getting a different perspective on gold – a perspective that has been spot on.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, financial forecast, Gold, inflation, precious metals, U.S. dollar

Category: Gold and Silver


The Growing Case for Global Deflation
Prepare for a major worldwide economic contraction.

By Bob Stokes
4/24/2013 4:30:00 PM

The evidence for global deflation continues to build. Consider the recent plunge in the prices of commodities and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Plus, the International Monetary Fund recently warned that ...

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Gold, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), silver, stock indexes, Treasury bonds

Category: Global Markets


Why Are Crude Oil Prices Dropping? Not Why Many People Think
If you follow the logic of the "fundamentals," chances are you'll be fundamentally lost

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2013 10:30:00 PM

Gold wasn't the only market that fell out of bed Monday morning (April 15). Crude oil also fell -- as low as $86.06 a barrel over the past couple of trading days. If you've read opinions as to why oil is getting cheaper, a common reason cited by the pundits is that oil reflects the state of the global economy. Interesting. If that is true, then what you see in these charts must be false.

Filed Under: crude oil, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, inflation, technical analysis

Category: Energy


Did a Divided Fed Cause Gold's Decline?
The answer is in central bank charts of gold prices and stimulus initiatives since September 2011.

By Nico Isaac
4/10/2013 7:00:00 PM

Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you slow down gold's gains.

Filed Under: banks, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, inflation, precious metals, quantitative easing, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


Gold Bulls Cry Inflation, Again
Here's what the evidence says about gold as an 'inflation hedge'

By Nico Isaac
3/15/2013 6:15:00 PM

Conventional economic wisdom says that inflation is to gold prices what rabbit is to a dog on a leash. In other words: The one causes the other to break loose and run wild. This notion was all-too apparent on March 15. That day, a Labor Department report revealed a .7% rise in US consumer prices in February, the sharpest increase in four years. When gold prices shot higher at the open, the usual experts put two and two together...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, inflation, monetary policy, precious metals, quantitative easing, silver, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver


A Real-Time Montage of a Developing Global Deflation
Is the global economy headed for the German economic experience of 1928-1932?

By Bob Stokes
3/1/2013 5:45:00 PM

There's mounting evidence that deflationary forces are at work in the global economy. However, many financial observers remain focused on elevated equity prices and inflation. EWI's Global Market Perspective points to Germany's 1929-1932 economic experience as an example of what global economies could soon face. Get the full real-time economic story as it unfolds in the Asian-Pacific, Europe and the United States.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, Conquer the Crash, deflation, economic indicators, eurozone, inflation, recession, Walmart

Category: Global Markets


The Secret Word: Deflation – And the Next Five Years of Financial Turmoil
From EWI's new report, The State of the Global Markets – 2013 Edition

By Robert Prechter, CMT
1/18/2013 2:30:00 PM

In the first five months of 2012, there were 20 times as many Google searches on “inflation” as there were on “deflation.” This is down from a ratio of 50 times in June 2008. If any theme has been overdone over the past six years, it is the theme of inevitable inflation if not hyperinflation.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter

Category: Classic Prechter


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