Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Who Holds the Future of Gold in Its Hands? Hint: It's Not the Fed!
Recent history shows you how central bank policies matter less than many investors think

By Nico Isaac
12/17/2014 3:00:00 PM

Mainstream economic wisdom says the Federal Reserve holds the fate of gold prices in its hand. Cut rates, and gold rallies. Raise rates, and gold falls. Recent history, however, tells a radically different story.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), financial forecast, Gold, history, inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy, precious metals, quantitative easing, sentiment, Short Term Update, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), Wall Street

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:04 min.) The Federal Reserve's Inflation Gauge: Falling to 2008 Levels
Be among the few who are ready for deflation

By Bob Stokes
12/12/2014 4:00:00 PM

Few people see deflation as a threat. But deflation is grabbing global headlines. Learn what you need to know now about this potentially devastating trend.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Conquer the Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Interview, 1:41 min.) What Is the Financial Press Overlooking?
A quick market insight for today's investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/8/2014 1:45:00 PM

As our new, December Financial Forecast was going to press on Dec. 5, we had a quick opportunity to ask Steve Hochberg, the Financial Forecast co-editor, a couple of important questions. Watch.

Filed Under: deflation, housing prices, inflation, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Conclusion)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/26/2014 3:30:00 PM

This is why phrases like “interest-rate shock,” “oil-price shock,” “earnings shock,” “GDP shock,” “war shock,” “terrorism shock,” “inflation shock,” etc. have no value when it comes to analyzing the behavior of financial markets.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, central banks, crude oil, earnings, Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, monetary policy, Robert Prechter, terrorist attacks

Category: Classic Prechter


Abenomics: From Faith to Failure
Why the biggest monetary stimulus effort in the world did NOT stop deflation in its tracks

By Nico Isaac
11/24/2014 3:30:00 PM

At its inception in 2013, EWI warned that Abenomics would fail to rescue Japan's economy from deflation. Now, a November 20 New York Times article confirms our forecast: "It's time to call Abenomics a failure."

Filed Under: central banks, Club EWI, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, forecasts, inflation, inside look, investor psychology, Japanese yen, quantitative easing

Category: Asian Markets


(Video, 4:17 min.) You Can Lead a Horse to Water, But You Can't Make Him... Borrow
Today's trend towards deflation is not a monetary problem, but a psychological one

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2014 5:00:00 PM

Do you know what the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have in common? Yes, they are three of the world's biggest central banks. But the other thing that unites them is a common problem.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, european central bank, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


U.S. Dollar: Since When Is Inflation a Good Thing?
Up is down, black is white -- and now, inflation is supposed to strengthen the U.S. dollar

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

Everyone knows that inflation destroys the purchasing power of a currency. Which is not good -- not for consumers, producers or for the economy in general. That's why seeing this headline came as a surprise...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, european markets, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, inflation, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


What's Scarier Than DE-flation?
As early as 2011, our analysis warned that Europe's deflation was coming -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
11/14/2014 3:30:00 PM

At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, Greenspan, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


Is the U.S. Economy Headed for the "Good" Kind of Deflation?
A brand-new FREE report addresses all three arguments in favor of a "benign" deflationary scenario

By Nico Isaac
11/12/2014 3:00:00 PM

In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments... 

Filed Under: charts, Chinese markets, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, inflation, inside look, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part X)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/11/2014 6:15:00 PM

Myth #10: “Central banks and government policies control the markets.” Virtually everyone believes this statement; certainly most economists do. Keynesians and monetarists believe...

Filed Under: central banks, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, inflation, market manipulation, monetary policy, Nasdaq Composite, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


How Not to Get Burned by Crude Oil
Step 1: Identify the Elliott wave pattern that corresponds to investor sentiment

By Nico Isaac
11/6/2014 4:30:00 PM

In 2008, mainstream analysis identified fear among oil investors. Elliott wave analysis identified that fear as a final, fifth wave about to end. An 80% crash in oil prices soon followed.

Filed Under: bull market, charts, commodities, crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, forecasts, fundamental analysis, inflation, long-term trend, sentiment, supply and demand, wave personality

Category: Energy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IX)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/28/2014 1:45:00 PM

Myth #9: “Inflation makes gold and silver go up.” This one seems like a no-brainer. Gold is real money, so it must fluctuate along with the inflation rate. It’s basic physics. Yet, once again, it doesn’t happen that way...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, history, hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


Europe: The ONE Economic Comparison That Must Not Be Named... Was Just Named
The Continent is now teetering on the edge of a "Japan-style" deflation. Here's our take on it.

By Nico Isaac
9/29/2014 8:45:00 PM

The economic scenario that must not be named -- "Japan-style Deflation" has been uttered in reference to Europe. From the very beginning, Elliott Wave International foresaw that this day would come, despite the efforts of central banks.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, inflation, Interest Rates, world central banks

Category: European Markets


(Video, 2:52 min.) Gold Prices: Why the Fed Matters Less Than You May Think
The 1% sell-off on September 17 was in the Elliott wave cards all along

By Nico Isaac
9/24/2014 3:15:00 PM

On September 17, gold traders and investors were sure of one thing: IF the Fed kept interest rates near 0% for a "considerable time," gold prices would rise. The Fed did just that -- YET, gold prices dropped 1% that day. What gives?

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, inflation, Interest Rates, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


Thoughts About Extreme Stock Market Sentiment, Optimistic Predictions and Rising U.S. Dollar
Free peek inside our flagship publication

By Editorial Staff
9/24/2014 2:30:00 PM

"The percentage of bears among advisory services...just reached its lowest level of the current bull market: 13.3% (see chart). This means 86.7% of advisors are bullish on the long term trend."

Filed Under: Bear market, deflation, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, long-term trend, Robert Prechter, sentiment, U.S. dollar, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video, 2:43 min.) Gold: "Tarnished for Good"?
The mainstream sentiment is turning against gold. What that means might surprise you

By Nico Isaac
9/23/2014 1:00:00 PM

With the economic numbers rising, a Sept. 23 MarketWatch article predicts that gold prices are "tarnished for good." That's because economic expansions ALWAYS reduce gold's safe-haven demand, right? Not exactly.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, charts, Elliott wave, financial forecast, Gold, inflation, market myths, precious metals, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:19 min.) U.S. Dollar: A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Crash
The greenback's recent history is a story of surviving the odds

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/9/2014 9:30:00 PM

Despite all the gloom-and-doom expectations, the U.S. dollar has been quietly strengthening -- since 2008! So how has the dollar been able to survive and prosper?

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


(Video, 3:21 min.) Despite the Fed's Massive Stimulus, Inflation is Still Low: Why?
U.S. inflation rate is well below 2%

By Bob Stokes
9/4/2014 3:45:00 PM

Central banks in the U.S. and Europe have gone all out to inflate. Even so, economies on both sides of the Atlantic remain in a rut. Inflation rates are well below the targeted 2%. The reason can be summed up in just two words.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


U.S. Dollar Vs. Japanese Yen: Why the Big Sell-off?
Higher U.S. interest rates or not, USDJPY was ready to slide

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2014 5:00:00 PM

Here’s a question for you to ponder: The markets move as a reaction to news, right? We hear those explanations every day. Then how come you can often predict where the market will go before the news? Case in point...

 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, inflation, Interest Rates, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


(Video) Stocks Up, Commodities Down -- Despite QE. What Should You Make of That?
Robert Prechter: "Charts tell the truth. Let’s look at some charts."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/16/2014 5:15:00 PM

During QE3, the latest round of the Fed's quantitative easing, the stock market rose. We all know that. But did you also know that commodities fell? That’s right: QE3 had zero effect on commodities. See for yourself.

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, central banks, commodities, Elliott wave, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Commodities


Sign up to get Elliott wave content delivered to your inbox

Join more than 250,000 traders and investors who receive our FREE market insights and educational resources via email.

We respect your privacy. TRUSTe

Latest Articles
Categories and RSS
Press Room
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts
As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.

© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.