By Bob Stokes
2/8/2012 5:15:00 PM
See the chart that addresses the inflation vs. deflation debate. Then, read the analysis...
Filed Under: deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, inflation, rate of change
Category: U.S. Economy
Do Housing Prices Hurt/Help US Stocks?
See an eye-opening chart in Robert Prechter's current Elliott Wave Theorist that sets the record straight
By Nico Isaac
1/31/2012 5:00:00 PM
"Fundamental" analysis of financial markets follows one simple formula: negative economic data equal a fall in stock prices; positive data equal a rise. And, underneath every mainstream finanical news report, this equation lies. Take, for example, the long-awaited release of the S&P/Case-Shiller Index of US Property Values in 20 major cities.
Filed Under: Bob Prechter, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, fundamental analysis, housing prices, inflation, prechter, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, Wall Street
Category: Stocks
By Nico Isaac
1/12/2012 4:45:00 PM
On the financial playground, long-term bonds are generally the last picked for the winning team -- well behind equities, commodities, high-yield (junk) bonds, even the barely established emerging markets. The reason being: the amount of time it takes to actually reap the fruits of your return. BUT, as a January 5, 2012 CNBC articlereveals, the asset that supposedly nobody loves has outperformed them all.
Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
1/11/2012 4:15:00 PM
The average Kondratieff cycle is 54 years, so one cannot expect precise timing; yet it remains a useful analytical tool. For example, the Kondratieff cycle has been "spot on" when it comes to forecasting the overall trend of Treasury bond yields. Take a look at this chart...
Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, market forecasts, Treasury bonds
Category: U.S. Economy
By Editorial Staff
1/10/2012 10:45:00 AM
Many people think that government intervention in the credit markets will cause major inflation. It's a complex issue to understand, but perhaps this analogy will help clarify what has really been happening.
Filed Under: banks, central banks, consumer credit, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, debt, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter, safe haven, U.S., deflation, inflation, prechter
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
12/6/2011 5:15:00 PM
Even though the economy remains weak, the Fed has not announced additional quantitative easing. Has the central bank reached its monetary and political limit?...
Filed Under: banks, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, monetization, quantitative easing, social mood, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
11/16/2011 4:45:00 PM
Is this the point where Bernanke can no longer use Fed policy to "inflate at will"? Well, Robert Prechter says something "momentous" happened on September 21, 2011...
Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Nico Isaac
11/1/2011 2:30:00 PM
U.S. treasuries have long since been the butt of the financial joke, ridiculed for being worth little more than the paper they're issued on. The idea being: once you factor in early redemption penalties and inflation, the interest payments on long- or even short-dated securities often outweigh the capital gains. Not Anymore.
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, cash, conquer the crash, credit crisis, emerging markets, inflation, investment decisions, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Treasuries
Category: Stocks
Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part III
The world's foremost Elliott wave expert goes "behind the scenes" on the Federal Reserve
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/10/2011 11:30:00 AM
This is Part III, the final part of Elliott Wave International's series "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed: The world's foremost Elliott wave expert goes 'behind the scenes' on the Federal Reserve."
Filed Under: Club EWI, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, monetization, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries
Category: U.S. Economy
Will Commodities Save Your Portfolio? Connect the Dots
If stocks and hard assets are "supposed to" move in opposite directions, how do you explain this chart from Bob Prechter's "Conquer the Crash"?
By Nico Isaac
10/6/2011 5:45:00 PM
In 2008, the mainstream experts were dead set on the idea that commodities would provide shelter from the maelstrom raging within stocks and bonds. Their outlook was based on expectations for a repeat of the 1970's inflation and the theory that stocks and commodities always move in opposite directions. YET -- from its July 2008 peak, the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of commodities plummeted 58% in its biggest decline in 28 years -- right alongside plunging stock markets.
Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Robert Prechter, CRB index, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, fundamental analysis, history, inflation, liquidity, technical analysis
Category: Commodities
Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part II
The world's foremost Elliott wave expert goes "behind the scenes" on the Federal Reserve
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/3/2011 11:30:00 AM
This is Part II of our three-part series "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed." "Let’s attempt to define what gives the dollar objective value. As we will see in the next section, the dollar is 'backed' primarily by government bonds, which are promises to pay dollars. So today, the dollar is a promise backed by a promise..."
Filed Under: Club EWI, deflation, hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/26/2011 4:00:00 PM
Bear markets are cunning beasts. Don't get me wrong -- we are not in the bear market territory yet. At least, not officially. But look at this chart of the DJIA...
Filed Under: Bear market, debt crisis, deflation, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Gold, gold futures, inflation, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, safe haven, silver, silver futures, U.S. dollar
Category: Stocks
By Nico Isaac
9/26/2011 3:45:00 PM
The giant sinkhole in gold prices keeps yawning wider. Since kicking into low-gear on September 22, gold prices have plunged 9% in their steepest three-day drop in 28 years. On September 23, gold endured a never-before-seen $120/day intraday wipeout. EWI's Metals Specialty Service might have some answers for you...
Filed Under: debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, gold futures, inflation, safe haven, silver, silver futures
Category: Gold and Silver
Stocks Rebound After the August Crash. Are We Out of the Woods?
Prechter's detailed look at the market's pattern, momentum, sentiment and other important technical evidence helps you navigate stocks from here.
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/20/2011 2:00:00 PM
Reality check: Few investors realize that in just 2 weeks in August, the stock market erased all the gains of 2010 and 2011.
But after those 2 rough weeks in August, stocks rallied for more than 6 weeks -- a rally three times longer than the decline. Does it mean that stocks are out of the woods?
Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, Gold, hyperinflation, inflation, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, silver, stock indexes, U.S. dollar
Category: Stocks
(VIDEO) Prechter: "The Trend Is Exhausted"
The August Elliott Wave Theorist gives you an important review of ALL of the indicators and ALL of the charts that Prechter has shown subscribers over the past year
By Alexandra Lienhard
9/16/2011 11:30:00 AM
What is the real problem with today's market? Watch this excerpt from Robert Prechter's special, video issue of the August Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter explains how the buildup of dollar-denominated debt has brought us to what he calls a critical market juncture.
Filed Under: debt, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter, safe haven, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/2/2011 5:30:00 PM
How do you know when "something's up" in the markets? "When markets that were once diverging begin to trend together" -- that's how, says editor Brian Whitmer in the September 2011 issue of his monthly European Financial Forecast. Inside the September 2011 issue...
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, DAX, deflation, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, soverign debt crisis, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, volume
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/7/2011 12:30:00 PM
Why is now "the most exciting Elliott wave juncture in months," as the headline says? Because Elliott wave analysis looks beyond the conventional gauges of trend like civil unrest, unemployment, etc. Stocks have a history of violent trend reversals when few investors expect them...
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott Wave trading, inflation, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index
Category: Asian Markets
Gold and Silver: Why Are Prices Falling?
The timeline of the selloff reveals whether the recent news headlines are the real culprit
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2011 3:30:00 PM
Gold and silver fell hard again on May 5: Gold touched an intraday low of $1463 per ounce (from $1,577 on May 2), and silver fell as low as $35 an ounce (from $49 on April 25.) Investors want explanations, and here are some of the more popular ones...
Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, gold futures, hedge funds, inflation, mania, market crash, market manipulation, safe haven, short selling, silver futures, U.S. dollar, volatility
Category: Gold and Silver
By Bob Stokes
5/3/2011 5:30:00 PM
Gas and food costs appear to be such a persuasive argument for inflation that it's easy to overlook other economic data -- such as...
Filed Under: consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, foreclosures, inflation
Category: U.S. Economy
U.S. Dollar: Is This Finally "Curtains" for the Buck?
The U.S. credit outlook is negative, fiscal imbalances are out of control. But the dollar knows how to surprise
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/25/2011 1:45:00 PM
When on April 18 the Standard & Poor's ratings agency downgraded the U.S. credit outlook to negative, the U.S. dollar didn't immediately crash -- it actually gained that day. That surprised a lot of people...
Filed Under: credit crisis, credit rating, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, inflation, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), Elliott Wave trading
Category: Currencies