Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Can the Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%?
This question is not as preposterous as it may seem.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/9/2016 4:15:00 PM

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), inflation, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: U.S. Economy


(Chart of the Day, 2:21 min.) Knocking on Deflation’s Door: Global CPI “Flatlines”
This chart of consumer price index (CPI) of the world’s 37 advanced economies tells quite a story

By Tyler Robert
11/10/2015 4:15:00 PM

This chart shows you the annual percentage change in the consumer price index -- or CPI -- of the world’s 37 advanced economies. CPI tracks prices that households pay for a basket of goods and services. And here's what’s relevant about this chart...

Filed Under: consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, video, Video - Featured

Category: Global Markets


Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk?
Why falling food prices are not a boon for Europe's economy

By Nico Isaac
10/27/2015 5:45:00 PM

In the early 1990s, two simple words transformed the way the U.S. consumer saw it: "Got Milk?" Suddenly, the narrative changed from an obligatory drink you had to finish as a kid -- into a sexy, funny, and above all desirable treat for all ages. Until now.

Filed Under: consumer credit, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, eu, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, inflation, unemployment

Category: European Markets


Currency Devaluation's Dangerous Role in Deflation
See why "China's central bank surprise devaluation of yuan" was no surprise at all

By Editorial Staff
10/23/2015 12:15:00 PM

"Surprise" has been a common word used by investors and financial pundits to describe the recent yuan devaluations by China's central bank -- as in, "China's central bank surprise devaluation of yuan." But what if we told you it wasn't a surprise -- it was, in fact, an expected event?

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, central banks, Chinese markets, currency, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, inflation, U.S. dollar, yuan

Category: Currencies


Why Weaker Euro Has Little to Do with "Negative Inflation"
Fact is, the euro was on its way down DAYS before the latest "negative Inflation" report from Europe

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/1/2015 12:15:00 AM

Blaming the euro weakness on "negative inflation" -- or, deflation, if you call a spade a spade -- is a logical choice. After all, the euro did get weaker after the report. However, if you look at these EURUSD charts, you'll see that this weakness started days ago.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, inflation, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(New Podcast, Free on iTunes) How to Make National News by Doing Nothing
Pop Trends, Price Culture is our free, weekly podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets

By Robert Folsom
9/25/2015 3:00:00 PM

80%+ of economists predicted the Fed would raise interest rates. But… almost the entire economics profession was caught off guard. Listen to this "follow-up story" you won’t get anyplace else on the new Pop Trends Price Culture episode.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:14 min.) Anticipating a Rise in the Dollar Index
Greenback bears ask, ‘Why no inflation?’

By Bob Stokes
9/23/2015 4:00:00 PM

Many U.S. dollar bears have expected inflation to trigger a collapse in the greenback. But inflation has been missing in action. Only one asset is sure to gain value during deflation.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. dollar, video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


(Interview, 4:51 min.) Deflation: It's Been a Stealth Move
Elliott Wave International’s European Financial Forecast Editor discusses deflation

By Alexandra Lienhard
9/21/2015 11:30:00 AM

In this new interview, Elliott Wave International’s Brian Whitmer explains the indirect connection between Europe’s volatility and deflation.

Filed Under: CAC40, DAX, deflation, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, interview, monetary policy, volatility

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:33 min.) Janet Yellen: “We Expect Inflation to Move Back to 2%.” (Don’t Hold Your Breath.)
The deflationary trend is more powerful than the Fed

By Bob Stokes
9/18/2015 3:00:00 PM

The Fed’s 2% inflation target remains elusive even after a prolonged period of near-zero interest rates. We see evidence of a rare economic trend that the Fed will be powerless against. See two charts that help to explain.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - FRUP

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:16 min.) "Below Target"? – Who Said You Can Set a "Target"?
Chart of the day

By Robert Folsom
9/10/2015 4:00:00 PM

What you’re looking at is a chart of... failure. This humble graph shows you changes in the price index for personal consumption expenditures, or PCE. It’s like the consumer price index, but...

Filed Under: consumer confidence, consumer credit, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:13 min.) The Fed's Favorite Measuring Stick
See two charts that explain why the Federal Reserve's been failing to stimulate economic growth

By Editorial Staff
8/13/2015 4:45:00 PM

U.S. retail sales rose in July, but to get the full picture, you need to see the two charts Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst recently shared with a packed house at the San Francisco MoneyShow. Watch.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, consumer credit, consumer price index, consumer spending, Elliott wave, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, QE2, quantitative easing, steve hochberg, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Gold: Quoth the "Safe Haven" Nevermore
Why the precious metal king is really falling

By Nico Isaac
8/7/2015 4:00:00 PM

What do you do when the plane of the global economy runs out of fuel in mid-air? Mainstream financial wisdom says, you strap on the ultimate parachute of safety -- precious metals -- and make a nice, soft landing. Here's the problem, though...

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, precious metals, recession, safe haven

Category: Gold and Silver


Gold: How to Time the Next MAJOR Bottom
See this surprising "central banks indicator" of big reversals in gold prices

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/22/2015 4:45:00 PM

If you live in the U.S., maybe you've noticed lately that "We Buy Gold!" signs are disappearing from sidewalks in front of pawn shops. The signs really began popping up in 2010-2011, when gold prices were climbing to their all-time high of $1900 an ounce. And even after gold tumbled...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, central banks, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, hyperinflation, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, precious metals, Robert Prechter, safe haven

Category: Gold and Silver


Platinum: See the Real Reason for Its Recent Retreat to a 6-Year Low
Through the telescope of Elliott wave analysis, the sell-off is a lot less mystifying

By Nico Isaac
7/22/2015 1:30:00 PM

When platinum prices plunged to a 6.5 year low on July 17, the mainstream experts blamed the Fed's anticipated rate hike. But that kind of logic is nowhere near inside the right orbit.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis, inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy, platinum futures, precious metals, quantitative easing, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:20 min.) Just How Bullish Is the Latest Move by China’s Central Bank?
Learn about the one factor central banks too often overlook when they push policy levers

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/22/2015 5:00:00 PM

Lending and borrowing are lifeblood of today’s economy. So the fact that China is making more money available for lending seems like a step in the right direction. Except, making money available is not everything -- here's why.

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing

Category: Stocks


(Podcast, 9:17 min.) The Who and Why of Getting PAID to Borrow Money
Pop Trends, Price Culture is a new, free podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets.

By Editorial Staff
3/26/2015 6:15:00 PM

Can you believe that these days someone can get paid to BORROW money? No? Well, Nestle Corporation just did. Listen to this free podcast for some illuminating details.

Filed Under: deflation, inflation, Interest Rates, investor psychology, social mood

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:15 min.) Why Falling Prices Really Are a Mixed Blessing
First crude oil, now milk. Are stocks next?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/23/2015 6:00:00 PM

Crude oil isn't the only market to plunge recently. Milk prices are also down -- by a third! As with crude, at first it sounds like great news. But as we've shown on these pages before, falling prices -- which is one of the effects of deflation -- are not all for the good. Here's why.

Filed Under: crude oil, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 6:12 min.) If Money Is On Sale, Why Is Almost No One Buying?
Government bonds of several major global economies, including the U.S., are paying shockingly low interest. Why?

By Editorial Staff
3/17/2015 5:00:00 PM

Pop Trends, Price Culture is a new, free podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets. In this episode, you'll see two eye-opening charts that are very relevant to the ongoing discussions about the Fed's interest rate policy.

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), inflation, Interest Rates, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:54 min.) Why Inflation Has Gone Missing
Central banks are no match for the developing trend of deflation

By Bob Stokes
3/9/2015 2:45:00 PM

U.S. inflation remains low despite the Federal Reserve's unprecedented policy of monetary easing. Global inflation is also subdued. See a major indicator that reflects worldwide economic weakness.

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


"Audit the Fed"? We've Already Done That (Well, Kind of)
Our conclusion: The Fed is not in control of the economy -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
2/26/2015 6:30:00 AM

The controversial "Audit the Fed" bill is soon before Congress. But, we at EWI have long since conducted our own "audit" of the Fed -- and the results might shock you.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bob Prechter, central banks, charts, Club EWI, commodities, Conquer the Crash, credit crisis, crude oil, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, Interest Rates, market myths, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy



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