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TAG: GREAT DEPRESSION Return to Free Updates Home Page

Killer Debt: Dubai, Greece, Spain -- Now the Baltics?
"Baltics Ready to Blow," said EWI's analyst three months ago.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/10/2009 2:00:00 PM

This week, Fitch Ratings announced that “Latvia and Lithuania’s ratings are under pressure from the sharp deterioration in public finances.” They've also just cut their rating on Greek government bonds, and S&P cut its outlook for Spain's debt from to "negative." All that less than three weeks after Dubai defaulted on its debt through its subsidiary Dubai World. Should you care? Yes, says EWI's Jason Farkas.

Filed Under: Latvia, Lithuania, baltics, Spain, greek debt, dubai, default, currency devaluation, great depression
Category: Economy


More Inflation: The Easiest Call on the Planet

by Susan C. Walker
6/19/2009 5:00:00 PM

Despite the impressive brain power behind some financial gurus' calls for hyperinflation,  Elliott Wave International maintains the opposite opinion: that the world’s financial system is in the early stages of the greatest deflation ever.

Filed Under: hyperinflation, deflation, great depression, Paul Krugman
Category: Classic Prechter


U.S. Stocks: Eternal Question of the Spotless Sun

by Nico Isaac
5/5/2009 5:15:00 PM
It's common knowledge that if you look directly at the sun, you go blind; or at the very least, become visually impaired. In matters of finance, however, "looking" directly at the solar surface actually heightens one's predictive vision...
Filed Under: sunspots, us stocks, dow jones industrial average, great depression, solar flares
Category: Stocks


Update: On the Road to 33% Unemployment

by Susan C. Walker
2/6/2009 12:00:00 PM

As bad as we may think that unemployment is now, the bear market and deflationary depression we have entered are going to make it worse, says Bob Prechter in his latest Elliott Wave Theorist. How much worse?

Filed Under: unemployment, jobless claims, great depression, unemployment benefits, u-6
Category: Classic Prechter


U.S. Stocks: How "Undervalued" Are They, Really?

by Nico Isaac
1/26/2009 5:15:00 PM

Many of main street's biggest economic soothsayers and scholars say the bear's end is in sight. According to a recent survey, "78% of institutional money managers believe the stock market is now undervalued." Stocks aren't cheap, says one of the polled. "Stocks are DIRT cheap."  Are they right?

Filed Under: u.s. stock market, dow jones industrial average, undervalued, great depression
Category: Stocks


Arsenic And Old Base Metals: Next Victim, Copper (VIDEO)
Another successful example of contrarian approach to market forecasting.

by Nico Isaac
12/4/2008 5:00:00 PM

From its July 2008 all-time peak, copper prices have plummeted 60% -- leading the way in tthe worst base metals collapse since the Great Depression. As for seeing the red metal's reversal BEFORE it began, EWI's Senior Metals Analyst Mike Drakulich has the honor.

Filed Under: Copper, base metals, great depression, aluminum
Category: Precious Metals


Can The Fed Stave Off Another "Great Depression"?

by Nico Isaac
12/3/2008 4:00:00 PM

The Federal Reserve has fired more rounds on its bailout bazooka than Rambo in hopes of keeping the leading pillars of the U.S. economy afloat. This extension of virtually unlimited credit, says Bernanke, will stave off another Great Depression. Is He Right?

Filed Under: ben bernanke, great depression, bailout, bailouts, Federal Reserve, dow jones industrial average, Bear market
Category: Economy


Update: Today is Not Like 1929! No, It's Worse

by Susan C. Walker
12/2/2008 12:45:00 PM

Ben Bernanke says that today's current economic and financial woes don't compare with the Great Depression in the late 1920s and 1930s. Too bad he can't see what Bob Prechter sees – that today's problems are actually worse.

Filed Under: Bernanke, great depression, recession, stock crash, bailout
Category: Classic Prechter


Higher Fed-ucation: Will Rate Cuts Rescue The U.S. Economy?

by Nico Isaac
11/4/2008 10:15:00 AM
One of the top-selling Halloween costumes this year was a latex mask of Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's bearded likeness. Seems rather fitting, considering -- The economy-saving capabilities of the Federal Reserve are an illusory façade. For some, such a statement runs a close second to blasphemy. I say, let the facts, NOT blind faith, speak.
Filed Under: Federal Reserve, great depression, rate cut, monetary policy, Fed
Category: Economy


Today is Not Like 1929! No, It's Worse

by Editorial Staff
9/12/2008 3:00:00 PM

Now, with the Dow in decline and the current problems with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Lehman on the front pages, more people may want to know exactly what Bob Prechter has forecast for the U.S. economy.

Filed Under: Fannie Mae, Lehman, great depression, 1929, U.S. economy, crash, Bear market, South Sea Bubble
Category: Classic Prechter


Banks Need Therapy, Too
But maybe they shouldn't count on the couch

by Alan Hall
9/5/2008 4:15:00 PM

...a recent Atlanta Journal Constitution headline: “Therapists helping builders cope during housing slump.” The article explained how “Every builder seems to know a colleague swamped in debt, and a few know friends in the business who have taken their lives.” A year ago, few imagined that smiling builders talking on cell phones in big trucks would soon be seeking emotional support on therapists’ couches.

Filed Under: bailout, bailouts, banking crisis, Fannie Mae, Fed, Federal Reserve, Forecast, Forecasts, Freddie Mac, great depression, housing crisis, housing market, housing prices, housing slump
Category: Cultural Trends


Did You Ever Think A Financial Crisis Would Feel Like This?
The credit crunch has already been more damaging than any of the financial crises of the past two decades.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/29/2008 11:00:00 AM
Pictures and video footage I've seen from the Great Depression almost always shows unmistakable signs of a real economic tragedy: people lined up on the street, waiting for help; homeless sleeping on a park bench; families living in tents; and everywhere – misery, desolation and despair. Looking around now, I see none of those things.  If anything, I see the opposite...
Filed Under: great depression, housing slump, credit crunch, crash of 1987, dotcom bubble, tulip mania
Category: Economy


A Non-Guarantee Put to the Test (part 1)
The Ballad of Fannie & Freddie

by Robert Folsom
3/13/2008 2:30:00 PM

Once upon a time, the U.S. government created the secondary mortgage market. (During FDR's New Deal, if you're dying to know). With help from the agency known as Fannie Mae, this government creation grew tall and strong. What's more, the government held a virtual monopoly over its creation for several decades -- and after all, the market was its creation....

Filed Under: credit crunch, Freddie Mac, government bonds, great depression, Real Estate, real-estate, recession, subprime, subprime mortgage, subprime mortgages, Wall Street
Category: Economy


The Fed Can't Stop Deflation
Five rate cuts and $200 billion later, and the U.S. economy is none the richer.

by Nico Isaac
3/10/2008 3:45:00 PM

Whether it's minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee, excerpts from the latest beige book reading, or some suggestive cough or sneeze in between -- the mainstream media answers the call of the Fed’s voice like a cat to an electric can opener. History shows, however, that all the Fed has to say -- and do -- comes AFTER the biggest moves in U.S. economy have already taken place.

Filed Under: Federal Reserve, Fed, interest rate cuts, cash infusion, $200 billion, termination auction facility, Labor Department, jobless rate, great depression, conquer the crash
Category: Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.