European Stocks: A Chicken or a Fox?
EWI's European Stocks Specialty Service brings you original price charts and objective Elliott wave analysis of the Euro STOXX 50's next big move
By Nico Isaac
2/8/2012 5:30:00 PM
If you didn't know any better, you might think the recent news items regarding the European stock markets were being written from inside a loony bin. Case in point, the following slew of Euro-related headlines: "European stocks DECLINED as Greek talks... continued" -- VERSUS -- "European Stocks RISE Amid Greet Debt Talks."
Filed Under: Bob Prechter, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis, prechter, Prechter's Perspective, Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Category: European Markets
Do Housing Prices Hurt/Help US Stocks?
See an eye-opening chart in Robert Prechter's current Elliott Wave Theorist that sets the record straight
By Nico Isaac
1/31/2012 5:00:00 PM
"Fundamental" analysis of financial markets follows one simple formula: negative economic data equal a fall in stock prices; positive data equal a rise. And, underneath every mainstream finanical news report, this equation lies. Take, for example, the long-awaited release of the S&P/Case-Shiller Index of US Property Values in 20 major cities.
Filed Under: Bob Prechter, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, fundamental analysis, housing prices, inflation, prechter, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, Wall Street
Category: Stocks
Oil Prices: Which Way Is Up?
EWI's Energy Specialty Service attempts to cut a plain, clear picture of crude oil's near-, and long-term future
By Nico Isaac
1/30/2012 10:00:00 PM
When it comes to "fundamental" analysis of financial markets, one giant hurdle exists that makes it next to impossible to gauge where prices will go next: its total reliance on events outside the markets. Wars and peace; economic reports; political news; you name it, it all goes in the pot. As a result, not only is the public constantly adjusting how they perceive these events, but also the events themselves are constantly changing.
Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis
Category: Energy
Natural Gas Price Heat Up: Will the Rally Continue?
EWI's Energy Specialty Service was one step ahead of natural gas' recent bounce. See how it fits the Elliott wave script.
By Nico Isaac
1/24/2012 3:15:00 PM
On January 23, the natural gas market went from stone cold to steaming hot, with prices enjoying a near 8% intraday surge. Today I sit down with EWI's Energy Specialty Service editor Steve Craig to discuss what's behind the energy's magnificent rise. The main point: Elliott wave analysis enabled Steve to anticipate the turn up in natural gas BEFORE any big ticket bullish fundamental news event hit the press.
Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, natural gas
Category: Energy
By Nico Isaac
1/19/2012 4:30:00 PM
As I write, the wheels on one of the most dangerous stock market myths go round and round in the mainstream finanical press. SEE this news item from January 12: "A drop in oil prices and strong bond auctions in Europe drove US stocks to a slightly higher close today." (Irish Examiner) The problem is, there is no consistent inverse correlation between oil prices and stock prices. It's time for this particular notion to meet its maker.
Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott Wave Theorist, fundamental analysis, prechter, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET
Category: Energy
CORN-undrum? Why Have Corn Prices Been Falling?
EWI's Daily Futures Junctures presents the clear, objective story of the grain king's recent pain.
By Nico Isaac
1/18/2012 4:00:00 PM
Today I'm sitting down with EWI's chief commodity analyst and Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy to discuss the recent drama in the grain market king, corn. On January 12, corn prices plummeted more than 6% in the market's worst slump in three months. And, according to the mainstream experts, one main factor drove the grain to its recent pain. Check out the full story today.
Filed Under: corn futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, grain futures, interview, Jeffrey Kennedy
Category: Commodities
Have You Lost YOUR Way Amidst Gold's Wild Price Swings?
Since gold's early December high, EWI's Metals Specialty Service has consistently recognized critical price action in gold
By Nico Isaac
1/11/2012 4:15:00 PM
In the final months of 2011, the widely watched "gold bull market" started to adopt its name, literally. Meaning, the price action in gold took on the life of a rodeo bull, swinging and bucking wildly in every direction, hurdling off the pundits one by one. Here's the scene: In early December, gold took the bull by the horns with prices nearing a lofty $1740 per ounce. Three major events were said to keep the hooves firmly planted to the ground
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Gold, precious metals, safe haven
Category: Gold and Silver
Commodities: A Clear Trend for the Next 20 Years -- Learn What It Is
EWI chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy's "Unedited: Forecasting" video presents a "very, very big picture view" of commodities for the next two decades
By Nico Isaac
1/9/2012 6:30:00 PM
If analysis of financial markets was a stage, then all the "fundamental analysis" players would be doing improv: They react to one unexpected external prompt after another, all the while trying to string together a cohesive story -- often to no avail. Practitioners of Elliott wave analysis, on the other side, would be actual theater actors: They memorize script lines (i.e., Elliott wave patterns) and anticipate how the scenes on stage should unfold. And right now, EWI's chief commodity analyst and Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy shows you that the "stage" for commodities is set for one of the most dramatic "performances" in recent memory.
Filed Under: CRB index, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, U.S. dollar
Category: Commodities
By Nico Isaac
12/27/2011 3:30:00 PM
According to the famous song -- on the fifth day of Christmas, "my true love gave to me five golden rings." So, on the third day of Christmas (December 27, 2011), I'm giving you THREE things to know about the flaunted asset GOLD that completely go against mainstream financial wisdom.
Filed Under: fundamental analysis, Gold, recession, safe haven, Wall Street
Category: Gold and Silver
By Editorial Staff
12/22/2011 9:30:00 AM
Most people's thinking simply defaults to physics when analyzing financial events. But when we take the time to examine the results of applying that model, we find that it is not useful either for predicting or explaining market behavior.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, cultural trends, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investor psychology, prechter, Prechter's Perspective, Robert Prechter, sentiment, social mood, socionomics, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical analysis
Category: Classic Prechter
By Nico Isaac
12/13/2011 3:15:00 PM
Despite its "ultimate safe-haven" status and the worsening European debt crisis, gold has only gone down in December. On December 12, the precious metal plunged more than 3% in its steepest single-day drop in three months. Are gold bulls' days numbered? Well, today (December 13), I am sitting down with EWI's Financial Forecast Service co-editor Pete Kendall to discuss the move.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, European debt crisis, fundamental analysis, Gold, safe haven
Category: Gold and Silver
Germany's DAX Index Rallies on Barrage of…BAD News?
EWI's European Intraday Stocks Specialty Service shows how the latest market rally was anticipated by the near-term Elliott wave picture
By Nico Isaac
12/9/2011 5:30:00 PM
On December 9, Germany’s DAX enjoyed a huge, triple-digit rally DESPITE a slew of bad news longer than Al Capone's rap sheet: i.e. A cut in German's 2012 growth prospects AND sharp decline in the country's exports in October. The market's surge in the midst of such dismal data makes no fundamental sense. It does, however, make Elliott wave sense.
Filed Under: DAX, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, fundamental analysis
Category: European Markets
Crude Oil: The Bulls Are Back In Town
EWI's Energy Specialty Service offers a different perspective on Crude and Brent than the mainstream
By Nico Isaac
12/5/2011 7:00:00 PM
The bulls are back in town! And, they've been spotted hang'n around their old stomping ground: the "Crude Oil Bar and Grill." To wit: On December 5, Wall Street presented its latest commodity forecast -- a bullish one, led by a 3-to-12 month rally in crude oil.
Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Wall Street, Elliott Wave trading
Category: Energy
By Nico Isaac
11/17/2011 5:30:00 PM
Oil markets are like cheeses. There are the processed, bright orange slices of American cheese -- and then, there are the rich and smelly wedges of Gouda. Likewise, no two oil markets are created equal. On one side, there's the more expensive Brent crude from the exotic North Sea in Europe. And then, there's West Texas Intermediate (WTI) from the heartland of Cushing, Oklahoma. The popular "brent/wti spread" is the ever-fluctuating difference between the price of these two oil markets.
Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, momentum
Category: Energy
When the Word "Safe Haven" Can Actually Mean "Run!"
In September 2011, EWI's Commodity Specialty Service foresaw that corn's Elliott wave pattern did not add up to its supposed economic "fall-out shelter" status
By Nico Isaac
11/10/2011 3:45:00 PM
As the harvest season of Indian corn husk-centerpieces draws near, it's the perfect time to look back at a time when corn prices were the centerpiece of the commodity table. That wasn't that long ago; think: two months. In August to early September, corn prices were enjoying a spectacular rally to new contract highs. And according to the mainstream experts, alls well that ends... "yellow."
Filed Under: corn futures, diagonal triangle, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, grain futures, safe haven
Category: Commodities
Is The Grain Pain Over?
EWI's Futures Junctures Service shows you the near-, and long-term trend underway in corn, soybeans, and wheat
By Nico Isaac
11/3/2011 4:00:00 PM
Back in early September, the growing debate about high food costs reached a fever pitch as grain prices continued to leapfrog over one previous record after another. And, according to the mainstream experts, the bullish gun in grains future was cocked and locked. Here, the following news items from the time fill in the blanks (bold added).
Filed Under: corn futures, Daily Futures Junctures, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, soybean futures, wheat futures, Elliott Wave trading
Category: Commodities
By Nico Isaac
10/17/2011 3:30:00 PM
One of the biggest glitches in fundamental market analysis is that it pins future price action on a series of unknown variables. Such as, commodity market "X" moves higher on the "anticipation of" damaging thunderstorms; and, market "Y" falls on "expectations" that Chinese demand will fall. Take the recent history in cocoa.
Filed Under: cocoa futures, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis
Category: Commodities
Hot Topic: Why Natural Gas Should Have Your Attention Now
EWI's Energy Specialty Service uses Elliott wave analysis to show you when and where natural gas prices should fuel up for a major move
By Nico Isaac
10/11/2011 8:00:00 PM
Today we're taking a trip down a short memory lane -- to this summer. If you recall, a deadly heat wave was plaguing every major U.S. metropolis from Boston to Boise. And the only thing more boiling than the temperatures outside was the prices inside the natural gas futures market. According to the mainstream financial experts, unlike the dripping people on the street, natural gas prices would NOT be sweating the upside.
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis
Category: Energy
Will Commodities Save Your Portfolio? Connect the Dots
If stocks and hard assets are "supposed to" move in opposite directions, how do you explain this chart from Bob Prechter's "Conquer the Crash"?
By Nico Isaac
10/6/2011 5:45:00 PM
In 2008, the mainstream experts were dead set on the idea that commodities would provide shelter from the maelstrom raging within stocks and bonds. Their outlook was based on expectations for a repeat of the 1970's inflation and the theory that stocks and commodities always move in opposite directions. YET -- from its July 2008 peak, the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of commodities plummeted 58% in its biggest decline in 28 years -- right alongside plunging stock markets.
Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Robert Prechter, CRB index, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, fundamental analysis, history, inflation, liquidity, technical analysis
Category: Commodities
By Nico Isaac
10/3/2011 3:00:00 PM
In 2008, if you told most mainstream financial experts that crude oil prices would be circling the drain of a one-year low in October 2011, they'd say you were sniffing wood glue. YET -- after hitting an all-time high at $147 in July 2008, oil prices endured a precipitous decline to a low-$30-a-barrel bottom in mid 2009. It was by NOT relying on crude's "fundamentals" that EWI's Energy Specialty Service was able to foresee crude oil's peak in 2008.
Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Goldman Sachs
Category: Energy