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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2009 7:15:00 PM
News stories move the markets -- that's what just about every investor believes. But can you predict what the market will do before the news is released? Let's look at a fresh example: the actio in the EUR/USD on November 4, when the Federal Reserve Bank announced its latest decision on the U.S. interest rates.
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, eur/usd, Federal Reserve, interest rates, u.s. dollar
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2009 3:00:00 PM
Early on October 26, the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro (and the most widely-traded forex pair) began an out-of-the-blue slide from near $1.50. If the dollar's dramatic show of strength in the midst of all the doomsday scenarios surprised you, you're not alone. Anyone looking at the Monday morning forex headlines was likely caught off guard. What's behind the dollar rally?
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, Currencies, forex, eur/usd, euro, china, foreign exchange reserves
Category:
Currencies
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by
Jason Farkas
10/21/2009 1:45:00 PM
An increasingly loud chorus of investors expects the imminent demise of the US dollar and US Treasuries. They also expect that an exploding monetary base and the US’s structural problems will lead to massive inflation. This opinion may prove to be correct in the very long run, but evidence continues to mount that deflationary will come first.
Filed Under:
us dollar, Us treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter, forex, emerging markets, derivatives, high-frequency trading, terrorism
Category:
Economy
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by
Jim Martens, Senior Currency Strategist
10/13/2009 11:45:00 AM
Remember how bearish people were on oil ten years ago? Today, it's the U.S. dollar. This recent headline on DrudgeReport.com, "Kiss the Dollar Goodbye," complete with a picture of a smooching President Obama, is a fair reflection of the sentiment toward the buck. But here's what it likely means...
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, oil, obama, currency, forex
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/18/2009 4:30:00 PM
Trading the EUR/USD has not been easy lately. The exchange rate between the euro and the U.S. dollar (the most widely-traded currency pair) hasn't made much net progress, but it's made up for that in spades by choppy, volatile, sideways-moving market action. When the going gets tough, the tough get going, right? Before you say yes, read these thoughts...
Filed Under:
dollar, euro, forex, Euro dollar exchange rate, Currencies, trading
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/15/2009 10:30:00 AM
Unless you're a financial professional with a keen interest in international bond markets, you probably didn't even notice an obscure news item from Germany last week. Yet it may speak volumes about the coming trend change in the U.S. dollar.
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, u.s. dollar, dollar Index, euro, eur/usd, foreign exchange
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/25/2009 4:30:00 PM
"Fundamental" indicators change with the wind because they apply only to what has already happened. It's easy to "explain" past market action -- try predicting it instead. With Elliott wave analysis, you can. As this chart shows, there is a potentially major opportunity developing in the U.S. dollar right now...
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, u.s. dollar, euro, usd, Bernanke
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/6/2009 2:30:00 PM
Last fall, stocks around the world were falling like a rock, but the U.S. dollar, to most people's surprise, was rallying against the euro -- on fear, said market commentators. Do you remember what happened next? That's right -- the dollar fell hard: Ironically, a sentiment extreme in favor of the dollar marked a huge top. This free classic video explains why...
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, forex, currency
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/28/2009 2:15:00 PM
If you've been frustrated lately by the lack of action in the euro-dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) you're not alone. Since early June the pair has gone nowhere, but that's only the half of it: It has also swung wildly in the 500-pip range between $1.43 and 1.37, as this chart shows...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, u.s. dollar, euro, eur/usd, dx
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/21/2009 2:30:00 PM
Financial markets develop as a series of patterns. If you're like most investors and believe that markets are random -- or, at best, moved by "good" or "bad" news -- you will often find Elliott-based forecasts in conflict with your "macro" views.
Filed Under:
forex, currency trading, u.s. dollar, euro, eur/usd
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/9/2009 4:45:00 PM
If you try and trade forex based on what you read in the news, more often than not you are simply running with the herd. That's not always a bad thing, because the herd goes with the trend, and we all know that "the trend is your friend." But there is one big problem...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, u.s. dollar, euro' trend is your friend
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/22/2009 11:00:00 PM
What creates trends in all liquid, freely-traded markets? That depends on whom you ask. To a conventional market analyst, the answer is news stories and events -- political, economic, you name it. The Elliott Wave Principle, on the other hand, teaches that trends are shaped by the collective mood of the market participants. This quick example may help you decide who's right.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, social mood, risk-averse, forex, currency trading
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/16/2009 2:00:00 PM
When market players' sentiment reaches an optimistic or pessimistic extreme, more often than not you can expect prices to reverse. Ironically, those also are the moments when almost everyone (everyone who is not paying attention to sentiment measures) is convinced that the trend will continue. The latest action in the U.S. dollar is a good example of that...
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, Euro dollar exchange rate, market sentiment, forex
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/5/2009 5:00:00 PM
The U.S. dollar, beaten badly since late April, took the upper hand on June 5 and broke below a psychologically important price point of $1.40 against its main competitor, the euro. But whatever you read in the financial press regarding the "reasons" for the dollar strength, they all pale in comparison with this one: market sentiment. take a look at this chart to understand why.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, dollar strength, sentiment, daily sentiment index, forex
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/22/2009 12:45:00 PM
Jim Martens, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, regularly posts thoughts on the business of forex trading for his subscribers. Below is Jim's latest Market Insight, posted on the morning of May 22.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, eur/usd, Usd/chf, sterling, money management, forex, Currencies, china, u.s. debt
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 2:30:00 PM
Since early May, the U.S. dollar has been losing. Trying to find the cause of the weakness, conventional forex analysts have been citing various reasons -- all of the explaining it really well...after the fact. Watch this free May 8 video for an example of how Elliott wave analysis saw the current dollar weakness before it occurred.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, brazil, china, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2009 2:30:00 PM
Elliott wave analysis is all about looking at charts, in different time frames, in search of clear Elliott wave patterns. What does that mean in practice? Here's a good example. (Don't forget: Forex FreeWeek at elliottwave.com continues through noon on May 20.)
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, yen, sterling, gbp, EURGBP, British pound, Swiss franc, new zealand dollar, forex
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/6/2009 10:30:00 AM
If you trade forex, you've probably noticed that some markets have behaved erratically in recent weeks. The EUR/USD, for example, the most widely-traded currency pair, would go sideways for days -- but then start swinging wildly from hour to hour. What's going on? Here are some thoughts on this from Jim Martens, EWI's Senior Currency Strategist.
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, eur/usd, prechter
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2009 12:30:00 PM
As long as you know how to type, few things are easier than entering an online trading order. What's difficult is winning on those trades. "Ease of trading" does not equal "ease of winning," yet inexperienced traders confuse the two all the time. Is it any wonder, then, that statistically only about 5% of futures traders make money over the long haul?
Filed Under:
trading, futures, Currencies, forex, Stocks, ETFs, options
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2009 4:00:00 PM
This is a good week to talk about clarity of Elliott wave patterns in forex market charts. For example, take a look at the messy patterns the euro-dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) has been showing since Monday, April 13...
Filed Under:
eur/usd, euro-dllar exchange rate, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...
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 In this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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