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European Stocks: "Hope And Optimism Prevail"
These are not the typical psychological conditions for a stock market bottom.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/30/2009 3:45:00 PM

Conventional economists have no shortage of villains to blame the financial crisis on – but if you ask us at EWI, the culprits are as old as investing itself: fear and greed. Whether you are in a financial bubble or a panic, a herding mentality of fear or greed takes over. This curious behavioral phenomenon is precisely what the Elliott Wave Principle describes and studies: Wave patterns in market charts are nothing but fear and greed unfolding right before your eyes. Take a look...

Filed Under: dax, fear, greed
Category: European Markets


Hanging by a Single Horsehair
Significant problems lie ahead for our new President and Congress.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/11/2008 3:30:00 PM

Fear and greed. The human predilection for cyclic, emotional progression and the basis of the Elliott Wave Principle. We are up to our necks in the fear side of the cycle, and for plenty of good reasons. The Sword of Damocles was only hanging by a single horsehair.  Just how much weight can that horsehair support?  

Filed Under: u.s. treasury, fear, bonds, GDP, Sword of Damocles, credit default swaps, Federal Reserve
Category: Economy


(Video) EURUSD: Fear in the Markets? Watch for a Trend Change
Market environment is often a helpfl hint at a trend change.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/3/2008 6:00:00 PM
Market environment – that is, news and views surrounding a market – can help you quite a bit when you're trying to determine the trend. At tops, everyone is super-bullish; at bottoms, they are full of fear. In both cases, that's the time to watch for trend reversals. To understand this concept better, watch this free 6-minute video by Jim Martens, EWI's Senor Currency Strategist.
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, forex, Currencies, fear
Category: Currencies


European Stocks: Fear and Greed
Elliott Wave International discusses how the current stocks sell-off is driven more by fear than rational thinking.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/9/2008 10:00:00 PM

You watch financial news, you know what's going on. Spooked by "concerns over a potential U.S. recession," investors are dumping shares on both sides of the pond. But if you ask us, what's going on here is as old as investing itself: fear and greed. Fear and greed move investors. Fear and greed move market prices, too.

Filed Under: recession, dax, fear, greed, european stocks, India Nifty, SENSEX, S&P CNX NIfty, China Shanghai Composite, iShares FTSE/Xinhua China Trust, iShares MSCI Emerging Index
Category: European Markets


The Monsters are Due on Wall Street

by Susan C. Walker
11/30/2007 11:20:23 AM

Fear makes people want to sell their stocks. It takes a level head to shake off thoughts of fear when others seem consumed by it – particularly when you invest in the markets.

Filed Under: fear, Stocks, Wall St.
Category: Market Watch


Saturday Night in Boomtown
It's a shootout, but not in corral, and it's not OK

by Alan Hall
7/30/2007 1:50:00 PM

Global investors woke today with the bruises and blinding headaches of binge-drinkers after last week's wild-west bar-fight. In the heat of the action, the bartender left the saloon, and withered LBO prospects hid behind the piano and watched sullen credit markets shoot up the liquidity cabinet. The sheriff made himself scarce, and the undertaker, who has seen it all before, waited patiently at home. Another Saturday night in Boomtown.

Filed Under: credit crunch, fear, debt
Category: Economy


The Bear Earth
This is success?

by Alan Hall
2/6/2007 1:05:00 PM

At a dinner recently, I told friends I didn't have all the information I needed to decide whether global warming is caused by humans. They inched away from me, glaring as if I had blasphemed. The issue is emotional and political, and feelings cloud perception.

Filed Under: war, fear
Category: Cultural Trends


Wild On The Edges
Where the action is

by Alan Hall
12/6/2006 11:45:00 AM

Edges are where the social and biological action is; they’re the first places shaped by change. On the edges of seacoasts, forests, riverbanks, and -- real-estate bubbles – gulls scream, chipmunks gambol, poison ivy grows, dreamers gamble, and predators wait. Edges are where most of the feeding happens. So what does this have to do with commodities?

Filed Under: Commodities, inflation, fear
Category: Commodities


Is War Good for the Economy?
Just because "everyone" says so...

by Alan Hall
10/11/2006 11:00:00 AM

The "Little Orphan Annie" comic strip character Daddy Warbucks is still a multi-millionaire, and he recently spoke before Congress in a new incarnation -- young, buzz-cut and handsome. Like death, taxes and the weather, war profiteers are perennial, and little is done about them. And it's useless to pass judgment on war itself; it's such a fixture of human history that some see it as a kind of progress. So, let's assess the popular notion that war is good for the economy.

Filed Under: Economy, war, Daddy Warbucks, fear
Category: Economy


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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...

EWI's New Trading eBook: How to Trade the Highest Probability Opportunities: Price Bars and Chart PatternsIn this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.

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To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Wars: Do they affect the stock market's Elliott wave patterns? 
> Market manipulation: Can wave patterns detect it?  
> Warren Bufett: Doesn't his latest major purchase boost market mood? 
> George Soros' Reflexivity Theory: Similar to Prechter's socionomics? 
> College tuition: Will it cost more or less in a deflation? 
> Currencies: How do I count Elliott waves between cash and futures? 
> Weekends and trading halts: How do they factor into Elliott wave count? 
> Crisis Part II: Who will people blame if stocks crash again? 
> Socionomics and 'The Wisdom of Crowds': Any connection? 
> Do you know of any mutual funds that use Elliott wave analysis? 

Club EWI Members: Click Here

 
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IN THE MEDIA
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As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.