Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Eurozone's New Lending Habit: Say Cheese!
The area's unmitigated slide in bank lending is a key milestone on the march toward deflation

By Nico Isaac
2/8/2016 10:30:00 AM

Food for thought: "Fed up with banks' reluctance to lend," one of Italy's most prominent dairy co-ops has raised 6 million euros via bonds backed by cheese! It's a little funny at first read. But the larger issue here is actually quite serious.

 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, charts, credit crisis, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast

Category: European Markets


Japan: Negative Rates Redux
The recent history of Japan (and Europe) shows that negative interest rates do not yield positive economic results

By Nico Isaac
1/29/2016 6:00:00 PM

On January 29, the Bank of Japan slashed interest rates into negative territory in hopes of fending off further economic weakness. History shows, however, the "free money" policy is futile against the "immutable" forces of finance.

 

Filed Under: Bank of England, Bank of Japan, banks, central banks, charts, Conquer the Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


EURUSD Falls off a Cliff: See Why in One Chart
See how forex traders used Mr. Draghi comment as an "excuse" to sell the euro

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/21/2016 1:00:00 PM

"EURUSD plunged after ECB President Drahgi announced that there are 'no limits' to how far the ECB will deploy its tools. The problem with blaming euro weakness on his comments is that the decline started earlier, much earlier."

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: How a Simple Chart Pattern Can Tell You What's Next
Elliott wave patterns repeat at all degrees of trend, making forex markets predictable

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/14/2016 6:15:00 PM

With the world's attention focused on the stock markets for the past two weeks, it's easy to overlook what's been happening in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, forecasts, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Interview, 5:08 min.) "Markets Are Stronger Than Governments"
Our European markets expert explains why

By Alexandra Lienhard
12/21/2015 4:15:00 PM

In this new interview with Brian Whitmer, the editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast newsletter, you'll learn why "the markets are more powerful than governments."

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, deflation, Elliott Wave Principle, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, Greek debt, interview, Swiss franc, video

Category: European Markets


The REAL Reason Why the Euro Crushed the U.S. Dollar
See why the European Central Bank was not the real reason behind the euro's Dec. 3 rally

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/3/2015 4:30:00 PM

Days before the ECB announcement on December 3, EURUSD charts began to show a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern called an "ending diagonal." You can see this price pattern here.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets

Category: Currencies


Euro vs. U.S. Dollar: What Will the "Big News Week" Bring?
There really IS a way to know right now what's likely next for EURUSD

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/30/2015 5:30:00 PM

This week promises to be big on economic news. Meanwhile, EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market, has been trading lower and lower over the past few days, as the U.S. dollar got stronger. How might the upcoming events impact this trend?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), yuan

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Up, Down -- and Up Again?
Forex markets go where market players' collective psychology takes them

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2015 5:30:00 PM

A little while back, we wrote that, after a big drop in the euro, its Elliott wave patterns called for a rally. It was a "terminal thrust" lower from an Elliott wave triangle pattern that tipped us off to the coming bullish turn in EURUSD...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Interview, 6:17 min.) The D-word: Deflation
Deflation is a rare environment -- and that's why it presents rare market opportunities

By Erin Hindes
11/13/2015 11:00:00 AM

Deflation is usually considered a "bad" word. Brian Whitmer, our European editor, addresses why the media and some economists go to such great lengths to avoid saying the D-word, and why deflation may also present rare market opportunities.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Brian Whitmer, credit crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, interview

Category: European Markets


Currency Devaluation: Quick-Fix or Complete Fiasco?
Real world example: the euro/ U.S. dollar exchange rate

By Nico Isaac
11/12/2015 2:15:00 PM

The list of countries joining the currency devaluation bandwagon keeps growing. But how effective is this strategy really for restoring economic growth?

Filed Under: charts, Chinese markets, currency, Elliott wave, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, yuan

Category: European Markets


(Chart of the Day, 2:16 min.) Why You Should Pay Attention to Stock Market's Bull/Bear Ratio
Sentiment: the under-appreciated market indicator you can use

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/5/2015 3:45:00 PM

European stocks, just like stocks in the U.S., enjoyed a rebound over the past few weeks. You may have heard different reasons for the rally in Europe, but here’s one most analysts overlook -- and in our opinion, it’s one of the most important reasons.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, eu, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, sentiment, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:19 min.) U.S. Dollar Vs. Euro: Why the Euro Took a Tumble
EURUSD fell sharply after the ECB's recent statement. But was that the REAL reason? Watch.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/5/2015 3:15:00 PM

After a recent statement by the ECB's president Mario Draghi, EURUSD, the world's most popular forex market, fell sharply. Now, watch the move explained from the Elliott wave perspective -- and see why the ECB was not the real reason.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Currencies


Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk?
Why falling food prices are not a boon for Europe's economy

By Nico Isaac
10/27/2015 5:45:00 PM

In the early 1990s, two simple words transformed the way the U.S. consumer saw it: "Got Milk?" Suddenly, the narrative changed from an obligatory drink you had to finish as a kid -- into a sexy, funny, and above all desirable treat for all ages. Until now.

Filed Under: consumer credit, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, eu, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, inflation, unemployment

Category: European Markets


Don't Blame Mr. Draghi for the Plunge in EURUSD
See why the euro sell-off was in the cards well before the ECB President's statement

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2015 4:15:00 PM

The euro plunged Thursday morning in a most dramatic fashion. Analysts rushed to blame the ECB's president Mario Draghi. But here's why the sell-off was in the cards well before his statement. Let's let these two charts do the talking.

Filed Under: central banks, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Chart of the Day, 1:33 min.) Return to the Dollar Index: The Clarity Just Got Clearer
An update on our Chart of the Day video from earlier in the week

By Robert Folsom
10/22/2015 2:00:00 PM

Earlier this week, our "Chart of the Day" video showed you a long-term U.S. Dollar Index chart. Now look what happened since then...

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar, video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


What Really Drove VW's Stock Price Over a Cliff?
The obvious answer -- the VW emission's scandal -- is not the right one

By Nico Isaac
10/14/2015 4:30:00 PM

Volkswagen, the world's largest car maker, has been rocked by the biggest scandal in its 78-year history. But was the scandal the only factor that fueled the sell-off in VW's stock price? The answer might surprise you

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, fundamental analysis

Category: European Markets


Germany's DAX Has Just Crossed a Critical Line... Again
The last time the DAX crossed a major trend line was in 2007, and prices plunged nearly 60% to a five-year low. What about this time?

By Nico Isaac
10/9/2015 1:30:00 PM

Back in late 2007, one simple technical tool -- trendlines -- was instrumental in enabling us to forecast a bearish reversal in Germany's DAX Index. The time to use this tool is upon us, again.

Filed Under: charts, DAX, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, eurozone, trendlines

Category: European Markets


Deflation Returns to Haunt the Eurozone
... Despite the quantitative easing "exorcism"

By Nico Isaac
10/1/2015 3:00:00 PM

When ECB president Mario Draghi launched the first-ever Euro-QE in March 2015, it was hailed as the "death of deflation." But now, after six months, deflation is back in the eurozone... 

Filed Under: central banks, charts, deflation, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, quantitative easing

Category: European Markets


(Interview, 4:51 min.) Deflation: It's Been a Stealth Move
Elliott Wave International’s European Financial Forecast Editor discusses deflation

By Alexandra Lienhard
9/21/2015 11:30:00 AM

In this new interview, Elliott Wave International’s Brian Whitmer explains the indirect connection between Europe’s volatility and deflation.

Filed Under: CAC40, DAX, deflation, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, interview, monetary policy, volatility

Category: European Markets


German Stocks: From Raging Bull to Rabid Bear
See what REALLY caused the DAX to lose its grip on the upside

By Nico Isaac
9/11/2015 10:45:00 AM

In late August, Germany's DAX index entered bear market territory, having plummeted 22% from its all-time record high in April 2015. But before you blame China for the rout, look closely...

Filed Under: Bear market, charts, DAX, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, european markets

Category: European Markets



© 2016 Elliott Wave International
TRUSTe online privacy certification

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.