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Death of the U.S. Dollar?
Not so fast: We've been here before.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/9/2009 12:15:00 PM
One look at the latest U.S. dollar news headlines, and it seems like the buck has nowhere to hide. The buck is toast. Stick a fork in it. It's done. But wait -- we've been here before.
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, euro-dollar exchange rate, forex, currencies, euro, eur/usd, usd, eur, jpy
Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: Don’t Fall for the Headlines
How do you trade currencies when conventional market explanations fail?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/10/2009 10:00:00 PM

Conventional explanations of the action in the forex markets are very good at showing how one news story or another has "moved the markets.” Trouble is, as convincing as those explanations are, all too often they give you zero edge in helping to anticipate what the market will do next. Well, here's one method that DOES -- and here is proof.

Filed Under: euro-dollar exchange rate, eur/usd, forex
Category: Currencies


Forex: Don't Sweat the Risk
Once you reach an opinion on the market, just "sail away."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/25/2009 4:15:00 PM

How do you remove the temptation to change your opinions about a trade with every price tick? Here's one approach to handle market risk, as described by Jim Martens, EWI's Senior Currency Strategist. Read on...

Filed Under: foreign exchange, forex trading, Currencies, euro-dollar exchange rate, eur/usd
Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: How to Get Your "News" Before It Hits Newswires
A news report can act as a catalyst for the market, but the subject of the report is almost irrelevant.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/17/2009 4:15:00 PM
News moves the markets, goes the universally accepted notion among traders and investors. And yet, using Elliott wave analysis, you can predict market moves – without relying on the news. How is that possible? Let's take a close look at a fresh example.
Filed Under: euro-dollar exchange rate, eur/usd, forex, Currencies, Moody's, foreign exchange
Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: Anticipate
What's the point of explaining market moves that have already happened?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/28/2009 6:00:00 PM

Conventional forex analysts do a good job of explaining how news stories move the markets – in retrospect. This week, for example, as the euro-dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) moved about 400 pips higher, a story on the morning of January 28 said this...

Filed Under: eur/usd, euro-dollar exchange rate, interest rates, FOMC
Category: Currencies


EUR/USD (Forex): From "Chaos" Comes Order
Despite the recent "chaos," the EUR/USD maintains its Elliott wave structure.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/26/2008 6:00:00 PM

After watching the hair-raising up-and-down action in the EUR/USD this month, now more than ever I take to heart the piece of advice that a good friend of mine, a currencies trader with 15 years of experience, once gave me: Be careful trading in December, he said. The forex markets thin out around the holidays, making it easier for big players to push the prices around. Whew, was he right.

Filed Under: euro-dollar exchange rate, u.s. dollar, forex, fibonacci, eur/usd, Currencies
Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Stuck In the Middle, But For How Long?
To a contrarian, lack of headlines about the USD hints that something is about to happen.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/3/2008 11:45:00 AM

Scanning forex news headlines this morning (Dec. 3) on four major online news agency websites, I didn't see a single one about the U.S. dollar. To a contrarian, the fact that the media is quiet about the dollar means one thing: Something's about to happen in this market.

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, forex, Currencies, euro-dollar exchange rate
Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Patience
Corrections can be very long, protracted -- and frustrating -- affairs.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/25/2008 4:15:00 PM

You may know know that since last week, it has rallied strongly – about 600 pips, so far – pushing the exchange rate back up to $1.30 and robbing the buck of its latest gains. Despite the rally, the "triangle" interpretation of the current picture in the EURUSD that we've talked about on these pages last week still stands...

 
Despite the rally, the "triangle" interpretation of the current picture in the EURUSD still stands
Filed Under: euro-dollar exchange rate, volatility, triangle
Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Up 200 Pips, Down 300…Where to Next?
If you "don't really believe" in technical analysis, this may be the time to reconsider.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/19/2008 5:45:00 PM
What a day. The stock market took a blow on Wednesday (Nov. 19), yes – but look at currencies! The euro-dollar exchange rate, known to currency traders as the EURUSD, started the day quietly range-trading around $1.26, as it's done all this week. Then, at 8:50 AM, all hell broke loose.
Filed Under: Currencies, u.s. dollar, forex, euro-dollar exchange rate, eurusd
Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Where Have We Seen This Picture Before?
Looks like there is another "triangle" forming in the EURUSD right now.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/7/2008 6:15:00 PM

You may remember the Free Update article "Euro Vs. Dollar: $1.30 and Counting…Down?" that we published on elliottwave.com October 21. In it, we referenced a forecast by Elliott Wave International's Currency Specialty Service, which the day earlier – on October 20, before the EURUSD had slid to that 1½-year low – made a very bullish forecast for the dollar. And here is why I bring it up... 

Filed Under: euro-dollar exchange rate, eurusd, forex, u.s. dollar, euro
Category: Currencies


Euro Vs. Dollar (Video): What Market Environment Means For Trend

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/15/2008 6:15:00 PM
The euro-dollar exchange is hovering around $1.35, as if seeking direction. It will find it sooner or later. In the meantime, we can use this opportunity to learn how to take advantage of the trend when it resumes. Watch this free video, for example.
Filed Under: forex, eurusd, euro-dollar exchange rate
Category: Currencies


Euro Vs. Dollar: In a Freefall
Who would have though the dollar would GAIN with these stories in the news?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/10/2008 4:00:00 PM

You can't look at this week's action in the U.S. dollar without having your jaw drop. We've already commented on the greenback's stunning strength recently despite several major "fundamental" factors that should have sent it crashing. Here's just a quick list:

Filed Under: Stock market crash, euro-dollar exchange rate, u.s. dollar, Gold, forex
Category: Currencies


Forex: Euro Vs. Dollar – Up or Down?
When "fundamentals" get confusing, technical analysis helps you cut to the chase.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2008 6:00:00 PM

You've probably noticed how conflicting the mainstream financial media's analysis of the U.S. dollar vs. euro exchange rate has been over the past few days. The European Central Bank meets on May 8 -- will that be bullish or bearish for the euro-dollar exchange rate?

Filed Under: forex trading, dollar bottom, euro-dollar exchange rate, gulf states, dollar peg, european central bank may 8 meeting, interest rates, Eurozone economic confidence
Category: Currencies


Euro Vs. U.S. Dollar: $1.60 And Climbing?
Two reasons why is a very interesting moment for the euro-dollar exchange rate.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/22/2008 5:00:00 PM

Tuesday brought another piece of bad news for the U.S. dollar: For the first time in history, the exchange rate between it and the euro went above one dollar and sixty cents. That, from a standpoint of technical analysis methods (one of which is Elliott wave) is a very interesting moment for the euro-dollar – for two reasons...

Filed Under: euro-dollar exchange rate, round numbers, european central bank, interest rates differentials, eur/usd, forex trading, cable
Category: Currencies


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.