Elliott Wave International | World's Largest Market Forecasting Firm Since 1979
Please Login
   
| What's My Password?
 
TAG: EMERGING MARKETS Return to Free Updates Home Page

Asian-Pacific Stocks: Which Country Is a Bull for 2012, and Which Is a Bear?
Plus, updates on stocks in Turkey, Pakistan, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand -- and Colombia (yes, Colombia)

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2012 6:45:00 PM

You may have noticed that many investors tend to think that "Stocks in the same region of the world move together." This assumption seems to make sense, because regions often do share trading ties, natural resources, labor pools, etc. And yet... it's not the reality.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Bonds: Loved By No One... But Outperforms Them All. Learn Why
Newsflash: U.S. bonds outperform U.S. stocks! Another investment theme EWI got right -- here's how

By Nico Isaac
1/12/2012 4:45:00 PM

On the financial playground, long-term bonds are generally the last picked for the winning team -- well behind equities, commodities, high-yield (junk) bonds, even the barely established emerging markets. The reason being: the amount of time it takes to actually reap the fruits of your return. BUT, as a January 5, 2012 CNBC articlereveals, the asset that supposedly nobody loves has outperformed them all.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Bear Markets, Lethal Flu and Hong Kong
Plus, a Look Ahead at Stocks in India, China, Australia and More -- Inside EWI's new, January 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/8/2012 10:15:00 PM

Hong Kong is one of the world's most vibrant financial centers, yet its name is also synonymous with lethal influenza. It's the city where the H5N1 avian flu was discovered 15 years ago. You probably knew that. But did you know that the H5N1 discovery -- and every major Hong Kong flu outbreak since then -- came at or near a low in the Hang Seng stock index? Few people realize this...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, emerging markets, Indian Rupee, Nikkei, Robert Prechter, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Tech Shares and Fashion (yes, fashion) Preview Asia's Stock Market Trend Going Into 2012
Inside EWI's December 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Editorial Staff
12/5/2011 5:30:00 PM

Most Asia-Pacific stock indexes reached important price lows this past September or October. In this final month of 2011, EWI's new Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast reveals whether those lows will hold -- or soon fall -- as we go into 2012.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, emerging markets, Indian Rupee, Japanese yen, Korean Won, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, yuan

Category: Asian Markets


India and Pakistan: Different Paths, Same Destination
Plus, updated forecasts for the stock markets across the region -- all inside EWI's November 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2011 6:30:00 PM

Today, while many market watchers worry about whether the eurozone is about to fall apart, India and Pakistan provide a story of coming together. What is going on? Why NOW? Is it really possible that the conflicts and mistrust between the world's 2nd and 6th most-populous nations should continue to wane and may even turn into a golden era of rapprochement? The November 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you the complete socionomic analysis of the India-Pakistan relations -- and comes to some surprising conclusions.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Treasuries: Not the Butt of the Financial Joke Anymore
Treasuries outperform U.S. stocks! Another trend EWI got right -- here's how

By Nico Isaac
11/1/2011 2:30:00 PM

U.S. treasuries have long since been the butt of the financial joke, ridiculed for being worth little more than the paper they're issued on. The idea being: once you factor in early redemption penalties and inflation, the interest payments on long- or even short-dated securities often outweigh the capital gains. Not Anymore.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, cash, conquer the crash, credit crisis, emerging markets, inflation, investment decisions, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Stocks


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Are the Bull Markets Over?
Inside EWI's October 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/7/2011 11:45:00 PM

At the start of this year, EWI's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast pointed to a trendline break in Bangladesh’s Dhaka General Index and said it was probably the first of many such events that would unfold in 2011 throughout Asia. The May issue added other emerging Asian bull markets that were likely to fall next. Just as forecast, one by one the region’s dominoes have continued to topple this year...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Debt Man's Curve, It's No Place to Play
Why high debt does not necessarily mean high interest rates

By Jason Farkas
6/21/2011 2:15:00 PM

Sovereign debt is making the headlines these days, and here is a new way to look at the different risk levels of bonds -- the Debt Parabola, a.k.a. Debt Man's Curve.

Filed Under: emerging markets, eurozone, Greek debt, municipal bonds, pension funds, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, subprime lending, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Follow 40+ Global Markets, With One Global Perspective
With more than 60 charts on more than 100 pages, EWI's Global Market Perspective is the most comprehensive source of Elliott wave analysis you'll ever find

By Editorial Staff
6/9/2011 3:30:00 PM

In a global market environment that can be both treacherous and rewarding – it’s vital to have an ally on your journey. That’s where Global Market Perspective comes in...

Filed Under: CAC40, Chinese markets, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, eurozone, FTSE, gold futures, Greek debt, Japanese yen, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, silver, soverign debt crisis, stock indexes, Swiss franc, technical analysis, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries, volatility, yuan

Category: Global Markets


Focus on Japan, Vietnam and China
Plus 14 more regional stock indexes and sub-indexes -- all inside the new, June issue of EWI's monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 5:45:00 PM

Why focus on Japan, Vietnam and China in the weeks ahead, you ask? Editor Mark Galasiewski shows you the answer on the first few pages of the June Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast -- namely, the Elliott wave pattern in these countries' respective stock indexes. There is more...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, authoritarianism, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Markets: From High-Flyers to China
An Asian-Pacific Forecast and Performance Update

By Bob Stokes
5/10/2011 6:15:00 PM

China is often referred to as the "Sleeping Dragon." And you might say the price action of the Shanghai Composite during the past couple of years has been in sleep mode. Does our analyst expect the "Sleeping Dragon" to awaken soon?...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


Can "Devastating News" Actually Be Bullish for Stocks?
Market Rationality vs. Irrationality

By Bob Stokes
4/28/2011 3:00:00 PM

Imagine a natural disaster so big that the damage equaled 15% of a country's gross domestic product (GDP). This is not a hypothetical scenario: Recent history includes just such an event, so we know what direction market prices took after the disaster. Look at the chart...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, CAC40, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, FTSE, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Global Markets


Nature's Fury: Why It Impacts Stocks Far Less Than You May Think

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/1/2011 7:15:00 PM

We all know about the tragic earthquake and tsunami in Japan on March 11. The event reverberated throughout the world. It was also blamed for the losses in Japan’s NIKKEI 225 stock index. But did you know that the NIKKEI’s decline stopped and reversed right at a Fibonacci price support level of 61.8%?..

Filed Under: authoritarianism, Chinese markets, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


13 Asian-Pacific Markets, Divided Into 2 Groups
Here's what you'll find inside EWI's March 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/9/2011 4:15:00 PM

"A Merrill Lynch survey of global fund managers finds that long exposure to emerging markets has now dropped to merely 5%, the lowest reading since March 2009." That's one of the opening market insights you'll find in EWI's newest, March Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. Is the low interest in emerging markets a bearish sign, or a contrarian bullish sign for Asian-Pacific stocks?

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Merrill Lynch, Nikkei, SENSEX, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, yuan

Category: Asian Markets


Egypt Protests: Will They Impact Local Stock Markets?
From an Elliott wave perspective, it's a wrong question to ask

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/8/2011 6:45:00 PM

There is no shortage of stories discussing how the ousting of the Tunisian dictator Zein al-Abidine Ben Ali and the riots in Cairo's Tahrir Square against President Hosni Mubarak might impact local politics and the countries' relationships with Israel and the West. But there is little analysis in the mainstream press regarding any impact on local financial markets...

Filed Under: emerging markets, Robert Prechter, technical analysis

Category: Global Markets


China's Shanghai Composite Loses 3 Percent: What's Behind the Drop?
How Elliott wave patterns in Chinese stocks could have warned you of the decline ahead of time -- without relying on the news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/19/2011 12:15:00 PM

On Monday, January 17, China's Shanghai Composite stock index lost 3%; analysts attributed the sharp one-day decline to a recent Chinese government decision to raise reserves at China's banks. But from an Elliott wave perspective, one chart pattern was all you needed to know to anticipate this move.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott Wave Principle, emerging markets, market forecasts, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


The Resources Race Heats Up in Asia: What's an Investor to Do?
Will the Asian Resources Rally Persist?

By Bob Stokes
11/19/2010 5:30:00 PM

A European Union envoy in Beijing is urging the Chinese to reconsider their rare-earths exports restrictions. China's 2010 rare-earths exports are already down considerably compared to 2009; prices have skyrocketed...

Filed Under: emerging markets

Category: Asian Markets


"Vanilla" Investing Advice: Way of the Dodo Bird
Traditional investment models WILL fail again.

By Bob Stokes
4/8/2010 1:15:00 PM

A time may arrive when the investing public won't have the collective stomachs for generic investment advice any more, such as "60% stocks, 40% bonds," or "Buy for the long run." When generic advice fails again, people will again start looking for "non-conventional" investment approaches. And we believe that time is almost here.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, emerging markets, gold futures

Category: Stocks


Municipal Bond Funds: Bleak Future
Elliott wave analysis suggests trouble ahead for muni bond funds.

By Jason Farkas
3/2/2010 2:30:00 PM

Many investors are blissfully unaware of the fact that many muni funds use leverage to pay high distributions. This added layer of risk makes these funds subject to the same liquidity concerns that plague other risky assets -- and as such, many muni bond funds act similarly to stocks.

Filed Under: municipal bonds, municipal bonds, Robert Prechter, U.S. Treasuries, S&P 500, gold futures, silver futures, junk bonds, emerging markets, Fibonacci

Category: U.S. Economy


Treasuries, US Dollar Not Dead Yet
Another look at why it's still too early to write off the greenback.

By Jason Farkas
10/21/2009 1:45:00 PM

An increasingly loud chorus of investors expects the imminent demise of the US dollar and US Treasuries. They also expect that an exploding monetary base and the US’s structural problems will lead to massive inflation. This opinion may prove to be correct in the very long run, but evidence continues to mount that deflationary will come first.

Filed Under: U.S. dollar, inflation, deflation, Robert Prechter, emerging markets, derivatives

Category: U.S. Economy