Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

EUR/USD: New Video Lesson in Elliott Wave Application in Forex Trading
A great new example of applying Elliott wave analysis in forex markets.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/20/2012 5:30:00 PM

It's the end of the year. With holidays on most people's minds , this is the time when market trading slows down. Perfect time to prepare for the renewed volatility at the start of the new year, don't you think? With that in mind, watch this 8-minute vide...

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, trading lessons, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Take a BOLD Look Into 2013
Inside EWI's December 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

'Tis the season of year-end summaries and cautious next-year forecasts. We will join the crowd -- just this once! -- and do the same. Except, the forecasts you'll find in the latest, December Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast are anything but timid. Here are the highlights...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, market forecasts, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Europe in November: Bye, Bye Bear-die?
Inside EWI’s latest, November European Financial Forecast…

By Nico Isaac
11/2/2012 5:00:00 PM

For 4 years, the European economy has been shrouded in the darkness of recession. But now, according to the mainstream experts, tangible "rays of hope" that the worst is finally behind the Continent are finally shining through. For example...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, FTSE

Category: European Markets


"Are Emerging Markets the Way to Go Right Now?"
You'll find answers to this and many other questions in Prechter's new, 36-minute video Elliott Wave Theorist

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/24/2012 7:00:00 PM

At EWI's Message Board, we get great questions from readers every day. Here's one: Emerging markets are being touted as the next wave of opportunity. An Oct. 21 Wall Street Journal article, for example, has reported that Northern Trust Corp., which has $749b under management, says it's time to "lighten up on the U.S. and put more money into emerging-market stocks." The risks are higher, but so are the returns, goes the thinking. What do you make of this new trend?

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Global Markets


5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?
What Elliott waves said about China's past -- and what they are saying NOW about its future.

By Nathaniel Williams
10/19/2012 6:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.
 
But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Markets: The Flow of Excessive Liquidity Cannot Be Endless
Prices of risk assets correspond to liquidity flow

By Bob Stokes
10/8/2012 6:00:00 PM

Loose money has flowed into financial assets. Prices have risen as institutional investors employ leverage of 30x and higher. The flow of excessive liquidity cannot be endless. So what happens to risk-asset prices when that flow starts to dry up? Take a look at two charts.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, diversification, Elliott wave, hedge funds, liquidity, market forecasts, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, volume

Category: Stocks


S&P 500: "Uncertainty" Does Not Have to Prevail
Think of Elliott waves as a map.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/2/2012 7:30:00 PM

Three factors were blamed for the volatile stock market trading we've seen this week: uncertainty over Spain's bailout and U.S. stock earnings, and a strong U.S. manufacturing report. On balance, said the experts, these factors gave us a lot of volatility, but little net progress. And here's how an Elliott wave trader might have looked at this week's market action...

Filed Under: diversification, earnings, Elliott wave, S&P 500, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volatility

Category: Stocks


Most-Owned Stocks Among Institutions Are In a Bear Market
The underestimated downside of over-leveraged stock indexes

By Bob Stokes
9/17/2012 4:45:00 PM

When the popular indexes like the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ start to catch up on the downside, the descent will likely unfold with speed. That's because, when fear is combined with highly leveraged positions, the big money can...

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Bear market, diversification, Elliott Wave Theorist, hedge funds, investor psychology, liquidity, market forecasts, momentum, technical indicators, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Unsuspecting Bond Fund Investors Are Set Up for a Shock
Why risk in the rebalanced portfolio is ramping higher

By Bob Stokes
9/7/2012 5:00:00 PM

You can learn about a striking parallel between the bond market of 1929-1932 and today and what to expect next...

Filed Under: deflation, diversification, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, Interest Rates, investment strategy, investor psychology, junk bonds, market forecasts, money markets, municipal bonds, mutual funds, sentiment, Treasury bonds, treasury yields

Category: Interest Rates


Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"
Inside EWI's September 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/31/2012 8:15:00 PM

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


S&P 500: "Stuck" -- But Not for Long
U.S. stocks have flatlined. Is it the summer heat? Is everyone on vacation?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/13/2012 4:30:00 PM

U.S. stocks have flatlined. Is it the summer heat? Is everyone on vacation? Or are they watching the Fed, the ECB and Japan's and China's GDP numbers? There is no shortage of the "if...then..."-type discussions on the financial TV networks. But from an Elliott wave standpoint, the answer is much less complicated.

Filed Under: diversification, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, online trading, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


Do Bans on Short Selling Work? See for Yourself
One look at a chart -- and the answer is clear

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/9/2012 7:30:00 PM

When panic and fear grip the market, the authorities try their best to stop the bleeding. Their go-to move is to ban short selling of stocks -- a popular speculation method practiced by traders who believe stocks should fall further. To help stop the current wave of the crisis, the eurozone financial authorities have banned short selling, too. Writes our August Global Market Perspective...

Filed Under: AEX, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, FTSE, investment strategy, short selling

Category: Global Markets


What's a Central Bank To Do?
What if the ECB has an ace up its sleeve, and the next round of stimulus FINALLY does the trick?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/1/2012 12:15:00 PM

With so much focus on the hopes of further economic stimuli by central banks, it's important to consider what difference (if any) the already HUGE amount of economic stimulus has made. Let's look at Europe.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, golden ratio, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund (IMF), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: On the Edge
South Africa and Peru: Our new, August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also gives you forecasts for these two emerging markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2012 5:45:00 PM

"Australian and Japanese stocks have arrived at crucial junctures... Other Asian-Pacific stock markets have arrived at similar crossroads. What happens in the region’s markets in the next several weeks should determine the trend over the next several months and even beyond." That's the opening paragraph of our latest August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. And here are some specifics...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


The European Economy: Game Over -- OR -- Play Till It Wins?
Inside our new, August 2012 European Financial Forecast

By Nico Isaac
7/27/2012 4:15:00 PM

Europe's 2-year long economic Whac-A-Mole game continues. Central banks across the Continent use their giant "mallets" of bond buybacks, rate cuts, and bailouts to hit ONE crisis over the head -- only to have another one savagely pop up in the opposite corner. So, will Europe's monetary authorities be able to "whack" all the reoccurring "moles" before their time runs out?

Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, safe haven, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


VIDEO: Why We Turned Bullish on Swiss SMI Index on May 16
Simple Elliott wave analysis does the trick

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/24/2012 7:15:00 PM

This year, Swiss stocks followed the old investment adage "sell in May and go away to a T: In May, The SMI saw some of the biggest declines in months. And yet that was precisely the point when our own European Short Term Update turned bullish on the SMI. Watch this video for more.

Filed Under: diversification, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, Greek debt, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


S&P 500: Strong Start, Weak Finish. What Happened?
Despite strong overnight futures trading, July 10 saw the S&P 500 close lower. Elliott wave analysis has an explanation.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/10/2012 6:15:00 PM

On July 10, the S&P popped higher at the open, from 1352 to 1361 -- yet the rally fizzled and the index closed about 11 points lower than the day before. Analysts blamed the intraday reversal on "several profit warnings from technology companies"... but take a look at how another analytical method warned of the reversal hours in advance.

Filed Under: diversification, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Nasdaq Composite, online trading, S&P 500, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


Will Europe's Economic Wildfire Finally Be Contained?
Inside our new, July 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2012 6:00:00 PM

The raging inferno of soaring bond yields and plunging stock markets has been spreading across Europe, jumping from Greece to Portugal to Spain to Italy. But according to the mainstream experts, there is one way to snuff out the flames: fly rescue planes over the blaze and dump emergency lending, low interest rates, and monetary policy from the skies above. And from the ashes, new growth will emerge. So, are they right?

 

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, central banks, DAX, debt crisis, debt downgrade, diversification, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Don't Get Too Comfortable
Egypt, Israel and Turkey: This month's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also includes forecasts for those markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2012 5:30:00 PM

It's always darkest before the dawn, goes the saying. Yet if that's true, then wouldn't the opposite be just as true? "Asian Stocks Head for Biggest Gain This Year on Europe Progress‎," reported the June 29 San Francisco Chronicle. How much longer will we see "sunny" headlines like this one? The latest, July issue of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast shows you what no one else does...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Indian markets, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


World's 15 Biggest Banks Get Downgraded -- What This Means for "Safe Banks"
Another one of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash forecasts comes true

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/28/2012 6:00:00 PM

This seems like a good moment for those "safe-haven" banks to toot their horn a little, as it might just get them more business -- just as this quote from Ch. 19 of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash had predicted...

Filed Under: debt downgrade, deflation, diversification, Elliott wave, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe banks, safe haven

Category: Classic Prechter


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.