Earnings: A Never-Ending Wild Goose Chase
"Projected earnings are the single worst indicator to use in an attempt to forecast markets" -- EWI's Short Term Update
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/11/2012 3:00:00 PM
Please see if you can guess when this quote was published: ... If you guessed that this is today's quote -- after all, we are in the midst of another earning season -- good guess, but no.
Filed Under: diversification, earnings, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, stock market cycles, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
12/22/2011 5:15:00 PM
The investment strategy of portfolio diversification remains virtually unquestioned. Read why you should question this strategy...
Filed Under: all the same market theory, diversification, Dow Industrials, risk management, Short Term Update
Category: Stocks
India and Pakistan: Different Paths, Same Destination
Plus, updated forecasts for the stock markets across the region -- all inside EWI's November 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2011 6:30:00 PM
Today, while many market watchers worry about whether the eurozone is about to fall apart, India and Pakistan provide a story of coming together. What is going on? Why NOW? Is it really possible that the conflicts and mistrust between the world's 2nd and 6th most-populous nations should continue to wane and may even turn into a golden era of rapprochement? The November 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you the complete socionomic analysis of the India-Pakistan relations -- and comes to some surprising conclusions.
Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index
Category: Asian Markets
Earnings: Stock Market's Brightest False Beacon
"Earnings estimators are too pessimistic at bottoms and too optimistic at tops," explains EWI's president Robert Prechter
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/24/2011 3:15:00 PM
Four times a year, investors and Wall Street watch the quarterly corporate earnings reports, trying to anticipate the trend in stocks. Another earnings season is upon us right now -- so read this excerpt and see these two charts...
Filed Under: banks, Club EWI, diversification, double dip, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), earnings, economic depression, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500
Category: Stocks
By Nico Isaac
10/20/2011 2:45:00 PM
These days more than ever, seeing the "cow" before you "buy the farm" is of utmost importance. So, now until October 27, you and all other visitors to our site get the ultimate back-stage pass into subscriber-only Futures Junctures Service features. The reason why: EWI's famous Futures Junctures FreeWeek has begun.
Filed Under: cocoa futures, coffee futures, copper futures, corn futures, cotton futures, CRB index, crude oil, Daily Futures Junctures, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, feeder cattle futures, futures trading, grain futures, Jeffrey Kennedy, lean hog futures, live cattle futures, lumber futures, soybean futures, soybean meal, soybean oil
Category: Commodities
By Susan C. Walker
10/12/2011 10:00:00 AM
It's easy to see that the title cuts both ways -- stock diversification is either a good thing and everyone should know how to do it, or it's a bad thing and only dummies would do it.
Filed Under: diversification, eurozone, europe, eurozone, FTSE
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/7/2011 11:45:00 PM
At the start of this year, EWI's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast pointed to a trendline break in Bangladesh’s Dhaka General Index and said it was probably the first of many such events that would unfold in 2011 throughout Asia. The May issue added other emerging Asian bull markets that were likely to fall next. Just as forecast, one by one the region’s dominoes have continued to topple this year...
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis
Category: Asian Markets
By Bob Stokes
9/6/2011 3:15:00 PM
You probably know that the purpose of diversification is to spread risk across asset classes. The assumption is that if one asset goes down, the others will be stable or perhaps even move up. But what if we're in a time when...
Filed Under: diversification, Elliott Wave Theorist, Gold, Robert Prechter, stock indexes
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 6:00:00 PM
When the financial crisis hit hard in the fall of 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank made the now-infamous decision to refuse to bail out the Wall Street giant, Lehman Brothers. Today, the eurozone authorities are losing patience with Greece.
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, Lehman Brothers, risk appetite, Sovereign Debt, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
Focus on Japan, Vietnam and China
Plus 14 more regional stock indexes and sub-indexes -- all inside the new, June issue of EWI's monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 5:45:00 PM
Why focus on Japan, Vietnam and China in the weeks ahead, you ask? Editor Mark Galasiewski shows you the answer on the first few pages of the June Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast -- namely, the Elliott wave pattern in these countries' respective stock indexes. There is more...
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, authoritarianism, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis
Category: Asian Markets
By Bob Stokes
5/25/2011 9:45:00 AM
The investment officers who oversee those funds clearly are not afraid of risky investments. They've jumped into them with both feet...All is well when most financial markets are rising. But what if...
Filed Under: cash, diversification, market forecasts, mutual funds, pension funds, sentiment, stock indexes
Category: Stocks
Gold and Silver: Why Are Prices Falling?
The timeline of the selloff reveals whether the recent news headlines are the real culprit
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2011 3:30:00 PM
Gold and silver fell hard again on May 5: Gold touched an intraday low of $1463 per ounce (from $1,577 on May 2), and silver fell as low as $35 an ounce (from $49 on April 25.) Investors want explanations, and here are some of the more popular ones...
Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, gold futures, hedge funds, inflation, mania, market crash, market manipulation, safe haven, short selling, silver futures, U.S. dollar, volatility
Category: Gold and Silver
Watch Earnings Reports? Then See This Chart
"Earnings estimators are too pessimistic at bottoms and too optimistic at tops," writes Robert Prechter
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/26/2011 3:30:00 PM
Four times a year, investors and Wall Street watch the quarterly corporate earnings reports, trying to anticipate the trend in stocks. Another earnings season is upon us right now -- so read this excerpt from our free Club EWI report, "Market Myths Exposed."
Filed Under: diversification, earnings, Elliott wave, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Robert Prechter, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, stock indexes
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/19/2011 4:45:00 PM
In the fall of 2009, I was in my mortgage broker's office to iron out the details of my new home refinancing deal. He knew I worked for EWI, so when we were done he asked the inevitable question: "So, what do you think about the stock market?" At the time the DJIA was around 10,000...
Filed Under: diversification, herding, Robert Prechter, Robert Prechter, social mood, stock indexes, Wall Street
Category: Stocks
Happy 2nd Anniversary, "Bull Market": How Many More Do You Have Left?
Elliott Wave International's March 2011 Financial Forecast research publication tells you whether or not the stock market's upside momentum really supports the case for a long-term bull market
By Nico Isaac
3/10/2011 10:45:00 AM
March 9 was the second anniversary of the rally in U.S. stocks off their March 9, 2009 bottom. And, judging by the slew of "Happy Birthday, Bull!" headlines splashed across the mainstream financial media circuit, one can safely assume that the last remaining fence-sitters have finally jumped off and joined the "buy-and-hold" party. But that's exactly the problem with conventional approach to market forecasting: As a rule, mainstream bears get more bearish at the bottom, while bulls only turn more bullish as market tops. And when the turn comes -- surprise!
Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, diversification, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, Elliott Wave trading, momentum, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, sentiment
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/9/2011 4:15:00 PM
"A Merrill Lynch survey of global fund managers finds that long exposure to emerging markets has now dropped to merely 5%, the lowest reading since March 2009." That's one of the opening market insights you'll find in EWI's newest, March Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. Is the low interest in emerging markets a bearish sign, or a contrarian bullish sign for Asian-Pacific stocks?
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Merrill Lynch, Nikkei, SENSEX, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, yuan
Category: Asian Markets
On the Docket: The Case Against Diversification
Just because investment banks and stock brokerages say you should diversify doesn't make it true
By Editorial Staff
2/3/2011 8:45:00 AM
For the knowledgeable investor, diversification for its own sake merely reduces profits. So, if you're an independent thinker, what are your alternatives?
Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, diversification
Category: Classic Prechter
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/3/2011 11:00:00 AM
This is Part X of the series "Robert Prechter Dispels 10 Popular Investment Myths," where EWI president tests investment myth #9: "Inflation makes gold and silver go up" -- and brings you another round of eye-opeing conclusions.
Filed Under: diversification, Elliott Wave Principle, gold futures, hyperinflation, inflation, monetary policy, quantitative easing, quantitative easing, recession, Robert Prechter, safe haven, silver futures
Category: Gold and Silver
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/28/2010 3:15:00 PM
"There is no group more subjective than conventional analysts, who look at the same 'fundamental' news event a war, interest rates, P/E ratio, GDP, economic policy, the Fed’s monetary policy, you name it and come up with countless opposing conclusions. They generally don’t even bother to study the data." (EWI president Robert Prechter.) You need objective tools to make objective forecasts. So, we put together a unique resource for you: a free 118-page Independent Investor eBook, where you see dozens of examples and charts that show what really creates market trends.
Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, Chinese markets, diversification, earnings, Elliott Wave Principle, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), gross domestic product (GDP), gold futures, hyperinflation, inflation, monetary policy, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, supply and demand, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Treasuries, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds
Category: Gold and Silver
Parachutes vs. Pillows: Why Diversification Doesn't Work
Prechter and Kendall's "All the Same Market" Analysis Shows how Diversification Can't Protect You from Correlated Risk
By Jill Noble
12/21/2010 4:15:00 PM
Anyone interested in making informed financial decisions can benefit from our newly available "All the Same Markets" e-Book, which explains more about how you can avoid the false security of a diversified portfolio, FREE.
Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, conquer the crash, diversification, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter
Category: Stocks