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TAG: DEFLATION Return to Free Updates Home Page

(NEW Prechter Video) What Were You Watching at Dow 14,000?
Prechter’s October 19, 2007 Bloomberg interview was more than a 20th anniversary special.

by Gary Grimes
7/14/2008 4:15:00 PM

A Special Video Issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist is online now. But, before you watch his updated insights, please watch and read a few selections from Prechter's Oct. 19, 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist and Bloomberg TV interview on that day.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Bear market, deflation, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, price of gold, us stocks
Category: Stocks


Credit Crisis: The “Naked” Truth
The Central Bank of banks utters the “D” word: Deflation

by Nico Isaac
7/3/2008 10:15:00 AM
In the words of renowned financier Warren Buffett: “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” The tide of the U.S. credit industry is out. And everyday, more and more titans of finance are found standing in the shallow water without swimming trunks...
Filed Under: credit crisis, banking sector, deflation, depression, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs: Bear Sterns, write downs, Bank for International Settlements
Category: Economy


Is Gold REALLY a Safe Haven in Recessions?
With claims like these, we at EWI always do the same thing: We look at the data.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2008 5:45:00 PM

"Gold always goes up in recessions and depressions." Is it true? Should you own gold because you think the economy is tanking? Whenever we hear some claim like this, we always do the same thing: We look at the data. The results speak for themselves...

Filed Under: Gold safe haven, gold last resort, recession, depression, inflation, Best Investment Recessions, deflation, Treasury notes, bonds, debt investments
Category: Precious Metals


10 More Years of Higher Food Prices, or Deflation Instead?

by Susan C. Walker
5/29/2008 5:30:00 PM

A report by two international organizations says that food prices should remain high for the next 10 years. But in EWI's contrarian view, the louder the hue and cry about food and energy prices, the more reason to believe that the trend will end and become deflationary instead.

Filed Under: deflation, food prices, United Nations
Category: Economy


Nikkei: In The Mood For Love?

by Nico Isaac
4/16/2008 5:00:00 PM

What's a good way to gauge sentiment surrounding a financial market? Try, the cover of popular magazines. And, in the last twenty-year history of Japan's Nikkei Average, the reliability of the "Magazine Cover" indicator has been phenomenal...

Filed Under: Nikkei, Japan, magazine cover indicator, economic boom, rockefeller center, Bear market, deflation
Category: Asian Markets


Deflation's Effect on Real Estate, Bonds, and the Dollar

by Editorial Staff
3/28/2008 2:45:00 PM

At what point might the economy deteriorate so substantially that its condition and trend are no longer bullish for bonds, but bearish? And what about the dollar?

Filed Under: deflation, bonds, dollar
Category: Classic Prechter


The REAL "First Big Book on the Credit Crunch"
After the Fact Acclaim: Irony Speaks for Itself

by Robert Folsom
3/7/2008 5:15:00 PM

Yesterday I said that the Economist magazine had just published a favorable review of a book about the housing market crisis. The author is a respected financial journalist, and a thumbs up from a publication like the Economist suggests a book that deserves to be taken seriously. But consider these other quotes, specifically the "who" & "when" behind them...

Filed Under: Bear market, conquer the crash, deflation, Fed rate cut, Federal Reserve, Real Estate, recession, subprime, subprime mortgages, Wall Street
Category: Real Estate


Why Deflation Will Carry the Day for the U.S. Economy

by Susan C. Walker
3/3/2008 12:30:00 PM

Businesses seem to be caught between the Scylla and Charybdis of rising costs and thriftier consumers. We call it by its real name here: DEFLATION.

Filed Under: Fed, deflation
Category: Economy


How Low Can Wal-Mart's "Lower Prices" Go?
Fear of Recession Lures Shoppers

by Susan C. Walker
2/5/2008 11:15:00 AM

Some analysts point out that during recessions, people often trade down from the stores they normally shop at. By that token, as Target loses sales, Wal-Mart and wholesalers like Costco gain sales.But the question may become, where will cash-strapped consumers go to buy their goods when they can't even afford Wal-Mart's usual low prices?

Filed Under: Wal-Mart, recession, deflation
Category: Economy


Does This Bear Have Legs?
Hibernation may be over...

by Alan Hall
9/10/2007 9:00:00 AM

It looks like a bear. We act like it's a bear. After a succession of booms and busts, this could finally be a Bear With Legs. Consider these reasons why...

Filed Under: Bear market, credit, deflation
Category: Stocks


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To access EWI's valuable message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Doesn't the stock market only reflect the mood of the wealthiest class?
> Does market breadth increase or decrease near a bottom?
> Are bank safe deposit boxes a safe place in a deflation?
> What if the SEC does prohibit short selling?
> I would like to short the stock market, but I'm new to this. Any tips?
> Can this bear market trick even Warren Buffett, the Sage of Omaha?
> Would a U.S. deflation affect the world's economies and real estate prices?
> Does productivity increase or decrease in recessions?
> How robust are Elliott's rules and guidelines?
> Is it true that wave 5 extends in commodities and wave 3 in equities?

Club EWI Members: Click Here


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.