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U.S. Dollar: Kiss Goodbye or Reversal at Hand?
Remember how bearish people were on oil ten years ago? Today, it's the U.S. dollar.

by Jim Martens, Senior Currency Strategist
10/13/2009 11:45:00 AM

Remember how bearish people were on oil ten years ago? Today, it's the U.S. dollar. This recent headline on DrudgeReport.com, "Kiss the Dollar Goodbye," complete with a picture of a smooching President Obama, is a fair reflection of the sentiment toward the buck. But here's what it likely means...

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, oil, obama, currency, forex
Category: Currencies


Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart

by Nico Isaac
10/7/2009 4:15:00 PM
If you want the latest news on the U.S. Dollar Index, try a search under its new ticker symbol, RIP. -- as in, "rest in peace." Let the record show: In the early morning hours of Tuesday, October 6, the mainstream financial community officially declared "The Demise of the Dollar" (The Independent).
Filed Under: us dollar, dollar, greenback, currency
Category: Currencies


Forex (Video): Fear in the Markets? Expect a Trend Change
Sentiment extremes can give you important clues about market direction.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/6/2009 2:30:00 PM

Last fall, stocks around the world were falling like a rock, but the U.S. dollar, to most people's surprise, was rallying against the euro -- on fear, said market commentators. Do you remember what happened next? That's right -- the dollar fell hard: Ironically, a sentiment extreme in favor of the dollar marked a huge top. This free classic video explains why...

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, euro, forex, currency
Category: Currencies


The Almighty Dollar: How High Will The Greenback Fly?

by Nico Isaac
11/24/2008 5:15:00 PM

According to the mainstream experts, currency markets move in sync with the overall economy and stock market: bullish news begets a stronger dollar and bearish events, a weaker one. If so, then how do they explain the dollar's recent rally to a two-year high?

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, greenback, dow jones industrial average, currency
Category: Currencies


How To Trade In THIS Fast-Moving Bear Market
"A good trader will make money with a mediocre forecast. A bad trader will lose money even with a good one."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2008 4:00:00 PM

Novice traders (and investors) usually think that an accurate forecast is all they need to succeed in the markets. You read one, you open a trade, and then you close it. Buy low, sell high, wham-bam – you're rich. That happens only if you're really, really lucky. But let's consider a certain (very probable) trading scenario...

Filed Under: trading, stock, ETF, futures, option, currency, Bear market
Category: Stocks


EURUSD: A HUGE Rally You Could Have Known About
It's emotions, not reason, that push market trends far beyond what is considered prudent.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/28/2008 10:45:00 PM
On Tuesday, October 28, the euro-dollar exchange rate, known to currency traders as the EURUSD, rallied over 400 points (or pips). In a single day, the huge rally vaporized 4 full cents of the U.S. dollar's recent gains against the European currency. Surprisingly, on Tuesday afternoon the mainstream financial media didn't have much to say about the rally...
Filed Under: Euro dollar exchange rate, u.s. dollar, irrational exuberance, currency
Category: Currencies


U.S. Dollar Is Coming Alive -- But For How Long?

by Nico Isaac
8/11/2008 4:45:00 PM

From August 4 to August 8, the U.S. Dollar wiped the floor with its currency counterparts in a head-spinning performance it's being called the “watershed week” for the long-suffering buck.Yet in all the hullabaloo, the mainstream media failed to notice one major detail: namely, there was absolutely no “fundamental” reason for the dollar’s climb.

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, greenback, dollar, currency
Category: Currencies


Trading Forex: Patience Pays Off
Trading is not a "one-size-fits-all."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/3/2008 7:45:00 PM
"4/01/2008 - Tuesday was a great example of why patience in the market is so important for most traders. When I first looked at the chart of the Dollar Index, I saw a rally that had retraced just about 61.8% of the prior decline..."
Filed Under: currency, trading, forex, USD-JPY, USD-CAD, dollar Index
Category: Currencies


Video (Forex): War Of Words - A Telling Sign Of Reversal
When market psychology gets too one-sided, it's often a sign of an impending reversal.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/24/2008 6:15:00 PM

In early March, arguments over the weakening U.S. dollar got quite heated. Calls on the U.S. Federal Reserve to "do more" to support the dollar and forecasts for the euro/dollar exchange rate of $1.60 or higher were not uncommon. That's when -- seemingly against all odds -- the USD reversed and started pushing higher against the EUR and other major currencies. Why?

Filed Under: Federal Reserve, euro/dollar, forex, currency
Category: Currencies


Forex: Fed Cuts…and the U.S. Dollar Gains?!
Elliott Wave International discusses the importance of price action, rather than the news, to the trend in the U.S. dollar.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/18/2008 5:30:00 PM
Question: When the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank lowers interest rates, what is the U.S. dollar supposed to do, according to the conventional economic wisdom? That’s right, fall. So why then did the dollar gain today (March 18) after the Fed cut rates by a hefty 0.75%?
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, euro, interest rates, Federal Reserve, forex, currency, Jim Martens
Category: Currencies


Forex: EUR/USD -- Explain This, Please
Elliott Wave International discusses a strange lack of logic in the recent reaction to the news by the euro/dolalr exchange rate.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/1/2008 12:30:00 PM

Just minutes after the release of a disappointing U.S. employment report last Friday morning (Feb. 1), the U.S. dollar suddenly got stronger and the EUR/USD exchange rate plunged. The fall was fast and deep; by Friday night, the dollar stood over 100 pips stronger against the euro -- despite the morning's bad economic news. Strange? You can say that again. But what happened next was even stranger.

Filed Under: forex, european central bank, hawkish, currency, trade, u.s. employment report, exchange rates, euro, dollar
Category: Currencies


Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
Robert Prechter on CNBC
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.