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I'm Not An Analyst. I Just Played One At the San Francisco Money Show

by Nico Isaac
8/26/2009 4:45:00 PM
This past Sunday, Aug. 23, my esteemed colleague and chief market analyst here at EWI Steven Hochberg (we call him "Steve" at the office) gave a powerful speech at the 30th Annual San Francisco Money Show. I tagged along to hand out complimentary reading material to his guests.
Filed Under: San Francisco Money Show, us economy, housing market, credit, bottom
Category: Economy


Long Wal-Mart, Short Liberty
When the government taxes one citizen on behalf of another, we are all diminished.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
3/3/2009 4:15:00 PM

At some point, the burden of the U.S. national debt burden may result in a forced restructuring to avoid default. This restructuring will be on terms dictated to us by our creditors…one of whom is a communist regime. I wonder how agreeable those terms will be.

Filed Under: gold standard, Federal Reserve, Fed, credit, deflation, inflation
Category: Economy


Why You Must Preserve the Money You Have

by Susan C. Walker
2/27/2009 4:45:00 PM

Here is some of Bob Prechter's latest thinking on why you need to preserve the money you have -- especially during a deflationary period such as we have just begun to experience.

Filed Under: banking crisis, credit, deflation, liquid assets, money safety
Category: Classic Prechter


"Deflation Will Catch Them All Off Guard"
"The next [Federal Reserve] chairman will have his own era."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/24/2009 5:00:00 PM

On this day of Ben Bernanke's testimony in Washington, consider this quote from Bob Prechter's November 2005 Elliott Wave Theorist: "Like the entrenched belief in continued inflation, there is a widespread expectation of smooth sailing under Bernanke. With virtually everyone prepared for either good times or severe inflation, bad times and deflation will catch them all off guard." More…

Filed Under: Bernanke, Fed, Federal Reserve, credit, deflation, home prices
Category: Economy


Conquer the Crash Delivered Today's News in 2002
The forecasts in Bob Prechter’s best-selling book, Conquer the Crash, are coming true like falling dominoes.

by Alan Hall
8/19/2008 5:30:00 PM

The truly remarkable part of the story is how early he saw them. Bob described the ways that many dominoes would fall before some of them were even set up. His earlier book, At the Crest of the Tidal Wave was published in 1995, while Conquer the Crash was in 2002. This was years before the gathering storm became obvious to “Dr. Doom,” (the New York Times’ name for economist Nouriel Roubini) who described parts of the bursting bubble in 2006.

Filed Under: Real Estate, credit, psychology, Forecast
Category: Real Estate


European Credit Crisis: Disaffirmation
Anyone on this list is fully engaged in disaffirmation.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
8/7/2008 4:45:00 PM

It’s bad already. And it’s getting worse. Still, there are many who just don’t – or won’t – get it. The latter group is usually filled with politicians, too engaged in denial to fully grasp the fiscal and deflationary implications of this credit crisis.

Filed Under: european central bank, interest rates, eurozone, credit, ifo Business Climate, bunds
Category: European Markets


No Country For Old Mania
How much did has the marketplace lost in the "coin toss" of high-risk mortgages? Try $400 billion and counting

by Nico Isaac
2/26/2008 4:15:00 PM

The hunt for the guilty parties responsible for the housing and credit blood bath has begun as the world's largest economy has become No Country For Old bull market mania. Truth be told, the subprime mortgage industry was a marked man the moment it went mainstream, a fate our March 2005 Elliott Wave Financial Foreacst saw coming from miles away...

Filed Under: No Country For Old Men, mania, coin toss, subprime mortgage, credit, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, HSBC
Category: Economy


Does This Bear Have Legs?
Hibernation may be over...

by Alan Hall
9/10/2007 9:00:00 AM

It looks like a bear. We act like it's a bear. After a succession of booms and busts, this could finally be a Bear With Legs. Consider these reasons why...

Filed Under: Bear market, credit, deflation
Category: Stocks


Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
Robert Prechter on CNBC
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> Do you know of any mutual funds that use Elliott wave analysis? 
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> Prechter's new Theorist: What event can start the next crash in the Dow? 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.