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Lessons in Technical Indicators: Part 2
How to use RSI divergence to complement your wave analysis

by Nathaniel Williams
3/15/2010 12:30:00 PM

The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite, China's main stock index, provided Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor Chris Carolan an opportunity to teach his subscribers about one of his favorite technical indicators -- the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Enjoy this free lesson...

Filed Under: technical analysis, Relative Strength Index, RSI, RSI divergence, china, Shanghai Composite
Category: Asian Markets


A Comment On Today's Triple-Digit Stock Market Decline (Update)

by Nico Isaac
1/21/2010 4:00:00 PM
On Wednesday, January 20, the DJIA took a 100-plus point leap over the equity cliff edge. As for why, well, the experts of Wall Street set their sites 7,400 miles to the east, on China. Here, the following headlines from the day step in:
Filed Under: Dow, china, us stocks, Shanghai Composite
Category: Stocks


China's Bull: Don't Rest On Its Economic Laurels
Don't bet on China's "strong economic fundamentals" to save its stock market.

by Nico Isaac
11/19/2009 1:45:00 PM

To many, China's recent economic data suggests their bull market is here to stay: The 3rd quarter 2009 saw a 16% leap in industrial production and retail sales, and a strong rise in GDP to 8.9%... Does that sound familiar? IT SHOULD. Just two years ago, China's economic numbers were similarly strong. Yet do you remember what Chinese stocks did in 2007? Take a look at this chart -- it's a good remind that economic growth is NOT what drives the stock market.

Filed Under: china, Shanghai Composite, chinese stocks, bull market, industrial production, retail sales, GDP
Category: Stocks


EUR/USD (Forex): Big Moves, But What's the Reason?
Despite all odds, the U.S. dollar is showing serious strength.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2009 3:00:00 PM

Early on October 26, the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro (and the most widely-traded forex pair) began an out-of-the-blue slide from near $1.50. If the dollar's dramatic show of strength in the midst of all the doomsday scenarios surprised you, you're not alone. Anyone looking at the Monday morning forex headlines was likely caught off guard. What's behind the dollar rally?

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, Currencies, forex, eur/usd, euro, china, foreign exchange reserves
Category: Currencies


Will Asia Be the Engine of Economic Recovery?

by Nico Isaac
10/21/2009 1:00:00 PM
Need evidence that fundamental analysis is not a reliable gauge of future trend movements? Look no further than Asia's leading financial markets over the past six months. Go back to early 2009. At the time you needed night-vision goggles to see through the pitch dark that surrounded the economies of the Far East...
Filed Under: asia economy, Japan, Nikkei 225, recovery, china, Singapore, India: Australia
Category: Asian Markets


Believe It Or Not, In Defense of the Dollar
The fact is, there are no good alternatives to the U.S. dollar.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2009 3:30:00 PM
The word on the street is, the U.S. dollar is rapidly depreciating, so investment in the U.S. Treasuries defies common sense. You would think that would prompt foreign governments such as China and Saudi Arabia to stop investing in U.S. securities? But instead of selling their depreciating dollar-denominated assets, they are buying more. Here's why, says EWI's Bill Fox…
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, china, saudi arabia, U.S. Treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter
Category: Economy


Global Cargo: A Ship Stuck at Sea
To understand how global economy is really doing, look at global shipping rates.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/21/2009 8:45:00 PM
If you keep up with international news, you may have seen this picture on Britain's dailymail.co.uk on September 16. The story said: "The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination..."
Filed Under: Baltic Dry Index, dax, ftse, cac, china, India, Australia
Category: Economy


China's Stocks Crash: Is The United States Next?

by Nico Isaac
8/31/2009 4:00:00 PM

In the past three weeks alone, China's formerly sizzling stock market has gone from bull market leader to bear market letdown. On August 30, the Shanghai Composite Index plummeted 6.7%, its largest one-day drop of 2009 so far. And, of the 89 global markets tracked by Bloomberg, the Shanghai index came in last place...

Filed Under: china, shanghai composite index, china's banks, lending
Category: Asian Markets


Baltic Dry Index: Does the Rally Mean "The Worst Is Over"?
A fresh look at the key global shipping rates indicator.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2009 2:45:00 PM

After falling more than 90% in 2008, the Baltic Dry Indexhas rebounded strongly this year. But before you see it as a bullish sign, read what Chris Carolan, the editor of EWI's Asian-Pacific and European Short Term Update publications, told subscribers in the July 10 issue...

Filed Under: Baltic Dry Index, shipping rates, Nikkei, china, freight
Category: Economy


China Bull Market: Take Two?
Will this one finally stick?

by Nico Isaac
6/29/2009 4:30:00 PM

In the last seven months, the Shanghai Composite Index has enjoyed a powerful winning streak to its highest level in a year. And, according to a recent news story, "Crowds are back on Guangdong Road [China's 'Wall Street' equivalent] to discuss stocks" like tweens twittering celebrity gossip. The main topic of their conversation: Is the bull market in China back for good?

Filed Under: china, China stock market, Shanghai Composite Market, bull market
Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Dollar: Are We Seeing Evidence of a Turn?
Enjoy another Market Insight comment by EWI's Senior Currency Strategist

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/22/2009 12:45:00 PM
Jim Martens, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, regularly posts thoughts on the business of forex trading for his subscribers. Below is Jim's latest Market Insight, posted on the morning of May 22.
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, eur/usd, Usd/chf, sterling, money management, forex, Currencies, china, u.s. debt
Category: Currencies


China’s Dollar Exodus
China, and now Brazil, are trying to further insulate themselves from the U.S. dollar.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/21/2009 12:45:00 PM

Rumors about replacing the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency continue. Read these thoughts by Chris Carolan, the editor of Elliott Wave International's Sunday-Tuesday-Thursday Asian-Pacific Short Term Update.

Filed Under: china, yuan, brazil real, u.s. dollar, reserve currency, currency swaps
Category: Asian Markets


Forex (Video): Wave Patterns Predicted Current U.S. Dollar Weakness
A good example of Elliott wave analysis in action.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 2:30:00 PM

Since early May, the U.S. dollar has been losing. Trying to find the cause of the weakness, conventional forex analysts have been citing various reasons -- all of the explaining it really well...after the fact. Watch this free May 8 video for an example of how Elliott wave analysis saw the current dollar weakness before it occurred.

Filed Under: u.s. dollar, euro, brazil, china, forex, Currencies
Category: Currencies


A Bull In A China Stock Market: Will It Last?

by Nico Isaac
4/8/2009 9:45:00 AM
What do you see when you look at China's main stock market, the Shanghai Composite Index? Answer: The all-time greatest illustration of the failed cause-and-effect logic of fundamental analysis. Find out the full story today....
Filed Under: China stock market, china, shanghai composite index, bull market
Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Dollar, Yuan and the New Reserve Currency
Chinese are making small moves to get more and more insulation from the dollar.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2009 10:00:00 AM

There has been a lot of talk lately about replacing the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency. Read these thoughts on this and another hot subject -- China's dependence on the dollar -- by Chris Carolan, the editor of Elliott Wave International's Sunday-Tuesday-Thursday Asian-Pacific Short Term Update.

Filed Under: china, yuan, dollar, reserve currency
Category: Asian Markets


It’s A Bird. It’s A Plane. It’s A “Super” Currency
Does the dollar need saving?

by Nico Isaac
3/25/2009 4:15:00 PM
In last night’s (March 24) televised Presidential press conference, the air of tension surrounding the ongoing economic crisis grew hotter than a habanero pepper in Hades. One of the most burning questions put to President Barack Obama was this: Is China right in calling for the creation of a new “super-sovereign” reserve currency to replace the currently dominant greenback?
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, greenback, Barack Obama, china, super currency
Category: Currencies


Indian Stocks: Urgent Opportunity Announcement

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/23/2009 3:30:00 PM

For most investors, a barrage of bad economic news typically motivates an immediate “sell” order on their stocks holdings. But you may already know that the Elliott Wave Principle is a contrarian investment method. we at EWI believe that making investment decisions based on old news is like trying to drive a car by looking in the rear-view mirror. On that, the just-published, March 23 Asian Pacific Financial Forecast Interim Report has the following to say...

Filed Under: SENSEX, India, Singapore, Japan, china, Hong Kong
Category: Asian Markets


The Year of the Ox
China “spinning top” is losing momentum.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
3/17/2009 5:00:00 PM

You may know that 2009 is the Chinese Year of the Ox. But I bet you didn’t know this: Each Chinese New Year is marked on the second new moon following the winter solstice. Trivia? Yes. Trivial? No. There is so much that we in the U.S. don’t know about China, yet we coexist with this country in a most unlikely symbiotic relationship....

Filed Under: china, Treasuries, debt, deflation, yuan, dollar
Category: Economy


BRIC Goes Bust?
Brazil, Russia, India, China – what a difference bear market makes.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/11/2009 3:30:00 PM

A couple of years ago, the economic tilt the world had held for the past 50 years seemed to be changing: Quietly, the balance of commercial power was shifting. BRIC was the reason – an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India and China, a powerful new alliance. Well, here we are, three years later, and BRIC is not what it used to be...

Filed Under: BRIC, china, India, Russia, emerging markets, cold war
Category: Stocks


(VIDEO) What Taiwan's Bear Market Means for Asian-Pacific Stocks

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/31/2008 4:45:00 PM

If you've been wondering how long the painful declines in Asian-Pacific stocks may continue, watch this free 4-minute video by the editor of EWI's monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, Mark Galasiewski, where he gives some clues using Taiwan's TAIEX stock index as an example.

Filed Under: India, china, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea
Category: Asian Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.