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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2009 3:00:00 PM
Early on October 26, the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro (and the most widely-traded forex pair) began an out-of-the-blue slide from near $1.50. If the dollar's dramatic show of strength in the midst of all the doomsday scenarios surprised you, you're not alone. Anyone looking at the Monday morning forex headlines was likely caught off guard. What's behind the dollar rally?
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, Currencies, forex, eur/usd, euro, china, foreign exchange reserves
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
10/21/2009 1:00:00 PM
Need evidence that fundamental analysis is not a reliable gauge of future trend movements? Look no further than Asia's leading financial markets over the past six months. Go back to early 2009. At the time you needed night-vision goggles to see through the pitch dark that surrounded the economies of the Far East...
Filed Under:
asia economy, Japan, Nikkei 225, recovery, china, Singapore, India: Australia
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2009 3:30:00 PM
The word on the street is, the U.S. dollar is rapidly depreciating, so investment in the U.S. Treasuries defies common sense. You would think that would prompt foreign governments such as China and Saudi Arabia to stop investing in U.S. securities? But instead of selling their depreciating dollar-denominated assets, they are buying more. Here's why, says EWI's Bill Fox…
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, china, saudi arabia, U.S. Treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/21/2009 8:45:00 PM
If you keep up with international news, you may have seen this picture on Britain's dailymail.co.uk on September 16. The story said: "The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination..."
Filed Under:
Baltic Dry Index, dax, ftse, cac, china, India, Australia
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/31/2009 4:00:00 PM
In the past three weeks alone, China's formerly sizzling stock market has gone from bull market leader to bear market letdown. On August 30, the Shanghai Composite Index plummeted 6.7%, its largest one-day drop of 2009 so far. And, of the 89 global markets tracked by Bloomberg, the Shanghai index came in last place...
Filed Under:
china, shanghai composite index, china's banks, lending
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2009 2:45:00 PM
After falling more than 90% in 2008, the Baltic Dry Indexhas rebounded strongly this year. But before you see it as a bullish sign, read what Chris Carolan, the editor of EWI's Asian-Pacific and European Short Term Update publications, told subscribers in the July 10 issue...
Filed Under:
Baltic Dry Index, shipping rates, Nikkei, china, freight
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
6/29/2009 4:30:00 PM
In the last seven months, the Shanghai Composite Index has enjoyed a powerful winning streak to its highest level in a year. And, according to a recent news story, "Crowds are back on Guangdong Road [China's 'Wall Street' equivalent] to discuss stocks" like tweens twittering celebrity gossip. The main topic of their conversation: Is the bull market in China back for good?
Filed Under:
china, China stock market, Shanghai Composite Market, bull market
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/22/2009 12:45:00 PM
Jim Martens, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, regularly posts thoughts on the business of forex trading for his subscribers. Below is Jim's latest Market Insight, posted on the morning of May 22.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, eur/usd, Usd/chf, sterling, money management, forex, Currencies, china, u.s. debt
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/21/2009 12:45:00 PM
Rumors about replacing the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency continue. Read these thoughts by Chris Carolan, the editor of Elliott Wave International's Sunday-Tuesday-Thursday Asian-Pacific Short Term Update.
Filed Under:
china, yuan, brazil real, u.s. dollar, reserve currency, currency swaps
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 2:30:00 PM
Since early May, the U.S. dollar has been losing. Trying to find the cause of the weakness, conventional forex analysts have been citing various reasons -- all of the explaining it really well...after the fact. Watch this free May 8 video for an example of how Elliott wave analysis saw the current dollar weakness before it occurred.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, brazil, china, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
4/8/2009 9:45:00 AM
What do you see when you look at China's main stock market, the Shanghai Composite Index? Answer: The all-time greatest illustration of the failed cause-and-effect logic of fundamental analysis. Find out the full story today....
Filed Under:
China stock market, china, shanghai composite index, bull market
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2009 10:00:00 AM
There has been a lot of talk lately about replacing the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency. Read these thoughts on this and another hot subject -- China's dependence on the dollar -- by Chris Carolan, the editor of Elliott Wave International's Sunday-Tuesday-Thursday Asian-Pacific Short Term Update.
Filed Under:
china, yuan, dollar, reserve currency
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Nico Isaac
3/25/2009 4:15:00 PM
In last night’s (March 24) televised Presidential press conference, the air of tension surrounding the ongoing economic crisis grew hotter than a habanero pepper in Hades. One of the most burning questions put to President Barack Obama was this: Is China right in calling for the creation of a new “super-sovereign” reserve currency to replace the currently dominant greenback?
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, greenback, Barack Obama, china, super currency
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/23/2009 3:30:00 PM
For most investors, a barrage of bad economic news typically motivates an immediate “sell” order on their stocks holdings. But you may already know that the Elliott Wave Principle is a contrarian investment method. we at EWI believe that making investment decisions based on old news is like trying to drive a car by looking in the rear-view mirror. On that, the just-published, March 23 Asian Pacific Financial Forecast Interim Report has the following to say...
Filed Under:
SENSEX, India, Singapore, Japan, china, Hong Kong
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
3/17/2009 5:00:00 PM
You may know that 2009 is the Chinese Year of the Ox. But I bet you didn’t know this: Each Chinese New Year is marked on the second new moon following the winter solstice. Trivia? Yes. Trivial? No. There is so much that we in the U.S. don’t know about China, yet we coexist with this country in a most unlikely symbiotic relationship....
Filed Under:
china, Treasuries, debt, deflation, yuan, dollar
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/11/2009 3:30:00 PM
A couple of years ago, the economic tilt the world had held for the past 50 years seemed to be changing: Quietly, the balance of commercial power was shifting. BRIC was the reason – an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India and China, a powerful new alliance. Well, here we are, three years later, and BRIC is not what it used to be...
Filed Under:
BRIC, china, India, Russia, emerging markets, cold war
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/31/2008 4:45:00 PM
If you've been wondering how long the painful declines in Asian-Pacific stocks may continue, watch this free 4-minute video by the editor of EWI's monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, Mark Galasiewski, where he gives some clues using Taiwan's TAIEX stock index as an example.
Filed Under:
India, china, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Nico Isaac
5/15/2008 11:45:00 AM
In the last year, China’s image has taken more hits than Rocky Balboa’s punching bag as a tsunamic “wave of strife” crashes onto the People’s Republic shores. Today, I sit down with EWI’s Asian stock markets specialist Mark Galasiewski to discuss the “psychological” reasons for the reversal in China’s fortune.
Filed Under:
china, shanghai composite index, Beijing, Olympics, U.S. housing market, pro-Tibet, Lhasa
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Nico Isaac
4/8/2008 5:45:00 PM
For anyone who hitched their wagon to China’s shooting economic star in the last year, I have three words for you: Look --- Out --- Below. Where opinion in the Free World is concerned, the People’s Republic has gone from guiding light of progress and global partnership to whistle in the darkness of scandal and disgrace.
Filed Under:
china, beijing olympics, shanghai composite index, superpower, olympic torch, pro-Tibet, Tibet, Olympic Games, communist
Category:
Asian Markets
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/19/2008 5:45:00 PM
"Let me begin by saying that I'm still bullish Cotton." That's the opening line of today's issue (March 19) of Elliott Wave International's Daily Futures Junctures publication. And just what is the editor Jeffrey Kennedy's conviction regarding Cotton based on?
Filed Under:
cotton, futures, china
Category:
Commodities
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Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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