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"Half-time" In America: Will the Second Half Really Be Better?
The brand-new, February 2012 issue of our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast examines unique market evidence to tell you whether U.S. stocks are REALLY headed for a new bull market

By Nico Isaac
2/6/2012 3:45:00 PM

In case you missed yesterday’s 2012 Super Bowl game, here are the key highlights. Final score: New York Giants beat the New England Patriots: 21-17. Most Valuable Player: Eli Manning. Most Memorable Performance by: 82-year old famed actor Clint Eastwood 
Yes, you read that last detail right. The two-minute Chrysler ad narrated by Eastwood at half-time has everyone talking. The reason being...

 

Filed Under: bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, social mood, socionomics, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


This Indicator Just Hit Multi-Year Lows: What Does It Mean for Stocks?
Where are the bears?

By Bob Stokes
2/6/2012 2:30:00 PM

A bullish consensus appears to be crystallizing. But that doesn't mean one should take a contrarian view for its own sake. One must look at the entire market picture, and ask, "Where are we in the market's main trend?" and "What are other indicators revealing?" We've asked and answered those questions...

Filed Under: bull market, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, herding, investor psychology, sentiment, Short Term Update

Category: Stocks


Company Buybacks Surge: A Sign of a Rip-Roaring Bull Market Just Ahead?
The old bull market psychology lives on.

By Bob Stokes
1/18/2012 2:00:00 PM

Given that the Oracle of Omaha is buying back Berkshire shares, could that be a sign that this time is different -- that we're heading into a rip-roaring bull market?

Filed Under: bull market, cash, financial forecast, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Asian Markets: Wear Traditional Garb or Go with a Power Suit?
The markets in Bali and Japan are drastically different -- and so are the clothes

By Nathaniel Williams
12/22/2011 1:30:00 PM

What's behind the sharp contrast in the clothing worn by leaders at the Japanese and Bali meetings? Socionomics, the study of social mood, provides a clue. It posits that the same social mood that governs stock prices ALSO drives cultural trends -- like fashion.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, social mood

Category: Asian Markets


The Stock Market Is Not Physics: Part IV

By Editorial Staff
12/22/2011 9:30:00 AM

Most people's thinking simply defaults to physics when analyzing financial events. But when we take the time to examine the results of applying that model, we find that it is not useful either for predicting or explaining market behavior.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, cultural trends, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investor psychology, prechter, Prechter's Perspective, Robert Prechter, sentiment, social mood, socionomics, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical analysis

Category: Classic Prechter


Why the Bear Never Departed Since October 2007
A price pattern that's a "full degree larger" than 1929-1933

By Bob Stokes
11/22/2011 5:15:00 PM

We see evidence that the bear never truly departed in the time after the October 2007 high -- not even in the period since the March 2009 low. Take a look at this chart...

 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bear market, bull market, Robert Prechter, volume

Category: Stocks


Video Lesson: As Stocks Swing 276 Points Up or Down -- "Let the Market Commit to You"
Seasoned analyst and trader Jeff Kennedy offers cautionary advice

By Jill Noble
10/31/2011 4:15:00 PM

As the Dow dips back under 12,000 -- learn timeless trading tips and how to avoid common pitfalls in this clip from our Online Bear Market Tutorial

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott Wave trading, personal finance, risk management, Traders, trading lessons, volatility

Category: Stocks


(VIDEO) What Do You Do When the DOW Drops 247 Points? The Answer May Be: "Nothing."
Watch Jeff Kennedy's powerful commentary on trading in fast-moving markets.

By Jill Noble
10/18/2011 2:15:00 PM

We hope you enjoy this free video clip from Jeffrey Kennedy's webinar. Along with Senior Tutorial Instructor Wayne Gorman, our Education Team here at EWI can show you more timeless trading tips and help warn against common pitfalls.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, personal finance, risk management, technical analysis, Traders

Category: Stocks


What Were YOU Reading at the Start of 2011? Chart-stopper alert!
Here's what helped EWI analysts set the stage for falling stocks when almost everyone else was going "all in"

By Editorial Staff
10/17/2011 1:15:00 PM

Do you remember mainstream financial news from back in January and February of this year? It had one clear message: the bear market in US stocks was D-E-A-D. Here, the following headlines from the time say plenty...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, buy and hold, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


Basic? Or Bizarre? Baby Monikers and Bear/Bull Markets
The Socionomist reveals that a rise in unique baby names correlates with rising social mood

By Nico Isaac
8/30/2011 5:00:00 PM

Ever notice how some celebrities give their human babies even wackier monikers than they do their pets. “Blanket” vs. “Bubbles,” for example. The first one is a boy, the second a chimpanzee. But while the trend toward bizarre baby names seems fueled by the eccentricities of the uber-famous, in truth it reflects collective human psychology at its most basic.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), social mood, socionomics, The Socionomist, terrorist attacks

Category: Socionomics


New Bear Market or "Healthy Correction"?
What Will Follow "Three Peaks" in the Dow Jones Industrials?

By Bob Stokes
6/20/2011 6:00:00 PM

Could the bullish author be right -- that the next leg up will be even bigger than the rally that began in early 2009? Or will a very different market scenario unfold?...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, Robert Prechter

Category: Stocks


Six Straight Weeks of Decline Take DJIA Below 12,000: What Now?
Before blaming falling stocks on the most recent weak economic reports, let's check some dates

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/10/2011 5:30:00 PM

As of June 10, the Dow has suffered the "longest losing streak since the fall of 2002," reports The Associated Press. As for why stocks are falling, most observers agree: Blame "weaker hiring, industrial output, and a moribund housing market." The economic reports from the past two weeks made that clear. But wait a minute. The DJIA didn't top in the past two weeks -- it topped on April 29!

Filed Under: Bear market, Ben Bernanke, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, stimulus package, unemployment

Category: Stocks


Think Lower Trade Deficit Is Bullish For the Stock Market? Now See This Chart
U.S. trade gap narrowed in April, and many will see that as a bullish sign

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/9/2011 3:15:00 PM

Before you join the crowd in thinking that shrinking trade gap is bullish for stocks, read this excerpt from the 2011 edition of our popular free Club EWI resource, The Independent Investor eBook.

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, Club EWI, deficit, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), QE2, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


Putting a Miserable May Behind: Is the Stock Market Bull Set to Return?
EWI's latest, June Elliott Wave Financial Forecast shows you if today's sentiment indicators truly reflect a market bottom

By Nico Isaac
6/7/2011 5:30:00 PM

Last month, the US stock market suffered four straight weeks of decline for the worst May since August 2010. But now that that miserable run is behind investors, they are taking a page from the playbook of Don Henley's hit song "Boys of Summer." It goes "Don't look back, you can never look back."  

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Robert Prechter, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), sentiment

Category: Stocks


Stocks: Four Straight Weeks of Declines. When Have We Seen This Before?
EWI's analysis reveals whether today's market has the momentum of a long-term bull

By Nico Isaac
5/31/2011 5:45:00 PM

Filed Under: bull market, crude oil, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, great depression, momentum, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


Financial Bubbles May Not Be Rational but You Can Still Forecast Them
Investors are herding ALL THE TIME, not just in bubbles and crashes -- Prechter's socionomics shows you why and how

By Editorial Staff
5/13/2011 11:45:00 AM

According to socionomics, investors are herding all the time, not just in bubbles and crashes. The agents involved are a homogeneous group. Under the socionomic model, there are no investors vs. traders, technicians vs. fundamentalists, or smart money vs. dumb money. Differences among participants are quantitative, not qualitative, as some people herd sooner or more intensely than others. Although some investors may be smarter than others, in the end everyone herds to some degree.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, herding, investor psychology, mania, Robert Prechter, socionomics

Category: Classic Prechter


Current Echoes of the Old Mania
EWI's May Financial Forecast reveals whether these familiar notes are the sounds of a new bull market

By Nico Isaac
5/11/2011 12:15:00 PM

In the decade leading to the end of the Great Asset Mania in 2007, a rising tide of credit expansion drove many major financial market trends in remarkable harmony. Yet in 2009 this correlation seemed to diverge: stocks, precious metals, and oil moved contra-cyclically. But today, the trend in those markets is aligned once again.

Filed Under: bull market, credit crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), gold futures, mania, market forecasts, mutual funds, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), silver, U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries, unemployment, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


Asian-Pacific Markets: Average Peak Gain +182%
(Since EWI Turned Bullish on the Region on March 23, 2009)

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/10/2011 4:45:00 PM

Here's what EWI's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Interim Report told subscribers on March 23, 2009: "In the March 2009 issue of The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, we showed how pattern, price, time and sentiment considerations were pointing to the end of multi-month, five-wave declines in most major Asian-Pacific indexes by late March. In most cases, those lows have likely been achieved." Since then Asian-Pacific stocks have had a very good run indeed...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, bull market, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical indicators, terrorist attacks

Category: Asian Markets


400 Analysts and Economists Are Bullish. But Before You Join Them, See This Chart
Most investors have very short memory. You don't have to be one of them

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2011 5:30:00 PM

Please read these financial news headlines and then take a guess as to when they were published...

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, credit crisis, Elliott wave, housing prices, International Monetary Fund (IMF), nonfarm payrolls, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries, unemployment

Category: Stocks


Earthquake, Tsunami, Oil-shock, Middle East Wars, Debt Melt-Downs
Will the Market Reward That Much "Unbending Loyalty"?

By Nico Isaac
4/8/2011 4:30:00 PM

The public's commitment to US equities is starting to resemble a country western song. Investors have chosen to "stand by their stocks," come what may in global politics and finance, including one of the most politically unstable climates in recent history, as civil protests and military conflict spreads across the Middle East and North Africa. But like the lyrics says: Been down so low, there's only one place left to go -- up.

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), eurozone, housing prices, inflation, investor psychology, pension funds, sentiment, U.S. dollar, Wall Street

Category: Stocks