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Is Bernanke Saying “Deflation Is Here”?

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
3/19/2009 5:15:00 PM

Wednesday’s $1 trillion announcement is the equivalent of Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke standing on a soapbox, waiving the white flag of surrender and shouting, “deflation is here.”

Filed Under: Benanke, Federal Reserve, u.s. dollar, Treasuries, talf, monetization, deflation, bonds
Category: Economy


“Conquer The Crash” Is More Relevant Today Than Ever Before

by Nico Isaac
3/13/2009 4:15:00 PM
Suppose that all the conventional financial wisdom you've ever heard was written onto a large chalkboard -- and then someone gave you an eraser, a box of chalk, and the knowledge of how financial markets Really work. That may be the kind of vision you'd have after reading Bob Prechter’s best selling book “Conquer The Crash.” As the saying goes, you'll never think about the social, financial, or political world in the same way again.  
Filed Under: conquer the crash, Economy, Real Estate, bonds, Banks, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, credit crisis
Category: Economy


In a Time of Deflation, Good Advice on Bonds and the Dollar

by Susan C. Walker
2/13/2009 4:00:00 PM

As housing prices continue to decline – at a rate of 12% in the fourth quarter of 2008, according to the National Association of Realtors – the price of gasoline for the Kia and milk for the kids keeps cascading down, too. So, the question becomes, as deflation progresses, what will happen to bonds and the dollar?

Filed Under: deflation, house prices, McMansions, bonds, us dollar
Category: Classic Prechter


Hanging by a Single Horsehair
Significant problems lie ahead for our new President and Congress.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/11/2008 3:30:00 PM

Fear and greed. The human predilection for cyclic, emotional progression and the basis of the Elliott Wave Principle. We are up to our necks in the fear side of the cycle, and for plenty of good reasons. The Sword of Damocles was only hanging by a single horsehair.  Just how much weight can that horsehair support?  

Filed Under: u.s. treasury, fear, bonds, GDP, Sword of Damocles, credit default swaps, Federal Reserve
Category: Economy


10 Things You Should and Should Not Do in This Bear Market

by Gary Grimes
8/8/2008 5:00:00 PM

With chapter titles like “Should You Invest in … Bonds, Real Estate, Precious Metals, Collectibles, Cash,” Robert Prechter’s New York Times best seller, Conquer the Crash, is the ultimate “How To Do,” “What To Do” and “Should You Do” guide for investors.

Filed Under: Real Estate, politics, bonds, collectibles, Stocks, speculation, debt, Commodities, Crude oil, cash
Category: Classic Prechter


Is Gold REALLY a Safe Haven in Recessions?
With claims like these, we at EWI always do the same thing: We look at the data.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2008 5:45:00 PM

"Gold always goes up in recessions and depressions." Is it true? Should you own gold because you think the economy is tanking? Whenever we hear some claim like this, we always do the same thing: We look at the data. The results speak for themselves...

Filed Under: Gold safe haven, gold last resort, recession, depression, inflation, Best Investment Recessions, deflation, Treasury notes, bonds, debt investments
Category: Precious Metals


U.S. Treasuries: Staying On Track

by Nico Isaac
4/9/2008 4:30:00 PM
No one said it was going to be easy. But this is ridiculous. In order to stay on the trail of the U.S. Treasury market, the powers that be have one word of advise: FOLLOW the mainstream “experts.”  What they don’t tell you is: The path the “experts” blaze has more switchbacks than San Francisco’s famed Lombard Street.  
Filed Under: U.S. Treasuries, 10-year note, bonds, yields, Federal Reserve, rate cuts, Greenspan, TLT, FOMC
Category: Interest Rates


Deflation's Effect on Real Estate, Bonds, and the Dollar

by Editorial Staff
3/28/2008 2:45:00 PM

At what point might the economy deteriorate so substantially that its condition and trend are no longer bullish for bonds, but bearish? And what about the dollar?

Filed Under: deflation, bonds, dollar
Category: Classic Prechter


Should You Invest in Bonds?

by Editorial Staff
2/5/2008 10:45:00 AM

Hardly anyone imagined the day would come when AAA bonds would be downgraded to junk status on a daily basis. But that's exactly what has been happening to bonds backed by subprime mortgages in these last few months.

Filed Under: bonds, AAA ratings, subprime mortgages, government bonds
Category: Classic Prechter


Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
Robert Prechter on CNBC
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.