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The Fed's "Influence" is "Nonexistent"
Is Anyone REALLY Surprised

by Robert Folsom
3/12/2008 5:15:00 PM

Amidst all the happy words and noises that followed yesterday's story that "Fed Offers $200 Billion Lifeline for Spurned Debt," most news accounts either failed to include or buried the truly relevant details. Looked at closely, the Fed's "Offer" of a "Lifeline" comes attached with the kind of terms you'd expect from a benevolent loan shark.

Filed Under: $200 billion, AAA rating, AAA ratings, banking, Fed, Federal Reserve, subprime mortgages, Treasuries
Category: Economy


There's More Than One Monetary Policy "Villain"
Greenspan's Reversal of Fortune

by Robert Folsom
3/6/2008 6:00:00 PM

The Economist magazine published a favorable review today of a book about the housing market crisis, and one comment from the review kind of jumped off the page: "The story has no single villain, but Alan Greenspan comes close. Under him, the Federal Reserve fuelled the housing boom by sharply cutting the cost of short-term money." So, from "Maestro" to "Villain" -- how's that for a reversal of fortune?

Filed Under: banking, Fed, Federal Reserve, Greenspan, personal finance, recession, Wall Street
Category: Economy


Are Banks Worried About You?
Furrowed brows, maybe, but for who?

by Alan Hall
8/13/2007 2:45:00 PM

Stock markets closed lower today, Monday, August 13, 2007

Filed Under: real-estate, conquer the crash, banking
Category: Economy


A Family Portrait of Financial Mania
We're all in the snapshot.

by Alan Hall
11/21/2006 12:45:00 PM

I write from the catbird seat here at EWI, with access to the best technical market analysis in the world. In the space of an hour I can read forecasts of commodities, currencies, stocks, metals, and interest rates, and compare them to socionomic observations of news and events. Nowhere else can you grab such a broad, detailed snapshot of the clockworks of the “engine of history.” Today’s digital snapshot is a family photo of a resurging financial mania.

Filed Under: Real Estate, housing, real-estate, Economy, banking, credit crunch, personal finance, Wall St., socionomics, debt
Category: Cultural Trends


Searching for FWMDs
Well, financial markets actually found these weapons... in 2007 -- a bit later than we did.

by Alan Hall
10/25/2006 1:05:00 PM

Once-transparent global financial systems have become opaque, changing too fast to be visible. New varieties of financial contracts are evolving rapidly, such as credit derivative futures, credit default swaps, binary options, and soon perhaps, derivatives of credit derivatives, or even derivatives cubed (D3, perhaps?).

Filed Under: Stocks, U.S. Markets, European Markets, Economy, banking, credit crunch, personal finance, financial markets
Category: Cultural Trends


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.