By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2012 6:45:00 PM
You may have noticed that many investors tend to think that "Stocks in the same region of the world move together." This assumption seems to make sense, because regions often do share trading ties, natural resources, labor pools, etc. And yet... it's not the reality.
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: Asian Markets
Bear Markets, Lethal Flu and Hong Kong
Plus, a Look Ahead at Stocks in India, China, Australia and More -- Inside EWI's new, January 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/8/2012 10:15:00 PM
Hong Kong is one of the world's most vibrant financial centers, yet its name is also synonymous with lethal influenza. It's the city where the H5N1 avian flu was discovered 15 years ago. You probably knew that. But did you know that the H5N1 discovery -- and every major Hong Kong flu outbreak since then -- came at or near a low in the Hang Seng stock index? Few people realize this...
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, emerging markets, Indian Rupee, Nikkei, Robert Prechter, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: Asian Markets
By Editorial Staff
12/5/2011 5:30:00 PM
Most Asia-Pacific stock indexes reached important price lows this past September or October. In this final month of 2011, EWI's new Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast reveals whether those lows will hold -- or soon fall -- as we go into 2012.
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, emerging markets, Indian Rupee, Japanese yen, Korean Won, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, yuan
Category: Asian Markets
India and Pakistan: Different Paths, Same Destination
Plus, updated forecasts for the stock markets across the region -- all inside EWI's November 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2011 6:30:00 PM
Today, while many market watchers worry about whether the eurozone is about to fall apart, India and Pakistan provide a story of coming together. What is going on? Why NOW? Is it really possible that the conflicts and mistrust between the world's 2nd and 6th most-populous nations should continue to wane and may even turn into a golden era of rapprochement? The November 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you the complete socionomic analysis of the India-Pakistan relations -- and comes to some surprising conclusions.
Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index
Category: Asian Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/2/2011 5:00:00 PM
During the 16-year-long U.S. bear market in 1966-1982, the DJIA suffered several major declines and ultimately lost 14%. Over the same period, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 389% and India’s stock market gained 233%. Hong Kong and Singapore achieved even bigger gains. How can that be, you ask -- don't all global stocks move pretty much in unison?
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, technical indicators
Category: Asian Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/7/2011 12:30:00 PM
Why is now "the most exciting Elliott wave juncture in months," as the headline says? Because Elliott wave analysis looks beyond the conventional gauges of trend like civil unrest, unemployment, etc. Stocks have a history of violent trend reversals when few investors expect them...
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott Wave trading, inflation, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index
Category: Asian Markets
Focus on Japan, Vietnam and China
Plus 14 more regional stock indexes and sub-indexes -- all inside the new, June issue of EWI's monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 5:45:00 PM
Why focus on Japan, Vietnam and China in the weeks ahead, you ask? Editor Mark Galasiewski shows you the answer on the first few pages of the June Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast -- namely, the Elliott wave pattern in these countries' respective stock indexes. There is more...
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, authoritarianism, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis
Category: Asian Markets
By Bob Stokes
5/10/2011 6:15:00 PM
China is often referred to as the "Sleeping Dragon." And you might say the price action of the Shanghai Composite during the past couple of years has been in sleep mode. Does our analyst expect the "Sleeping Dragon" to awaken soon?...
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index
Category: Asian Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/18/2011 11:30:00 AM
Careful observers of the forex market will remember that over the past few years, whenever the U.S. dollar would fall to a significant low against the euro and other competitor currencies, the chorus of dollar doomsayers would get louder. And then, as if by magic, the dollar would rebound, to the surprise of the skeptics. Except, there is nothing magical about it -- this free video explains more.
Filed Under: Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, forex trading, Japanese yen, sentiment, sterling, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), usd/jpy, video
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/10/2011 5:00:00 PM
Usually at least once a week, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens records a video update for his Currency Specialty Service subscribers. On Friday, March 4, Jim recorded the following short-term bearish, longer-term bullish video forecast for the USDJPY. Watch it now to see how Jim uses basic Elliott wave analysis to forecast the trends.
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott Wave trading, forex trading, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/9/2011 4:15:00 PM
"A Merrill Lynch survey of global fund managers finds that long exposure to emerging markets has now dropped to merely 5%, the lowest reading since March 2009." That's one of the opening market insights you'll find in EWI's newest, March Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. Is the low interest in emerging markets a bearish sign, or a contrarian bullish sign for Asian-Pacific stocks?
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Merrill Lynch, Nikkei, SENSEX, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, yuan
Category: Asian Markets
Bank of Japan: How Long Before the Yen Weakens?
BOJ can only succeed AFTER completed Elliott wave pattern in the USD/JPY, says EWI's Jim Martens
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/6/2010 12:30:00 PM
Bank of Japan's previous attempt to stem the yen's rise came on September 15. (We wrote about that.) As the chart shows, the USD/JPY steamrolled right over that intervention attempt. And the October 5 interest rate decision hasn't bucked the trend, either.
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/15/2010 11:00:00 AM
Central banks interventions in currency markets are always a major forex event. Of course, you never know just when a bank may step in. But with the right forecasting tools, you don't necessarily have to know. The series of forecasts you see here are all bullish on the U.S. dollar and bearish the Japanese yen. And, EWI's Currency Specialty Service posted them hours before Japanese intervention...
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Nathaniel Williams
4/22/2010 12:00:00 PM
Because asset valuations in Asia are on the rise, many observers now compare the situation to the start of the 1997-1988 Asian Financial Crisis. That means that the old, conventional notions are back -- including the one that blames the Bank of Japan for lowering interest rates, thereby causing asset values to rise. That piece of conventional wisdom sounds logical, but it's actually flawed at its core.
Filed Under: Bank of Japan, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: Interest Rates
By Nico Isaac
11/12/2008 4:00:00 PM
Right now, the Japanese Yen is nearing a 13-year high against the U.S. Dollar and headlines abound of the great "unwinding" of the Yen Carry Trade. If you think the Bank of Japan is behind the yen's rally, think again...
Filed Under: Japanese yen, Japanese yen, Bank of Japan
Category: Currencies